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Real Estate - REIT - Diversified - NYSE - US
$ 55.77
1.68 %
$ 12.2 B
Market Cap
22.04
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2016 - Q4
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Executives

Peter Sands - Director, Institutional Investor Relations Mark DeCesaris - Chief Executive Officer Jason Fox - President Toni Sanzone - Chief Financial Officer John Park - Head of Strategic Planning and Capital Markets Brooks Gordon - Head of Asset Management Group Mark Goldberg - President, Carey Financial, LLC.

Analysts

Daniel Donlan - Ladenburg Thalmann Joshua Dennerlein - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Nick Joseph - Citigroup Sheila McGrath - Evercore Paul Adornato - BMO Capital Markets Chris Lucas - CapitalOne Securities.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, hello and welcome to W. P. Carey’s Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2016 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Adam and I will be your operator for today. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. Please note that today’s event is being recorded.

After today’s prepared remarks, we’ll be taking questions via the phone line. Instructions will be given at that time on how to do so. I’d now like to turn today’s program over to Peter Sands, Director of Institutional Investor Relations. Mr. Sands, please go ahead..

Peter Sands Executive Director & Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our 2016 fourth quarter and full year earnings call. I would like to remind everyone that some of the statements made on this call are not historic facts and may be deemed forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from W. P.

Carey’s expectations are provided in our SEC filings. Also an online replay of this conference call will be made available in the Investor Relations section of our website at wpcarey.com where it will be archived for approximately one year. And with that, I will hand the microphone over to Mark..

Mark DeCesaris

Thank you, Peter, and good morning, everyone. I’m joined this morning by Jason Fox, our President; John Park, Head of Strategic Planning and Capital Markets; and Toni Sanzone, our Chief Financial Officer.

In addition Mark Goldberg, Head of Carey Financial and Brooks Gordon, Head of our Asset Management Group are here and will be available for questions. While I will let Jason, John and Toni get into a more detailed discussion of their specific areas, I would like to speak this morning about 2016 in general and what you should expect in 2017.

I’m pleased with the progress we made in 2016 in all facets of the company’s operation. We were able to generate sustainable increases in the company’s AFFO stream this year even while transitioning away from one-time structuring revenues, which were reduced by roughly 50% compared to 2015.

While this presents a headwind to short-term growth, it is good for the long-term valuation of the company.

One-time structuring revenues are volatile in nature generally hard to forecast, transitioning our revenue mix towards a more stable recurring annual lease revenues and asset management fees will better position the company to deliver more consistent and predictable growth over the long-term.

Similarly, selling assets always presents a challenge for short-term growth in AFFO, but it’s good for the valuation of the portfolio on a long-term basis as that capital is reinvested in assets that increased the weighted average lease term of the portfolio, increased the criticality of the asset base and improve the overall quality of the portfolio.

Reinvesting disposition proceeds cannot always be perfectly timed, but ultimately those proceeds are reinvested and contribute to our long-term AFFO growth. We also executed on our plan to focus on cost efficiencies delivering a 20% reduction in G&A costs in the prior year.

We expect these cost reductions to be sustainable and we will continue to look at the overall cost structure of the business with an eye towards making it as operational efficient as possible. One of the advantages of our platform is our ability to deploy capital in both North America and Europe.

In 2016, all of our on balance sheet investments were in North America. Jason will discuss our latest investment ABC Group and also give some insight into where we are seeing opportunities today. In addition, I’ve said in the past that our Investment Management arm is valuable.

It allows us to grow AFFO even in times when equity and debt markets are unattractive. Our focus in 2016 was on increasing annual recurring asset management revenues and our lodging in BDC funds. I expect this to continue in 2017. We have put CPA 19 on hold pending clarity on regulation in that industry.

As you know, the DOL rule put that industry into a state of flux during 2016 as firms tried to evaluate the impact of the rule on their business and implement the necessary changes. With the new administration issuing an executive order requesting a delay in the effective date of that rule, the uncertainty continues.

We will wait for some clarity before moving forward with CPA 19 in order to ensure an optimal structure. We did a lot of work on our balance sheet over the last 12 months, which John will discuss in more detail. We spent a significant amount of time meeting with both fixed income and equity investors in North America and Europe.

As a result, we issued debt at attractive rates in both regions. In addition, we’re able to issue equity opportunistically through our ATM at an attractive weighted average price in relation to the deals we closed.

We will continue to pursue an unsecured debt strategy and reduce both the amount and proportion of secured debt as mortgage debt comes due. We will also continue our path towards becoming a more frequent issuer in the unsecured markets over the long-term and along with regular outreach work to further tighten our spreads.

On the asset management side, we continually continue to actively manage the portfolio with an eye toward reducing near-term lease expiration, increasing weighted average lease term, improving asset criticality and the overall quality of the portfolio.

Jason will get into the statistics in his remarks, but we were successful in improving the portfolio metrics overall for 2016.

2017, you should expect that one-time structuring revenues will continue to decline and that we will continue to proactively manage our portfolio and adhere to our core discipline in providing superior risk-adjusted returns from our investments. Lastly, I would like to publicly congratulate Toni Sanzone on being named CFO of the company.

She has done a tremendous job since stepping into the interim role back in October and I look forward to seeing her continue doing a great job for us going forward. With that, I will turn the call over to Jason..

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

residual risk assets, value creation opportunities and vacant properties. In any given year, we expect to have dispositions with average metrics that in aggregate we can meaningfully improve upon when the capital is reinvested thereby enhancing the overall quality of our portfolio.

2016 was unusual both because the total volume of dispositions was high and because dispositions were more heavily weighted towards residual risk assets. About 70% of our 2016 disposition proceeds came from residual risk office assets reducing our overall exposure to the office sector from 30% of ABR to 25%.

The weighted average lease term of disposed assets was four years with weak criticality and low renewal probabilities. Considering these average metrics, we are pleased with the execution we achieved at a weighted average cap rate of 8.2%.

In contrast, we acquired $544 million of primarily industrial assets with a weighted average lease term of just over 20 years high criticality and at a weighted average initial cap rate of approximately 8%.

The vast majority of our investments and in fact all of our deals in 2016 are sourced as directly sale leasebacks as opposed to buying pre-existing leases from third-party landlords in the secondary market. This differentiates us from any other net lease REITs. Focusing on more complex sale leasebacks has several key advantages.

First, we face limited competition. There is a much smaller universe of buyers who can legitimately compete outside of the commodity segments of net lease. We have a 43-year track record of executing highly structured sale leaseback transactions, which gives us a high degree of credibility in the marketplace for these type of deals. Second, access.

With a leaseback the counterparty of the purchase becomes our long-term tenant. As a result, we get a high-degree of access to information about the tenants business and its long-term prospects as well as access to its senior management all of which ensure we get a thorough understanding of the risks and merits of each transaction.

We also get greater access to the real estate itself enabling us to better determine its value and quality and thoroughly evaluate its criticality to the long-term prospects of the tenant. Third, superior lease structures. Because we are writing the lease, we are able to tailor it to those specific circumstances.

As a result, we believe that we are able to achieve stronger more institutional quality leases with longer lease terms, better rent escalations, improved financial covenants when warranted and greater downside protections. And lastly, yield.

Because we source and structure complex sale leasebacks, we believe we are able to generate a significant cap rate premium relative to both the commodity segment of the net lease market and assets that trade on the secondary market. To be clear, however, greater initial deal complexity does not mean greater risk.

Once structured, enclosed, our net leases are very straightforward. A typical deal is triple net with no landlord responsibilities, has a lease term of 15 to 20 years with inflation based rental increases and includes highly critical assets on a master lease.

As a result, we create net lease assets that we believe would trade at a meaningfully lower cap rate in the secondary market generating an immediate pickup in value. Our most recent acquisition illustrates these advantages.

In November, we completed a $141 million sale leaseback transaction with ABC Group, which is a leading full-service supplier of molded thermoplastic automotive components. We acquired a portfolio of 13 industrial facilities and one office facility in the U.S., Canada and Mexico representing the majority of its North American footprint.

The acquisition was structured as master leases by country each denominated in U.S. dollars, so we do not have any rent exposure to the Canadian dollar or Mexican peso in this transaction. The portfolio is leased on a triple net basis for 20 years and provides built-in rent growth through annual CPI based rent escalations.

During the fourth quarter, we also completed a $14 million redevelopment in Atlanta in which we constructed a new state-of-the-art distribution center. The property is a Class A infill warehouse at the intersection of I-85 and I-285, a location that is extremely hard to replicate in the market.

With an unwritten development yield of 8%, we were able to create substantial value by pursuing this project. We currently have four expansion projects underway with existing tenants with roughly $60 million that we expect to complete by the end of 2017 and I’ve added details for each on page 17 of our supplemental.

We proactively seek out such opportunities to accretively invest capital with existing tenants, which represents true proprietary deal flow and typically exhibit superior risk-adjusted returns.

It also allows you to extend existing leases and enhance criticality, which we view as a key point of differentiation in our business model compared to the commodity segment of the net lease market where such opportunities are far less prevalent.

As a result of our asset management and investment activity in 2016, we increased the weighted average lease term of the portfolio from 9 years to 9.7 years. Turning to the acquisition environment. The U.S. market remains competitive and capital flow is strong and they have been over the past three years of this cycle.

The current deal pipeline is somewhat lighter than in prior years and down from the beginning of 2016. Political and policy uncertainty is also beginning to create a more cautious tone. In Europe, cap rates remain low across the continent making it challenging to secure attractive investments with adequate yields in long-term sustainable value.

There appears to be substantial interest from international buyers from Asia and the U.S. who also have the benefit of strengthened currencies. Moving to leasing activity.

First of all, in the context of our overall portfolio, it’s important to remember that leasing activity relates to a very small portion of it, less than 0.5% of AVR during the fourth quarter.

We extended or modified three leases during the fourth quarter, recapturing more than 110% of the existing rent and adding 9.1 years of incremental weighted average lease-term.

Historically, we have taken a capital light approach to leasing, however, we’re happy to invest capital when the economics are appealing and the fourth quarter was a good example of that. Turning to lease expirations.

We made excellent progress managing our lease expirations during 2016 addressing the majority of 2017 expirations as well as making good progress on 2018 and 2019. As a result, total AVR expiring between 2017 and 2019 was reduced from 16.2% to 7.7% over the course of 2016 and we have made substantial additional progress so far in 2017.

Turning to our same-store metrics. Year-over-year, our same- store rents were 1.1% higher on a constant currency basis, driven primarily by fixed rate – fixed rent adjustments given the low inflation environment. At year-end, 99% of our portfolio ABR came from leases with built-in contractual rent escalations, including 69% tied to CPI.

So the portfolio remains well-positioned as inflation returns to more normal levels. With U.S.

CPI up 2.5% year-over-year in January, we believe we’ve reached an inflection point where organic growth is poised to recover after several years below its long-term trend, And we expect that trend to positively impact our same-store metrics in the coming quarters.

To sum up at year-end, our portfolio was comprised of 903 properties covering roughly 88 million square feet net leased to 217 tenants, and occupancy remained high at 99.1%. Our top ten tenants comprised 31% of ABR with a weighted average lease term of 11.7 years, with well below 1% of ABR expiring within the next five years.

69% of our ABR came from properties in North America and 29% from properties in Europe predominately located in the developed economies of northern and western Europe. And with that, I’ll hand it over to Toni to review our financial results..

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. This morning, I will cover our results for the fourth quarter and the full-year touching on our revenue and expense drivers; dividends; and finally, our current guidance expectations. For the fourth quarter of 2016, AFFO per diluted share was a $1.22 compared to a $1.27 for the year-ago quarter.

Declines in both our lease revenues and structuring revenues were partially offset by a reduction in interest expense, as well as higher asset management fees and distributions from our partnership interest in the managed funds. For the full-year 2016, we generated AFFO per diluted share of $5.12 compared to $4.99 for 2015.

On a full-year basis, lower G&A and interest expense combined with higher asset management fees and distributions from our partnership interest in the managed funds more than offset a decline in structuring revenues.

On a segment basis, owned real estate generated about 95% of our total AFFO for the full-year coming in at $4.85 per diluted share, with the remaining 5%, or $0.27 coming from our Investment Management business.

As both Mark and Jason mentioned, real estate dispositions outweighed acquisitions in 2016, resulting in lower ABR at year-end compared to 2015. However, the impact of net dispositions on lease revenues in 2016 was mitigated by the timing of dispositions, which were weighted towards the back-half of the year.

Structuring revenues declined 49% to $47.3 million in 2016 compared to $92.1 million in 2015, driven by lower investment activity on behalf of the managed funds and a lower proportion of investments on behalf of the CPA REITs, which have a higher structuring fee than our other funds.

For 2016, structuring revenue represented 5.6% of total revenue, excluding reimbursable costs, as compared to 10.7% in the prior year, reflecting our transition away from these one-time fees in favor of more predictable recurring fees based on assets under management.

Asset management fees and distributions from our partnership interest in the managed funds increased on a year-over-year basis by $12 million and $6.7 million, respectively, due primarily to growth in assets under management within our Investment Management business, that’s the combined increase of 21% year-over-year.

At year-end, total assets under management for the managed funds were $12.9 billion, up 17% from $11 billion at the end of 2015. Turning to expenses. Through the focused execution of cost saving initiatives implemented early in the year, we reduced G&A expenses by $20.8 million in 2016, or 20% on a year-over-year basis.

These savings were generated mainly from lower compensation costs and professional fees and are expected to have a sustainable impact on our results going forward.

We also reduced interest expense in 2016 by $10.9 million compared to the prior year, driven by a lower cost of debt, which is largely due to the work we’ve done on our balance sheet to replace higher cost mortgage debt with lower rate unsecured financing, both in the U.S. and in Europe.

We expect to continue to benefit from lower interest costs in 2017. Turning briefly to our dividend. During the fourth quarter, we raised our quarterly cash dividend to $0.99 per share maintaining a conservative payout ratio of 77% on a full-year basis.

Looking ahead to our AFFO guidance for 2017, as we noted in yesterday’s earnings release, for 2017 we currently expect to generate AFFO of between $5.10 and $5.30 per diluted share, which assumes acquisitions for W. P. Carey’s balance sheet of between $450 million and $650 million and dispositions of between $350 million and $550 million.

It also assumes that we complete between $300 million and $500 million of acquisitions on behalf of the CPA funds and behalf – and between $400 million and $700 million on behalf of our other managed funds.

In addition, we anticipate 2017 G&A expenses to be at a comparable level to 2016, reflecting the sustainable nature of the cost reductions we implemented during the year. Finally, given the current positioning of our balance sheet, we have a great deal of flexibility in how and when we access the capital markets.

At this early stage of the year, our current AFFO guidance does not assume any capital markets activity in 2017 beyond our recent Eurobond issuance. However, this may change as the year progresses as we continue to assess our needs in overall market conditions relative to our acquisition and disposition plan.

And with that, I’ll hand it over to John to review our capitalization and balance sheet..

John Park Senior Advisor

Thank you, Toni, and good morning, everyone. I’ll start with a brief overview of key leverage metrics in our supplemental, which provide a snapshot as of year-end. As Mark mentioned, we made significant progress with our balance sheet during 2016 and that has continued into 2017.

Consequently, I want to focus on how the balance sheet looks today, including our Eurobond issuance in January and the renewal of our credit facility in February, and in particular, the impact I’ve had on our debt maturity profile. At year-end, net debt to enterprise value was 40.3%.

Total consolidated debt to gross assets was 49.7%, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 5.8 times. As we grow our balance sheet through accretive acquisitions, we expect our leverage metrics to remain at similar levels, while our credit profile continues to improve through the execution of our unencumbered strategy.

During 2016, we successfully accessed both the debt and equity capital markets issuing approximately $84 million in equity through our ATM program and issuing US$350 million of 10-year unsecured unsecured bonds in September at a coupon of 4.25%.

Furthermore, in January of this year, we issued $500 million of euro-denominated 7.5-year unsecured bonds at a 2.25% coupon. Since the start of 2016, we have issued a total of approximately $877 million in unsecured debt and we paid $865 million in mortgage debt on a consolidated basis.

Since embarking on our unsecured debt strategy into 2014, we have issued a total of $1.3 billion in U.S. dollar bonds and $1 billion in euro-denominated bonds, and we paid approximately $1.7 billion of mortgage debt on a consolidated basis.

As a result, we have reduced secured debt as a percentage of gross assets from 36% at the start of 2014 to below 20% today.

We have also become a more regular issue of unsecured bonds, gaining access to a wider pool of fixed income investors and supported by frequent investor outreach, which we believe has helped both the liquidity of our bonds and the spreads on which they trade.

In conjunction with the repayment of mortgages, we have reduced our overall weighted average interest rate from 4.1% at the start of 2016 to about 3.7%. At year-end, our remaining mortgage debt had a weighted average interest rate of just over 5%, which we believe will be able be replace with lower cost bond financing in upcoming years.

In February of this year, we amended and restated our senior unsecured credit facility, increasing the capacity to $1.85 billion, comprised of a $1.5 billion revolving line of credit maturing in four years with two six-month extension options, a €236 million term loan maturing in five years, and $100 million multi-currency delayed through our term loan also maturing in five years.

Compared to the previous facility, the revolver is 10 basis points tighter on spread at LIBOR plus 100 basis points, and the term loan is 15 basis points tighter at euroval [ph] plus 110 basis points.

We have also improved certain covenant terms to reflect our progress in growing our unencumbered asset pool, and increase to multi-currency component to $1 billion. The more favorable term is our credit facility reflects the strong demand we saw in the bank market for our credit.

By extending the maturity of our debt through the amended credit facility and the recent bond issuance, we have reduced balance sheet risk. To illustrate this, we’ve created a slide comparing our debt maturity schedule at the end of 2016 to where it stands today.

For those joining us via the webcast, the slides should be appearing on your screens now and we have also added it to our supplemental. It clearly shows how vast majority of our debt maturities have been extended out to 2021 and beyond, as well as a relatively minimal level of debt we have maturing over the next four years.

Consequently, our average debt maturity is currently six years. We believe our balance sheet is well-positioned and gives us significant flexibility going forward. Last comment I would make on our balance sheet is that our ability to access the European debt markets has enabled us to substantially reduce our exposure to the euro.

Increasing the proportion of total debt that is denominated in euros has both increased the natural hedge on our euro-denominated rents and further insulated our NAV exposure to the euro.

In conclusion, as you’ve heard from our team today, we’re focused on continuing to improve the quality of our revenues, the quality of our portfolio, and our overall credit profile,while maintaining strong coverage of our dividend.

As we continue to execute our plan in 2017 and beyond, we believe it will help improve our overall cost of capital, thereby widening the – our investment spreads and increasing the impact of new investments on our results. With that, I’ll hand the call back to the operator for questions..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen at this time, we will now be taking questions. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Dan Donlan from Ladenburg Thalmann. Please go ahead..

Daniel Donlan

Hi, thank you and good morning..

Mark DeCesaris

Good morning, Dan..

Daniel Donlan

Good morning. I just wanted to touch on the dispositions in the fourth quarter. It looks like you fell about $115 million, $114 million short of your guidance for the year.

So I was just curious what happened there, and whether or not there’s – previously you identified sales maybe just got pushed into 2017 and maybe after the election cap rates rose, and you decided just to kind of hold back.

Just curious kind of what happened there relative to your original expectations?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, sure. Hey, Dan, this is Jason. It’s really simply the timing of these transactions. It didn’t have to do with the election, or expected pricing, it’s really just timing. And you’ll see those dispositions come through in 2017..

Daniel Donlan

Okay.

And then just curious on the – do you guys have a leverage ceiling in mind for the CPA REITs, and or should we expect kind of a that as long as Carey is managing CPA-17 and CPA-18, there’s always the desire to add investments to those vehicles, given that you might have excess cash flow in a given year and you can potentially count the recycles.

Just kind of curious, given that these funds are close to capital raising, how comfortable are you with continuing to add to these funds in terms of investments?.

John Park Senior Advisor

Good morning, Dan, it’s John. Historically, we’ve had – the leverage in the CPA funds has been around 50%. That obviously moves over time depending on the – where we’re in the portfolio. And we have limited capital to be invested in the funds currently, and we expect to fully invest those by – in 2017..

Mark DeCesaris

I would say, it’s more a reflection of – when we updated our guidance last year, when we’ve – the investment volume down just because the deal we saw available for – that capital is still available to invest. So we would expect to invest that this year. Again, in the funds, it’s primarily all mortgage debt.

So the leverage is really at the asset level on all those funds going forward. But I would expect that this year as we have roughly targeted, I think, in our guidance about $400 million for the CPA funds, $300 million to $500 million for the CPA funds put to work, and I expect that to get completed this year..

Daniel Donlan

Okay. Yes, I’m just asking as it pertains to like 2018, because you guys exceeded my expectations in 2017 for the CPA funds.

So I’m just kind of curious if there’s more probably coming in 2018, or if you really think these things are going to be where they need to be in 2017?.

Mark DeCesaris

So I think that number I gave you include 2017 and 2018 combined..

Daniel Donlan

I’m talking, sorry, I’m talking about the years 2017 versus 2018. In other words, the sector seems to be enclosed, you continue to add a little bit to them.

I’m just curious, is there going to be natural acquisition that’s going to happen in the CPA-17 and CPA-18 on an annualized – on an annual basis just given kind of excess cash flow and potential capital recycling, that’s the question?.

Mark DeCesaris

No, I don’t think so. As I said, I think the available capital in CPA-17 and CPA-18 that existed last year trailed into this year, we’ll put that capital to work and those funds will primarily be fully invested at that point in time..

Daniel Donlan

Okay. Okay, perfect. And then, Toni, just a quick question for you and welcome to the net lease party..

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Dan..

Daniel Donlan

What should we be – how should we be thinking about G&A, overall G&A for 2017? You guys brought it down to $20 million all in, in third quarter, $27 million in fourth quarter, so just kind of curious what we should be forecasting for a run rate in 2017?.

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

Sure. I think we highlighted the G&A savings early in the year that we anticipated on an annualized basis. And I think it’s fair to think about it that way you with any – within any one quarter costs can fluctuate up or down due to timing.

But the 2016 savings that we recognized in the level that we achieved on a full-year basis is a good approximation, I think for the 2017 G&A cost as well. So the savings will continue, but we expect it to be relatively flat year-over-year..

Daniel Donlan

Okay. Okay, I appreciate that.

And then maybe question for Brooks, are there any large known tenant move-outs in 2017 or 2018 that you guys are aware of at this point?.

Brooks Gordon MD & Head of Asset Management

We’re making good progress on 2017. That lease roll is is largely handled at this point, no large move-outs to report, making good progress on 2018 as well. We’re currently pretty far along negotiations with over 50% of those deals. We don’t expect large move-outs there as well.

So all in all, keep in mind that those two years represent a very small portion of total ABR, and a lot of that progress has been made, as Jason described, in 2016..

Daniel Donlan

Okay. I appreciate the color. And just maybe one or two last ones here on the Investment Management business. So a question for either Mark.

As you look at the Investment Management business, I’m curious on your thoughts on Blackstone’s recent success in the non-traded REIT space, namely that they’re selling the non-traded product through the wire houses that has an infinite life.

And so I’m curious, is this something that WPC is also exploring, or is there – are there some type of limitations on what your traditional independent broker deals can sell? Are they allowed to sell infinite life vehicles? Just curious your thoughts there, and if there is a potential shift in the wrapper that you may offer these non-traded products going forward?.

Mark DeCesaris

I’ll give you my view and turn it over to Mark. As I’ve said during the year, I felt that with Blackstone and Apollo entering that market that was a good thing for us. Number one, I think they’re pretty reputable. Number two, they may open up capital sources beyond our own today. So, yes, we look at that. We continue to look at it.

Their fund is structured, I think Mark similar to or a lodging fund from a few standpoint, similar to those fees and raising it in the wire house themselves.

Mark, do you have any?.

Mark Goldberg

Yes, Dan, as you think about products and our Investment Management business, so we would kind of encourage you to just think we have like three things that are going on for funds corporate credit. We have two funds; one a low load fund, one a fee-based fund entirely without a commission structure.

And that is a perpetual life vehicle through a master feeder. So we’re already in an infinite life vehicle and we’re selling it into the independent broker dealer space.

As far as the other efforts, they are as well not – one of them is not an NTR, it’s a private equity real estate offering that has a lot of places to go through, and it’s a high net worth market for us. So it’s not even an NTR. And then finally, what Mark was referring to, which was our lodging effort.

So all of our investment management activity in 2016 and expected in 2017 and beyond is outside of net lease, and we’ll take the format of infinite life, finite life as it make sense based on the opportunistic perhaps private equity real estate opportunity, it leads itself and lends itself to a finite life, or a credit fund that might be an infinite life.

So we have all the options on the table. It really depends on what suitable from an investment point of view. And in direct response to your question, the IBD market certainly is already accepting these products..

Daniel Donlan

Okay, I appreciate that.

And just last one on the DoL fiduciary rule, once that finalized or the outcome is know there, how long do you think it’s going to take for CPA-19 to start leading capital?.

Mark DeCesaris

I think if anything right now would be speculative in the market. I think the entire industry is trying to – is in a state of flux, or they wait and see what goes on in the regulatory environment. I certainly can’t speculate on what’s going on in D.C. with that today..

Daniel Donlan

Right.

But once we know the outcome now – how long will it take you to mobilize to get up in capital raising?.

Mark DeCesaris

Yes, I think it just depends how those structures come out what the ultimate structures are and what we have to do to take advantage of that..

Mark Goldberg

One way to – Dan, one way to think about it if I can add to it is, whether or when we do a CPA-19 is somewhat not relevant to the Investment Management segment, as it stands today, because everything that we plan for in 2017, as it stands today, doesn’t include it. And we have cautious and constructive view of how that might turn out.

And whether it turns out one way or another, what drives the interest in our fund is our investment performance. And we’re well situated to put it in whatever product and through whatever distribution post DoL world will look like. So we’re very confident of that..

Daniel Donlan

Okay. Thanks, Mark..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Joshua Dennerlein from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead..

Joshua Dennerlein

Hey, good morning, guys..

Mark DeCesaris

Good morning..

Joshua Dennerlein

Question, so you guys have a pretty high percentage of uncapped CPI in your portfolio. What kind of, I mean, if you kind of look at other REITs out there and it seems like a bit unusual, I think you guys are an outlier on the high side.

What kind of – what allows you to get these uncapped CPI, is that assets you’re investing, it’s the geography, Europe, just kind of curious?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, you’re right. I would think that our exposure to uncapped CPI is probably as high as anyone in net lease market perhaps in the broader real estate markets as well. But how do we get that? Well, some of it is geography. You certainly can. It’s more typical in Europe to have CPI-based increases. But in the U.S., we get it more often than not as well.

I think that’s a function of the fact that we do a lot of direct sale leasebacks in structure our transactions from the start. So we can structure a negotiating a deal based on what we think is the optimum structure and we do try to get CPI, and I think that’s going to pay off over the next couple years as expectations for inflation increase..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay.

So you guys – you typically asked for that directly in a sale leaseback?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We do absolutely..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay.

And what’s the rationale on that versus like the fixed? I would think the for fixed would work out better recently?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Well, we look at our portfolios in net lease as a hedge against inflation in many ways. So it’s something that that we wanted to correlate with inflation..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay, all right. It makes sense. And I kind of come back to an earlier question, how long after a CPA fund is fully invested. So it doesn’t have any more capital on the table to put to work.

How long after that does the Board typically look to monetize the fund? Do you guys have a sense of that, or…?.

Mark DeCesaris

We usually in the perspectives – historically, it’s been the eight to 12-year range. But the board, the independent directors of those Boards have a great deal of flexibility when they see liquidity..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay.

And are they looking at kind of a – what they look at, or is it like the market conditions where REITs are trading, or any sense, just trying to get a sense on maybe what…?.

Mark DeCesaris

They have their own advisors. Their advisors work with them on the factors they look at and evaluate as they go through their process..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay. And then maybe one more question on CPA-17.

What – how does that portfolio is asset quality and asset mix really compared to your portfolio?.

Mark DeCesaris

It’s structured very similarly – very similar to our portfolio, both from a diversification standpoint, geographic standpoint, type of investments that are in that portfolio..

John Park Senior Advisor

This is John, CPA-17 has a very high-quality net lease portfolio, but it also had some operating assets such as self storage and others. So if we were to acquire that, we would look to bring on the net lease assets on to our balance sheet and have other plans for the other operating assets that are in the CPA-17’s portfolio..

Joshua Dennerlein

Okay, great. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nick Joseph from Citigroup. Please go ahead..

Nick Joseph

Thanks.

Wondering if you could breakdown the midpoint of guidance at 520 between the Owned Real Estate segment and the Investment Management segment?.

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

Sure. I think the way we think about it is not that dissimilar from the result we saw this year. We expect our own real estate to generate about 90% to 95% of our AFFO in 2017, with the balance being from Investment Management. And that is driven largely by the reduction in structuring revenues.

I think, we highlighted in our remarks and in the press release the decline year-over-year, you’re going to expect to see a further decline anywhere in the range of another 30% to 40% in 2017.

I think you can expect to also see or we anticipate that, we would make up some of that loss and majority of that loss with increases in our asset management fees, as well as our ownership interest and distributions from the management – managed funds..

Nick Joseph

Okay..

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

I think the other piece of the puzzle maybe that’s important to highlight is that, we do expect to recognize substantial savings in interest expense that’s being driven by the lower cost of debt, as John highlighted..

Nick Joseph

Thanks. And then I guess just a couple of other guidance line items.

What are your expectations for deferred taxes and straight line rent?.

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I think deferred taxes are really not something that are predictable, it relates to typically the timing differences between our – the basis – on a financial basis, on a tax basis of our assets, so impairments generally can cause basis differences and those are really one-time in nature and tough to predict.

Typically, we evaluate taxes from a perspective of the ones that do impact AFFO, our current taxes on our investment management business and some of the income tax expense at our foreign portfolio case. And again, as you see structuring revenue go down, I think you can expect to see taxes decline..

Nick Joseph

Thanks.

And then on the straight-line rent?.

Toni Sanzone MD & Chief Financial Officer

The non-straight-line rent again is relatively consistent year-over-year. There is probably somewhat of a one-time anomaly in 2016 as it relates to the Craft lease termination earlier in the year. We have some notes on that in the supplemental, I think if you kind of back that out the straight-line rent is relatively stable period over period..

Nick Joseph

Thanks.

And then just for the $450 million of assumed dispositions in 2017, what are you expecting in terms of the cap rate?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Well, I think as we go in the year, we will have better clarity on that. I think our expectations it will be inside of where our disposition cap rates were in 2016..

Nick Joseph

And for that comment are you including [indiscernible] or you excluding [indiscernible]?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We are including it in there, correct..

Nick Joseph

All right. Thanks..

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Welcome..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sheila McGrath from Evercore. Please go ahead..

Sheila McGrath

Yes, good morning..

Mark DeCesaris

Good morning, Sheila..

Sheila McGrath

Mark, I think it makes a lot of sense transitioning away from the lumpier structuring fee and kind of going to recurring.

I’m just wondering, are you giving up economic in that or are you shifting a lot of the cost of the structuring piece to straight up hire other recurring fees just out of network?.

Mark DeCesaris

I think in answer to your question, it’s more market driven on some of the structure of the newer funds I would say.

I’ve said right along this year that there – as a result of some of the new regulation out there concerning – putting the NAV on the statement in the DOL rules that there was going to be a lot of pressure on our one-time structuring revenues up front as there are commissions in the broker-dealer. So, I would say, it’s more market-driven.

I think that translates into more money going into the ground. You’ll see the benefit of that through our participation in the cash flow of the fund. You’ll see it in higher assets under management through the management revenue component of the funds and you’ll see it in the back-end of the funds as part of that..

Sheila McGrath

And would that net – with more assets going into the ground that – the life of the funds could be shorter than your historical ones?.

Mark DeCesaris

No, I think it gets – it helps you get to NAV a lot faster..

Sheila McGrath

Yeah..

Mark DeCesaris

Obviously, with more asset, with more dollars going into the ground, but I don’t think it really has any impact on the life of the funds itself..

John Park Senior Advisor

And just to augment, Mark, as these costs get reduced including the lower commission structures that both we initiated and lead the market with as well as the market now responding to lower and no commission structures, our ability to not only increase the net assets and AUM, but also to earn performance fees both on a current basis in some of our funds and on a long-term basis as these funds liquidate.

So it’s all very constructive from a W. P. Carey’s shareholder point of view and in an investor point of view in our funds..

Sheila McGrath

Okay. And then just your thoughts on your Europe and investing there with – the nervousness around the EU.

Just your thoughts on Europe and if there is any big lease expirations that we should be aware of?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yeah, I mean, generally the markets are competitive both in Europe and the U.S. Global search for yield continues to persist and there are a lot of capital flows into net lease for that very reason.

We’ve been significantly lighter investing in Europe in 2016 as you know, I think that we will continue to be more heavily weighted significantly to the U.S. but a lot of it depends on opportunities.

You know in net lease with long-term leases and a lot of emphasis on the quality of real estate and strength of the credit, we feel like we still structure deals that make sense over there despite some of the broader political uncertainty within Europe.

But I think you’ll see Europe probably decrease over time given that this year market conditions, again, I think, that are more favorable in the U.S. but also the fact that a lot of our disposition pipeline for 2017 is weighted in Europe as well. So I think you’ll see a trend towards our portfolio moving more U.S.-based..

Sheila McGrath

Okay. And one last question. Just – I think, Jason, you mentioned most of your business last year was corporate sale lease back that you structured….

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

All of it actually, yeah..

Sheila McGrath

All of it.

So can you just remind us of the benefit – generally is it higher yielding outcomes, that’s the first part of the question and then the second is, in higher interest rate environment, does that pipeline generally increase because it’s – the bank – the other lending is less competitive?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I will start with the second question, first. Yeah, I think that’s right. I mean sale-leasebacks really provide companies with an alternative source of capital.

They can go to the debt markets or the equity markets or they can look at their assets and sell those to generate cash flow and to the extent higher interest rates impact their ability or interest in accessing the debt markets. I think you will see more sale-leasebacks.

I think as expectations for interest rates to increase continue you will also see more sale-leasebacks as people look to lock in because clearly interest rates have an impact on cap rates as well. You’ll see companies look to lock in these long-term rental rates on these 15- to 20-year leases. So I think there’s some validity to that.

In terms of the benefits of sale-leasebacks, I did touch on some of those in the prepared remarks, but certainly yield is a great benefit.

When there’s a small universe of buyers that have the experience and expertise to structure sale-leasebacks – and companies know that, they don’t want to go down the path of someone that doesn’t understand or have experience in getting a transaction complete. So for us, we do get incremental yield, we really believe that.

We also get better structures. I think earlier on the call we had a question about CPI and when we do sale-leasebacks, we can write our own leases. We get stronger lease terms. We get better rental structures. We can add in covenants when we think they’re important. We can trade lease term for cap rate if we think it’s warranted.

There is a lot of different ways that we can customize a net lease when we structure the sale-leaseback ourself and we think that’s a big benefit to how we operate..

Sheila McGrath

Okay. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Adornato from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead..

Paul Adornato

Thanks. Good morning..

Mark DeCesaris

Good morning, Paul..

Paul Adornato

Well, just a follow-up on the dispositions. If you were to look at 2016 dispositions, you mentioned a couple of buckets of residual risk, vacant properties, how many – what proposition would you had a positive outcome or positive IRR versus those that would be considered portfolio repositioning..

Brooks Gordon MD & Head of Asset Management

This is Brooks. Just to answer your first question, on the positive IRR front, I can say on kind of a weighted average basis if you look at the entire 2016 disposition portfolio. The investment level IRRs there were a bit north of 16% from acquisition to disposition.

So that answers that question and that’s roughly over a 14-year weighted average hold period. And I would say a residual risk outcome does not necessarily mean in all cases a painful one on a cap rate basis.

It just means that at residual at the end of our lease we perceive that renewal probability might be low or the asset might require a substantial capital investment that we don’t find attractive. There can be a lot of different reason why we call it residual risk and this year they were more heavily weighted towards those type of assets in 2016..

Paul Adornato

Great, thanks for that color.

And then in terms of sourcing new acquisitions, you mentioned that these are proprietary deals, I was wondering if you could maybe just give us a little bit more detail? Also to follow-up, are the companies actively looking for sale-leaseback or they are just capital constrained? Do they know what a sale-leaseback is? Maybe you could just give us a little color about how you approach potential sale-leaseback partners?.

Brooks Gordon MD & Head of Asset Management

Right. Certainly. When I started 15 years ago, I think a lot of companies didn’t know what sale-leasebacks were and didn’t know that that was an option to raise capital. I think now though it’s much more prevalent in the marketplace, I think that the advisers to these companies certainly recognize the benefits of doing sale-leasebacks.

And really our pitch has been simple to a lot of companies is that our cost of capital was more suited to own real estate than theirs. They are better off taking the capital that’s tied up in their real estate and reinvesting it in their core business. And I think that resonated with a lot of the companies we work with.

I think in particular we’ve seen that with private equity backed companies. The sponsors want to optimize their capital structure and they see owning real estate is not the optimal structure, so a lot of our sales leasebacks in 2016 were alongside or with private equity sponsored companies. And I think we will continue to see that.

For one, they value the capital structure, but I think, two, they tend not to run a wide process. They value certainty of close and ease of execution as much or more than pricing. So we tend to get good execution on transactions with private equity firms and in particular on sale-leasebacks with private equity firms..

Paul Adornato

Great.

And then just one final question, you mentioned – it’s difficult to match the timing of acquisitions and dispositions and so, there’s some loss to dilution, I was wondering if you’ve calculated or had an estimate of dilution from acquisitions and dispositions?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Not sure if I fully understand the question..

Mark DeCesaris

I think those kind of acquisitions costs will be minimal given the flexibility of our balance sheet. So, for example, if we see acquisition opportunities that are attractive ahead of our dispositions, we can certainly fund those out of our credit facility and payback it back through – from disposition proceeds or other capital markets alternatives.

So, I think that’s the reason why we focus so much on creating that balance sheet flexibility so that we can execute asset level decisions such as acquisitions or dispositions at the optimal timing for those particular transactions..

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yeah, I think the other thing I will add in there quickly is that we do lots of times have a little bit more control over the timing of the dispositions and in 2016, for example, we were able to match up our gains on those sales and do reverse 1031s to limit the taxable income that we generated..

Paul Adornato

Okay, great, thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Lucas from CapitalOne Securities. Please go ahead..

Chris Lucas

Good morning, everyone..

Mark DeCesaris

Hi, Chris..

Chris Lucas

Just a question, you guys have been very successful doing Eurobond issuances, I think it was €1 billion of euros outstanding at this point.

What is the capacity that you have left to issue in the euro market given sort of the dynamics of the portfolio and the size of it currently, how do you feel about that?.

Mark DeCesaris

Well, that’s a good question, Chris. I think as you have noticed we have intentionally over-weighed the euro market – euro debt in our capital structure that’s to increase the natural hedge both from the cash flow and NAV perspective. I think that right now we are probably around 80% levered on the euro side. So there is probably an upper limit.

We have more capacity, but we’re probably approaching the limit and that’s – but obviously all of this can change based on what’s happening at the asset level. We continually monitor it based on our acquisition and disposition and overall portfolio makeup..

Chris Lucas

Okay. And then on the – thanks for that.

On the disposition pool, specific question for this year’s pool, but also maybe a bigger picture question, which is, on the disposition pool that you are looking at for this year, are there any that are being driven by options that the tenants have to purchase assets from you?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yeah, this year in particular, in 2017, there are fair amount of those. We are working with the tenants to perhaps unwind some of them because they are good real estate asset that we like to own in many cases, but yeah, I think that’s a good question. We do have some of those this year more so than in the years past..

Chris Lucas

And can you give us a sense as to maybe the size of that – of that or of the scale of the dispositions that you guy have guided to, roughly what’s the percentage there?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

It’s in the 25% to 30% range..

Chris Lucas

And that’s above sort of a normal level that you normally would be getting to on an annual basis?.

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yeah, that is. I mean on any given year, there could be a large transaction, as I think everyone knows, we do own the New York Times building and there is a purchase option on that several years out, but I think that’s high relative to a typical run rate..

Chris Lucas

Okay, great. Thank you. I appreciate the time..

Jason Fox President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that is all the time we have for questions for today. I would now like to hand the call back over to Mr. Sands for closing..

Peter Sands Executive Director & Head of Investor Relations

Thank you for joining the call and for your interest W. P. Carey. If you have further questions please call investor relations on 212-492-1110. That concludes today’s call. You may now disconnect. Thank you..

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