First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

FWRGยทNASDAQ

$10.53

+0.86%
Consumer CyclicalRestaurants

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name. As of March 23, 2022, it operated 341 company-owned restaurants and 94 franchised restaurants in 28 states in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$649.12M
EPS0.3200
P/E Ratio32.91
Earnings Date08/04/2026
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FWRG ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FWRG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $10.53, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $10.53

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$82.2M
+ Cash & Equivalents$21.2M
Firm Value$103.4M
- Debt$739.6M
Equity Value-$636.2M
/ Shares Outstanding61,032,105B
DCF Value-$10
OVERVALUED BY 199%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$63.0M
$31.5M
$15.7M
$7.9M
$3.9M
$2.0M
$983.7K
$491.8K
$245.9K
$123.0K
Maintenance CapEx
-$15.7M
-$7.8M
-$3.9M
-$2.0M
-$980.7K
-$490.3K
-$245.2K
-$122.6K
-$61.3K
-$30.6K
Owner Earnings
$47.3M
$23.6M
$11.8M
$5.9M
$3.0M
$1.5M
$738.5K
$369.3K
$184.6K
$92.3K
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$43.8M
$20.3M
$9.4M
$4.3M
$2.0M
$930.8K
$430.9K
$199.5K
$92.4K
$42.8K
Terminal Value represents 0.9% of Enterprise Value