Five Star Bancorp

Five Star Bancorp

FSBCยทNASDAQ

$41.87

-2.2%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Five Star Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Five Star Bank that provides a range of banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as money market, noninterest-bearing and interest checking accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits. Its loan products include commercial and residential real estate loans; commercial loans; commercial land loans; farmland loans; commercial and residential construction loans; and consumer and other loans. The company also offers debit cards; and remote deposit capture, online and mobile banking, and direct deposit services. It operates through seven branch offices and two loan production offices in Northern California. Five Star Bancorp was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Rancho Cordova, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$895.02M
EPS2.9000
P/E Ratio14.44
Earnings Date07/22/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.4, earnings yield +6.9%, momentum -2.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +13.8%, ROIC +11.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +24.1%, ROE +13.8%, ROIC +11.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +90.6%, momentum -2.2%, net margin +24.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Five Star Bancorp Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FSBC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Five Star Bancorp

Five Star Bancorp Fair Value Envelope

FSBC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FSBC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $41.87, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Five Star Bancorp.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $41.87
3Y+11.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y+974.0%
3Y+106.0%
5Y+208.0%
10Y+3589.0%
3Y+38.0%
5Y+71.0%
10Y+11909.0%
3Y+58.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y+28945.0%
3Y+57.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y-64438.0%
3Y+47.0%
5Y+143.0%
10Y+1637.0%
Five Star Bancorp

Five Star Bancorp Profit Bridge

FSBC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue255.47M
Cost of Goods Sold (106.73M)
Gross Profit148.74M
Operating Expenses (65.01M)
Operating Income83.73M
Interest Expense (97.03M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income83.73M
Income Tax (22.13M)
Net Income61.61M
Net Income
61.61M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

58.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

32.8%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

24.1%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

26.4%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

58.22%
Gross Profit Margin
5%
3Y-30.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-42.0%
32.78%
Operating Profit Margin
7%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y+250.0%
24.12%
Net Profit Margin
12%
3Y-33.0%
5Y-44.0%
10Y+226.0%
13.82%
Return on Equity
20%
3Y-22.0%
5Y-49.0%
10Y+758.0%
1.30%
Return on Assets
15%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y+591.0%
11.12%
Return on Invested Capital
21%
3Y+7.0%
5Y-50.0%
10Y+5836.0%
FSBC

Five Star Bancorp Cash Conversion Engine

FSBC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income61.61M
Depreciation & Amortization3.05M
Stock-Based Compensation1.46M
Change in Working Capital1.61M
Others5.47M
Capital Expenditures-1.20M
Free Cash Flow71.42M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

115.9%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

1.6%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+39.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$1.61M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Five Star Bancorp Funding & Solvency Profile

FSBC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents46.12M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets46 M
Property, Plant & Equipment12.52M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments4.87B
Other Non-Current Assets98.97M
Total Non-Current Assets5 B
Total Assets
5.03B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

9.97x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

46 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Five Star Bancorp Street Expectations Map

FSBC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FSBC stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 45.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 43.00 to a high of 48.50.

Lowest Target
43.00
2.70%
Consensus Target
45.75
9.27%
Highest Target
48.50
15.83%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 45.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 43.00 to a high of 48.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+9.3%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

12.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Five Star Bancorp Insider Positioning

FSBC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $811K worth of FSBC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

11.1K

451.07K

Net Activity

-451K

-$451K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.0K

119.94K

Net Activity

-120K

-$120K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

600

19.84K

Net Activity

-20K

-$20K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.9K

220.35K

Net Activity

-220K

-$220K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BJE

Beckwith James Eugene

Director, Officer: President & Ceo

10.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$334K

2
LME

Lee Michael Eugene

Officer: Svp, Chief Regulatory Officer

4.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$199K

3
WBL

Wait Brett Levi

Officer: Svp, Chief Information Officer

4.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$176K

4
RLA

Ramirez-Medina Lydia Ann

Officer: Evp & Chief Operating Officer

2.4K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$78K

5
RMA

Rizzo Michael Anthony

Officer: Evp & Chief Banking Officer

641 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$24K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $811K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$451K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.66%
Dividend Yield
18%
3Y-6.0%
5Y-80.0%
10Y-
ย 

fsbc Dividend History

FSBC
10Y CAGR +5%
Latest $0.25
Annual $1.1
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%