Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group, Inc.

FOSLยทNASDAQ

$4.01

-3.4%
Consumer CyclicalLuxury Goods

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty retail stores, specialty watch and jewelry stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 370 stores worldwide. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$237.00M
EPS-1.4500
P/E Ratio-2.77
Earnings Date08/12/2026
fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FOSL ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FOSL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 7.00.

Lowest Target
7.00
74.56%
Consensus Target
7.00
74.56%
Highest Target
7.00
74.56%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 7.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+74.6%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
1.00B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
973.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
970.89M - 975.41M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-3.1%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-78.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-215.05M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-215.70M - -214.40M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-174.6%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-1.45
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-3.98
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-3.99 - $-3.96
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-174.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
23.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-17.26M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-17.30M - -17.22M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-175.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
36.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-3.60M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-3.61M - -3.59M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-110.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

FOSL ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
540.10M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
500.65M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
499.48M - 501.81M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-7.3%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

fosl

Fossil Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

FOSL ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $842K worth of FOSL shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

46.3K

203.36K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+203K

+$203K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

289.7K

638.87K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+639K

+$639K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
SWL

Schoppert Wendy Lee

Director

87.6K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$305K

2
FF

Fogliato Franco

Director, Officer: Ceo

100.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$182K

3
CSM

Coulter Suzanne M

Director

28.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$102K

4
MJT

Martin Joe T

Officer: Chief Commercial Officer

56.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$100K

5
TGB

Tifford Gail B

Director

33.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$79K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $842K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$203K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.