Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

AUBยทNASDAQ

$36.66

+0.082%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and related financial services to consumers and businesses. The company accepts various deposit products, including checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; and other depository services. It also provides loans for commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer purposes. In addition, the company offers credit cards, automated teller machine (ATM) services, mobile and internet banking services, and online bill payment services, as well as financial planning, trust, and wealth management services. Further, it provides securities, brokerage, and investment advisory products and services; and originates and sells residential loan products in the secondary market. As of February 25, 2022, it operated 130 branches and approximately 150 ATMs in Virginia, Maryland, and North Carolina. The company was formerly known as Union Bankshares Corporation and changed its name to Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation in May 2019. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$5.22B
EPS2.2900
P/E Ratio16.01
Earnings Date01/22/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 16.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 16.0, earnings yield +6.2%, momentum +0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +6.7%, ROIC +5.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +15.5%, ROE +6.7%, ROIC +5.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +87.2%, momentum +0.1%, net margin +15.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

AUB ยท NASDAQ

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Fair Value Envelope

AUB ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that AUB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $36.655, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $36.655
3Y-30.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+54.0%
3Y+89.0%
5Y+62.0%
10Y+294.0%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+8.0%
10Y+212.0%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+58.0%
10Y+178.0%
3Y-8.0%
5Y+68.0%
10Y+181.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+40.0%
10Y+220.0%
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Profit Bridge

AUB ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.35B
Cost of Goods Sold (579.09M)
Gross Profit767.33M
Operating Expenses (507.53M)
Operating Income259.79M
Interest Expense (529.00M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income259.79M
Income Tax (50.66M)
Net Income209.13M
Net Income
209.13M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

57.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

19.3%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

15.5%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

19.5%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

56.99%
Gross Profit Margin
-11%
3Y-45.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y-37.0%
19.30%
Operating Profit Margin
-16%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-31.0%
10Y-27.0%
15.53%
Net Profit Margin
-20%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-21.0%
6.65%
Return on Equity
-16%
3Y-32.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y-1.0%
0.85%
Return on Assets
-11%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-23.0%
10Y-2.0%
4.99%
Return on Invested Capital
8%
3Y-35.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+29.0%
AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

AUB ยท NASDAQ
Net Income209.13M
Depreciation & Amortization35.31M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital11.51M
Others18.36M
Capital Expenditures-7.39M
Free Cash Flow301.06M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

144.0%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

2.4%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+10.3%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

+$11.51M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

AUB ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents789.81M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets861 M
Property, Plant & Equipment168.31M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets2.06B
Long-Term Investments32.17B
Other Non-Current Assets1.81B
Total Non-Current Assets34 B
Total Assets
37.07B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.03x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

6.54x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-29896282000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

2% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Street Expectations Map

AUB ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that AUB stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 45.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 44.00 to a high of 46.00.

Lowest Target
44.00
20.04%
Consensus Target
45.00
22.77%
Highest Target
46.00
25.49%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 45.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 44.00 to a high of 46.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+22.8%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

4.4% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation Insider Positioning

AUB ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $765K worth of AUB shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

23.9K

765.45K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+765K

+$765K

Top Buyers

1
EFR

Ellett Frank Russell

Director

16.4K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$519K

2
AJC

Asbury John C

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

7.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$247K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $765K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

0.96%
Dividend Yield
-48%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-28.0%
10Y+35.0%
ย 

aub Dividend History

AUB
10Y CAGR +7%
Latest $0.37
Annual $1.39
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +9%