BayCom Corp

BayCom Corp

BCMLยทNASDAQ

$30.61

-1.9%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

BayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company offers demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. It also provides commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and working capital lines of credit; small business administration loans; construction and land loans; agriculture-related loans; and consumer loans comprising installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection. In addition, the company offers online and mobile banking, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, night depository, courier, direct deposit, treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house services, debit cards, cashier's and travelers checks, letters of credit, lockbox, positive pay, reverse positive pay, and account reconciliation services, as well as zero balance accounts and sweep accounts, including loan sweep. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 33 full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California; Denver, Colorado; Custer, Delta, and Grand counties, Colorado; and Seattle, Washington and Central New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Bay Commercial Bank and changed its name to BayCom Corp in January 2017. BayCom Corp was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$333.93M
EPS2.1800
P/E Ratio14.04
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.0, earnings yield +7.1%, momentum -1.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +7.1%, ROIC +9.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +16.9%, ROE +7.1%, ROIC +9.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +86.9%, momentum -1.9%, net margin +16.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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BayCom Corp Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BCML ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

BayCom Corp

BayCom Corp Fair Value Envelope

BCML ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that BCML has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $30.61, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for BayCom Corp.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $30.61
3Y+20.0%
5Y+90.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+48.0%
10Y+357.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+74.0%
10Y+305.0%
3Y-20.0%
5Y+218.0%
10Y+404.0%
3Y-22.0%
5Y+344.0%
10Y+393.0%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+284.0%
BayCom Corp

BayCom Corp Profit Bridge

BCML ยท NASDAQ
Revenue141.83M
Cost of Goods Sold (44.75M)
Gross Profit97.08M
Operating Expenses (64.21M)
Operating Income32.87M
Interest Expense (40.94M)
Other Income/Expense-250.00K
Pretax Income32.62M
Income Tax (8.69M)
Net Income23.93M
Net Income
23.93M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

68.4%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

23.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

16.9%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

26.6%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

68.45%
Gross Profit Margin
-2%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y-22.0%
23.17%
Operating Profit Margin
-1%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+22.0%
10Y-30.0%
16.87%
Net Profit Margin
-2%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y-11.0%
7.07%
Return on Equity
-3%
3Y-6.0%
5Y+30.0%
10Y-7.0%
0.92%
Return on Assets
4%
3Y-2.0%
5Y+48.0%
10Y+5.0%
9.91%
Return on Invested Capital
81%
3Y+72.0%
5Y+155.0%
10Y+36.0%
BCML

BayCom Corp Cash Conversion Engine

BCML ยท NASDAQ
Net Income23.93M
Depreciation & Amortization2.99M
Stock-Based Compensation653.00K
Change in Working Capital-1.86M
Others6.62M
Capital Expenditures-1.75M
Free Cash Flow30.09M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

125.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+5.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.86M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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BayCom Corp Funding & Solvency Profile

BCML ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents18.56M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets19 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets40.47M
Long-Term Investments2.50B
Other Non-Current Assets90.06M
Total Non-Current Assets3 B
Total Assets
2.65B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

6.70x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

19 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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BayCom Corp Street Expectations Map

BCML ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that BCML stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 34.00 to a high of 34.00.

Lowest Target
34.00
11.07%
Consensus Target
34.00
11.07%
Highest Target
34.00
11.07%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 34.00 to a high of 34.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+11.1%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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BayCom Corp Insider Positioning

BCML ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.15M worth of BCML shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

38.1K

1.15M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1.2M

+$1.15M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
BWJ

Black William J

Director, Officer: Executive Vice Chair

33.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$998K

2
PMJ

Perdue Michael J

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$155K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.15M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.15M

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

1.01%
Dividend Yield
18%
3Y+240.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

bcml Dividend History

BCML
10Y CAGR +20%
Latest $0.3
Annual $1.35
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%