Good afternoon, and welcome to the Plymouth Industrial REIT Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note, today’s event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Tripp Sullivan with Investor Relations. Please go ahead..
Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome to the Plymouth Industrial REIT conference call to review the company’s results for the fourth quarter of 2018. On the call today will be Jeff Witherell, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Pen White, President and Chief Investment Officer; and Dan Wright, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Our results were released this morning in our earnings press release, which can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website, along with our Form 10-K and supplemental filed with the SEC. A replay of this call will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call through March 15, 2019.
The numbers to access the replay are provided in the earnings press release. For those who listen to the replay of this call, we remind you that the remarks made herein are as of today, March 8, 2019 and will not be updated subsequent to this call.
During this call certain comments and statements, we make, may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning prescribed by the securities laws, including statements related to the future performance of our portfolio, our pipeline of potential acquisitions and other investments, future dividends, and financing activities.
All forward-looking statements represent Plymouth’s judgment as of the date of this conference call and are subject to risk and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations.
Investors are urged to carefully review various disclosures made by the company, including the risk and other information disclosed in the company’s filings with the SEC. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP measures, including, but not limited to, FFO, AFFO and adjusted EBITDA.
Definitions of these non-GAAP measures and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures, are included in our filings with the SEC. I’ll now turn the call over to Jeff Witherell. Please go ahead..
Thanks, Tripp. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. In addition to Pen White and Dan Wright, Jim Connolly, who heads up our Asset Management, and Anne Hayward, our General Counsel, are here with us on the call. So, the fourth quarter wrapped up a busy 2018 in every area of our company.
At the beginning of 2018, we set out to build on a successful first year, by building out the team and infrastructure in expanding the acquisition pipeline. Our goals for the year were to drive revenue, increase NOI and cash flow, execute on leasing, source the right acquisition opportunities, and select the best capital partners.
The ultimate objective was to realize the value we’ve created in our platform and that’s exactly what we did. All of our success here comes down to the people we have on our team.
We've been fortunate to attract a number of experienced real estate professionals to Plymouth who are contributing on the asset management level, accounting and the property management front. These team members are located here in Boston and in our new Columbus office where we are currently managing over 4.3 million square feet.
We added nearly 3 million square feet in 2018, and today, we own and manage 56 properties containing 83 buildings with just over 12 million square feet. The team has come together nicely, and it's a real competitive strength for us. Then a comment on each of our operating segments.
With our asset management team, this was hands down our best year of leasing. We call that this time a year ago, we were projecting annual NOI of 28 million to 28.9 million, and today, we’ve disclosed an NOI target of 43.2 million to 43.6 million for 2019 and that assumes no additional acquisitions.
We hit our target for the year with 95% occupancy and we have a good jump on 2019 renewals. As we discussed last quarter, we have one property in Columbus that is vacant right now, and would provide upside to our projections in the second half of the year, obviously subject to timing of the lease up.
It’s our largest vacancy and it will remain our top priority. Acquisitions were a big driver for our growth during the year and the fourth quarter was no exception.
We’ve been disciplined in putting our capital to work on properties that extend our scale in existing markets and provide an entry to others like Jacksonville that have similar supply demand characteristic and access to available labor pools.
These transactions have been funded with cash, assumed debt, and OP units, which gives us substantial flexibility to close in a reputation within these markets for being able to conduct a very thorough due diligence and close quickly. We are still able to achieve our targeted yields without compromising on location and tenant quality.
We are also able to dispose of one property in the Milwaukee market during the quarter. This property was acquired as part of the Goldman portfolio; the yield on that deal was about 8.1%. We closed on that in December 2017; and we sold it about a year later for about 6.5 cap rate.
We don't expect to do many more dispositions at this point, but I think we’ve demonstrated that there is a real demand for our property type and we’ve been able to buy them correctly, create value through leasing and asset management. On the JV front, we’re having discussions with investors that have reached out to us.
There are few companies that can offer these investors the ability to successfully scale into Class B industrial property.
Our priority will be to continue to grow the REIT in a typical fashion as we have to this point, but we would be remiss, if we did not continue to explore these opportunities as a complementary and capital efficient way to fund our growth.
Our capital markets activity during the year, which again, was more elevated in the fourth quarter, has set us up nicely for both the near and long-term.
I noted last quarter that we were exploring a number of options to take care of short-term bridge financing that we had deployed, find a more consistent source of capital, and create a path for deleveraging over time. We made a lot of progress on those fronts in the quarter, but I first want to take us back to July.
At that time, we completed a small common offering that enabled us to achieve shelf eligibility and gain the flexibility that comes with that capability. We also put into place an ATM program that will give us additional flexibility.
We have continued to pass on using the ATM as there is still a significant disconnect between what we and others believe our NAV to be and where the stock has been trading.
In that [being], we entertain discussions with several quality institutions and came to terms with Madison International Realty, which allowed us to close on the $75 million convertible preferred during the fourth quarter.
We were working on the Jacksonville portfolio at the time, and we knew we could not access the public markets for equity, anything remotely close to our NAV.
The Madison team members are experienced real estate investors and they quickly saw the value of structuring and investment that would provide the capital for us to pay off the remaining term loan, fund the equity portion of Jacksonville, and provide additional proceeds to fund working capital, and the potential use of our repurchase program.
The coupon on the $75 million convertible preferred stock averages 3.625% for the next four years. Considering the average initial yield on the Class B opportunities we are pursuing, approximately 8%, that’s at least a 400-basis point spread on that capital.
We fully expect that this preferred will convert to common and if we’re able to source additional opportunities that attract the returns, access capital on more favorable terms and demonstrate the real value of the portfolio to NOI and cash flow growth, all of which we do believe we can accomplish and the dis-investment with Madison is the right one for us at just the right time.
Another comment I’ll make is that we’re operating and investing in an environment that had considerable tailwinds for Class B industrial. We have been talking about these fundamentals for some time and we haven't seen any sign yet of them abating.
All-in-all, we’re executing fairly well on our strategic objectives and I’m encouraged by the strong growth outlook that we presented for 2019. With that, I’ll turn this over to Pen White..
Thanks, Jeff. Good afternoon everybody. I’d like to start off with commentary on our leasing and then provide some color on our most recent acquisitions. For 2018, we signed leases of approximately 1.5 million square feet. For the fourth quarter, we had leases commencing for an aggregate of 115,000 square feet of which 76% were renewal leases.
Overall, we had a 23.3% increase on these rents on a cash basis. For the year, if we back out the FAA lease and Airport Business Park in Memphis, which we discussed last quarter, which had a prior rent based on heavily built-up space. We experienced a 9.6% rental rate increase on a cash basis.
At year-end, our occupancy was 95%, which is in-line with our expectations and up sequentially from Q3 on a same store and combined basis.
Looking ahead to 2019, we’re conservatively assuming occupancy remains around the 95% level for the year with potential to see that rise in the second half with traction on a 340,000 square foot vacancy we currently have in Columbus. For the 2.4 million square feet that would schedule to expire in 2019.
We already have 1.4 million square feet signed or committed bringing our tenant retention ratio to 81% already for this year. The significant progress we achieved on the recent front in 2018 and the amount of leasing we’ve already accomplished for 2019 puts us in good shape to drive above average same store NOI growth in our portfolio.
Our in-house leasing and asset management capabilities have become a real value creator for the REIT. And we expect the application of these internal skill sets to play a major role in realizing the potential ongoing growth of our growing portfolio. Now turning to acquisitions. We were more active in the fourth quarter then we’ve been in some time.
This activity has helped us make major strides in building out our scale in key markets to leverage our infrastructure and add a layer of growth that sets us up strong 2019 and beyond. As I mentioned last quarter. we continue to expand in Ohio with a very favorable UPREIT transaction in Cincinnati.
There, we acquired a 1.1 million square foot multi-tenant Class B property at a [going in] cap rate of 8.5. We assumed about $14 million of existing debt and issued about $10.6 million of OP units priced at $17 per share. This was a capital efficient transaction for us and we are pursuing other opportunities that would deploy a similar structure.
In addition, to the strong initial return, the acquisition included about 50 acres of outside storage and available land for future development. Our largest transaction in the quarter was in Jacksonville.
In mid-December, we bought a 20 building 1.1 million square foot, light industrial and flexible portfolio for $97.1 million at an initial yield of 8.4%. The portfolio is in three business parts with high visibility on interstate I-95.
These are institutional quality properties with a number of credit tenants and a diversity of industries as demonstrated by the 97% lease at year-end with average lease terms of 3.5 years. This quarter, we began the year by adding on to our Chicago portfolio with a $5 million acquisition.
The property is 97% leased and provides an initial yield of 8.9% and is a nice addition to our presence in Chicago's Southwest suburbs. The pipeline remains very robust and this comprise of opportunities and existing markets such as Jacksonville, Chicago, Atlanta, Columbus, and Indianapolis, as well as new markets such as Saint Louis.
We continue to prioritize properties that are stable with long term tenancy and those with near-term lease involved and more value-added nature.
Class B warehouse, distribution, and light manufacturing or Flex type properties are our top focus, but as we have seen with the Cleveland acquisition at the end of the third quarter, we’re still able to find some Class A properties at Class B pricing. So, at this point, I'm going to turn over to Dan to discuss our financial results..
G&A, we are assuming full year expense of approximately $7 million. This would include non-cash compensation of approximately $1 million. Depreciation and amortization, the increase is due primarily to the fourth quarter acquisitions.
Occupancy is essentially flat for the year with some potential upside that is not currently baked into our guidance based on the timing of the Creekside up property in Columbus, which we anticipate in the second half of the year.
Recurring capital expenditures and leasing commissions of approximately $3.2 million to $3.7 million will have variability during the year with the timing of certain expenditures coming in the first and third quarters, but in both cases are not expected to impact our AFFO enough to prevent us from being positive dividend coverage.
Should we in fact achieve the increase of our occupancy and leasing in the second half of the year, we will provide an update on the metrics and timing as the year progresses. The expected weighted average common stock and OP units outstanding by year-end of 5.9 million reflects the fourth quarter of 2018 UPREIT transaction.
Improving the balance sheet continues to be a top priority, and the capital markets activity played a big role in that regard this quarter. At year-end, we had 71% of our debt in place with fixed interest rates for the next 5 years to 10 years at approximately 4.2%.
That rate will tick down a bit in the next couple of weeks when we complete the refinancing of the existing 63.1 million short-term bridge loan from KeyBanc that we used to complete the Jacksonville transactions that was carried at a rate of 200 basis points over LIBOR or approximately 4.5%.
We are working to close a life insurance company loan that will be secured by the same Jacksonville property for total proceeds of approximately 63.1 million with a 10-year term fixed-rate of 4.07% for the first three years interest only.
As we look at our leverage, clearly, we intend to work it down over time using the outstanding debt at year-end and our projected NOI and EBITDA for 2019 more accurately reflects the benefit of the acquisitions completed by year-end.
These calculations, which show us to be approximately 60% levered on our gross asset value and debt to annualized fourth-quarter EBITDA of approximately 8.8 times. While that’s down considerably from a year ago and after taking into account significant additions we made to the portfolio, we have some more work to do.
However, our 2019 outlook for the first time puts our valuation and leverage metrics in better light and with great visibility. I will be happy to answer any additional questions on this commentary during the questions and answer period. Operator, we're now ready to take questions..
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And today's first question comes from Barry Oxford of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead..
Great. Thanks guys.
Jeff, when you look out into the marketplace, as far as acquisitions that fit your criteria what are you seeing right now may be versus six months ago, less product, more product may be kind of give us a sense of the opportunities that are out there?.
Sure, Barry. I’ll let Pen dig deeper into this, but we have a variety of transactions as you know that come from our relationships that we’ve had over the last 24 years to 30 years and we continue to see a lot of things out there.
And Pen can you add something to that?.
Yes.
How are you doing Barry?.
Great. Thanks, guys..
We’ve maintained a pretty robust pipeline just under $400 million worth of properties, and we continue that; we’re seeing that. We’re still seeing plenty of deals, the main reason being that we live in a very fragmented marketplace and have a lot of different sellers in different markets.
So, the things that do not make me stay up at night or keep me awake at night is [Indiscernible] deals. We have plenty to choose from. To give you a little bit more color, we’re still looking at deals that typically have in-going cap rates between 7% and 9%. So, I guess we got plenty to choose from..
Great. And when you look at that pipeline, I would imagine that OP units are probably your easiest and path of least resistance as far as making sure you're doing at a leverage neutral deal for lack of a better word.
Of the pipeline that you're looking at, what percentage might be interested in your OP units?.
About a quarter. Right now, we’re look at about $75 million to $80 million worth of OP structure type deals..
Great, great. Yes, and every minute your stock prices are looking more attractive. Thanks guys..
Thank you, Barry..
And our next question today comes from Henry Coffey of Wedbush. Please go ahead..
Yes, good morning. I was wondering if, you know, you could give us some insight into what your interest expense would look like given that you’re not proposing any new properties relative to where it is in the fourth quarter, up, down, the same.
I know you’ve got some refinancing in mind and other issues?.
Good morning, Henry. Dan Wright here..
Good morning, and by the way, great report. So, let me add my compliments to the discussion..
Thank you.
In looking at our overall debt structure, if you take where we were at year-end, plus obviously the acquisition that we did in January for Chicago, and you rollback the refinancing of the bridge loan now with a new life loan, we will have 91% of our debt at a fixed rate overall, which will give us – you know, and that fixed rate drops down to just under that 4.2% that I mentioned before..
Okay, that’s very helpful. And I know that you’ve had a very active year and have bigger plans for the REIT.
Is the thought process that you just don't want to put new acquisitions into the guide until the pipeline closes? Or is the thought process that you want this to be sort of a year of integration and digestion?.
Well, that’s probably two part of the answer there. Henry, this is Jeff. So, you know, we wanted to be able to put some full-year guidance out there and be able to give you, you know, strong numbers, which we think we've done and with a lot of clarity to the interest. As Pen mentioned, there is a pretty big pipeline out there.
You know, we’ve got significant interest in UPREIT, so we just got to see how those play out; those are finicky deals as you can imagine putting those together.
So instead of turning – you know, going here and, you know, trying to go out there and put together a number of how much acquisitions we’re going to find and win, you know, there’s a lot of assumptions to that. And so, we wanted to put clear guidance out there.
You know, if we do a deal, it will be accretive; we’ve proven that and we will – it’s all positive, right? Everything we think we’re going to do in the future is going to be all positive for us. So, I don’t know if that answers your question or not, but we feel [indiscernible]..
No, it puts it into the right context, and you know, you’ve – in the short history I have with the company, you’ve proven to me that that's how you do business. So, that's a good thing to hear. In terms of cap rates, you’re selling at [6 and buying at 8.5].
What are your thoughts on kind of where cap rates are going to settle in for the industry in 2019 now that, you know, everyone's got a more benign outlook on interest rates?.
Right. So, you’re probably going to get two people answer that. I’m going to start as usual and then Pen’s going to give you the real information. I want you just to be clear on Milwaukee. That property was, again, purchased as part of a portfolio.
There was some vacancy in there and there was some – it was minor – a minor work that needed to be done, it was on the floor I believe. We had to put some money into new concrete floor. So, we buy with some vacancy. We leased it up; we made the repairs to the property that had been sitting there for at least two years under the previous owner.
Once we made those repairs, we had two proposals, we got a lease. And then, that was an unsolicited offer that came to us from another REIT, and, you know its single tenant; but a longer term. They are very exposed to that market and they wanted to buy it.
And so, we negotiated that; moved the price up; and, you know, we weren’t in the market to sell it, but we thought it was a good move at the time to do that. And [Indiscernible]..
Yes, I may just add to what Jeff said, Henry. We were – you know, we’re still seeing – you know, mentioned cap rate compression, sure, we mostly see cap rate compression in Class A properties, mostly on the coasts and in primary markets. The cap rate compression we’ve seen in our markets or the Class B properties is marginal.
There’s still a lot of product out there. We’re still doing and seeing deals that our cap rates are, you know, around eight or North. So, we’re – we firmly believe that we can achieve some real value in our pipeline right now, and will continue to do so..
In a universe where you’re comfortable with where your stock is valued? And I know that’s not where we are today.
Raising equity and taking down the Madison note, how would that work? And are there any penalties associated with that? Or what is the dynamic by which we – you can turn that note away or refund that note, and then, replace it with equity or some related security?.
Well, Henry, I just – that’s an interesting question. That’s not a note, right, it’s a convertible preferred..
That’s a preferred, I know. I'm sorry, that’s my mistake..
So….
So, how can you call the preferred? What is the cost of calling the preferred and issuing equity?.
Well, it’s going to take some time. We want them to convert, right. We don't want to call it. So, we wanted to convert and it’s still two or three years out before we can do that. Again, we looked at this as a really transformative transaction. They are adding some value that I can’t talk about as we speak, but it’s – our interests are aligned.
If you can – you know, this is a straight investment for them. There's no – you know, they are involved in the business necessarily, but they saw some significant value. If you look at some of their other transactions that Madison’s made in the common stock of other REITs, you know, that’s where the value is.
The value is in the disconnect between our NAV and where our stocks trading. So, we’re looking forward to working with them over the next two to three years, and the numbers bear out really well. And if we do what we think we can do, then they'll be converting and it will be common stock at that point..
So, this is – you view the Madison preferred as more of a permanent partner than as something that you need to – you know, I don't use words like refinance, but refinance at a later date?.
Yes. No, I mean if you look at – I think in my prepared remarks I mentioned that, you know, the cost in their equity is [3.625] for just under four years, you know, basically four years left, and that’s cheaper than our debt. So, having them in here and getting them converted is going to be solid.
We’ve heard from another – a number of institutional investors that they thought this was a great move for us at the time, and that they see that as validation for Plymouth and its portfolio where, you know, a group like them goes out and looks at all the properties and does a deep dive that sometimes, you know, public institutional investors can't do.
So, I think this is a great validation..
Great. Well, thank you and that was a terrific quarter and the guidance is very helpful..
Thank you for participating as usual Henry..
[Operator Instructions] Today’s next question comes from Alexander Goldfarb of Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead..
Hi, good afternoon out there. Just a few questions, the first one is the Columbus vacancy. I think you said it was 340,000 square feet.
Can you just give a little bit more color on the lease discussions that you may be having? You know, the peer 1 backfill was pretty quick, so just sort of curious, you know, same market, you know, what about this space maybe taking a little bit longer, and then also, you know, what you're thinking as far as rents, and if we think about NOI benefit, you know, you said it could come in the second half, you know, what sort of NOI benefit on an annualized basis it could have to earnings?.
Sure Alex. So, I think we’ve got like three or four people that need to help answer this question when you get to the numbers, but as far as the view on this is that, you know, it’s 340,000 square feet of space; its configured as a single tenant building right now. We have been – the lease discussions are ongoing. We’ve had a number of showings.
We spent a little time earlier in the year. We spent about $140,000 on renovations on the property. So, it, again, turned the building into a B plus quality building. And so, we’ve had ongoing – you know, people looking at the property, ongoing showings. We don’t have anything to report today, we have put out a few RFPs on it.
Again, we could – depending on the right tenant, we could turn that into multi-tenant property without any real CapEx. So, we’re not too worried about the future of that and that’s the view.
As far as numbers are concerned Dan?.
The addition on a quarterly basis, the NOI contribution for that building is approximately $300,000, which obviously will vary depending on the final lease terms and the final timing..
Okay.
And then just maybe Pen, on – you know, you guys were pretty quick on the peer 1 backfill, so was it just a moment in time with when you were looking to backfill that space versus right now? Or is there something particular about the size or the tenants in market looking?.
No, I mean it's a good market, it’s a great sub-market. We, you know, I see – the activity level on this property is high right now.
So, I’m not too concerned and we’ll get it leased up, I don’t believe what we have and Dan Wright can speak to this in terms of what we’ve done in terms of – by projecting this into our overall NOI projections, but we will definitely keep your price as we – as when we start signing a lease or two leases as the case may be?.
Okay, that’s helpful. And then Dan, just a question on G&A. I think if I added up correctly, in 2018, you guys were about $6 million, and then, it’s about $1 million higher that you're projecting for 2019.
So, is that just purely the difference in not capitalizing some of the G&A that previously was capitalizing? Or is this reflecting that the portfolio has grown and therefore there are more people that are being hired, you know, to help manage like the Jacksonville portfolio and some of the other acquisitions that you guys have done?.
No, it’s a number of things. There’s a variety of items that build into that part of that is the items that you mentioned as far as not capitalizing certain items. You also have generally growth attributable to the fact that we’ve – our NOI has increased to over $13 million. If you look at our G&A expense for 2018, it comes in roughly at 12.6%.
And if you look at the guidance, the G&A for 2019 comes in at just over 10%, about 10.6%, 10.7%. We think that’s a significant decrease in G&A overall to total portfolio, and in looking at a couple of our – probably our peer group, I look at STAG and their G&A expense for 2018 ran at 9.7%.
So, I think we’re moving very much in the right direction, and we’re bringing our G&A in line with where it should be..
Okay.
And then just on the JV that you spoke about, how are you thinking about – you know, obviously de-levering is a goal, clearly, you’re demonstrating the portfolio NOI capabilities, but on the leverage side, if you guys bring in a partner, is it on an asset level or you’re thinking about an investment in the company? And by that, I mean, if you get equity into the company, obviously you can delever and it’s used for the entire corporate.
If you guys do an asset level JV, you guys still need to come up with capital to fund your half, and the company, on a leverage basis, doesn't necessarily get the same benefits.
So, how are you thinking about the JV capital? Would it be a corporate investment or it would be an asset level specific investment?.
It could be both. I will tell you the first thing we're looking at right now is an asset level JV, okay, and it depends on who that partner would be, but a significant capital out there and a large capital. And so, again, this would be product that we most likely wouldn't buy in the REIT.
It could be heavily value added, so we would look at it from that perspective. And then, we are exploring a of couple options for us to be able to realize an equity piece in that. But some of these partners aren’t looking for the traditional JV that you may be thinking of where it’s an 80/20 or something like that. Our piece could be lower.
Again, we’re interested in getting, you know, the platform, which is working well. We’re looking to expand the platform. So, if we can bring in significant asset management fees and product that we might be able to buy in the future. That’s something we will explore.
It’s – again, as I think I mentioned in my prepared comments, we would prefer to have an unlimited amount of equity coming to us into the REIT so that we could buy all this product in, you know, as Pen mentioned, a very fragmented market.
It’s all accretive to us as we buy it, and if you look at the spread, we have on debt, you know, between our cap rates and our debt, the spread is significant. I don’t know if that quite answers your question….
Yes, yes..
…but it could be both ways. I mean – good..
Oh! That’s helpful. So, it sounds like it’s more of a fee relationship and that there may be some value add. So, I think I get it. So, that's helpful. Thank you, Jeff..
Right, thank you Alex..
And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I like to turn the conference back over to Jeff Witherell for any closing remarks..
Yes. Thank you all for joining us this afternoon. As always, we’re available for follow-up questions. Thank you so much, and we’ll talk to you in a month or so..
Thank you, sir. Today’s conference has now concluded, and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day..