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Real Estate - REIT - Hotel & Motel - NYSE - US
$ 25.11
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$ 1.49 B
Market Cap
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q3
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Executives

Hilda Delgado – Vice President of Finance Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr. – President and Chief Executive Officer Leslie D. Hale – Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer.

Analysts

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets Ryan Meliker – MLV & Co. Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital.

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the RLJ Lodging Trust third quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms.

Hilda Delgado, Vice President of Finance. Thank you. You may begin..

Hilda Delgado

Thank you, Operator. Welcome to RLJ's third quarter earnings call. On today's call, Tom Baltimore, the company's President and Chief Executive Officer will discuss key operational highlights for the quarter. Leslie Hale, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer, will discuss the company's financial results.

Forward-looking statements made on this call are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that may cause the company's actual results to differ materially from what has been communicated. Factors that may impact the results of the company can be found in the company's 10-K and other reports filed with the SEC.

The company undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements. Also, as we discuss certain non-GAAP measures, it may be helpful to review the reconciliations to GAAP located in our press release from last night. I will now turn the call over to Tom..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Thank you, Hilda. Good morning everyone, and welcome to our 2014 third quarter earnings call. I am very pleased to report that our portfolio delivered another quarter of impressive results. This quarter, our RevPAR grew 9.6% and EBITDA margins expanded by more than 200 basis points to 36.8%.

In addition to closing out another strong quarter, we acquired two hotels for over $125 million, and also recently announced the completion of a $143 million secured financing that provides us with further room for growth. As a result of our continued positive performance, we increased our quarterly dividends by 36% over last quarter.

Overall, we are encouraged by the improving economic climate we saw this quarter despite the extensive media coverage on geopolitical risk and Ebola. We are seeing business expansion and consumer confidence maintain positive trends. Improvements in labor conditions continue to drive the unemployment rate down, which is currently at a six-year low.

The positive trends and economic indicators are providing continued momentum for the lodging industry. Over the last 12 months, demand growth outpaced supply growth by approximately 310 basis points. U.S. domestic demand continues to expand and despite weak economic headlines in Europe, international travel continues to accelerate.

We expect international travel to continue to increase in the upcoming years and provide an additional catalyst for the sector. Supply growth remains certainly well below historical levels and is expected to stay muted over the next two to three years, supporting the positive lodging fundamentals that we are experiencing.

For our portfolio during the third quarter, we generated RevPAR growth of 9.6% and EBITDA margin expansion of 201 basis points. Our steady growth has been the result of our focus on operational excellence and the overall upgrading of our portfolio. This quarter, several of our top markets generated double-digit RevPAR growth.

I'll start with our hotels in Austin, which posted RevPAR growth of 14.1%. Austin continues to benefit from a strong technology sector and a vibrant entertainment scene. This quarter's strong convention calendar generated more than 80% increase in convention room nights over last year.

The increase in travel to Austin is further apparent through Austin's airport, which has recorded passenger gains in almost all of the last 56 months and hit the million-passenger milestone for the first time in July. Looking ahead, we expect this market will continue to outperform.

Our hotels in Denver had another quarter of strong RevPAR growth of 11.1%. Our hotels saw a broad-based increase in corporate demand and a high influx of weekend activity. Passenger traffic at Denver International Airport also grew for the ninth consecutive month in August.

While Denver has consistently been one of our top performers this year, we expect fourth quarter growth will taper given the influx of flood-related business we picked up last year. Our DC hotels had a strong quarter with 10.8% RevPAR growth.

DC had a very active convention calendar with citywide generating over 100,000 more room nights than last year. We also saw a strong growth in corporate demand, especially from the insurance and healthcare sectors.

Looking ahead, we expect the market will finish the year on a positive note with a healthy citywide outlook and better comps due to government shutdown in 2013. We are also very pleased to see that Lonely Planet ranked DC as the top city in the world to visit next year. We expect that this will bode well for stronger tourism traffic in 2015.

Our hotels in Houston generated RevPAR growth of 10.4%. Our portfolio this quarter benefited from strong leisure demand as well as business demand from the expansion of several technology companies and growth from the energy sector. In addition to growing RevPAR our properties continue to gain market share.

Going forward, we expect this dynamic market will generate high-single-digit growth and end the year as one of our top performers. Our hotels in the Chicago market recovered from a weaker first half of the year, generating strong RevPAR growth of 8.9%.

Our hotels were able to capitalize on the city's strong convention calendar as well as the strong corporate demand from the insurance and financial services sector.

Additionally, our mid-wave portfolio experienced a significant increase in business resulting from the air traffic control tower fire that temporarily closed the O'Hare and Midway airports. Looking ahead, we expect our hotels will continue to see positive growth. As expected, our New York hotels had relatively modest RevPAR growth of 1.3%.

We are pleased to see a great turnout at several annual events such as Fashion Week and the U.S. Open. Positive increases in travel to New York continued to absorb new supply. We expect next quarter's growth will pick up modestly.

In addition to strong performance from several of our top six markets, we also saw impressive gains in several of our other markets. Our hotels in New Orleans grew RevPAR by 30% due to strong convention activity. Louisville saw a strong turnout from the PGA Championship and generated a RevPAR growth of 18%.

Our recently acquired Hyatt portfolio is also performing very well with RevPAR growth of 13.4%. Our most recent five conversions are ramping with another quarter of double-digit RevPAR growth of 13.3%. We are excited about the completion of one of our three major renovation projects that we had underway, the Residence Inn located in Midtown Atlanta.

The all-in cost of $144,000 per key represents a significant discount to replacement costs. We expect this asset, along with our San Francisco and Houston assets, which are scheduled to open late in the first quarter of next year, will generate further growth for our portfolio in 2015 and beyond.

Regarding our transaction activity, we used proceeds from our May equity raise to acquire two previously announced assets in off-market transactions for just over $125 million. We acquired the newly converted Hyatt Atlanta Midtown for $49.5 million.

We expect the hotel to benefit from Midtown's healthy business environment and from Hyatt's under-representation in the market. We also acquired the DoubleTree Grant Key Resort for $77 million, which is a significant discount to both replacement cost and to recent transactions.

We expect the hotel to continue to outperform given Key West's strong tourism demand and its high barriers for new supply. In total we have acquired 15 assets for $630 million since the beginning of the year, more than half of which are located on the West Coast. These assets are expected to be strong contributors to our future growth.

In fact, our RevPAR growth for 2014 acquisitions grew 12% during the quarter, 240 basis points higher than the portfolio average. Our acquisition pipeline remains active. We are seeing a steady flow of quality assets come to market from sellers.

Competition for these assets however is also increasing in particular from private equity firms and foreign investors. We will remain disciplined and continue to seek ways to leverage existing relationships to acquire compliant assets at attractive prices. We remain committed to recycling capital from slower growth markets into higher ones.

To date, we have sold 15 hotels for approximately $130 million. We have earmarked an additional 26 hotels for sale. These assets are at various stages of the marketing process and therefore we will provide further updates if and when they close.

Our prudent investments strategy and aggressive asset management once again generated strong growth for our portfolio. We believe we are mid-cycle with plenty of runway remaining for the lodging sector. I am pleased with the results we have achieved to date and I'm optimistic that our portfolio is well-positioned to generate future growth.

As a result of these improvements we are raising our guidance for the third time this year. We are increasing our RevPAR growth to 6% to 8%, increasing our hotel EBITDA guidance to $390 million to $410 million and increasing our EBITDA margins to 35.1% to 36.1%.

I will now pass the call over to Leslie, who will provide some additional information on our financial performance for the quarter..

Leslie D. Hale President, Chief Executive Officer & Trustee

Thanks, Tom. Our results this quarter illustrate that our disciplined investment strategy and our focus on operational excellence continues to drive solid growth for our portfolio. This quarter, our strong performance generated an increase of $15.1 million to $109.4 million in Hotel EBITDA representing a 16% increase over the prior year.

Our EBITDA margin expanded 201 basis points to 36.8% as we worked with our management companies to strong positive flow-through. With regards to our corporate results, for the quarter, our adjusted EBITDA increased $20.9 million to $101.6 million, resulting in a 25.8% increase over the same period last year.

Adjusted FFO increased $22.3 million to $87.4 million, representing a 34.2% increase. For the quarter, adjusted FFO equates to $0.66 on a per-share basis. Adjusted FFO this quarter increased as a result of strong operating performance and interest expense savings captured from our balance sheet management efforts.

Adjustments worth noting this quarter include a $9.2 million impairment charge for certain assets that we are currently marketing for sale. These assets in particular are among the lowest RevPAR assets in our portfolio, are located in secondary markets and have some of the larger capital requirements in our portfolio.

In addition to taking a hands-on approach to our overall portfolio, we are also committed to managing our balance sheet. Maintaining a conservative capital structure that provides us with flexibility and a solid foundation for future growth is a fundamental principle for us.

We have been exploring various options to address our near-term debt maturities. As a result, we were able to refinance a $143 million tranche of debt shortly after quarter end. A favorable lending environment coupled with our strong banking relationships allowed us to successfully execute this transaction.

In doing so, we further staggered our maturities, unencumbered an additional asset in our portfolio, and increased our balance sheet flexibility. We originated four first-mortgage loans, totaling $143 million and used the proceeds to retire five existing loans.

The new mortgages are interest-only for the first five years and bear a floating rate of LIBOR plus 225 basis points. These are synthetic seven-year loans with a base term of three years and four one-year extension options. Including the extensions, this tranche of debt will now mature in 2021.

Since closing this transaction we hedged one-third of the outstanding principal with an interest rate swap. We anticipate hedging the remaining amount in the near term. Once complete, we expect our all-in interest rate for the new loan to be equivalent to the interest rate on the recently extinguished debt.

We will continue to monitor the capital markets for additional opportunities to further strengthen our balance sheet. As of quarter end, we had an outstanding debt balance of $1.6 billion and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5 times. We ended the quarter with an unrestricted cash balance of $274 million.

Our cash on hand, along with our undrawn line of credit, provides us with ample liquidity to fund current acquisitions. The strong growth in our portfolio and operating income not only bolstered our balance sheet but also allowed us to significantly increase our dividends.

In the third quarter, we increased our dividend by 36% over the prior quarter to $0.30. With this year's annual distribution, we will have increased our dividend by 20% per annum on average over the last three years.

As discussed this before, it is our general policy to distribute a 100% of our REIT taxable income and all future dividends are subject to board approval. Other capital outlays for the year include our 2014 renovation plan, which is now in its final stage.

Most of the renovations scheduled for this year are taking place in the fourth quarter and are currently underway. We expect 60 to 80 basis points of disruption for the fourth quarter and approximately 40 to 50 basis points for the full year.

As always, our in-house team is working closely with our asset managers and the properties to minimize potential disruption. One of our key renovations this year is the Residence Inn located in Midtown Atlanta, which we are pleased to announce reopened shortly after the quarter ended.

During the renovation we made significant improvements to the hotel including adding 12 keys and upgrading all the rooms and common areas. We expect the newly renovated asset to benefit from its central location in the heart of Midtown Atlanta.

We are also excited by the pending opening of our Fairfield Inn Key West which is scheduled to reopen in late November, just in time to capitalize on the peak season for the Key West market.

Next year we will complete the conversion of the Courtyard San Francisco and the Springhill Suites Downtown Houston which will further strengthen the growth profile of our portfolio. Our team is working diligently to bring these projects to completion. During the quarter, we capitalized $517,000 of interest, primarily associated with these assets.

We expect to continue to capitalize interests for these two assets until they come online early next year. Now, in light of our strong performance and our recent transactions, we have raised our guidance across the board. Our new guidance does not reflect any potential future acquisitions or dispositions.

We would like to highlight the following – first, we have increased our pro forma RevPAR guidance to 6% to 8%; second, we have increased our EBITDA margin to 35.1% to 36.1%.; and third, we have raised our hotel EBITDA guidance to $390 million to $410 million.

Our guidance removes income from hotels sold and [includes] (ph) approximately $12 million of the prior owner's hotel EBITDA, which will not accrue to us and therefore will not be included in our FFO. Thank you, and this concludes our remarks. We will now open the line for Q&A.

Operator?.

Operator

Thank you. At this time we will be conducting the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) Our first question is coming from the line of Jordan Sadler with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question..

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi guys, it's Austin Wurschmidt here with Jordan. Just –.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Hi Austin, how are you?.

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

Good, thanks. I wanted to touch a little bit on New York and just across your guys' five hotels it's been a bit of an underperformer from a market perspective.

Are you seeing any discrepancy in terms of – or disparity in terms of the performance of those hotels and are there any particular submarkets that are being impacted by supply?.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

It's a fair question, Austin. Couple of things I'd note about New York. Our portfolio ran 97% in occupancy; I think the market was still running 84% to 85%. So certainly the supply is getting absorbed.

We do have some tough comps if you look last year at FEMA and Sandy business, I think we had incremental $300,000 in the third quarter, about 83 basis points of RevPAR impact, also 20% of the loans in what we referred to – what we refer to as Midtown East, where the DoubleTree Met is, were under renovation last year.

So those are certainly easier comps. Obviously the adjacent Lexington property which is owned by one of our peers obviously had a pretty major renovation last year as well. So they are benefiting obviously from that easier comp. But we like our portfolio, it is well-positioned, we think we are going to do very well over the long term.

A little choppy right now, that's probably the one soft market when you compare that across our entire portfolio. New York only accounts for really about 14% of our EBITDA; but we think this is a temporary issue and certainly not a permanent issue.

Given our high occupancy we are working in partnership with our internal asset managers and our external management company HighGate to look for ways to continue to shift the mix of business and continue to push rate and we're optimistic about the future..

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

So would you expect that as supply starts to moderate next year that you could see an acceleration in performance or does the low single digits in 2015 feel right?.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Yeah, I would think the amount of supply, I think approximately 5.8% I think in the third quarter, I think that's probably going to continue through fourth and something comparable to that in '15.

I have a hard time seeing New York not being anything more than a low- to mid-single digit in the near term, certainly underperforming what we are seeing in other markets, the West Coast, Houston, Austin et cetera.

Long term, we love what's happening in New York and if you look at international arrivals as an example I think from 2000 to 2012 international arrivals were growing at about 2.3%.

I think the Department of Commerce just came out recently and has now increased that expectation up to 4% between 2014 and 2018, increasing from about $74 million to about $88 million.

Clearly, we would all expect that New York would get more than a fair share of that and that will benefit everyone in that market and we certainly think we'll get more than our fair share..

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thanks, that's helpful. And then just switching over to the balance sheet, Leslie, it looks like you got some debt maturing early to mid-next year, which appear to be at above market rates. Just curious, your thoughts on that and any potential for an early refinancing there..

Leslie D. Hale President, Chief Executive Officer & Trustee

Yes, I mean that’s debt that we're – obviously is on our radar screen. It's CMBS debt, so the window to be able to prepay is actually relatively short but we are working towards putting a plan in place to refinance that at more attractive rates..

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

And then just one last one for me; in last quarter's release you guys mentioned about a potential special dividend in the fourth quarter.

Any update there?.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Well, a couple things we'd note, Austin. If you look since we've been public I think we've paid out about $2.68 in dividends for about 320 million. As Leslie noted in her prepared remarks, we've grown our dividend 20% a year. We increased it 36% this year. It is our policy to distribute 100% of our taxable income.

Obviously some of our tax profile, we will evaluate that at the end of the year and determine whether or not a special dividend is warranted. If it is we clearly will distribute. We see dividends as an important part of being a REIT and an important part of return of capital and I think we've demonstrated that time and time again..

Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great, thanks for the time guys..

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from the line of Ryan Meliker with MLV & Company. Please proceed with your question..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Hey Ron..

Ryan Meliker – MLV & Co.

Hey, good morning, guys. Just one quick one for me, just give it – I apologize if I missed this early on, I jumped on a little bit late, but you guys have a pretty wide range for guidance for the full year now which implies an extremely wide range for 4Q.

Can you just give us an idea if you are more comfortable at the low end, midpoint or high end of that range? I think a $20 million spread on EBITDA relative to consensus in 4Q, which is somewhere in the $90 million range, is a pretty range to be looking at.

I was just hoping you might give us a little bit color on how you are thinking about things for 4Q..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

I certainly appreciate that Ryan and to your comment, last night, we did mean to set up an environment that would drive a truck through it.

I would encourage you and the listeners, we would really drive you toward the mid, the midpoint of all of the guidance, both in RevPAR, in that 6% to 8% range, the same obviously for margins and the same for EBITDA. We are having a great year, I feel very good about the fourth quarter.

Obviously we are going to have a number of renovations, particularly the Hyatt portfolio that we recently acquired; 6 of those 10 assets for about $25 million in capital will be renovated from the fourth quarter through part of the early first quarter, but again we're very comfortable with the midpoint of guidance and we certainly would direct you and the listeners there..

Ryan Meliker – MLV & Co.

All right, that's really all I had, thanks for the color; and nice quarter..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is coming from the line of Anthony Powell with Barclays. Please proceed with your question..

Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital

Hi good morning, everyone..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Good morning, Anthony, how are you?.

Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital

Doing well, how are you?.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

I'm doing well, thanks..

Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital

Good, just a question on transactions. You mentioned that you have around 26 assets that are marked there for sale.

Are you a net buyer or a net seller at this point in the cycle and do you tend to want to grow your portfolio size or is it keep it where it is right now?.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

I would say at this point in the cycle, Anthony, we are both. I think as you have seen, this year is a great example of that. We have sold 15 assets – obviously these are non-core assets and – for about $130 million; RevPAR, those assets were 30% to 35% below the portfolio average.

At the same time we have acquired 15 assets for $630 million and Ross Bierkan and our deal have done an exceptional job particularly with the Hyatt portfolio. And if you look at the assets that we've bought, most of which have been on the West Coast, we continue to improve the quality of our portfolio.

So you can see us continuing to look for opportunities; again, there are 26 assets that we're currently marketing. They're at various stages and you can look for us to recycle that capital into higher growth markets.

Clearly the transaction environment is more difficult, there is a lot of capital, the debt markets are also pretty accommodating, but I think we've demonstrated time and time again our ability to find deals off-market or limited bid and we're very confident that we'll continue to find really accretive opportunities as we move forward, yeah..

Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital

Just a follow-up then, have you seen more private equity or sovereign wealth funds active in the single-asset market in [full] (ph) service? That would be a relatively new phenomenon..

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Yeah, I would say the answer is no. Generally you are seeing the private equity because the debt market is more interested in small to large portfolios, which makes sense given the amount of capital they have. Not inconceivable that you'll occasionally see some of the private equity firms interested in a value-add or a conversion or a de-turn.

Those tend to be perhaps a little larger and probably more urban in nature but clearly there is a lot of capital both from private equity and foreign investors that are – and without question, we are passionate about our strategy. It is on one side really nice to see the validation.

So many of the investors understand now the real benefits of an all-weather strategy by owning limited service hotels particularly in urban environments..

Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital

Right, great, thank you..

Operator

Thank you. It appears there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Baltimore for any additional concluding comments. .

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

We appreciate everybody taking time this morning. We suspect many of you are headed to [Nayweed] (ph) and we look forward to seeing there and continuing our discussions. So safe travel and we'll talk soon..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. We thank you for participation and you may now disconnect your lines at this time..

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