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Financial Services - Insurance - Reinsurance - NYSE - BM
$ 14.99
2.18 %
$ 2.43 B
Market Cap
9.37
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q4
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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to SiriusPoint Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Clare Kerrigan, Head of Investor Relations for SiriusPoint. Please go ahead..

Clare Kerrigan

Thank you, operator. Welcome to the SiriusPoint Limited Earnings Call for the fourth quarter of 2021. Last night, we issued our earnings press release and financial supplement, which are available on our website, www.siriuspt.com.

With me here today are Sid Sankaran, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and David Junius, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that many of the remarks today will contain forward-looking statements based on current expectations.

Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties.

Please refer to the earnings press release and the company's other public filings, including the recent Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2021, where you will find risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements.

In addition, management will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures which management believe allow for a more complete understanding of the company's financial results. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measure is presented in the company's earnings press release that is available on our website.

At this time, I will turn the call over to Sid..

Siddhartha Sankaran

Specialty; Accident and Health; Property; and Runoff and other. This change better reflects the management structure of SiriusPoint, provides greater transparency into the growing contribution from our fee businesses and reflects our decision to exit the Runoff business.

Ultimately, this will allow investors to better track our progress as we build our insurance and services business and work to accelerate growth and improve our profitability.

Starting with the Reinsurance segment, we're pleased with the material shift in our book over the last 3 quarters and with a significant reduction in our volatility profile resulting from our January 1 renewals, which decreased our gross and gross net exposures by 35%.

As well as reducing our volatility profile, this decrease reflects our view of price adequacy across global property reinsurance. Rate increases in property cat reinsurance have been underwhelming, following yet another near record year of global property cat losses. There is still excess supply in the market, dampening price adequacy.

In particular, pricing at 1/1 was under our expectations and averaged an approximate 10% increase for property cat excess of loss, less for loss-free accounts and 15% to 25% for loss-affected European geographies. In general, the market did not experience demand supply imbalances.

New entrants and some existing companies gain market share or access to programs with other insurers and reinsurers reevaluating their positions in property, reducing aggregates and moving away from ground up exposures following heavy losses.

Even with significant changes in our property portfolio, we retained our key clients, sustaining our long-held and greatly valued client and broker relationships. We have been clear that our overall limit profile is going to decrease quite dramatically and that pricing will have to change in the upcoming renewals. And our clients understand that.

We've engaged clients that respect our point of view on risk and pricing, and we've worked with us over many years. I'm confident that will continue to be the case, and I'm appreciative of their ongoing support. As part of the continuing management of our cat exposure, we've also increased our levels of retrocession protection.

This includes favorable placement of our outwards quota share program, which is based on long-standing relationships and where we have added some new markets and treaties. We've also fully placed our excess of loss retrocession, providing a significantly more protection than we had in place in 2021.

As a result of our actions, we have a materially reduced global property book and a re-underwritten and more differentiated specialty and casualty portfolio. In some books such as U.S. Casualty, we turned over more than half of the portfolio, resulting in a position where we have a better, more specialized client mix.

We'll continue to refine our appetite and optimize capital allocation to ensure we are responsive to market conditions. Turning to our Insurance and Services segment. We are underwriting primary insurance in a growing number of business lines where we offer insurance solutions to meet the changing requirements of our partners.

We have a steady A&H portfolio and a fast-growing P&C portfolio. The A&H MGA platform includes our wholly owned subsidiaries, our [Modicare] International Medical Group, also known as IMG, and a carefully curated portfolio of MGA's writing employer stop-loss.

The P&C platform includes partnerships with disruptive MGAs, offering differentiated insurance products. We've also incubated several MGAs, including Arcadian and Banyan, which underwrite excess casualty, E&O, D&O and EPLI products generally for large clients and join a tech-enabled mid-market underwriter.

Our partner MGAs cover a range of products, including workers' compensation, cyber, small commercial, consumer, credit, aviation and weather derivatives. We're very selective in partner with MGAs that are building a strong competitive moat by addressing customer needs with the technological and underwriting advantage.

I'll return to our partnership strategy shortly. Insurance and services delivered strong results in 2021 with segment income of $34 million and a combined ratio of 95.5%. Across P&C insurance lines, we're seeing products at different stages of the pricing cycle.

Rate increases are slowing in lines such as D&O, while other lines such as cyber are seeing an acceleration in rate. Additionally, casualty seen in commissions have reached unacceptable levels from a reinsurance perspective, but are quite attractive from an insurance angle.

Our MGA strategy allows us to plan the profitable portion of the risk value chain. COVID tempered loss trends on the A&H side, while restraining sales through much of the year. Our travel business was slow in the first 3 quarters but saw a significant rebound in Q4, and we entered 2022 with strong momentum.

We're investing in our travel medical businesses to take advantage of the positive tailwinds. We continue to monitor our MGAs to deliver underwriting results in the year ahead and expect to build and grow our portfolio of partner businesses. The associated revenues allow us to diversify away from our traditional reinsurance portfolio.

The combination of service income and underwriting income in this segment requires less capital. We also believe the underwriting cycles are less volatile on the insurance side in comparison to reinsurance. We're seeing entrepreneurs launch MGAs with a particular interest in casualty and specialty lines.

These disrupted MGAs are being launched by market talent moving from the traditional reinsurance and insurance sector.

We are offering an alternative to these entrepreneurs to whom we can provide not just back-end distribution, but also expertise to help to manage the paper and balance sheets, offering underwriting advice and growth capital, much more than a typical reinsurance relationship.

In many cases, we established multiyear partnerships, which create value for the MGA as well as ourselves through the alignment of interest through our investment in the MGAs. We clearly understand that third-party delegated authority, coupled with rapid growth is the main risk in this segment.

We address that risk by clearly defining our underwriting guidelines, exercising ongoing underwriting oversight and constructing deal structures to align incentives and mitigate exposure to SiriusPoint's balance sheet.

I'm greatly encouraged by the market reception to our differentiating insurance and services strategy and excited by the momentum for generating profitable growth in our Insurance and Services segment. I will now hand the call over to David to take us through the financials..

David Junius

Thanks, Sid. For the fourth quarter, we generated a net loss of $140 million or $0.88 per diluted share versus net income of $134 million or $1.43 per diluted share in the same quarter a year ago. Our annualized return on average common equity in the quarter was negative 23.7%.

As Sid mentioned, we returned to underwriting profitability following Q3, but this was offset by investment losses driven by a broad equity market decline. For the full year, we generated net income of $45 million or $0.27 per diluted share versus net income of $144 million or $1.53 per diluted share in the prior year.

Our return on average common equity was 2.3% for the year. As Sid mentioned, this quarter, we changed our reporting segments to reinsurance and insurance and services, the combination of which we define as core, with our remaining results, including the former Runoff segment reported in the corporate results.

Core underwriting income and net core services income are each presented on a gross basis to show the contribution of underwriting and our consolidated distribution platforms before intercompany eliminations. So as if the key parts of the company operated independently.

As part of this change, we have broken out service fee income and expenses as well as gains and losses from our investments in MGAs separately from underwriting income.

This provides stakeholders with greater transparency into the profit contribution from the fee-driven parts of our business as well as the returns on our investments in our strategic partnerships. The combination of core underwriting and net core services income is core income.

We believe this presentation better reflects our company's strategy and management structure and provides transparency in which to evaluate the transformation of our reinsurance business and the growth in our Insurance and Services segment.

Additional detail in our segment presentation can be found in our press release and financial supplement on our website and Form 10-K when it is filed early next week.

We had core underwriting income of $35 million for the fourth quarter and a combined ratio of 93.6%, which compares to an underwriting loss of $45 million and a combined ratio of 128% in the fourth quarter of 2020. Prior period results were negatively impacted by reserve strengthening in Q4 2020.

Our current quarter combined ratio included $24 million of catastrophe losses or 4.5 points. Our core segment loss for the quarter was $7 million, reflecting the write-down on our carrying value in parts of our strategic investment portfolio.

For the full year, we had a core underwriting loss of $174 million and a combined ratio of 110%, which compares to an underwriting loss of $68 million and a combined ratio of 112% in 2020. Our full year combined ratio included $326 million in catastrophe losses or 19 points. Our core loss for the year was $163 million.

Our gross premiums written for the fourth quarter were $691 million, and $2.2 billion for the year. We do not view prior year comparisons as relevant given the merger and the transformation of the book. However, our gross premiums written and net premiums written grew 20% and 4%, respectively, on an estimated pro forma basis year-over-year.

We continue to see strong year-over-year contributions from our established MGA relationships with promising initial contributions coming from our more recently announced ventures with the expectation that their contributions will be material in 2020. Looking at segment results in more detail.

Reinsurance and insurance and services produced underwriting income in the quarter of $31 million and $4 million, respectively, and combined ratios of 91.2% and 98%. Reinsurance improved sequentially on lower caps.

Insurance and Services had a segment loss of $38 million, driven by a $47 million decrease in the estimated fair value of one of our strategic investments, reversing gains from earlier in 2021. The quarter included $44 million of services revenue versus a minimal amount in the prior year.

Net service fee income was lower than our long-term expectations in 2021, because our IMG service platform was impacted by reduced travel revenue due to COVID as well as the startup nature of our consolidated MGAs of Arcadian, Banyan and Joyn.

On a full year basis, the Reinsurance segment had an underwriting loss of $197 million and a combined ratio of 116% on heavy cat losses. The full year results for reinsurance included $326 million of catastrophe losses, primarily due to the European floods and Hurricane Ida.

Our ultimate loss estimates of $133 million from the European floods and $100 million of Hurricane Ida remained unchanged from last quarter. As Sid stated, we are continuing the process of lowering our cat risk through a reduction of gross and net limits and reunderwriting individual risks within the portfolio.

This is apparent in the reduction in our risk limits at 1 January 2022, where PMLs, gross limits, gross net limits, which are limits after the impact of our regional property quota shares and net limits which include the benefit of UNL retro programs are down 30% to 35% year-on-year.

At January 1, we placed a first layer of $50 million excess $50 million program for global property cat risks, excluding the U.S. and a second layer of $100 million excess $100 million for global property risks, including the U.S. and creating a protection layer between $50 million and $200 million.

For 2022, our UNL retro program leaves us holding residual net risk exposure to frequency of severity and events under $50 million as well as risk above $200 million.

We continue to hold risk at higher than target level particularly in the first half of the year as we reduce our exposures on business whose annual expiry dates are April 1 and June 1, 2022, and remain committed to working this risk down further over time.

On a full year basis, insurance and services produced segment income of $34 million with $11 million of net service income and underwriting profit of $23 million and a combined ratio of 95.5%. The net service income included $134 million of services revenue predominantly from our A&H MGAs, IMG and Armada, combined with Arcadian, Banyan and Joyn.

Insurance and Services underwriting profit benefited from strong growth in our P&C MGAs as well as $14 million of favorable prior year development from A&H. The A&H line continues to benefit from favorable loss ratio trends in its health care products due to lower health care utilization rates that we attribute to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Turning to total COVID losses and reserves. Consistent with the prior 3 quarters, our ultimate loss pick remains effectively unchanged, while we recognized less than $1 million of COVID-19 losses in the quarter as we earned in our multiyear mortgage insurance book.

We are beginning to see favorable trends in the settlement of individual policy claims versus held reserves, but we believe responding to these trends is premature. We continue to monitor overall developments in recent court rulings and COVID, particularly on impact in the property business interruption.

For non-COVID reserves, we had $16 million of favorable prior year development across multiple segments due to positive trends in discrete short tail lines and contracts that settled favorably versus our held loss positions.

We continue to cautiously approach our growing casualty book, setting reserve techs above pricing and waiting for these green books to season while observing early positive trends in actuals versus expected.

Core underwriting expenses were $33 million for the fourth quarter of 2021 or a 6.2% OUE ratio, the respective full year figures are $135 million of underwriting expenses or 7.8% OUE ratio. Corporate expenses, excluding service expenses were $33 million in the quarter.

Excluding onetime items, corporate expenses are $19 million for the quarter, in line with prior quarters.

We have largely completed our work on rationalizing our legal entities and reducing our real estate footprint and expect savings from these efforts to begin to flow through the financials in 2022, pretty largely offset by ongoing investments to upgrade our IT platforms.

Corporate generated an underwriting loss of $37 million for the 3 months ended December 31, 2021.

As discussed in the third quarter, this loss was driven by exit of our Runoff business through a loss portfolio transfer to Compre which includes premiums paid of $381 million to cover subject loss reserves of $362 million, including $4 million of federal excise tax we have incurred on the transfer, we recognized a net charge of $23 million in the quarter.

This transaction reduces our loss reserves in corporate by approximately half, including some of the longest sale and most challenging resort classes, including A&E. The net investment loss for the fourth quarter was $151 million, driven by losses from our related party investments of $97 million.

Our return in 4Q '21 was negative 7.5%, while the full year return was plus 27.9%. We remain committed to reducing our ongoing exposure to equity in our investment portfolio and withdrew $450 million from Third Point Enhanced Fund at November end and December end 2021. And another $100 million at the end of January.

However, this remains above our long-term target for Hedge Fund Equity risk exposure and we will continue to reduce our exposure to equity in our legacy Sirius Group alternatives portfolio.

In addition to the losses from [TPE] in the quarter, we had $46 million of investment losses from our strategic investment portfolio, which is largely accounted for on a fair value basis.

The gains we had in 1Q 2021 largely reversed in the fourth quarter due to the large decline on the market multiples for MGA platforms and insurtechs, leaving us with a loss of $5 million for the year. The underlying business performance of the MGAs in which we have investments for the large part, continue to perform to our expectations.

The market fair value is not necessarily indicative of underlying operating performance. Performance in fixed income in collateral and original currency continues to be in line with expectations, where rising rates were offset by yield income and spread tightening. Performance on a U.S.

dollar basis was negatively impacted by the strengthening of the U.S. dollar against foreign exchange denominated assets that backed non-U.S. dollar liabilities. While as Sid said, we have derisked the investment portfolio, we expect Q1 returns to be depressed based on market returns through today.

The change in value of liability classified capital instruments in the quarter was a gain of $16 million. As stated on last quarter's call, the value of these instruments will change from quarter-to-quarter based on the passage of time and fluctuations in SiriusPoint stock price on the option like elements of these instruments, among other factors.

The balance sheet remains strong, ending the quarter with $2.5 billion of shareholders' equity, total capital including debt was $3.3 billion. Issued debt was unchanged in the quarter, and our debt to total capital ratio was largely flat at 25% on the change in equity. Tangible book value per diluted share fell 6% in the quarter.

In the first 2 months of 2020, both S&P and Fitch have reaffirmed our A- insurer financial strength ratings. Now let me turn back the call to Sid for concluding remarks..

Siddhartha Sankaran

Thanks, David. Going into 2022, our focus remains on profitable and sustainable growth, shifting our business mix and continuing to execute on our insurance and services strategy. When we closed the merger last February, we knew it would take a year and 1/1 renewals to derisk our reinsurance book.

While our results are not yet reflective of the work we have undertaken, I'm confident that we have positioned our reinsurance portfolio for lower volatility and improved profitability going forward.

While we have been successful in repositioning our portfolio, we have also made meaningful investments in over 20 MGAs and insurance services company, bringing our portfolio of partnerships to over 30. We believe these partnerships will accelerate our growth and improve our profitability as these investments mature over time.

Lastly, we've derisked our investment portfolio, which will result in lower returns but also lower risk volatility in the year ahead. We have financial strength, a flexible underwriting and operating platform, a great team with a strong entrepreneurial culture and a disciplined growth mindset. I'm full of enthusiasm for the year ahead.

Thank you for your time, and I'll turn the call back over to the operator..

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation..

Q -:.

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