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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q4
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Executives

Frank C. Sullivan - Chairman and CEO Russell L. Gordon - VP and CFO Barry M. Slifstein - VP, IR and Planning.

Analysts

John McNulty - Credit Suisse Frank Mitsch - Wells Fargo Ghansham Panjabi - Robert W. Baird & Co. Vincent Andrews - Morgan Stanley Silke Kueck-Valdes - JPMorgan Mike Ritzenthaler - Piper Jaffray & Co. Rosemarie Morbelli - Gabelli & Company Christopher Perrella - Bloomberg Intelligence Ivan Marcuse - KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Operator

Welcome to RPM International’s Conference Call for the Fiscal 2015 Fourth Quarter and Year End. Today’s call is being recorded. This call is also being webcast and can be accessed live or replayed on the RPM Web site at www.rpminc.com.

Comments made on this call may include forward-looking statements based on current expectations that involve risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to be materially different. For more information on these risks and uncertainties, please review RPM’s reports filed with the SEC.

During this conference call, references maybe made to non-GAAP financial measures. To assist you in understanding these non-GAAP terms, RPM has posted reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures on the RPM Web site. Following today's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions].

Please note that only financial analysts will be permitted to ask questions. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to RPM’s Chairman and CEO, Mr. Frank Sullivan for opening remarks. Please go ahead, sir..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Hilda. Good morning, and welcome to the RPM International, Inc. investor call for our fourth quarter ended May 31, 2015. On the call with me this morning are Rusty Gordon, RPM’s Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Barry Slifstein, our Vice President, Investor Relations.

On today’s call, we'll discuss our fourth quarter and full year results, including some detail provided by Barry, and then comments on the outlook for our 2016 fiscal year from Rusty. Results of a reconsolidated Specialty Products Holding Corp. were included in the entire fourth quarter and the last five months of the 2015 fiscal year.

We delivered solid results in our fiscal fourth quarter with sales up 7.5% and EBITDA of 18.7%, driving earnings per share of $0.94, up 17.5% over the prior year. There are many moving parts to say the least including the negative impact of foreign currency, the benefit of the Synta earn-out reversal and contributions during the quarter from SPHC.

We are pleased to put closure to the 15-year Bondex asbestos issue and reconsolidated group of well run companies in niche specialty markets that generated significant earnings and cash flow, while looking forward to reigniting investment in near future growth for the coming years.

As for the foreign currency rates during the quarter, the headwinds worsened from the previous two quarters. To give you some perspective on rates, the average exchange rate for the euro during last year’s fourth quarter was 1.38 to the U.S. dollar.

During this year’s fourth quarter, the average exchange rate from the euro to the dollar was approximately 1.09 representing a decline of 21% in our largest geography outside the U.S. Our second largest geography is Canada where we experienced an 11% decline quarter-over-quarter from a foreign exchange perspective.

Other major currencies for RPM are the British pound, Brazilian real and South African rand, all of which experienced noticeable valuations against the dollar quarter-over-quarter. For the fourth quarter, translational foreign exchange reduced sales by nearly $80 million or 6.2% and negatively impacted EPS by $0.08 for the full year.

Despite the economic and related foreign exchange challenges, the RPM companies delivered record results in our fourth quarter and on an adjusted basis for our full 2015 fiscal year. I’d now like to turn the call over to Barry Slifstein to provide more details on our fourth quarter and full year results..

Barry M. Slifstein

Thanks, Frank, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today’s call. I’ll review the results of operations for our fiscal 2015 fourth quarter, then cover some May 31, 2015 balance sheet and cash flow items. I’ll then turn the call over to Rusty who will discuss the outlook for fiscal 2016.

Fourth quarter consolidated net sales of 1.37 billion increased 7.5% from last year. Organic sales increased 3.4%. Acquisition growth added an additional 10.3% and foreign currency translation reduced sales by 6.2%. Industrial segment sales increased 14.2% year-over-year to 878.5 million. Organic growth increased 6.4%.

Acquisition growth, mostly SPHC, added an additional 16.3% and foreign currency translation reduced sales by 8.5%. Consumer segment sales decreased 2.5% to 494.7 million principally due to declines year-over-year from Kirker and Synta. Organic sales declined 1.3%. Acquisition growth added 1.3% and foreign currency translation reduced sales by 2.5%.

Our consolidated gross profit increased 6.9% to 599.3 million from 560.7 million last year. As a percent of net sales, gross profit decreased from 43.9% last year to 43.6% this year. Negatively impacting gross profit was transactional foreign exchange, unfavorable product mix and approximately 2 million in stepped-up inventory costs at SPHC.

Consolidated SG&A increased 1.5% to 395.4 million from 389.4 million last year and as a percent of net sales decreased to 28.8% from 30.5% last year. Nearly all of the increase was due to consolidating the SPHC businesses during the fourth quarter.

Also included in SG&A was an additional 6 million of severance-related cost reduction initiatives in Europe and U.S. consumers.

Partially offsetting higher expenses was the Synta earn-out reversal of 9.9 million Consolidated earnings before interest and taxes, EBIT, increased 18.7% to 204.3 million from 172.1 million last year largely driven by incremental sales and earnings of SPHC, strong performance from those businesses serving the commercial construction markets in the U.S.

and the Synta earn-out reversal. At the industrial segment, EBIT increased 21.6% to 120.7 million. Consumer segment EBIT increased 17.1% to 100.6 million compared to 86.0 million last year, including the Synta earn-out reversal of 9.9 million.

Corporate other expenses of 17.1 million were above last year’s amount of 13.1 million primarily due to higher insurance and benefits expenses.

Interest expense increased from 19.7 million last year to 27.3 million this year, primarily due to higher interest due to the $450 million payment to the 524(g) trust in December 2014, which was funded from the revolving credit and accounts receivable securitization facilities.

In addition, approximately 4 million of interest expense was incurred in conjunction with the early retirement in May 2015 of the $150 million notes originally set to mature in November 2015. A more normalized run rate for interest expense going forward should approximate 23 million.

Investment income of 2 million for the quarter was essentially flat to last year. Our fourth quarter income taxes increased from an effective tax rate of 26.4% last year to 28.2% this year.

The change is the quarterly income tax rate is due primarily to fiscal 2014, fourth quarter valuation allowance reversals and the comparative differences in levels of actual versus forecasted income and changes in the jurisdictional mix of earnings. Net income increased 17.7% to 128 million from 108.8 million last year.

Diluted EPS of $0.94 per share was $0.14 per share or 17.5% above last year's EPS of $0.80 per share. SPHC was accretive to EPS by $0.06 per share in the quarter. And now a quick look at the cash flows and balance sheet.

Cash provided by operating activities was 330.4 million for the 12 months ended May 31, 2015 versus 278.1 million for the same period last year. Last year’s amount included the GSA payments, approximately 45 million after tax.

This year’s amount reflects the benefit of lower federal estimated payments resulting from the establishment of the 524(g) trust by SPHC, partially offset by higher working capital needs to fund higher sales, legal and professional fees and higher pension incentive compensation and bonus payments.

Depreciation and amortization expense was 99.2 million compared to 90.1 million last year driven predominately by the reconsolidation of SPHC and the resulting higher depreciation and amortization expenses. CapEx of 85.4 million this year compared to 93.8 million last year.

Our accounts receivable DSO was 60 days this year compared to 59 days last year. Days of inventory increased to 78 days this year compared to 77 days last year. Finally, a few comments on our capital structure and overall liquidity. As of May 31, 2015, total debt was 1.66 billion compared to last year’s at 1.35 billion.

The increase was principally due to the $450 million trust payment made in December 2014 using funds from our revolving credit facility. During the fourth quarter, the company retired $150 million notes originally set to mature in November 2015, principally with Canadian and European cash.

Also during the fourth quarter, the company issued $250 million 30-year notes with an interest rate of 5.25%, the proceeds of which were primarily used to reduce revolver debt. On a sequential basis, the company reduced its total long-term debt by approximately 212 million from February 28, 2015 to May 31, 2015.

On May 26, 2015, S&P published a ratings upgrade on RPM from BBB minus to BBB. Our net debt-to-capital ratio was 53.4% at May 31, 2015 compared to 42.4% last year, representing a nearly 400 basis point improvement on a sequential basis from the third quarter.

Our long-term liquidity at May 31, 2015 was 964 million with 175 million in cash and 789 million available through our bank revolver and AR securitization facilities. With that, I'll turn the call over to Rusty..

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Barry. I would like to briefly cover our full year FY '16 outlook. Similar to FY '15, FY '16 has several moving parts as well. Before covering some of those items, I would like to first discuss the fundamentals of our various businesses and geographies relative to FY '15.

First, in our consumer segment, we expect a return to top and bottom line growth in Synta and Kirker, both of which were significant drags on sales and earnings in FY '15. Synta has a broad range of new product offerings and placements and Kirker will increase sales from newly implemented bottling capabilities.

New product innovation and market share gains should continue to drive incremental sales. Although the general economics impacting our core consumer segment are all indicating favorably, the continuation of poor weather into the summer season has gotten us off to a slower than expected start.

As a result, consumer segment sales are expected to increase 4% to 5% for the year. In the industrial segment in local currencies, we expect good growth in North and South America, especially in our construction businesses. We expect continued positive momentum from our other U.S.-based businesses, such as those serving the U.S.

commercial construction market as well as SPHC companies. Speaking again in local currencies, we anticipate that our European businesses will turn the corner at some point during FY '16 and resume growth. Offsetting these favorable trends will be a couple of unfavorable items.

First, we have seen a decline in top line sales in our businesses serving the energy sector as overall activity is trending down with the lower cost of oil, and we expect this trend to continue during FY '16.

Second, with about half of the industrial segment sales outside the U.S., the strengthening dollar will have a significant negative impact from a transactional and translational FX perspective, particularly in the first half of the fiscal year.

Based on these factors, assuming no further currency devaluation in the euro and along with an anticipated benefit from the SPHC companies, we expect industrial segment sales to increase 8% to 10%.

Now to some of the moving parts, FY '15 adjusted EPS of $2.38 benefitted from approximately $0.15 per share in earn-out reversals relating to Kirker and Synta. We also incurred $0.07 per share for higher legal and professional services during the year and cost cutting initiatives during the fourth quarter.

Taking these items into account, the FY '15 adjusted EPS base for purposes of understanding FY '16 is $2.30 per share. With $2.30 per share as the starting point for FY '16, I should note that SPHC contributed $0.05 per share in FY '15 leaving our core EPS at $2.25.

We anticipate that RPM core businesses, excluding SPHC, will grow from a base of $2.25 per share to $2.52 per share representing a 12% improvement. Additionally, we expect SPHC to contribute $0.20 per share on a full year basis.

That gets us to a pro forma $2.72 per share representing an 18% improvement over last year and is a better apples-to-apples comparison to FY '15 before two additional items. The first item takes into account the negative impact of translational foreign exchange.

By simply taking actual FY '15 results and applying the spot rate from this past May 31, 2015, our expected FY '16 results will be reduced by $0.07 per share. The second item relates to the anticipated change in tax rates from FY '15 to FY '16.

During the third quarter of FY '15, RPM benefitted from a reversal of certain tax valuation allowances, which drove our effective tax rate for the year down to 26.2%.

In FY '16, we estimate our core effective tax rate at 29%, the increase of which will reduce EPS by $0.10 per share all of which will be recognized during the FY '16 third quarter compared to the prior year.

Therefore, our EPS guidance for FY '16 is $2.55 per share, which includes an incremental contribution for SPHC of $0.15 per share and a $0.27 per share or 12% incremental contribution from our core businesses, reduced by these negative tax and foreign exchange impacts.

For a summary of all these moving parts, please see the investor presentation on our Web site. In order to assist you in modeling the quarterly split for our 2016 guidance, I will mention some important considerations.

Number one, the $0.07 impact expected from unfavorable foreign exchange translation in FY '16 will be heavily weighted in the first half of the fiscal year.

Number two, starting with the first quarter of FY '16, we expect our results will be negatively impacted by rainy weather in the U.S., which will probably be a larger drag on our consumer segment. Number three, you should keep in mind the following unusual items that impacted certain quarters during FY '15.

First, during the second quarter last year, we reversed 17 million for the Kirker earn-out accruals. Secondly, in our adjusted results for the third quarter last year, our income tax line represented income non-expense of nearly $7 million. Third, as we just described for our fourth quarter, we reversed 9.9 million for the Synta earn-out accruals.

This concludes our prepared remarks, and we are now happy to answer your questions..

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. We have a question from John McNulty from Credit Suisse..

John McNulty

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question and also thanks for the bridge on 2016, definitely helpful in kind of thinking about the puts and takes. I guess a few questions.

The first is, I guess with a bunch of moving parts, can you walk us through how we should be thinking about the cash generation in 2016 based on your guidance first, what you saw in 2015..

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Sure, John. We’re going to be investing in capital spending more heavily in 2016 so that will – in the short term negatively impact our cash flow. We’re also picking up the excellent cash flow from our SPHC businesses, which will be a plus. And additionally, we’ll get further tax benefits on the NOL carry-back from the initial settlement payments.

So those will be some of the pieces that move around as we look ahead to FY '16..

John McNulty

Okay, great. And then with regard to the margins, it looks like even backing out some of the – maybe one-time things like the reversal of the Kirker payments, margins looked like they were pretty solid in both businesses.

I guess, can you walk us through if that’s largely the result of some of the raw material benefits you’re seeing or if there’s something else there and then how to think about that progressing forward?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I think the areas that have contributed to the margin improvement have principally been in SG&A. We took some costs out of our industrial segment over the last year, and then throughout this year we took some costs out of both industrial and consumer and have tried to keep a lid on SG&A spending for the year.

We have seen in certain areas some raw material benefits, but it is – it was mentioned in the prior comments, a lot of that was offset by transactional FX where we either purchase raw materials in dollars in foreign operations or where we actually have an intercompany transfer of finished goods from a dollar based manufacturing base into either Canadian or European end use markets..

John McNulty

Okay, fair enough.

And then just last question with regard to the weather impact that you saw in the quarter, is there any way to kind of articulate what the actual hit may have been? I know it’s going to be a little fuzzy, but whether it’s getting data from the point-of-sale side at your customers or what have you that maybe you can give us a little bit of color as to how to think about that?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So I think towards the end of the quarter and we’re experiencing it in the beginning of this first quarter where we’re seeing relatively flat to slightly down year-over-year comps and it’s basically consumer takeaway. And as far as we can tell, I think others in our industry have commented on it, it’s weather related. So a lot of that is deferred.

We had good results starting into spring and we’ve just seen a lot of deferred spending in maintenance and repair. And I think we’ll see a perk up here towards the end of the summer and into our second quarter, but those are the elements that have really impacted consumer not so much on our industrial business..

John McNulty

Great. Thanks very much for the color..

Operator

We have a question from Frank Mitsch from Wells Fargo..

Frank Mitsch

Hi. Good morning, gentlemen.

Just to follow up on that last question, what are your thoughts about making it up in fiscal second quarter, fiscal third quarter the weather impact on consumer?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I think as you think about this year with some of the detail that Rusty provided in his prepared comments, you’ll see stronger underlying performance in our second quarter and our fourth quarter on a net basis. A lot of that has to do with both the slow starting consumers to the first quarter as well as the tax impact on our third quarter.

And so I think we’ll see pretty good results in the second and fourth quarter. The second quarter will still have some negative hit from the year-over-year foreign exchange impact. And if rates stay roughly where they are, most of that FX hit will have been hit in the first half of the year..

Frank Mitsch

All right, understood. And on the Synta reversal, I mean obviously I think you would prefer to pay out all the earn-out and then some, but it looks like you went to plan B here.

Where does that business stand now? What are your expectations in fiscal '16? I mean it sounded as if – I think you were talking about Synta and Kirker looking at better top lines in '16.

Can you just expand upon that please?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Any earn-out associated with the Synta transaction is now finished, and it’s been a very challenging – both Kirker and Synta had extraordinary growth in fiscal '14 and there were a number of dynamics in their underlying markets as well as just comparing kind of explosive expansion years.

For Synta, we have a number of new product placements and expect a nice recovery both in the top and bottom line for those product lines. You’ll see a lot of that in the spring and early summer of next year, a little bit of that this fall.

Kirker, we’ve been talking about building out capacity in the bottling area and we’ve had expansion in Europe and through the acquisition of some assets as well as some internal investment in assets, have finally accomplished what we want there. So you’re going to see a nice recovery in both Synta but also in Kirker throughout fiscal '16.

And both of those are good product lines in terms of sales and on a leverage basis, how it leverages their bottom line..

Frank Mitsch

All right..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

And lastly, both of those are predominately U.S. and so their contribution to sales and earnings will not be impacted by FX nearly to the extent of the rest of RPM..

Frank Mitsch

All right, terrific, that’s helpful.

And then lastly, as I think about the 8% to 10% growth in industrial, what percent of that would you say is M&A versus – or volume and price?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So when you think about – I’ll give you both consumer and industrial on a standard rate basis, we’re looking at core growth of about 5% and then the impact of predominately SPHC of about 10% and then that gets cut back again in the first half of the year by FX.

So including what we anticipate the negative impact to foreign currency translation that’s what drives that 8% to 10%. But on a core basis, pretty solid core growth, 10% contribution of SPHC throughout the year. We’re looking at 4% to 5% core growth in consumer as well.

And I think you get a sense of what we’ve done in terms of really focusing on SG&A and what we hope to be a better mix this year when again you look at core growth of 5% driving core earnings growth of 12%. So it’s pretty nice leverage before you take into account the hit from foreign exchange..

Frank Mitsch

Terrific. Thanks so much..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

We have a question from Ghansham Panjabi from Baird..

Ghansham Panjabi

Hi, guys. Good morning. Can you sort of give us more detail, I’m sorry if I missed this, in terms of the various end markets for industrial U.S. commercial construction and also maybe a sense as to what you’re seeing in Europe specific to commercial construction there? Thanks..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. As it relates to commercial construction, we’re continuing to see good growth in the core U.S. markets and that’s across sealant product lines, across roofing and water proofing, concrete admixtures.

We’re seeing good growth in terms of market share gains in a number of new product areas, a new proprietary roofing system in our Tremco roofing business that is really seeing explosive growth, continued expansion both organically and also based on capital expansion in some of the Euclid's TUF-STRAND fiber business.

I think we’re picking up market share in Latin America. Our Brazilian business continues to show year-over-year growth in local currencies despite some of the economic challenges that you can read in the headlines about what’s happening in Brazil.

About the only area in our industrial business that really from a market perspective is going to be hampered throughout the year, our product lines corrosion control coatings, fireproofing products that serve the petrochemical and oil production, exploration, fracing markets, those revenues could be down 20% to 30% year-over-year.

So that’s probably a couple hundred million bucks of revenues that will be negatively affected market wise. Lastly, we’re starting to see in local currencies some flattening out in our European operations and given the difficult challenges they had in fiscal '15, you should see some easier comps as they businesses pick up.

But again, I’ll remind you that most of the headwinds we’re seeing are either euro related or Canadian dollar related. We will experience most of that over the first half of this new fiscal year assuming rates stay where they are..

Ghansham Panjabi

Okay, great. That’s helpful. And then maybe a question for Rusty on the 5% core sales growth and the bridge to the 12% core EPS growth that you called out both in your slide deck and your comments.

What are the major drivers there?.

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

The major drivers for the EPS growth in 12%, well, I mean a lot of it is derived from the more robust volume increases in our industrial segment. Of course FX is a drag but we are getting nice volume gains and leverage to the bottom line from our construction businesses throughout the Americas.

On the consumer side, we’re going to have more modest growth but it’s really industrial that’s driving that core growth for RPM in fiscal '15..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So also, Ghansham, I might add to that, throughout the year we took about $10.5 million or $11 million of severance restructuring charges, about 6.5 of that was in the fourth quarter. And so we continue to kind of sharpen up our SG&A and particularly in the industrial segment.

And with rising revenues, you’re going to see the benefits in fiscal '16 and hopefully beyond of some of our actions here in the SG&A area. I also think we’ll have better product mix.

Certainly Synta and Kirker are two examples of product lines that have a more favorable margin mix, and to the extent that we see nice recovery there, that will positively impact our margins as well..

Ghansham Panjabi

Okay. Thanks so much, guys..

Operator

We have a question from Vincent Andrews from Morgan Stanley..

Vincent Andrews

Thanks and good morning, everyone.

Could you just give a sense in the quarter sort of how the revenue line was put together in both segments in terms of volume price and mix?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. When you look at the quarter – I want to look at something here real quick.

We had flat to slightly down results in consumer, and then you had a contribution – Barry, do you have the SPHC contribution or the acquisition contribution in the quarter?.

Barry M. Slifstein

In the quarter for the industrial segment, acquisition growth accounted for 16.3%, the bulk of which was SPHC. Pricing in this environment is fairly neutral and organic growth is largely offset by foreign currency..

Vincent Andrews

Okay.

And same thing in consumer or obviously ex SPHC?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

In consumer, there’s really no SPHC. We had organic sales down about 1% and then FX further reduced consumer segment results by 2.5%..

Vincent Andrews

What about the mix impact? You referenced mix as sort of the reason why GPM got hurt..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Again, we had a poor performance throughout the year including obviously in the fourth quarter. That was the basis for the reversal on the Synta acquisition earn-out.

So, if you look at Synta product lines, Kirker product lines to a certain extent, Carboline product lines in industrial which are negatively impacted by what’s happening in the whole oil and gas area, it tends to be higher margin areas. And so that’s really what drove the mix.

And we would hope to see some of that margin improvement in fiscal '16 as Kirker and Synta recover in consumer. And I think a margin improvement in industrial is going to be more relative to SG&A control and some expense cuts as opposed to real benefits from mix..

Vincent Andrews

Okay.

And then just lastly, was price flat in consumer as well? And then how should we be thinking about GPM in fiscal '16?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

We would expect to see gross margins improve a little bit. We are benefiting from some raw material reductions. That’s offset by some of the foreign exchange transactional impact, and then the balance of it is mix..

Vincent Andrews

Okay. Thanks very much..

Operator

We have a question from Jeff Zekauskas from JPMorgan..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Silke..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Hi. Good morning.

How are you?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Good..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

How large is the – I have a couple of questions. I’m going to start with the easy ones.

How large is the energy business for you?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think that the revenues that we would have that would be impacted by energy are probably around 200 million. And it’s principally fiber grade product lines, Carboline product line that relate to corrosion control coatings, fireproofing coatings; also some of our product lines that are involved in transportation, railcar, stuff like that.

But whether it’s from fracing, which has been an area that we’ve had some good success or the maintenance and repair, which can’t be deferred for very long but is certainly being deferred now on major refineries, offshore oil, those types of things, we’re seeing significant top line reductions and obviously the impact on our bottom line in those areas and that is reflected in our 2016 guidance..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Secondly, I was wondering whether the – the weather effect that you’re seeing and I guess in June, will that have an impact on the roofing business in the industrial side or it shouldn’t have?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

It will have a little bit of an impact on the roofing business, but I think after a couple of years of challenges in our Tremco roofing business, some of which were self-inflicted, we have had a really nice turnaround.

They contributed nicely to the fourth quarter and we expect both their core business and then as a result of some new coatings products and technology that they introduced that we’ll see a really strong performance in 2016. That’s also part of the mix story there. Our Tremco roofing business had slightly higher margins than RPM averages.

Just as one example in the new products category, our AlphaGuard product line which is a polyurethane-related roof coating with some proprietary technology, we sold about 5 million of that product in fiscal '14, about 20 million of that product in '15 and hope to double those product sales or more in 2016.

And really nice recovery there, good leadership, a very engaged sales force and not only core but new products are being real successful there. So that’s a nice story..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

On the industrial business, does your outlook include the acquisitions that you already made? Maybe there’s like $45 million worth in sales from acquisitions that you already made.

Are those included in the sales growth forecast for '16?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

That’s correct. And I had commented earlier, Silke, that we’re really looking at on a standard currency basis about 15% growth in our industrial segment. That’s about 5% core growth and about 10% from acquisitions, most of which is the reconsolidation of SPHC but not all of it. It’s some of the smaller acquisitions you’re referencing.

And then that gets knocked back by currency to the 8% to 10% range that we had provided for the industrial segment for '16..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Understand, so the 8% to 10% is all in that, okay..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

That’s correct. That includes both core growth, impact of acquisition growth for the year as well as the negative impact that we expect of FX..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

And then I have like two – just so I actually understand, like two questions that has to do with understanding the charges.

So on Slide 29, so core growth on an apples-to-apples basis lead to earnings per share in '16, it was like $2.72 and then there’s like a $0.10 headwind from taxes and a $0.07 headwind from foreign currency and that’s how you get to your new guidance of $2.55?.

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

That’s correct. And I’ll tell you the one thing that’s not on this slide is if you start with the 2015 adjusted EPS of $2.38, within fiscal '15 had foreign exchange rates stayed steady from the beginning of the year to the end of the year, we’d have added $0.08.

So we lost $0.08 per share in fiscal '15 without which we’d have reported $2.46 as opposed to the $2.38. So there’s an $0.08 headwind in '15. Just spot rates today versus where our average rates were that drove our '15 results will dictate another $0.07 loss principally in the first half of fiscal '16. So that’s how you get down to there.

Plus we’re assuming a more normal tax rate of 29% for the year and so that drives the other $0.10 hit. But when you look on a core basis, we should have good leverage on our core businesses by contributions from acquisitions.

And so there’s nothing modest about 12% core earnings growth given the economics in Europe and some of the challenges that our businesses are more than overcoming in Latin America, particularly Brazil..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Yes. And then my last question is and it’s also just to understand where the charges sit, so this quarter there was like a 10 million benefit from the reversal of the accrual and so presumably that’s sort of like a benefit on the consumer side, and it’s probably a benefit that sits on the gross margin line.

Is that correct?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

It flows throughout the P&L in terms of Synta results but the actual earn-out reversal would be in SG&A, not in gross margin. And as you strip that out, I think on revenues that were down about 1%, we had a consumer segment that grew year-over-year 5%..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Okay. And the 6.5 million severance expense, that’s presumably mostly affects the industrial business and is also an SG&A item..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

That’s correct..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Okay.

And then there’s a 2 million headwind that was an inventory step-up that I presume that sits in cost of goods sold, and that’s related to the industrial business of the SPHC issue?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

That’s correct..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Okay. And that’s like a 4 million headwind from paying down a piece of your debt early..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, interest expense is overstated. We had a favorable early redemption of bonds that were due in December, so we had accelerated a certain amount of interest expense and related fee accruals, but I think Barry commented 23 million is more of an ongoing quarterly rate for interest expense..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Okay, that’s helpful. I’ll get back into queue. Thanks very much..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Mike Ritzenthaler from Piper Jaffray..

Mike Ritzenthaler

Good morning. A couple of questions just to clarify some earlier points, I guess the first are on taxes.

Does the higher expected tax rate in fiscal '16 that already incorporates the potential benefit or the refund from SPHC NOLs?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

That’s correct, but in reality and I am not a tax expert, but the NOL affects our cash taxes but really doesn’t have an impact on a reported book taxes..

Mike Ritzenthaler

Sure..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So you’re not going to see it that way, except – it took a while for our tax folks to explain that to me. And so they’re really kind of disjointed. We will get a nice tax benefit from those NOLs in the next year or two, but you won’t see that on our book reported effective tax rate..

Mike Ritzenthaler

Okay, that makes sense. And then I guess if taxes are expected to be a $0.10 headwind in '16 and FX is expected to be a $0.07 headwind, it doesn’t look or appear that raw material provide much of a tailwind.

And I’m just wondering is that – are lower raw material costs already included elsewhere or what’s the right way to embed lower raws into our models as we think about '16?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So I think part of the raw material benefit you would see as we build this up in a core growth of 5%, which is leverage to a core earnings growth of about 12%. And it just depends on the business. In some places, in the energy sector, we’re not getting much benefit here because of the reduction in revenues.

And we were particularly getting hit the other way with transactional FX as we produce most of our products in the U.S. For instance, it gets sold in Canada and some intercompany transactions from U.S. to Europe..

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

And we’re benefitting from lower raw materials but it’s getting eaten up in a few places..

Mike Ritzenthaler

Okay, that makes sense.

And then I guess the last question from me is the visibility in consumer into the potential growth within that business from the NeverWet OEM application, something that’s come up in a couple of previous calls, just wondered if there’s an update there? And just if you could comment on the visibility that you have there, that’s be helpful. Thank you..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. In consumer, it’s actually an interesting communication conundrum because we have some commitments on new product placements in deck coating areas for the upcoming 12 months; a little bit this fall, a lot in the spring of next year.

We should be gaining market share in a number of areas related to small project paint whether it’s in some spray paint product areas or in wood stains and finishes, and as well as new products like NeverWet which continue to be good. We’ve shipped our first NeverWet OEM products relatively modest and continue to work with OEMs on approval.

A lot of those approvals are in China related to OEM products that are produced in China and exported back to the U.S.

And so I’d say that we are experiencing a relatively – at least for us a poor start to the year, which seems to be weather related, which is in sharp contrast to new product placements in our expectations for some nice growth in that segment.

So you’ll see a better growth as the year progresses and certainly in the back half of the year as it relates to some of the new product commitments that we’re talking about. And unfortunately we’re experiencing relatively flat results in our first quarter..

Mike Ritzenthaler

Yes. Thank you, Frank..

Operator

The next question comes from Rosemarie Morbelli from Gabelli & Company..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Rosemarie..

Rosemarie Morbelli

Good morning, everyone. Obviously, a lot of my questions have been answered but I was wondering, Frank you said that CapEx will – or maybe Barry said CapEx will increase substantially in 2016.

Can you give us a feel for the amount that you’re expecting? And then is it all related to SPHC or is it going in some other areas?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So CapEx is going to go up in a manner that is probably surprising to some and it’s an area that we’re really excited about. Our plan for CapEx in 2016 is 120 million. That’s up from what’s been an $85 million to $90 million range over the last couple of years. And it’s driven by a number of things.

First, from a macro perspective, we look back over the last decade and we have deployed about $3.5 billion worth of capital, 575 million of that has gone – on an after-tax basis has gone into this whole asbestos mess with that resolution.

I think we’re very excited and have been working with our Board and our operating leaders about our kind of footing going forward. And so you will see us spending CapEx for internal investment particularly for international markets more aggressively.

The big things that are driving that, we are expanding the Tremco roofing AlphaGuard coatings capacity at their product line, I mentioned, is continuing to grow very nicely. We’re continuing to add capacity outside of North America now for the Euclid TUF-STRAND products. We are in the final stages of the bottling capacity for Kirker.

We’re expanding in Latin America. We have a Colombian operation that was acquired 20 years ago at about $1 million. They’ll do over $25 million today, so we’re building a whole new greenfield plant there that serves Central America.

And then I guess the last thing I’d commented on is we’re continuing to spend money in Viapol and by the end of this year, we should be in position to have Viapol as a base of business for RPM in Brazil not only to the Viapol product line that we talked about but for Euclid admixtures, concrete flooring, Tremco sealant and Carboline corrosion control coatings.

And lastly, we’re in the beginning stages of utilizing that on a Viapol build-out model around a Flowcrete plant in Malaysia where we have early commitments to add Euclid chemical, concrete repair and admixture capacity in the next 12 months, as well as Tremco sealant and Carboline coatings.

So we’re real excited to – this isn’t really an increase in our capital deployment so much as it is a very welcome ability to deploy all of the capital we generate either to a more aggressive growth approach internally or to when appropriate returning more capital to shareholders..

Rosemarie Morbelli

That is very helpful, Frank. Thanks.

So if we look at it this way then in the future, the next FX issue when this one goes away, does that mean that then you will end up with mostly translation type of hit as opposed to transaction as you seem to be adding capacity in other regions as opposed to exporting from the U.S.?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

It really depends on what foreign exchange rates do, but we’ve got a huge opportunity to grow in different parts of the world. What we’re doing in Malaysia is really along with a couple other things an opportunity to start being more forward investing in the Asia Pacific region, which is wide open for RPM companies..

Rosemarie Morbelli

And if none of those particular projects are going to benefit the top line in 2016, are those mostly 2017 type of impact?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

You’ll see the benefits of those in 2017, 2018 and beyond. That’s correct..

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you.

And if we look at whether Congress – if Congress passes the infrastructure project, what kind of a benefit can we expect for you guys in 2016?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

It certainly will help us to the extent that a major highway bill is passed. We have a number of corrosion control product lines for infrastructure, waterproofing product lines for infrastructure. And so that certainly will be a nice benefit.

And hopefully if it happens will serve to offset some of the challenges in those same businesses around oil and gas..

Rosemarie Morbelli

And you don’t have any of that in your projections, correct?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Just the kind of core stuff that we would do year-to-year maintenance wise..

Rosemarie Morbelli

Okay.

And then lastly, SPHC, could you give us a feel for the type of cash flow generation?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

They’re good businesses with – as we had talked about earlier, about 400 million in annualized sales. That is growing and very nice cash flow benefit from those businesses aside from the tax, the NOLs associated with the tax deductibility of the payments. So, they’re a real nice addition to RPM.

Margins typically are at or slightly better than our average and cash flow relative to the working capital investment is somewhat better than the RPM averages..

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from Christopher Perrella from Bloomberg Intelligence. Please go ahead..

Christopher Perrella

Hi. Thank you.

Could you give a bit more color on your Brazilian operations? Is Viapol keeping pace – your share gains there keeping pace with the currency drop? And also are you currently selling Tremco and other products through Viapol, and when this capacity expansion comes online, will that then I guess reduce your local manufacturing costs?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

The answer to most of those questions is yes. In the quarter, we saw double-digit revenue growth from Viapol split evenly between core growth and the Betumat [ph] acquisition that they did a few years ago – it’s actually just a year ago.

And it kind of defies the headlines of what you see down in Brazil, so we’re real happy with the results of that business and the strong leadership we have down there. We should start to see the benefit in the second half of the year.

Some of the Euclid product line production down there as well as some of the polymer flooring product lines down there. I don’t think we’re going to see much benefit on the top line from the Tremco sealant or Carboline coatings until 2017. Those capital expansions will be happening in 2016.

And then the other element of it is making sure that you have the right timing and match of how you’re expanding your sales and tech service capability at the same time.

So it’s a very well run business and a very interesting economy and country, and we have I think created a model that we can use in other parts of the world where we take that and really make it the platform for any and all RPM companies for the Brazilian marketplace.

And as I indicated earlier, part of the big increase in CapEx is starting the same thing in Asia around an existing plant in Malaysia..

Christopher Perrella

Okay. And then a quick one on Kirker. Are you done with the potential earn-out adjustments on that? I think you mentioned in your prepared remarks, Synta is done at this point..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

We have one more earn-out of approximately $70 million which was the same number that was reversed in fiscal '17, so it will be the last year.

And we’re pretty hopeful with the completion of the capital spending for having Kirker getting into the filling capacity, but just a rebound in their core market that their results will be such that there will have earned that earn-out and that will be good news for RPM shareholders as well as former Kirker shareholders as well.

But that’s the last remaining earn-out that would possibly be addressed in fiscal '16..

Christopher Perrella

Okay. Thank you very much..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

The last comment I’ll make on that is if we reverse the earn-out, obviously we will call it out as a specific single item..

Christopher Perrella

Great..

Operator

Our next question comes from Ivan Marcuse from KeyBanc Capital..

Ivan Marcuse

Hi. Just a quick question.

If your SG&A as a percent of sales has been moving in a pretty positive direction over the past couple of years, do you have a goal or expectation of where you think you could get SG&A as a percent of sales or thoughts around that?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure, I appreciate the question because it’s been a very deliberate effort. And I think we’ve done a lot on the SG&A side in our consumer segment and not too sure how much more there is there. But I can tell you on the industrial segment, there is a couple hundred basis points that we can get at over the next three or four years.

And that’s an area as we’ve gone equally with both of these business segments in the last year, in the fourth quarter and I think in the coming year you’ll see continued efforts particularly in our industrial segment both through leveraging higher revenues but also through being sharp on expenses in terms of where we chose to invest and where appropriate taking some cutbacks or severance actions.

And so that’s where it should come. We’ve continued to show margin improvement over the next two to three years. I would expect just to show another 100 basis points or so on a consolidated basis, and more of that would come from industrial than consumer..

Ivan Marcuse

Have the initiatives on the SG&A line changed your – sort of the way you view acquisitions as a result? So typically you used to buy them and let them run.

Is there a little bit of a focus on top of letting them run, what kind of costs can we take out or leverage existing costs?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

No, I think our acquisition activities will continue as they have. We’ve gotten pretty good at identifying medium-sized businesses that we can bring into RPM, particularly the RPM2 or our SPHC type of businesses. And then we’ve got relatively good at actually acquiring product lines and fully integrating those.

One of the areas that we’ll spend more time talking about is EBITDA in terms of showing margin improvement for two reasons. Number one, when we reconsolidated the SPHC businesses, we had to go through – and again I’m not a CPA but go through a type of purchased price accounting, if you will.

That’s not the right way to typify it, but we revalued all of the intangibles on businesses that we had previously acquired and already had intangibles on them, and really stepped those up.

So that’s driving somewhere in the neighborhood of 8 million a year, vary 8 million to 10 million – yes, somewhere in the neighborhood of 8 million to 10 million a year of higher amortization. It’s non-cash amortization and will be purely additive to cash flow.

And then you will see as we start spending more to build out our capital base some higher levels of depreciation. Most of that will hit the gross margin line..

Ivan Marcuse

With that, Rusty, what’s your expectation for – you may have said this and I apologize if I missed it, depreciation and amortization for '16?.

Russell L. Gordon Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I said it will go up because we’ll have a full year of the stepped up asset at SPHC both from an amortization standpoint and a depreciation of stepped up plant, property and equipment standpoint..

Ivan Marcuse

Great.

So how much will it be up?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Ivan, it will be about 100 million, maybe a couple of million more than that in fiscal '16, the combined depreciation and amortization..

Ivan Marcuse

Great. Thanks for taking my questions..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

We have a follow-up question from Jeff Zekauskas from JPMorgan..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Yes.

Do you plan to repatriate any cash this year?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

No, we do not..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

You do not..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

No, we do not..

Silke Kueck-Valdes

Okay. That was my follow-up question. Thanks very much..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

We have a question from Robert Ritzi from Brodart Capital [ph]..

Unidentified Analyst

Yes, just two quick questions. I probably missed it. Have you seen any improvement in your business in Latin America, especially Brazil? And then I just have one other quick question..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. We had commented earlier about fourth quarter performance of our Viapol business, which broadly now is really euphemism for RPM’s presence in Brazil, and we were up double digits. It was about half organic growth and half acquisition related from some product lines that we have completed. And that is on a standard rate basis.

So the RPM companies across the globe and particularly in Brazil are competing and winning in the marketplace. You’re seeing those real results in local currencies get knocked back by translational impact. So on a year-over-year basis in the fourth quarter, I think we were flat to slightly down in our Brazilian results when translated back into U.S.

dollars even though we were up double digits..

Unidentified Analyst

And just on top of that, do you see business getting better in Brazil, staying – not counting the acquisition but the organic business getting better or still tough slightly or what?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I’ll give you a mixed answer. I think for us, yes, we see it getting better because we’re investing into it and we’re expanding market share and product ranges that we didn’t produce in Brazil. So, for instance, our Tremco sealant business, our Euclid chemical business we have a presence down there but most of it is imported.

So to the extent that we can start manufacturing locally, we’ll have the ability to produce at lower costs, provide better service. So I think we’re going to still be growing. The headlines for Brazil aren’t good. I think that’s obvious and well known.

And both our kind of forward investment attitude down there and really strong leadership is leading the continuing sales and earnings growth on a local currency basis..

Unidentified Analyst

And the second not related to Brazil is, if you looked at the housing business which you are obviously heavily related to, are you getting from builders or your customers more optimistic signs? Obviously the weather people have commented was lousy last 90 days, but are you getting a sense of optimism from your customers, building is going to pick up, et cetera, or that’s just because the weather was so bad you feel more optimistic?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I think we feel more optimistic about our consumer product areas for the balance of the year, but we have clearly been impacted by just abysmal end of spring, start to summer in many parts of the U.S. And our consumer segment is predominately a U.S. or North American, U.S.-Canada type business versus our industrial segment, which is more 50-50 U.S.

versus rest of the world..

Unidentified Analyst

But do you have any signs, concrete signs that business is going to pick up other than hopefully the weather gets better?.

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. Again, we had commented earlier. We get a number of market share gains in some small project paint areas, some new commitments more at the end of our fiscal year, so into spring of next year and deck coating areas.

So we’ve got a number of new product areas and some market share gains that should benefit our consumer businesses nicely for the balance of the year, and I think the underlying dynamics of housing turnover, new home construction, all of which will support solid growth. Nothing spectacular but the underlying dynamics are not bad..

Unidentified Analyst

Thanks very much for your help..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. I will like to turn the call back over to Mr. Sullivan for final remarks..

Frank C. Sullivan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Fiscal 2015 marked the end of RPM’s five-year plan to hit 5 billion in annual sales. Although we finished the year at approximately 4.6 billion, the shortfall was much narrower than meets the eye.

In our five-year plan, we contemplated the resolution of SPHC in less than four years providing for at least one full fiscal year of their 400 million plus in annual revenues. Secondly, as we had noted on this call, our current year sales were reduced by $154 million due to unfavorable foreign exchange related to the strong dollar.

Had both of those been adjusted for revenues would have been in excess of $5 billion. We actually hit 92% of the revenue growth goals that we communicated publicly five years ago, and 97% of the income goals that we had communicated to our Board internally.

Over that five-year period, including the 10.7% adjusted net income growth for the fiscal year just ended, we had five straight years of solid double-digit earnings growth.

We are very excited about a forward investing posture that will drive another long-term strategic plan of positive sales and earnings growth for RPM and our shareholders in the coming years. With that, we thank you for your presence on our investor call today.

We look forward to welcoming a number of you to our luncheon at the New York Stock Exchange this afternoon and to commenting to all of you as we progress through 2016. Thank you and have a great day..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect..

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