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Basic Materials - Chemicals - Specialty - NYSE - CL
$ 38.14
0.633 %
$ 10.7 B
Market Cap
423.78
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q4
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Executives

Gerardo Illanes - Patricio G. Contesse - Chief Executive Officer and President.

Analysts

Carl Chen Giovana Araujo - Itaú Corretora de Valores S.A., Research Division Cesar Perez-Novoa - Banco BTG Pactual S.A., Research Division Alberto Ariztia - Santander, Equity Research Andrew J. McCarthy - Banchile Inversiones S.A., Research Division.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the SQM 2014 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Gerardo Illanes. Please go ahead, sir..

Gerardo Illanes Chief Financial Officer & Vice President of Finance

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to SQM's Fourth Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. For your information, this conference call will be recorded and is being webcast live. You may access the webcast later on at our website www.sqm.com. Joining me today as speakers are Patricio Contesse, Chief Executive Officer; and Ricardo Ramos, CFO.

Before we begin, let me remind you that statements in this conference concerning the company's business outlook, future economic performance, anticipated profitability, revenues, expenses or all other financial items, anticipated cost synergies and products or service line growth, together with other statements that are not historical facts, are forward-looking statements as that term is defined under federal securities law.

Any forward-looking statements are estimates reflecting the best judgment of SQM based on currently available information and involve a number of risk, uncertainties and all other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated in such statements.

Risk, uncertainties and factors that could affect the accuracy of such forward-looking statements are identified in the public filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and forward-looking statements should be considered in light of those factors.

I now leave you with our Chief Executive Officer, Patricio Contesse, for brief comments before we move to Q&A..

Patricio G. Contesse

Good morning, and thank you for joining the SQM fourth quarter earnings conference call. I will start with a brief introduction before we open up the line for questions. On Q3 evening, we post out result for 2014. Earnings for this period reached $296 million, lower than the amount seen in 2013.

Revenues totaled just over $2 billion, down approximately 9% when compared to 2013. For the fourth quarter, we reported net income of $78 million, an increase from the $69 million reported during the same period of 2013. The stronger results during the fourth quarter were impacted by our cost saving efforts.

The success of this effort were defined in our EBITDA margin, our fourth quarter 2014 EBITDA margin increased to 36.9% from 35.5% when compared to the same quarter of 2013. This increase includes despite lower prices in iodine, nitrate and lead.

We work diligently all year on cost reduction, specifically decreasing cost of potassium chloride, nitrate and iodine. Since releasing our earnings on Tuesday, we have received many questions surrounding the iodine market. In 2014, iodine prices fell significantly and we expect lower prices in 2015.

However, as the lower cost producer of iodine, we are extremely well positioned to face this challenging environment. The market continues to grow about 1,000 metric tons per year and we will work in the midterm to regain our market share of around 30%. During 2014, fertilizer market were positive.

We estimated lower demand in the potassium chloride market reached approximately $60 million -- 60 million tons. We also saw some price recovery in this market during the second half of 2014.

While there is some uncertainty surrounding the 2015 commodity fertilizer market, we expect our sales volume in potassium chloride and potassium sulfate business lines to remain relatively flat in 2015 when compared to 2014.

In potassium nitrate, we saw sales volume increase approximately 4% during 2014 when compared to 2013, and we expect to see even higher growth in 2015. We see positive growth in the lithium market in 2014 and our sales volume were up about 10%.

We're currently seeing positive pricing momentum in the lithium carbonate market, and hopefully, that, with this, will continue throughout the year.

As we move in to 2015, we look forward to maintain a lower costs and remaining well positioned to move quickly to meet any changes in market demand and market dynamics in all of the main business that we sell..

Gerardo Illanes Chief Financial Officer & Vice President of Finance

Thank you, Patricio. Operator, we may now go to Q&A session..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes today from Ben Isaacson with ScotiaBank..

Carl Chen

This is Carl Chen stepping in for Ben.

So can you talk a little bit about the progress on your cost-saving plan? And what are the other potential cost-saving opportunities have you identified? And just secondly, you mentioned about getting back to that 30% market share for your iodine business, can you please give us color around that?.

Patricio G. Contesse

Okay. First of all on our cost, we reduced, last year, cost in the range of $130 million. Of those $130 million, $30 million -- about $50 million were related with the exchange of Chilean peso that became weaker compared to the U.S. dollar. During this year, we expect to lower $40 million more over the $130 million.

That we estimate about $50 million will be related with the value of the Chilean peso compared to the U.S. dollar. So we think we will continue to diminish our costs even further than what we have already obtained.

Regarding iodine, since -- about 2 years ago, we have made note to investors and analysts and market that we're looking forward around to be in the 30% of the whole market. We are, today, in the range of 26%, so still, we have some room of market share to gain..

Operator

Our next question comes from Giovana Araujo with Itaú..

Giovana Araujo - Itaú Corretora de Valores S.A., Research Division

My first question about CapEx.

How much do you expect to spend in maintenance and expansion in 2015?.

Patricio G. Contesse

We decided last year to have a CapEx program for 2 years’ worth $300 million. Last year, we make investment in the range of $115 million, so because there are payments that are still not been done that account for [ph] 2014 to '15, that is, overall, what we think that we will invest during this 2 years.

So this year will be in the range of $180 million. Most of the investment as is related with maintenance CapEx, but also some of the investment that are significantly and important are related with increasing quality for our product, improving process that will permit us to reduce our cost.

At this stage, we don't need -- we don't see the need to increase production capacity..

Giovana Araujo - Itaú Corretora de Valores S.A., Research Division

Okay. And the second question is about iodine prices, you mentioned you're expecting lower prices in 2015.

What level of decline or drop do you expect for 2015 to be in the range that we saw in 2014? Or probably something lower than that, right?.

Patricio G. Contesse

Well, in the iodine, there are going on a lot of things, because we think, first, that the current prices are affecting some of our competitors. So it will depend much on what happened to them in the market to know -- to have a better reference related to what prices -- how much could decrease.

If the maintained production of current competitors, even though they are suffering and we think some of them even losing on a cash-point basis, we think that the volume -- the prices will go down in the range of 10%. If there are some production in the market, that could be lower than that..

Operator

Our next question is from Cesar Perez-Novoa of BTG..

Cesar Perez-Novoa - Banco BTG Pactual S.A., Research Division

I have a set of questions here.

Could you provide some guidance for the potash demand in 2015 and how that would affect your product, specifically on the volume side? And regarding the premium side of the fertilizer business, I'm talking here about a specialty grade nitrates, what is the indication for the pricing outlook in the middle to long term? If that could be provided, that would be really helpful..

Patricio G. Contesse

The only thing about potassium last year, was demand was exceptionally high. We have an estimate that this year will be lower than that. Last year was 61 -- 60, 61 and the year will be 69 or 58, in that range, but that should not affect our volumes because here, we are a very small producer and we sell what we produce.

That has been since we are in this market. So the less volume that could be demanded in this year, it should not affect our volume sales for this year. Regarding the potassium nitrate, have been a different line compared to what the prices of potassium nitrate has been.

That is due for different markets, different niches, but are not related with potassium chloride. So we see a scenario that we'd continue to increase volume. Our prices will stay, there is going to be, relatively flat..

Operator

Our next question comes from Alberto Ariztia with Santander..

Alberto Ariztia - Santander, Equity Research

Patricio, could you please explain us what happened last year in the iodine business, that volumes didn't grow? And you said you plan to gain market share, did you have capacity problems? Or with current prices, do you plan to expand your production lower? And secondly, regarding your potash production capacity, I have understood that you have 2.3 million tons capacity, in which levels did you produce last year and in which level do you intend to be this 2015?.

Patricio G. Contesse

Okay, first of all, iodine. We had a very strong first quarter in 2013. Now if we look at the other quarters compared to the quarters of 2014, we think we gained some volumes. But in this -- not seen if you take the year completely, the first quarter of 2013 was very, very high. If you take that quarter out, then we increase volumes.

Regarding the production in Atacama Salar (sic) [Salar de Atacama], we are in the range of 2 million metric tons, so we would continue to be in that range because we have look forward to produce a little bit more SOP. And when you produce a little bit more SOP that goes against MOP, that you earn more money making more SOP..

Operator

Our next question is from and Andrew McCarthy with Banchile..

Andrew J. McCarthy - Banchile Inversiones S.A., Research Division

I just wanted to ask on the lithium business.

Just firstly, if there was an update on the dispute with Corfo? And then also if you could just expand a little bit on why you weren't -- you're not looking to increase lithium volumes this year?.

Patricio G. Contesse

Well, the market of lithium is quite strong this year. We are slightly increasing prices and probably we will increase some volumes too, compared to last year. We're in the arbitrage process and so it's not too much that we can said there..

Unknown Executive

[indiscernible].

Patricio G. Contesse

We feel really -- not really -- we feel quite confident that we should be pointing in a positive position..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to SQM management for any closing remarks..

Gerardo Illanes Chief Financial Officer & Vice President of Finance

Well, thank you, all, very much for joining us today and we hope to have you with us in the next conference call. Goodbye, everyone..

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect. Take care..

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