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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q4
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Disclaimer*

This transcript is designed to be used alongside the freely available audio recording on this page. Timestamps within the transcript are designed to help you navigate the audio should the corresponding text be unclear. The machine-assisted output provided is partly edited and is designed as a guide.:.

Operator

00:11 Good afternoon. My name is [Bow] [ph]. And I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Nevro's Fourth Quarter 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session.

[Operator Instructions] Thank you. 00:39 I would now like to turn the call over to Julie Dewey for introductory remarks. Please go ahead..

Julie Dewey

00:45 Good afternoon, and welcome to Nevro's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. We appreciate you joining us. I'm Julie Dewey, Nevro's Chief Corporate Communications and IR Officer. With me today are Keith Grossman, Chairman, CEO, and President; and Rod MacLeod, Chief Financial Officer.

The format of our call today will be a discussion of fourth quarter business results from Keith, followed by detailed financials and guidance from Rod, and then we'll open up the call for questions.

01:14 Please note, there are also slides available related to our fourth quarter performance on the Nevro Investor Relations website on the Events and Presentations page. Earlier today, Nevro released its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2021.

A copy of our earnings release is available on our Investor Relations section of our website at nevro.com. This call is being broadcast live over the internet to all interested parties on February 23, 2022, and an archived copy of this webcast will be available on our Investor Relations website.

01:48 Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that comments made on today's call may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. Our results could differ materially from those expressed or implied as a result of certain risks and uncertainties.

Please refer to our SEC filings including our Form 10-K to be filed later today for a detailed presentation of risks. The forward-looking statements in this call speak only as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of these statements.

02:18 In addition, we will refer to adjusted EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP measure that is used to help investors understand Nevro's ongoing business performance. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA excludes certain litigation expenses, interest, taxes, and non-cash items such as stock-based compensation and depreciation, and amortization.

Please refer to GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation tables within our earnings release. 02:43 And now, I'll turn the call over to Keith..

Keith Grossman

Spine, this approval will be used to support continued market penetration and importantly market access initiatives to further expand payer coverage.

18:53 So, in closing, we continue to believe we're really well positioned to emerge from this pandemic with vigor and ready for longer-term attractive growth, a process that we're beginning to become more optimistic has at least begun. We're a leader in three large underpenetrated SCS segments that should continue to grow for years to come.

19:11 We're uniquely positioned for recovery and renewed growth with our differentiated high frequency paresthesia-free therapy with industry leading outcomes and new indications in PDN and NSRBP. We remain very bullish on our ability to continue to capture share of this market over time with better technology, better outcomes, and solid execution.

So, our fundamentals remain intact, and I really believe we're well set-up for 2022 and beyond. 19:37 So with that, I'll pass the call over to Rod to provide further details on our fourth quarter results and our guidance.

Rod?.

Rod MacLeod Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

19:44 Thanks, Keith, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll begin with our worldwide revenue for the fourth quarter of 2021, which was $102.8 million, a 6% decrease both as reported, as well as on a constant currency basis, compared to $109.7 million in the prior year period, and a decrease of 10% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.

20:09 As a reminder, this quarter included the same number of selling days as Q4 2020 and Q4 2019 and two less selling days in Q3 2021. U.S. revenue in the fourth quarter of 2021 was $88.4 million, a decrease of 7%, compared to $94.6 million in the prior year period, a decrease of 10% compared to $97.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

20:40 International revenue was $14.3 million, a decrease of 5% as reported or 4% constant currency, compared to $15.1 million in the prior year period, and a decrease of 13% as reported or 17% constant currency, compared to $16.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

21:05 Similar to the headwinds seen in the U.S., international revenues continued to be impacted by COVID-related issues as well, including both patient behavior and healthcare facility restrictions.

Gross profit for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $69.1 million, a decrease of 11%, compared to $78.0 million in the prior year period and a decrease of 15%, compared to $81.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. The decrease in gross profit compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 was attributable to decreased revenue.

21:45 Gross margin decreased to 67.3% in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to 71.1% in the prior year period and 71.0% in the fourth quarter of 2019.

This decrease was primarily due to the impact of a targeted evaluation program that largely concluded in Q4, as well as the continued investment in Nevro’s Costa Rica manufacturing facility, both of which decreased margin by a combined 336 basis points. We are still targeting shipping product from Costa Rica in the second half of 2022.

22:26 Operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2021 were $95.3 million, a 21% increase, compared to $70.9 million in the prior year period and a 3% increase from $92.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

22:44 Looking at operating expenses year-over-year, the increase was primarily related to personnel related costs, legal fees, PDN marketing and selling related activities and travel, meeting, and conference expenses, partially offset by management's continued initiatives to drive leverage throughout the business.

23:04 Litigation fees in PDN expenses accounted for 4.9 million of year-over-year increase in operating expenses and accounted for an additional 9.9 million in operating expenses relative to 2019. To absent all litigation related and PDN expenses, our operating expenses would actually be less than 2019 by 7.5 million or 8%.

23:28 Legal expenses associated with patent litigation fees were 6.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to 5.1 million in the prior year period and $1.7 million in 2019.

We will continue to defend ourselves in our ongoing disputes relating to spinal cord stimulation technologies and continue to protect our innovations and paresthesia-free SCS therapy.

23:54 Net loss from operations for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $26.2 million, compared to a loss of $0.9 million in the prior year period and a loss of $11.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2021 was negative $7.5 million, compared to positive 15.7 million in the prior year period and positive $1.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. 24:27 The reduction in revenue and increased investments in PDN and litigation drove the unfavorable operating income results versus 2020 and 2019.

We believe that once we begin to recover post-COVID and with ongoing PDN investments, that roughly 110 million in quarterly sales is our breakeven point. 24:49 We continue to focus on cash preservation, while balancing the need to reinvest in the recovery process in our new growth drivers of PDN and NSRBP.

Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $362 million as of December 31, 2021. This represents a decrease during the fourth quarter of 2021 of 14.5 million, which was primarily due to cash used in operations. 25:18 Turning now to guidance.

It's important to note that we will be using non-GAAP financial measures to describe our outlook for the business. Please see the financial tables in our press release issued today for GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations.

25:35 Keep in mind that the guidance that we are providing today is highly sensitive to the company's assumptions regarding the pace, and sustainability of COVID recovery and its related impacts on patient willingness to seek elective care, healthcare facility restrictions, and healthcare facilities staffing limitations, all of which are difficult to predict.

25:56 If these assumptions differ from the actual case of COVID recovery, and its impact on the company's markets than the company may need to change or withdraw this guidance in the future. As Keith mentioned earlier, the impact of COVID Omicron surge continued in the first quarter of 2022.

26:15 While the improvement in the search has already begun, we expect first quarter of 2022 worldwide procedures and revenues will be strongly impacted by Omicron and COVID-related issues and of course, even in normal years, we always see a seasonal decrease from the fourth quarter to the first quarter.

26:33 Given this backdrop; we're guiding the first quarter worldwide revenue of approximately $85 million to $87 million. All of these markets factors related to COVID that Keith discussed applied equally to PDN volumes as well.

However, we believe PDN revenues in Q1 will actually still be slightly ahead of Q4 given the underlying momentum in this indication. 26:59 We are projecting Q1 2022 margins of 66.5%.

Margins will be a bit lower than our normal run rate, due to the lower revenue figure, as well as continued and planned investment in bringing our Costa Rica manufacturing site online.

These lower margins from Q4 2021 and Q1 2022 are short-term in nature, and we fully expect to return to high 60% margins later in the year with a positive impact from our Costa Rica facility impacting 2023 and beyond.

27:36 Turning to operating expense, we expect Q1 2022 operating expense to finish at about $93 million with PDN and litigation expenses accounting for around $9 million of that spend. We expect first quarter of 2022 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA to be approximately negative $19 million to negative $20 million.

28:00 The full-year guidance provided today is highly sensitive to the company's COVID recovery assumptions, which include a measured pace of recovery to continue beginning in Q2 and throughout 2022 in the U.S. and key international geographies.

28:17 Of course, if recovery is delayed or patient willingness to seek treatment is slower than anticipated or alternatively if recovery is faster or there is a larger recapture pent-up demand than anticipated, than any or all of these factors could quickly and easily impact our guidance range.

28:36 With that in mind, we currently expect worldwide revenues for full-year 2022 of approximately $415 million to $430 million, which represents a 7% to 11% increase over the prior year. This range assumes $25 million to $30 million in PDN revenue in 2022.

29:00 We expect full-year 2022 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of negative $8 million to negative $18 million, which compares to a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss of $17.2 million in 2021.

29:17 For full-year 2022, gross margin is expected to be approximately 69%, as we will be incurring about 100 basis point impact to margins as we continue to build-out operations in the Costa Rica plant this year.

We’re very excited about the Costa Rica expansion and believe it will deliver gross margin expansion to mid-70% range over the next 3 years to 5 years.

29:42 Operating expenses are expected to be approximately 378 million to 380 million for 2022, including combined litigation expenses and ongoing investment in PDN market development of approximately $40 million.

We do want to provide you with information on the expected cadence of our business to assist you in modeling our quarterly performance during 2022. 30:09 We expect very modest revenue growth in Q2 2022 over prior year.

The two quarters in the back half of the year are expected to have roughly equivalent revenue growth rates over Q3 and Q4 of 2021 as we assume we will benefit from an improving COVID environment, the recovery of the SCS market, and accelerating progress in our PDN launch.

30:34 Finally, I think it's important to review our progress on our journey to drive growth and scale profitably in our core business. For example, let's take a quick look at our operating expenses as a percentage of revenue.

Over the years, operating expenses, excluding litigation and PDN have gone from 91% of revenue in 2019 to 83% of revenue in 2020. The 81% of revenue in 2021 are expected to finish 2022 in the high 70s.

31:05 Many of the changes we continue to invest in including our Costa Rica facility, development of the PDN market, and Omnia upgrade to facilitate greater commercial productivity are designed to provide continued improvement in our financial leverage as we grow.

31:21 We believe that with these investments, we can create even greater leverage in the coming years, so please keep in mind that even including all of the investors I've just mentioned, our total 2022 operating expenses will be about 4% higher than those in 2019.

31:39 In closing, we made good progress in the fourth quarter and remain on track to drive growth and scale profitably in our core business in the years ahead.

We enter 2022 in a great position strategically with best-in-class SCS Technologies, remaining share gain opportunity, future growth opportunities in PDN and NSRBP, superior clinical data and a strong commercial organization.

32:05 We continue to advance our operating margin expansion effort with programs such as Costa Rica, PDN, and Omnia upgrades, which are all expected to provide continued improvement in our financial lever as we grow. That concludes our prepared remarks. 32:20 I'll turn the call back over to Julie to moderate the Q&A session..

Julie Dewey

32:26 Thanks, Rod. In order to get through the question queue efficiently and take as many questions as we can, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question only and perhaps one very brief follow-up. You can then rejoin the queue and if time allows will take additional questions. Operator, we're ready for Q&A instructions..

Operator

32:49 Thank you very much. [Operator Instructions] And your first question today comes from Chris Pasquale at Guggenheim..

Chris Pasquale

33:12 Thanks for taking the questions. I want to start with the guidance and a couple of points here. One, if I backout the PDN contribution, it looks like it implies about 2% to 5% growth for the core business.

So, is that in-line with how you're thinking about the SCS market broadly and given the easy comps, particularly in the back half of the year? Maybe if you could speak to why that's the right level? And then for PDN, do you need any more significant reimbursement wins over the balance of the year to get to the 25 to 30 or do you think you can achieve that just with 35% of patients you have now? Thanks..

Keith Grossman

33:50 Thanks, Chris. Well, I think on the core market, the underlying implied guidance for the non-PDN part of our business, sure, it implies the lack of visibility you expect us to have right now and maybe some resulting conservatism. As Rod described, it also implies a very different trend in the first quarter or two then in the second.

34:14 So, we expect the market to begin reverting to more interesting growth rates in the second part of the year. But if the market comes back a little faster, if pent-up demand comes back a little faster in the core market, and certainly, we think there is potentially at least room for upside. 34:34 From a PDN standpoint, no, I don't think so.

I mean, we assume internally that we'll continue to get additional wins from a market access standpoint, but the guidance that we've given today doesn't necessarily rely on a specific outcome or any, kind of heroic increase from where we are today..

Chris Pasquale

34:59 Okay, thanks..

Operator

35:04 And the next question will come from Adam Maeder at Piper Sandler..

Adam Maeder

35:09 Great. Thanks so much for taking the questions.

Maybe just to start, wanted to ask for just some incremental color on the Q1 guidance, just puts and takes, there's Omicron, there’s seasonality, the guide at 85 million to 87 million implies, I think down 15% to 17% sequentially versus Q4 2021, which appears to be a little bit less of a sequential step down versus what we've seen historically.

So, maybe just help frame that up for us and broad strokes kind of how you're thinking about the month of March and what's needed to arrive at the Q1 guide? Thanks so much..

Keith Grossman

35:46 Yeah. I'll take it at the high level and then invite Rod to add anything else he’d like.

I think, anytime we're sitting in the middle of the quarter and giving guidance for that quarter, the guidance is more about the mechanics of trials to date, some estimate of trials in the coming weeks, but much of the activity that will be driven by trials is already baked into the trial performance we've had up to this moment.

So, it's less about sequential or year-over-year growth assumptions and more about bottom up mechanics. 36:22 In terms of the impact, we came into, I think the Omicron impact really sort of peaked in early January. So, what we saw is an impact on trial rates in the second half of December and throughout most of January.

And that drove not just some suppression of trials, but it also drove some cancellation of cases, now we'll get those back, of course, some this quarter, some beyond, but it also lengthened as we said, that the distance from trial and conversions.

36:58 So that curve can sometimes get accelerated when you’re catching up, and if sometimes gets stretched out when you get hit with something like this. And again, if it's trials that haven't yet converted, you typically get all or most of those back at a later point anyway. So, kind of how we're thinking about Q1 and the impacts.

I will comment on that month of March, but Rod, just everything anything else you want to add to that?.

Rod MacLeod Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

37:25 I think you covered it well Keith.

The only thing that I would say is, it is hard to parse out what's the impact of Omicron versus seasonality in the first 90 days of this year, but like a lot of other businesses, we've definitely been impacted by some of the headwinds that Omicron created especially in January?.

Adam Maeder

37:50 Got it. Thanks so much, Keith and Rod for taking the questions. I'll leave it there..

Keith Grossman

37:55 Okay..

Operator

37:58 Thank you. We go next now to Larry Biegelsen at Wells Fargo..

Unidentified Analyst

38:03 Hey, good afternoon.

Can you hear me okay?.

Keith Grossman

38:07 You bet..

Unidentified Analyst

38:08 Hey, this is [Dick] [ph] in for Larry. Thanks for the questions. Just maybe two for me.

I guess the first one is, how do you disproportionately benefit on the PDN indication, now that the FDA is granting PMA’s based on small studies and payers like United are granting broad coverage? And the second question I had was, I'm just wondering if we could put a finer point on the cadence for the rest of the year? I think, I heard you mention modest growth in Q2, so does that imply improvement from Q1 revenues and then maybe a bit more color on the back half of the year.

Thanks so much..

Keith Grossman

38:45 Okay. Why don't I don’t take on the studies and the payer decisions and I'll let Rod talk about cadence. So, first of all, I don't know that, look, I would stop short of saying FDA has made some sort of broad policy decision about how they're going to make approvals in this indication or any other going forward.

I think they evaluate every physician on its own. 39:06 We may find that the next one is different or not. I just don't know, but look our expectation, given this approval is that our competitors will probably think very hard about doing the same thing.

About submitting old data that they hadn't thought about submitting before either because they didn't think it was complete enough or good enough for both, they may rethink submitting that, if they believe they have a chance.

39:34 So, our fundamental assumption is that we could have more of these kinds of approvals and I'll come back to, sort of what that means for us and how we think about differentiating ourselves. So, I think most of you probably understand the answer to that already.

From a payer standpoint, look, we've got one significant payer decision, it was done quickly. We think we said in the last call, we were really pleased by how fast it came from.

40:04 We were probably a little bit disappointed in the wording of that in a couple of ways and we'll continue to work with United on that issue, but we did from a payer standpoint, there are [indiscernible] out there in other segments of MedTech where commercial payers have begun to make differentiated decisions.

And decisions based on data superiority. And we think we haven't seen a better justification for that treatment than the one we're currently living right now.

40:35 So, we're going to be making and already are making a very strong case with not just United, but other payers about how they should be treating category versus therapy versus specific therapy approvals and payer decision.

So, I think the jury is really out there, but regardless of what happens in the FDA approvals and the payer decisions, what we want is a broad and open playing field. 40:59 We want access to these patients based on the indication and based on the data and their lack of options.

And as long as we have that, if you look at the difference between our high frequency data and paresthesia low frequency data, they're just not close. These aren't really, very colorful arguments on the other side. And they're not nuance. 41:22 I mean, they're really apples and oranges. So, I think we're going to find.

And we tried to we tried to make this clear in our remarks today, but that's a message that will resonate and is already resonating with our customers, our competitors’ customers, and I think we will resonate with payers as well.

41:38 So, does it mean we get or could it mean rather we get a smaller percentage of a larger market with other competitors, but maybe that's possible. And this is such a large market that may not be at bad outcome, but we'll see how those things take out over time.

Regardless, we think we've got a really phenomenal opportunity based on what we're seeing so far.

42:01 And Rod, do you want to talk a little bit about Cadence and the rest of the year?.

Rod MacLeod Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

42:06 Yes, sure. Thanks, Keith. Yeah. So what we said in our comments was that 2022 second quarter, we're anticipating modest growth over Q2 of 2021 on a worldwide basis.

And Q3 and Q4 second half of the year, were we're thinking about the growth in those two quarters versus the prior year's Q3 and Q4 that the growth rates will be roughly equivalent in Q3 2022 and Q4 2022..

Operator

42:55 Thank you. We’ll go next now to Robbie Marcus at J.P. Morgan..

Unidentified Analyst

43:00 Hi. This is actually Lilly on for Robbie. Thanks for taking the question. I have two quick ones.

Last call, you had said that, you had cleared much of the backlog that had been built up, do you think that that's grown substantially in recent months with Omicron and what are you thinking about your ability to recapture those procedures in 2022? And then second, on PDN, I know it's still early days, but have you seen or do you expect to see any sort of halo effect in the core back & leg business from this [launch] [ph]? Do you see this helping you get into any competitive accounts at all? Thanks..

Keith Grossman

43:38 Yes. Rod, I'll let you take that the first part and I'll take the second..

Rod MacLeod Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

43:43 Sure. With regards to backlog, while we did see some cancellations, if you remember, Omicron started to really hit in kind of the midpoint of December, the latter part of Q4. So, we anticipate that we'll be able to recapture a significant number of those.

Our team historically has a great track record in working with the patients and getting them rescheduled. 44:11 So, whether that all falls in Q1 or Q2 remains to be seen, but we do anticipate that we should be able to capture a fair number of those patients that were impacted late in December and early in 2022..

Keith Grossman

44:33 On the PDN question, yes, we do expect it. We talked a little bit about this in the past, Lilly. We do expect it to have a halo impact. I can tell you anecdotally that's already happened.

We’ve had an active program over the last quarter or more to really make sure not only our own active customers understand the PDN opportunity, what they should be doing, but also customers that have historically not been our customers for lower back & leg pain, and we've had a lot of interesting progress, I think with that latter group.

45:11 So, we expect it would help us with our core business. I think we're seeing that it has helped us and I think that will, I think that will continue..

Unidentified Analyst

45:23 Great. Thank you..

Operator

45:29 Thank you. We go next now to Matt Taylor at UBS..

Unidentified Analyst

45:34 Hi. This is [indiscernible] calling on for Matt. Hope you guys are doing well? Just had a question on, another one on guidance, do you think you could parse out how you're thinking about the differences in recovery through 2022 between the U.S.

and OUS market?.

Keith Grossman

45:55 Sure, Mike. I can take that. We're largely thinking about them recovering in a similar fashion, namely that Q1 is being impacted by Omicron and a little bit of seasonality. We expect to start to see a little bit of recovery in Q2 and then more of a recovery in the second and half of the year. And the way we're thinking about both the U.S.

and the International markets is that they are going to largely follow along those broad assumptions for market recovery with COVID..

Unidentified Analyst

46:37 Okay, great. Thanks. And just one quick follow-up. I believe you had mentioned the staff shortages and center capacity constraints, you think they are likely to improve for the rest of the year.

I was just wondering if you could comment on the visibility you have into those trends?.

Keith Grossman

46:56 Yes. Well, I think in terms of the first one, we have a lot of visibility. So, in fact we literally track at a center at a time. And so, we know exactly how many centers were closed in our core group of customers on the second of January versus the twelfth of January.

And we keep track of those, and I would say that number of centers that we're restricting are completely close to electric procedures, probably peaked around the middle of January and it is, do we still have some centers that are restricting or closed for elective procedures, but not many.

I think it's probably 20% of the original number, just a month ago. 47:43 So, we track them. We have a lot of visibility and we're down to what is at least as of today, a very small number of centers and I expect that will go close to zero here in the next week or two based on what we're seeing.

47:59 In terms of staffing, we have less of a crystal ball there. Our expectations were formed in our market research, our discussions with administrators and doctors, their directional in nature. And we read some of the same things that you read in terms of what's happening from a macro standpoint.

So, our assumption is that that does get better over the course of the year based on those inputs, but we don't have a unique data source other than what I just said on that one..

Unidentified Analyst

48:31 Got it. Thanks much..

Keith Grossman

48:33 You bet..

Operator

48:36 Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We will go next to Danielle Antalffy at SVB Leerink..

Unidentified Analyst

48:47 Hi. This is [Arian] [ph] on for Danielle. Thanks so much for taking the questions. Just a quick one on NSRBP, I know you mentioned that you're seeing halo effect from PDN, just wondering if you're seeing a similar trend from NSRBP and if there's any kind of pull through from that indication to the core market? Thanks..

Keith Grossman

49:12 Yeah. It's a good question, but I think it's probably a little too early to give you much of an answer. What we said was that we really needed the data we needed to publish and we would like to have an FDA approval to go alongside it. We've gotten all those things, but we've gotten them fairly recently.

49:29 So, I think it will take some time to really impact payer policy, payer decision making. And so, we probably need another couple of quarters to answer that with any clarity.

We've also said from the beginning, this is more of a sector effect that we, kind of expect this because there was really not a bright line between approval and non-approval, our on-label off-label for this particular claim among all of our competitors.

49:57 So, I would suspect that more payers than not will make decisions that are not specific to technology that we'll certainly try to influence that. We've always thought this is more of a sector impact and not just a Nevro impact. So, I think this will take some time.

Will there be a halo effect, there probably will be in some cases, I would expect the halo impact to be a little bit smaller.

What I do expect for NSRBP is that over time, it provides a nice tailwind to just overall market growth rates because this is a really untapped untreated patient population and if payers are finally looking at the data and making positive access decisions, it's going to make a difference.

That's the impact I think it will happen, but I think it will take time to play out..

Unidentified Analyst

50:51 Okay, great. Thanks so much..

Keith Grossman

50:53 You bet..

Operator

50:55 Thank you. We go next now to David Rescott at Truist Security..

David Rescott

51:01 Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. I guess first one from us. I guess now that NSRBP and PDN are both on [label] [ph] in the past you've commented on kind of what your thoughts are on the size of those markets or what’s the thought of those markets are as a percentage of the existing SCS and plans.

So, I guess, now that both of these are on label, do you have any better insight as to how large the segments currently are or are they necessarily any different from what you've been thinking about in the past?.

Keith Grossman

51:33 No, I don't think so. We’ve sized, we've been pretty careful in the way we've sized the TAMs. And I don't think there's anything about the current approval, the labeling, the data, anything else that changes our definition of the Tam. So, the potential market, I think remains as we've defined it.

51:49 In terms of the actual market growth, the TAM penetration that we see, first of all, NSRBP is just simply way too early for us to really start to put some numbers around that. And in the case of PDN, I think I would say that's probably a little bit too early as well.

I know our competitors stepped in with a very specific market number for a few years out, we'll see. But it's certainly a market that we think is going to get very large.

52:20 We think it's going to become a significant part of the SCS market globally, but in terms of trying to predict what's the PDN market going to be in 2025 or 2026, I think we'll leave that to others until we get a little bit more experience..

David Rescott

52:39 Okay. That's helpful.

I guess just on, NSRBP as well, I know it's early days of expansion here, but do you have a sense for where the incremental growth or if has been an incremental growth from that segment have come from? I mean is it from newer physicians who are now picking up, now doing implants of this therapy for NSRBP patients or is it potentially just an improvement in coverage [indiscernible] for patients who previously may have gotten to end coverage just given the absence of label there, exclusive label there?.

Keith Grossman

53:11 And David, you're talking specifically about NSRBP?.

David Rescott

53:15 Yes. Broadly [indiscernible] as well..

Keith Grossman

53:22 Okay. Well, I would expect the both pretty much mirror the existing population. I don't think there's an identifiable segment of the interventional pain community that say, we’ll involve themselves in one indication and not the other or skip both and just stick with traditional fail back surgery patients.

Certainly in the case of NSRBP, these are patients that would kind of come through the same funnel. 53:49 They would probably come from the same PCP or surgical referral pathway. They are patients that they see anyway.

They probably would be more, sort of about trying to get a string of referrals in this category and trying to get patients approved knowing that they can now talk to payers and get payers what they want.

So, I think it's really just, kind of amplifying the funnel of patients that already exist in the case of NSRBP, and I think it applies to all of our customer base. 54:25 In the case of PDN, I don't think there are many pain physicians that don't believe in the potential that wouldn't like to see more of these patients and treat them.

These patients do really well on high frequency therapy. They are actually pretty predictable in their outcomes. They're good patients to treat for a lot of reasons.

So, I think they're – I think this category patients treated with high frequency is a really interesting stream of patients, not just from a quality care standpoint, but for a lot of reasons. So, I don't think there's going to be any segments of our customer base that don't want to participate in this area demographically.

I think it's going to be pretty much across the board..

David Rescott

55:13 Okay. Thanks for taking the questions..

Operator

55:18 Thank you. And there are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Mr. Grossman for closing remarks..

Keith Grossman

55:26 Okay. Right on time. Thank you everyone for your time with us today. Everybody stay well. We look forward to updating you again next quarter..

Operator

55:36 Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect..

ALL TRANSCRIPTS
2024 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2023 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2022 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2021 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2020 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2019 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2018 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1