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Financial Services - Financial - Capital Markets - NYSE - US
$ 114.44
-0.978 %
$ 11.7 B
Market Cap
20.73
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q1
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Executives

Ronald J. Kruszewski - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer James M. Zemlyak - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Devin Ryan - JMP Securities Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Raymond James Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo Christian Bolu - Credit Suisse Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company Michael Wong – Morningstar, Inc. Douglas Sipkin – Susquehanna Financial Group.

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Jamie and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the First Quarter Earnings Call 2014. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session.

(Operator Instructions) Jim Zemlyak, CFO of Stifel, you may begin your conference..

Jim Zemlyak

Good afternoon. This is Jim Zemlyak, CFO of Stifel. Id’ like to welcome everyone to our conference call today to discuss our first quarter 2014 results. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. If you’d like a copy of today’s presentation, you may download slides from our website at www.stifel.com.

Before we begin today’s call, we’d like to remind listeners that this presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not statements of fact or guarantees of performance.

They may include statements regarding among other things, our ability to successfully integrate acquired companies or branch offices and financial advisors, general economic, political and regulatory market conditions, investment banking and brokerage industry, our objectives and results and also may include our belief regarding the effect of various legal proceedings, management’s expectations, our liquidity and funding sources, counterparty credit risks or other similar matters.

As such, they’re subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual future results to differ materially from those discussed in these statements. To supplement our financial statements presented in accordance with GAAP, we may use certain non-GAAP measures of financial performance and liquidity.

These non-GAAP measures should only be considered together with the Company’s GAAP results. To the extent we discuss non-GAAP measures, the reconciliation to GAAP is available on our website at Stifel.com.

And finally, for a discussion of risks and uncertainties in our business, please see the business factors affecting the Company and the financial services industry in the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K and MD&A results in the company’s quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.

I will now turn the call over to our Chairman, CEO and President of Stifel, Ron Kruszewski..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jim and welcome everyone to our call. As typical, I’d like to start off with my overall statement on the quarter. During the first quarter, we delivered solid results. Contributions from both operating segments, Institutional and Global Wealth Management drove a 25% year-over-year increase in total net revenues.

We continue to attract experienced financial advisors, and total client assets reached a record $168 billion. Investment banking produced nice results driven by both advisory and capital raising transactions. In the quarter, we continued to benefit from our expansion of the Institutional Group.

On April 3, 2014 we closed the previously announced acquisition of De La Rosa & Co., a California based public finance investment banking boutique. We have integrated this impressive group into our current platform and are excited about their contribution to Stifel’s fixed income capabilities going forward.

Furthermore, today we announced the acquisition of Oriel Securities, which will significantly expand our company’s depth, expertise, and reach in London, a vital global financial center. We are excited to partner with Oriel to grow our business internationally.

Before I turn to the results for the quarter, let me provide some details on the acquisition that we announced today of Oriel. The rationale for this deal is basically twofold. First, we are broadening our research, sales and training in investment banking capabilities in London through an experienced team.

This builds on the investments we’ve made in Europe through KBW and Knight and is frankly a great addition to Stifel’s legacy platform. Through this combination, there is very little overlap. Second, we gained an experienced management team with extensive client relationships in a key economy. We currently have 160 associates in London.

With the addition of Oriel, we’ll have more than 250. We expect combined annual revenues to be in the range of $160 million to $200 million in this market. As with all of our deals, key management associates have agreed to continuation agreements with us. We’re excited to welcome our new partners.

And finally, we expect closing in the third quarter of this year. Now turning to our financial results for the quarter, GAAP net revenues for the quarter were $545 million, our second best revenue quarter behind our record results last quarter. EPS from continuing operations was $0.63 per diluted share. On a non-GAAP basis, diluted EPS was $0.69.

These results came in a penny higher than consensus expectation that compares with net income of $40 million or $0.58 per diluted share last year. Our non-comp operating results were within our estimated range of the totals $119 million. Effective tax rate was 38.6%. Our margins on a non-GAAP was 15.4%. That’s in line with our goals.

Simply a solid straightforward start to the year. As I mentioned, we closed our merger with De La Rosa at the start of the second quarter. We’re excited about the combination of De La Rosa and Stone & Youngberg with respect to our California muni finance business. I’ll now discuss the sources of revenues for the quarter.

Commission revenues were up 9% to $159 million from $146 million last year. This increase was due to higher over the counter and mutual funds transactions. Our principal transaction revenues were up 18%.

It was primarily due to increase in equity and fixed income institutional brokerage activity as well as contributions from KBW and Knight Capital fixed income business. Businesses were not -- Knight was not with us last quarter and KBW was for half the quarter last year. Investment Banking revenues increased 72% to $132 million from $77 million.

The increase was a result of 116% increase in advisory revenues from a 48% increase in capital raising. Asset management service fees were up 29% to $89 million. This increase was due to higher value of our fee-based accounts, both as a result of market appreciation and net new client assets.

Net interest income increased 78% to $34 million as a result of continued growth in interest earning assets at Stifel Bank. The next slide looks at our core non-interest expenses for the first quarter. Comp and benefits as a percentage of net revenues was within our stated goal. It came in at 62.8% compared to 64.1% in the year ago quarter.

Transition pay as a percentage of net revenues was 4.3% compared to 4.7% last year. Core non-comp operating expenses were within our targeted range, came in as I said at $1119 million or 2.8% of net revenues. That ratio is the same as the year ago period. The next slide shows the results of our reporting segments.

Global Wealth Management posted record net revenues $297 million, which was up 11% from the prior year. Our Institutional Group posted net revenues of $250 million which was up 44% year-over-year. It was down sequentially from our record fourth quarter, down about 6.5% from we had a stellar fourth quarter, as I mentioned on the last call.

Global Wealth Management's operating contribution increased 15% to $80 million, while our Institutional Group's operating contribution was up 62% from the prior year to $46 million. Our Global Wealth Management segment had just another great quarter with margins of nearly 27%. It came in at 26.8%.

Commission revenues were up 6% from the prior year, and was the result of an increase in agency transactions. Principal transactions were down slightly and that was just primarily a rotation from fixed income. Most of our fixed income transactions are done principal versus the equities that are done agency in those segments.

So that’s the reason that one is up and the other is down. It’s a rotation in the equities in the quarter. Asset management service fees were up 29% as I said as a result from the increase in assets under management for market performance and increase in client assets. The fee-based assets increased 35% from the prior year to $28.4 billion.

Net interest revenues up 64% as w continued to grow interest earning assets of Stifel Bank. I’d like to talk more about the strategy later in this presentation. Other revenue declined due to a decrease in investment gains in our private equity investments and a decrease in mortgage fees from loan originations at Stifel Bank.

Comp and benefits as a percentage of net revenues was 58.6% in in the quarter compared to 59% in the prior year. Non-comp operating expenses came in at %14.6 versus 5%. So, again a very good quarter for our Global Wealth Management. Looking at Stifel Bank, assets are up 30% to $5 billion from the year ago quarter.

Similarly, deposits were up 30% to $4.6 billion. Non-performing assets remained at 3 basis points. Stifel Bank’s potential is still a growth opportunity for our company. Again I’ll talk more about that in a moment. The next slide looks at our Institutional Group for the quarter. Our Institutional Group segment had posted net revenues of $250 million.

It’s down from our record quarter of $267 million last quarter, but it’s up 44% year-over-year. The increase from last year was due to an increase in activity across the board as well as due to contributions from our acquisitions of KBW, Miller Buckfire and Knight Capital fixed income.

Comp and benefits as a percentage of net revenues held at 61.6% year over year. Our non-comp expense ratio came down to 20.1% versus 22.1%. As a result, pre-tax operating income $46 million is up 62% year over year. Margins for the quarter were similar to our fourth quarter at 18.3% but still below our goal of mid to low 20s.

That said is still up 16.3% in the year ago quarter. So we’re making progress in our margins are we rationalize them and try the synergies of our recent acquisition in this segment. Turning if you look the next slide, our institutional group revenues for the quarter.

Our revenue came in as they set it $250 million and as our investments over the past few years are beginning to pay off. Our equity brokerage revenue is up 35% year over year. Fixed income is up 29%, both of these if you think about where we’ve come on this without giving guidance, and I don’t want to give guidance.

But if you look at the annualized quarter, we’re doing equity flow business of over $260 million in fixed income of over $230 million. So these are nice businesses that we’ve built and have integrated. So as a result our total institutional brokerage revenues were 31% $224 million and I think that compares well to what’s been going on in the street.

Our equity capital raising increased 93% and if you look at the difficulty in fixed income, despite there are fixed income capital raising increased 24%. Pull back the covers on that, what you’ll see is significant increase in our taxable capital raising. That’s a result of our additions from Knight Capita.

Those increases offset weakness and our muni finance capital raising, it was a weak quarter in muni finance. Advisor fees were up 116% from last year but we’re bouncing behind mark in the fourth quarter of last year.

Notably in the quarter we advised Centarus on its $2.6 billion merger with Salix Pharmaceuticals was announced late in 2013, but it closed early in 2014. Our institutional investment banking revenues increased 85% year over year to $122.

Looking forward our backlog remains strong of note, I would say that we were just involved in the largest bank capital raid the 2014. Investors Bank Corp was about a $2.2 billion. The mutual second step conversion we’re the sole advisor on the conversion which was about a billion 2 to a billion 3.

And we’re enjoying book runner on the offering of about $800 to $900 million. So that was a very nice deal that occurred in the second quarter of 2014. Next slide reviews our capital structure. We view ourselves as conservatively labored, total assets are $9 billion, our total capitalization equity in debt is $2.5 billion.

Our debt equity ratio is 12.3%. Tier one leverage ratio 15.4% our tier one risk based capital ratio remains very conservative at 25.9% more on this in a moment. Looking at other financial data at March 31, total stakeholders equity was $2.1 billion and both value per share was $32.09 out total leverage ratio was 3.7 times.

As I’ve said in the past, we’re very conservatively levered in our broker deal. We’re two times lower than our broker dealer versus 14 times in Stifel Bank. Total client assets, total $168 billion which is 15% more last year. So look, I’d like to maybe just spend a moment here talking about our excess capital and how we got here.

And before I get there, I just want to talk a moment. I’ve gotten a lot of questions about our investments especially in the institutional side of the business and why our focus has been there. And I thought I would be instructive to look back to the beginning of the financial crisis. So if you look back the under 2007.

Our Global Wealth Management business was about a $440 million business. Our institutional business was about $300 million business. Today, Global Wealth Managements is about $1.2 billion. So that business was up three times, and our institutional business was about a billion and it’s up about three times.

So we’ve grown these businesses at the same pace. Our mixed revenues, about the same as it always has been. It’s just been that the opportunities that we have seen recently have more been on the institutional side. Simply we don’t discriminate against good deals. We do good deals where we seem them.

And I get asked if we’ll do anything in the Global Wealth side, and my answer is of course, we will if the right opportunity comes along. But as I look back, and I think about what we’ve done with the benefit of hindsight. We financed a lot of these deals conservatively.

Well we used equity because at the time it was difficult to do acquisitions in the dark period if you will, the financial crisis. So as a result, as we sit here today, we have tier one risk based capital of 26% and 15% tier one leverage. And we’re over capitalized relative to our peers and to give you a benchmark.

They’re the preprimary peers in our industry which are bank holding companies with significant broker dealer operating companies. They average 17% tier one risk weighted and 10% tier one leverage. As I said, versus the 17%, we’re 26% and versus the 10% peer average we’re at 15% tier one leverage.

So I see three options that we can use to deploy excess capital. The first option is to grow the numerator or asset base by increasing assets. And what the slide shows is that if we target tier one risk based capital of 17%, tier one leverage at 10% which are still both I believe conservative. Assets could increase by $4.5 billion to $14 billion.

This would result in approximately $0.59 in addition EPS earnings of about 21% accretion by leveraging our balance sheet to our peer levels with no dilution of the value per share. The second option would be to look at denominator side of this and to repurchase stock.

Assuming a buyback to reduce our tier one risk based capital of 17% and again our leverage to 10%. We’d buy back a fair amount of stock, but our EPS accretion would be 10%. So we will dilute book value per share by 8% and that’s what we’re looking at growing our asset base.

It’s just a financially we believe more attractive to grow into our capital base. The third option would be of course be to return capital via dividend. We’re not currently evaluating that, we think about it but we think there’s a lot of opportunity to leverage our capital in the manner that I’m talking about.

So finally I want to briefly comment on the perceived notion that markets are unfair to the average investor. We don’t buy into this view. We do believe market structure is something that needs to be looked at. I’ve commented on this but I’ve been asked on numerous occasions to quantify the revenue and profit we generate from our customer order flow.

Let’s say that we do not accept payment for order flow, our orders are executed based on best price. So in conclusion we had a solid start to the year, it is my view that equities are now valued fairly in terms of the equity risk premium. As a result teacher equity gains will be driven more by earnings growth and by multiple expansion.

And I will also say that retail engagement April was strong, it came in approximately 8% above our first quarter monthly average. With that operator, I’ll now open the call for questions. .

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Devin Ryan with JMP Securities. Your line is open..

Devin Ryan - JMP Securities

Appreciate the slide on the excess capital opportunities and I know that we've been discussing the substantial opportunity around bank expansion for some time and clearly you guys have been growing the bank and then so you already kind of started on that path.

But with kind of this view and how accretive it can be, is there any update around like in a time frame of getting from where we are today to kind of that fully levered level? Should we think of maybe the pace of growth could be accelerating over the next few quarters here? Just give an update there would be helpful..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Well look, I think we can’t – well I guess we could do it overnight if we chose to do the wholesale asset purchases. We could do it significantly, we’re trying to do it in sort of a pace with our general growth. I don’t want to pile into any one credit cycle or any one interest rate cycle.

I think today the credit markets are – I mean the market is let’s say expensive. So our growth is not as much. I wanted to point out the way we’re thinking about it. We’re not going to do it overnight but it was our goal to grow into our capital base. If we can’t grow into it over time then we’re going to look at other ways to deploy or return capital.

We continue to do it Devin, fortunately we also are making a lot of money. So that adds to the issue but I just want to point it out because as I look backwards. They had a perfect compass or barometer of what we’re doing I would have used less equity in some of our acquisitions.

But it’s easier to say now versus at the time when things were really more dicey. So we’re going to continue to do this, we recognize the issue, we recognize that as we do this, as we leverage the balance sheet to those levels. Our ROE approaches, our targets is 15%. We think a lot of things, look a lot better as we leverage it.

But unfortunately I can’t give you a time frame, that’s a long-winded answer to not answer your question..

Devin Ryan - JMP Securities

I still appreciate that detail and I guess just on the same topic, with respect to the deposits and I guess the cash and the broker/dealer, I mean how much more cash is there that could be freed up to be swept into the bank over time?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Plenty..

Devin Ryan - JMP Securities

Okay thanks and then just with respect to that issuance, the revenues from fixed income, underwriting this quarter and very strong, is there anything I guess one, was there anything lumpy there this quarter and then also, are you starting to maybe see the runway improving for some of the products like public finance, just anything -- is the environment actually getting better for that business?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Well I think public finances had a difficult – and volumes were down last year, they certainly didn’t improve in the first quarter. I like that business, continue to like that business. It tends to have its own cycles that’s in a low cycle now.

So you now finance business was down appreciably, but offset appreciably by tax, by the investments that we have made in areas where we had done very little capital raising on the taxable side. And we’re saying nice contributions from our new partners from Knight Capital.

So that’s what we’re saying is that some of these investments they may made sense at the time and they make sense the numbers today. .

Operator

Your next question comes from Patrick O'Shaughnessy with Raymond James. Your line is open..

Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Raymond James

So you commented that your April retail trading volumes were up I believe 8% from first quarter levels. And it's kind of interesting dichotomy because the big online brokers all had really strong first quarters and then they all commented that April volumes had kind of tailed off a little bit.

What do you think explains the difference in trading behavior between your two different types of customer bases?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I don’t know if it’s all trading. I think – I view the dart as somewhat indicative but more leading and we’re following the volume versus ours which I think tends to be a little more set. We don’t see as much volatility around trading. But we have a fair amount of asset base fees and we continue to grow that.

So we bill those in arrears and so at the end of the quarter four, that’s not in arrears. But I don’t know, I mean I’m not sure I understand all of the dark numbers. I just know what our numbers are. Can I explain it? I think it’s not our activity as not as highly correlated.

We’re much more correlated to you than we are to the online guys, you being Raymond James or Morgan Stanley. .

Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Raymond James

Got you, okay I appreciate that.

And then I guess touch on the capital question and as you grow the bank at this point, how much more capital do you think you needed downstream to the bank to support the growth of the bank loan base and securities holdings? It looks like your tier one capital ratio has kind of held up pretty well or your leverage ratio in the bank and it feels like you have a fair amount of buffer room to grow that thing without actually having to downstream more capital.

Is that a fair assumption?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Not really, I think that we manage the capital, the bank as well capitalize but the banks ratios are not the holding company’s ratios. And so when we look at these numbers, we look at liquidity and capital that we can move around between various scenarios.

We do acquisitions and we move capital around, but as we analyze it – if we did all that growth in the bank, we would deploy capital into the bank to support that growth. The bank is well capitalized but I will not say it’s over capitalized as our holding company or the consolidated group is if you look at tier one rest and tier one leverage.

So I guess what I’m saying is that if we were going to do all of the growth, if we’re going to grow the bank by $4 billion, we’re going to be down streaming capital into the bank. We believe that we have that available capital without hindering our other subs. We have that capital to downstream to the bank if that’s where the growth would occur.

Remember that’s an illustration that I did to try to make the point..

Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Raymond James

Got you, okay that makes sense and then as we look at your balance sheet cash equivalents about $717 million.

How much of that is actually parent cash?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

A lot of that, a fair amount of that cash is liquidity in our bank. Okay we have parent cash, I’m not sure that I disclose that and that moves around, do I don’t know what that is. But when we talk about that kind of cash, a fair amount of that cash is liquidity that we end up with in the bank..

Operator

Your next question comes from Chris Harris with Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open..

Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo

So a couple questions Ron on institutional. One being fixed income, when we look at the results there. I have to admit that I’m impressed that you guys look to have kind of really bucked the industry trends which have been quite negative. You know JP Morgan is out already previewing a really bad second quarter in FICC.

And so Ron, maybe you can help us understand a little bit, what makes your business a little bit different than competitors. I know there have been some acquisitions obviously that have helped the results.

But kind of – step back for me and if you can maybe kind of contrast your platform with some of these other guys that seem to be struggling so much..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

You know it’s hard me Chris to look under the covers of some of the very large fixed income. You know it’s FICC, it’s Fixed Income Commodities and Currencies. So how much of that is commodities and currencies and we’re not doing a lot of I don’t know, all right. But –.

Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo

I get your point..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

A fair amount of that is their volatility is in the two CC that we’re not doing a lot of. But overall I think when we were doing the Knight deal and when I talk about at the time why that deal made a lot of sense is because it added the capability that we didn’t have. It allows us to cross sell some of our other capabilities better.

So as we’ve been building these capabilities, I think for us it’s a little bit of a rising tide lifting all of our businesses. That’s not to say that we’re immune from fixed income cycle because we’re not. But I’ve also obviously been reading about some of the woes at least that I’ve been reading about.

It’s hard to contrast to what I don’t – I don’t see what’s going on over there, just like you don’t. .

Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo

Understood, okay thanks for that. Maybe if I can ask a different question then, if you look at your institutional business a bit more broadly and you consider what's happening in the macro environment.

What are you most optimistic about right now? Is it M&A, capital raising, sales and training, if you can give us a little bit of your thoughts on how you see the business performing over the next year or so?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I think in general from a macro perspective, the economy is getting better. All right, I’ll be slower than I would like or maybe most economists or certainly policy makers would like.

Because I look forward, our view is that we want a balanced wealth management and investment banking firm, and then I go back to my comments of building the firm from $700 million to $2.2 billion in a very balanced manner. The ratio between Global Wealth and Institution, well we haven’t changed.

But during that time frame, institutional business was frowned upon significantly. We didn’t frown it because we believe that the capital and this is where I’m trying to answer the question here. The capital raising the institutional, the M&A environment, all of these environments are going to generally get bet better, and we can gain market share.

That’s why we’ve made investments and while I can’t control quarter to quarter, some linear lumpiness and M&A. I do know that we’ve gained significant market share in M&A and in capital raising and in IPOs because we have invested in this platform. And we’re investing this platform into what I believe is on improving capital markets environment.

And we’re going to continue to do things prudently. We see the same thing, I’ll digress a moment into London, we announced that today we see real opportunity there and we’re able to do things in a manner that makes sense to us. So when we look forward they were optimistic about our growth in that market..

Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo

Yes and on that London deal, how does that change your outlook for the ISG margin? I know you've got the kind of the 20% to 30% target there and I know some of that is revenue based obviously.

But does that maybe change when you might be able to achieve that margin? I mean does it push it out a little bit, this acquisition?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Well every acquisition pushes it out a little bit, I mean but you know – I don’t know the margin on one hand there is we’re building into that margin. But the corporate tax rates in London are what? 20% and US are 40%, and there’s a lot of ways to get margin. The biggest one is net income and so I’m optimistic about that.

But any time we do a deal, we have consolidation and work to do and I think we’ve shown that we can do it. It takes time and this was no different but I’m optimistic based upon the people first and foremost and the business fit second of all. And the improving economy in Europe.

Well it’s behind the United States, I think it’s improving and we see opportunity for a firm like ours over there. .

Christopher Harris - Wells Fargo

Understood, thanks a lot. .

Operator

Your next question comes from Christian Bolu with Credit Suisse. Your line is open..

Christian Bolu - Credit Suisse

Just on advisor growth, it seems to be having a little muted over the last couple quarters. I'm just curious as to what you're seeing and hearing just on the competitive landscape for advisor recruitment. .

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I would say it’s been muted for longer than a couple of quarters. And I think we’re growing organically. This was with a bunch of my peers and our recruiting performance over the year was in terms of net advisors was – without acquisitions was as good as any ones.

I would just say in general, the environment that existed in say 9 and 10 is not the same environment today. And well we’re going to continue to recruit and we’ll look at every opportunity, I think that we can have the kind of environment that we had in the midst of the financial crisis was not there. We can grow all this business.

We have nice year over year growth organically and we’ll continue to do that. But we don’t view it as a numbers game, we don’t view it as just adding advisors. We can do that, we could deploy a lot of our excess capital in recruiting advisors, but I don’t think we’ve got the same accretion in earnings per share that we’re looking at.

There’s a lot of ways to deploy excess capital. And if we’re going to recruit in a manner that allows us to drive accretion with excess capital, not head count increases. So that’s just how we think about it.

As a result, we’re not overly aggressive in the recruiting but we still – I think are one of the top recruiting firms certainly on a percentage basis out there. But it’s not robust today, I will tell you that. .

Christian Bolu - Credit Suisse

I hear you on the point about excess capital but just on the -- do you see any reason for the environment to change for recruiting or you think we just stay at these levels like with you guys over the near term?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I generally – I think our recruiting gets better as markets become more challenged. And so I don’t really see any reason absence of geopolitical events for markets to become significantly challenged.

And so I think recruiting can get better from here, but is the environment going to double from here? I don’t think so, I mean not absence – the fundamental other issues that come up.

I just think that we have to remember that when it was really good for firms like ours and that this isn’t Stifel specific, this is across all firms that are recruiting. The environment of 9 and 10 was sort of a black swan event as it relates to recruiting. And I don’t see that environment returning any time soon.

With that said, we could triple our recruiting, quadruple it if we just changed our financial data. Our value proposition hasn’t changed on why we’re an attractive place. But we’re not – I think we’re very prudent and deployment of capital as it relates to recruitment. .

Christian Bolu - Credit Suisse

Okay thanks, that's very helpful. Just on the deployment of excess capital, again thank you for the very helpful slide. It seems incredible opportunity for you guys. Maybe on the flip side just help us understand any risks around that.

I'm just curious, especially as we move into the rising rate environment, the risk of run on growing assets pretty quickly in that kind of environment. Also, any risk around things like liquidity if your growth strategy is to focus on growing the loan book. I'm just curious to see your thoughts on those two points..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I’ll take liquidity first. I mean the reason we deploy a lot of our leverage is the bank is for liquidity reasons, all right. The bank is just funded much more stable, they were not funded in the capital markets. We’re funded with what we define as core deposits.

And so we believe that our bank is very liquid and has a significant amount of our assets that could be liquidated if needed. We don’t think so, it could be liquidated very quickly. So we think the bank is very liquid and we manage it as such.

As to your first part of your question, I think that’s sort of the dilemma is that as we want to grow in – it’s almost like a bond ladder. You want to layer in assets over time and in conjunction with the overall growth of the firm so that you’re not betting on any one credit or interest rate cycle.

So we have a lot of our investments have principle repayments. We have to reinvest those and we’re trying to grow. We’re just trying to do it prudently as I’ve said. Our bank has grown nice, it’s grown 30% and if we grow 30% again next year, organically that’s a $1.5 billion more on growth and that’s on the asset side.

On the numerator side we have earnings and we have you know, we have earnings that go -- so we’re not completely getting into this opportunity. So we look at the excess capital allowing us to take advantage of opportunities both on the acquisition side and on the leverage side.

I’m just pointing out the fact that we’re very cognizant of the impact of our over capitalization on our shareholder returns. .

Operator

Your next question comes from Steven Chubak with Nomura. Your line is open..

Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities

So thanks again for slide 16. The disclosure is extremely helpful. I just wanted to clarify a couple of the assumptions of surrounding the incremental earnings at the bank.

I know you talked about the 1% ROA target roughly in the past and I just was hoping you could clarify what your assumptions are really regarding three core metrics; net interest margin, the pretax margin at the bank and then also the loan versus securities mix..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I think -- look, the short answer is that we took our current mix and we just expanded it at that. so we took the same -- so if you look at it, we’ve assumed for purpose and it's illustrative again, I don’t want to imply that our sole strategy is to grow in the manner that I showed on the slide.

We can do it by acquisition if the right deal came along. That’s one way to do it. But to answer your question, we took our existing profile and we increased by that. so we’re approximately 1% ROA. The risk weighted assets versus total assets is the same ratio that we have today in the bank.

So we’ve really layered, we’ve really taken our current bank profile and have grown it at the same basis. So that would imply whatever the bank’s net interest margins today in the low twos and investment portfolio of 60% of assets.

So we didn’t make any assumption as to say we’re still going to get into C&I or we’re going to do something or we’re going to take net interest margin from 2 to 350. We just took our existing business and just added $4.5 billion of assets or whatever the number is $4 billion. I hope that answers your question.

It’s not that complex, but it’s not a bunch of assumptions embedded in those. It’s our current profile grown. .

Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities

Sure. It's understood. I suppose just thinking about things in a long-term context, in the past you have talked about the optimal mix of 50% loans versus securities and clearly you're running below that level on the loan side. So presumably there is some incremental margin opportunity there.

I didn't know if you could update us in your thoughts in terms of whether that's still your target or whether that presumably has changed as well..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Look, first of all from a financial modeling perspective, numbers change to the extent that you layer in more loans. You’re not going to add as many assets because the risk weightings are different. So you’re triangulating between risk weighted tier one and tier one leverage. So I’m not sure that mix really impacts as much as you would think.

It’s actually sort of a numbers anomaly that I’ve mused about to just tell you whether or not building investments or loans, you can have more low risk weighted assets. You can leverage more, but you don’t have as much margin.

So the real question is that I believe the highest leverage that comes out of our business is by doing more middle market lending that complements our Global Wealth Management and our institutional clients. So I would much rather be doing high quality loans to that group than investments which are more wholesale if you will.

So to the extent that we’re able to do that, I’m not sure that the leverage metrics change, but revenues and fee income in our other segments I think are going to be much more positively impacted by an ability to do more middle market lending than by deploying of investment books.

That makes sense?.

Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities

It absolutely makes sense. And then in that same vein, I suppose one loan category which receives very favorable RWA treatment is securities based lending and that's stagnated somewhat in recent quarters. I didn't know if you can give us an update as to whether you're seeing a tick up in margin lending for your clients. .

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. As things get very favorable, capital treatments they tend to get much more competitive. It’s just funny how that works. But look, that’s a business we know very, very well and it’s a business we will continue to focus on so long as we can get the net interest margins that allow us to drive the proper ROE to the capital.

But those spreads got compressed pretty quick too. So, just market flows that way. But we like security based lending for a lot of reasons and one of them is that is a product that drives revenues and other segments, not just the bank. And is that a focus of ours? It better be every day because we like that business..

Operator

Your next question comes from Hugh Miller with Sidoti. Your line is open..

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

So I guess in following up on the last line of questioning with regards to kind of growing the bank, looking at different verticals that you're operating in, with that excess liquidity we've seen out there, we've been hearing about competition coming in and getting somewhat aggressive in certain areas that you guys are focusing in and some other areas like CRE and so forth.

But as you think about growing the bank and you think about competition and maintaining asset quality, are you -- can you just talk about what you're seeing competitively within your different verticals and are you considering kind of expanding into other things in order to generate growth more opportunistically?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I’m not sure I understand your question here. Are you talking about the bank or are you talking about Europe (inaudible).

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

Yes. Talking about at the bank and as you consider kind of deploying the excess capital and growing the loan portfolio, we've just been hearing about a lot of competition coming in on the commercial banking side.

And what type of competition are you seeing in your current verticals? And are you considering kind of expanding into other lending products in order to kind of be more opportunistic and still maintain asset quality?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Right. Let me back up for a second. I don’t want to give the impression that our only deployment of excess capital is in the bank. That would be the wrong impression.

I did it for illustrative purposes and also use it as a benchmark, all right? So if we’re going to be deploying capital, it needs to be in the vein of is it better to deploy it or give it back to our shareholders, you? Is it better to deploy it in acquisition and put it in this kind of strategy? So we just did two acquisitions that was in some ways deploying of capital, De La Rosa and the last deal that we did in London.

And net-net, those have to exceed the capital returns that we can do this way. But I don’t want to imply that our entire strategy is focused on bank leverage because we can deploy it elsewhere. That said, we are going to grow the bank because we have not only do we -- we have a lot of deposits.

And the real value in this equation are deposits and we want to leverage those deposits and do that banking context as well. As to your question, I believe that where we would like to compete which -- or where we’d like to grow which is the middle markets lending, our view has gotten more difficult. I think spreads have narrowed.

Covenants are getting light, if nonexistent. And we want to be cautious because this strategy, whatever we’re doing in terms of increasing assets and increasing leverage has to be done with view toward credit and risk adjusted returns. So I would say that today the ability to grow assets outside the investment book is not robust.

We’re not seeing the environment as being robust today. That can change, but that’s how we’re viewing it today..

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

Okay so middle market lending, securities based lending are two areas of focus?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. .

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

And then I guess you'll leverage kind of your knowledge on these businesses to kind of maintain credit and try and look for areas, pockets of areas where it makes sense to lend to or where you're still getting compensated for the risk..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

You said it better than I could just say..

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

Okay, great.

And then the other question I had was just with regards -- can you give some color on the incremental revenue range from the London acquisition? I was wondering if you could just give us a sense of kind the merger costs that you guys are anticipating and the timing of that that we should be thinking about?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I haven’t and I think I will. I’ll update. We just announced it today so we haven’t done a call. I want to be careful with what you just said. I didn’t give the incremental revenue rate. I gave the total revenue. Look, what we’ve done and the reason it’s made sense is that about a few years ago we were doing less than $25 million.

I’m not sure of the number of people. And then since that time, we’ve added Knight. We’ve added KBW. And as we looked at it, we had a business there that we wanted to pull together with other verticals besides just FIG and Fixed Income. And Oriel was a great.

And so in total what I was talking about was our total revenues now, including all of those groups is $150 million to $200 million. And we believe based -- we were taking businesses that a few years ago that we were breaking even on let’s say. And today we believe that we can generate our targeted profit margins in these businesses.

It will take a little bit of time, but that was not incremental revenue that I talked about. That was total revenue. I was not disclosing incremental revenue although you can probably go find it if you wanted to..

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

I appreciate you pointing that out. And then the last question I had was with regards to you obviously gave some good color on the advisor recruiting environment and how obviously it's not the way that it was during the crisis and that you're being prudent in managing that business.

And as you think about the international expansion that you're accomplishing today through that acquisition, do you see the potential for maybe doing expansion on the retail side in Europe and that being opportunity or is that probably unlikely in the coming years?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I wouldn’t say unlikely. I would say that we see that as an opportunity. We have looked at and studied models over there that we find attractive. So if we can find an opportunity that meets our shareholder return objectives, we would do that and I think it’s an attractive business. It’s attractive for some of our competitors.

And I think it would be attractive for us. But it’s opportunity driven, not us going out and just bidding for someone. We tend not do that..

Hugh Miller – Sidoti & Company

Okay thank you very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from Michael Wong with Morningstar. Your line is open..

Michael Wong – Morningstar, Inc.

I would characterize your M&A philosophy as maybe buying firms that are going through a tough period.

Given that you bought Oriel Securities, are you seeing more attractive expansion opportunities outside of the US where economies haven't had as steady of a recovery maybe?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

No. that would probably be misstating. There’s various parts of the world that you can make that argument. I would say the opportunistic thing about Oriel in London was what we had, what we’ve done through other acquisitions and waking up one day and seeing critical mass suddenly in what we think is a vital financial center and one that’s improving.

And so that was unique to that market. Are we willing to find another corner in the world and say this makes sense? probably not. We’re focused on London and maybe the continent, but that’s where we’re focused right now. and in many ways we partner with firms that have a lot of capability, but lack the cost scale.

That’s really the firms struggle, they're struggling with scale, not capability. And that's what -- we add scale and many of our deals have capability. .

Michael Wong – Morningstar, Inc.

Okay and maybe just a quick question, so while it's not overly material, bank deposits decreased sequentially, which is a change in trend.

Was it just people maybe paying their taxes or pulling money out to investment perhaps?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I would -- are you talking about total deposits in our other assets?.

Michael Wong – Morningstar, Inc.

Yes, bank deposits..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I’m not sure that I know the number. I can tell you that this time of the year bank deposits usually increase every time except March and April for the reasons you just stated. That is historically, but I can ask someone to follow up or get the question. I don’t know the answer as I sit here right now to that and I don’t want to speculate..

Operator

Your next question comes from Douglas Sipkin with Susquehanna. Your line is open..

Douglas Sipkin – Susquehanna Financial Group

So on your slide on page 16 you sort of outlined growing the assets or repurchasing stock, which is I think you alluded to that before in the call but the slide is helpful. I was wondering, have you considered as part of that asset growth maybe expanding in the fixed income business just given your results.

They look like pretty impressive on a comp basis and some of the challenges that the bigger firms face having to shrink their asset base.

Is that potentially an area where you can grow your asset base, but maybe not quite what everyone is thinking where it's we're just sort of thinking via the bank?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. Again I think -- I appreciate you asking the question because I’ll state again that we see opportunities in our Global Wealth Management business. We see opportunism in our Fixed Income, both slow business and our capital raising in fixed income. We definitely see opportunities in our equity businesses.

And we’ve been growing into an industry which if you really look at what’s going on with both the -- the largest firms not only do have the Tier 1. The leverage ratio is a supplemental leverage ratio and we look at this. We see a lot of firms needing to shed businesses that are more regulatorily capital constrained than we are.

And we see a lot of opportunities to deploy this capital. Again, the slide on 16 that’s where it is, is illustrative to make the point that we have a lot of capital to deploy to drive EPS without creating equity dilution. And we use asset growth to illustrate the point.

We can deploy that in every segment of our business as long as it achieves the targeted returns..

Douglas Sipkin – Susquehanna Financial Group

Great, and then just a follow-up on the bank. One of your competitors whose had a bank business for longer than you guys and I don't know if the profiles are the same, but subject to an annual review for a nationally syndicated credit, and it usually comes June/July/August timeframe.

Given sort of the growth that you guys have experienced and now while I appreciate it's still more securities, loans are a bigger contributor than they have been historically.

Is that something that you would be subject to as well?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

We’re not big players at all in the sync market.

Jim or Chris, are you guys on the phone?.

Jim Zemlyak

They’re not here, Ron..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Okay. then I don’t have that report on my calendar as anything that I’m focused on. We’re not big and I understand what you’re asking. That’s not been a big impact for us and I don’t anticipate it being a big impact in that report as it should in terms of downgrades or adding the reserves or anything like that.

we really don’t play in that marketplace to any significant degree, okay? I’m sure we have a few..

Douglas Sipkin – Susquehanna Financial Group

No I appreciate that. I guess that just historically sometimes there's usually not material, but sometimes there are NIC ups or downs when that come -- when the regulators come and say hey re-price this, don't re-price that, that type of thing.

So I just thought maybe given the growth of the bank maybe that was something to at least be a little bit more relevant for you guys but ….

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, it’s not. We certainly look at that. if you look at the performance of some of these competitors that you didn’t name, but I think there’s lots of -- some of that strategy has worked out quite well even with that part of it. And we’re looking at it. It’s not just a place where we’ve chosen to deploy assets in the nationally syndicated arena.

So I don’t view that as a significant impact on that.

And that comes out every year, right?.

Douglas Sipkin – Susquehanna Financial Group

Correct. Okay, perfect. Great. Thanks for answering the questions..

Operator

Your next question comes from Devin Ryan with JMP Securities. Your line is open..

Devin Ryan – JMP Securities

I just had one follow-up on the banking backlog and just some additional detail there if you could provide just kind of what you're expecting from an M&A and equity issuance perspective.

And I guess just with respect to that equity issuance the recent challenges in the IPO markets, is the expectation that new issuance could slow from here? I'm just curious kind of what the conversations are like internally and the outlook just given that the rest of the IPO markets had a little bit of a tough time in recent weeks..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. And I think some of the healthcare segments have also maybe slowed from some torrid paces. And so look, yeah, I think you can see in certain segments slowing down on the capital raising fund. But on the other hand I guess I also said we did a very large transaction in that space. But there are certainly -- our backlog is very robust.

But from backlog to revenues is very market dependent. So it’s hard for me to answer other than I would agree with you about the softness in the areas that you just mentioned. I look at the published data and looking forward I’m not going to comment on that. that’s hard to do, but the environment in the first quarter was pretty good..

Devin Ryan – JMP Securities

Yes, I appreciate that. And I guess with respect to M&A, we've seen maybe a little more activity in the bank space, but it's still it can offer a pretty low level.

Is the backlog there building as well?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

The numbers, Sarah --- where were we on our bank mergers? Are you on?.

Unidentified Company Representative

Yes, I’m here. Bank mergers we were on all five of the top bank mergers and 11 of the top 15 bank mergers..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. And I just -- thanks Sarah. I didn’t want to quote without those being in front of me. So we’re definitely certainly on the bank side in our share of deals. They just tend to be small at this point. And we certainly are optimistic about that business.

M&A for us and even the M&A specialty shops can be lumpy and I would caution investors that our investment banking results quarter-to-quarter can be lumpy. If you look over a longer time period, you definitely see our increase in market share. But each quarter can have some lumpiness and I would want to remind everyone of that.

Longer term we like the growth aspects in that business for us over a long time.

But one of these quarters I’m going to be saying to you guys saying look, remember I told you that it can be lumpy quarter-to-quarter?.

Operator

Your next question comes from Steven Chubak with Nomura. Your line is open..

Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities

Just one quick follow-up on the discussion relating to fixed income and trading. Again the results have been quite resilient and probably the biggest surprise to me digging into the filings is that your trading inventory has actually remained fairly steady.

And I didn't know what we -- how we should be should be thinking about the potential for balance sheet expansion or are you simply running your core fixed income franchises on a more agency oriented model if you will?.

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I think it’s -- we look at, we’re trying to be efficient. At the end of the day, everything is return on capital and there’s capital that’s allocated to everything and fixed income is not immune to that. I think we have our fixed income inventories properly sized and we've done a pretty good job with integration.

Just because you add people doesn’t mean you need to double the inventories. And we didn’t need to take all of De La Rosa’s inventories, although initially you tend to do that. so I would say that I think we do a good job of capital management.

We’ve also done -- as we integrate and create synergies from our mergers, you’ll see that both in non-comp OpEx and capital deployed on the desk..

Steven Chubak – Nomura Securities

All right, great. It makes sense. It makes sense. Thanks for taking my follow-up..

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back over to Ron Kruszewski for closing remarks..

Ron Kruszewski Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

That was exhausting, lots of questions but it was good. Closing remarks is that it was a solid quarter again. We continue to hopefully be good stewards of capital. We see opportunity to continue to build our franchise. We will do so and we will do so as always with an eye toward shareholder returns.

And that’s been our message I think for 17 years and hopefully not changing today. It's not changing. So with that, I thank everyone for their interest in our Company and I look forward to reporting to you in August the results of our second quarter. Thank you very much and good afternoon..

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect..

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