Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group, Inc.

FOSLยทNASDAQ

$4.01

-3.4%
Consumer CyclicalLuxury Goods

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as purchases and resells branded products in non-FOSSIL branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, PUMA, TORY BURCH, Skechers, and BMW. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department stores, specialty retail stores, specialty watch and jewelry stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines and cruise ships. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 370 stores worldwide. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$237.00M
EPS-1.4500
P/E Ratio-2.77
Earnings Date08/12/2026
Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FOSL ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FOSL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $4.01, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Fossil Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $4.01

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value-$50.3M
+ Cash & Equivalents$95.8M
Firm Value$45.5M
- Debt$282.2M
Equity Value-$236.7M
/ Shares Outstanding53,774,840B
DCF Value-$4
OVERVALUED BY 210%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
-$28.9M
-$14.5M
-$7.2M
-$3.6M
-$1.8M
-$904.6K
-$452.3K
-$226.2K
-$113.1K
-$56.5K
Maintenance CapEx
-$256.4K
-$128.2K
-$64.1K
-$32.1K
-$16.0K
-$8.0K
-$4.0K
-$2.0K
-$1.0K
-$501
Owner Earnings
-$29.2M
-$14.6M
-$7.3M
-$3.7M
-$1.8M
-$912.7K
-$456.3K
-$228.2K
-$114.1K
-$57.0K
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
-$27.0M
-$12.5M
-$5.8M
-$2.7M
-$1.2M
-$575.1K
-$266.3K
-$123.3K
-$57.1K
-$26.4K
Terminal Value represents 0.0% of Enterprise Value
Negative Owner Earnings
This company generates negative free cash flow. Consider adjusting maintenance CapEx percentage or check the financial data.