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Real Estate - REIT - Healthcare Facilities - NYSE - US
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$ 6.2 B
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q3
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Executives

Michelle Murphy - Director, Financial Reporting Scott Peters - Chairman, CEO and President Amanda Houghton - EVP, Asset Management Robert Milligan - CFO, Treasurer and Secretary.

Analysts

Karin Ford - MUFG Securities Americas Todd Stender - Wells Fargo Securities Kevin Egan - Morgan Stanley Jonathan Hughes - Raymond James & Associates Omotayo Okusanya - Jefferies LLC Richard Anderson - Mizuho Securities USA LLC Michael Knott - Green Street Advisors Chad Vanacore - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company John Kim - BMO Capital Markets Daniel Bernstein - Capital One Securities Eric Fleming - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Michael Mueller - JPMorgan Chase & Co..

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Healthcare Trust of America's 2017 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michelle Murphy, Director of Financial Reporting. Please go ahead..

Michelle Murphy

Thank you, and welcome to Healthcare Trust of America's 2017 Third Quarter Earnings Call. Yesterday, we filed our earnings release and our financial supplement after the close. These documents can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website or with the SEC.

Please note, this call is being webcast and will be available for replay for the next 90 days. We will be happy to take your questions at the conclusion of our prepared remarks. During the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements are based on the current beliefs of management and information currently available to us. Our actual results will be affected by known and unknown risks, trends, uncertainties and factors that are beyond our ability or control to predict.

Although we believe that our assumptions are reasonable, they are not guarantees of future performance. Therefore, our actual future results could materially differ from our current expectations. For a detailed description on some potential risks, please refer to our SEC web filings, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website.

I will now turn the call over to Scott Peters, Chairman and CEO of Healthcare Trust of America.

Scott?.

Scott Peters

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Healthcare Trust of America's Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call today are Robert Milligan, our Chief Financial Officer; and Amanda Houghton, our Executive Vice President of Asset Management.

I'm excited to talk about our third quarter performance and the broader medical office market.

This has been a transformational year and quarter for Healthcare Trust of America and demonstrates the opportunities in the performance metrics that can come from being the largest medical office owner with critical mass and scale in key markets and an integrated full-service operating platform in this fragmented but very attractive and rapidly changing sector.

From an overall perspective, HTA has never been in a better position to be a leader in medical office. As of today, we are the largest public owner of medical offices in the U.S.

with over 24 million square feet and over $7 billion invested, with 70% located on-campus and with the other 30% of our assets located in community core and academic university campuses across the country.

We have targeted and focused on 20 to 25 key gateway markets with strong underlying economic fundamentals, with 93% located in the top semi 5 MSAs. Our scale in these markets allows us to have key benefits of critical mass and operating scale with 11 markets approaching 1 million square feet, led by Dallas, Houston and Boston.

This gives us significant presence with healthcare providers and physician groups and allows our asset management platform an opportunity to drive consistent profitability from operations over the next 3 to 5 to 7 years.

We have established a stable and consistent stream of cash flows for our shareholders, with our top 10 gateway markets making up less than 50% of ABR and no single tenant making up more than 3.9%. We have also limited lease rollover over the next years to average 10% through 2021.

We have created the top-performing full-service operating platform in the sector with proven capabilities to drive profitable performance through property management, building maintenance services and leasing, demonstrated by our consistent same-store growth and our ability to integrate assets to our platform.

We have also begun to transition our new development platform into our existing service platform with a unified philosophy to better serve our health system relationships and benefit shareholders and also physician groups.

And finally, we have maintained and improved our fortress balance sheet with low leverage and the opportunity to drive our cost of capital even lower, as we demonstrate the benefits of our size and scale and competitive advantage in the sector going forward. For the third quarter, we will focus on 3 primary objectives.

One, executing from a financial perspective on our existing portfolio and executing on a financial perspective from the acquisitions that we acquired in the second quarter.

Two, closing and integrating our $2.7 billion of 2017 acquisitions, comprised of the Duke medical portfolio for $2.2 billion, the Dignity Healthcare portfolio for $150 million, the North Cypress Medical portfolio for $137 million and the Tampa Developer portfolio for $90 million. These are now on our operating platform, as Amanda will discuss.

And three, the implementation of our full-service operating platform with the benefits of strategic property management, efficient building maintenance services and relationships in the markets from our leasing professionals.

And finally, the addition of our new development capabilities in all of our key markets, having introduced them to our relationships and moving forward with opportunities that Robert will talk about. Financially, we hit our targets. $0.42 per share of normalized FFO, up 5% on a year-over-year basis.

2.9% same-store cash NOI growth driven by revenue growth but also demonstrating our ability to use our operating platform to perform additional services to drive profitability. Tenant retention of 75%, with leasing spreads moving up 2.2% during the period.

G&A held consistent at $8.3 million, which was 4.7% of total revenue and leverage at 6.2x debt-to-EBITDA, which should be reduced below 6 times by year-end, and the company having approximately $900 million of liquidity. From an acquisition, integration and performance perspective, we remain on track to deliver for shareholders.

During the period, we closed $161 million of acquisitions, largely completing the Duke and Tampa MOB developer acquisitions, which we started and disclosed in the second quarter.

We placed 92% of our 217 investments in our property management platform and 79% onto our building maintenance services platform, which, again, Amanda will identify and describe as she talks next.

This allowed us to generate total synergies from 2017 investments during the period of over $1.2 million, primarily in eliminating third-party property management fees. As such, we now expect to achieve total synergies towards the high-end of our previous $5 million to $7 million by the first quarter of 2018.

We entered into new leases totaling approximately 26,000 square feet or 40 basis points of additional occupancy, while also renewing 108,000 square feet of space in the portfolio.

There remains an additional 31,000 square feet of space that are leased but not occupied, excluding development properties, that will grow cash NOI by over 1% when it comes online. Again, as we look to the Duke opportunity, we saw not only immediate benefits but benefits coming in, in third, fourth and first quarter.

We completed 2 of the development properties acquired through Duke with construction costs of $33.5 million. We have one additional development coming online in the fourth quarter with the remaining 2 by the end of the second quarter 2018. As a result, our 2017 investments were yielding 5.1% on a run-rate basis by the end of the period.

We continue to believe they will yield around 5.5% by the time the remaining development reach stabilization in the middle of 2018, and we continue to achieve our targeted synergies. Finally, we continue to look at ways to improve and fine-tune our operating platform, which we think is the key to long-term performance for MOBs and MOB companies.

We started our operating platform in 2010 and have steadily grown its capabilities and profitability since then.

However, the additional size and scale we have achieved in 2017 through our investments have greatly increased our opportunities to truly become the best-in-class operator, not just in the medical office sector, but also all the way across all aspects and sectors of real estate.

We still believe we are in the early innings of achieving the synergies that we see on our platform. One of these new capabilities is our ability to develop and redevelop. While we acquire at a very capable and well-performing platform with Duke, we're in the process of integrating the team onto our platform.

And adding new players to give us the geographic and specialty reach we need to match our scale. Our new capabilities have enabled us to expand our relationships and conversations with healthcare system providers around both new development and also redevelopment.

We have -- we are in advanced stages of negotiations in several opportunities that will fall into both of these buckets, and we look forward to announcing them in the coming quarters.

However, these projects will be consistent with our approach to acquisitions, well-located medical office buildings located in key markets with 75% to 85% preleased and associated with leading healthcare providers.

We think this allows us the opportunities for accretive growth that you'll see that will add to our acquisition opportunities in the coming quarter. I will now turn the call over to Amanda to discuss our asset management..

Amanda Houghton

Thank you, Scott. When we started our in-house property management and leasing efforts in 2010, we did so for two fundamental reasons that remain true today. The first is that it allows us to better service our tenants.

By in-housing management, maintenance services and leasing, we not only have a more complete picture of what the tenant needs, we are more directly able to respond to those needs in a coordinated and consistent manner.

Establishing direct relationships with tenants has proven to increase our overall retention and has also generated countless expansion and acquisition opportunities across our portfolio. Secondly, in-housing allows us to increase efficiencies.

When we in-house the management of a property, we are able to generate immediate synergies by simply eliminating the third-party management fees. Those synergies continue to build over time as we hire and train a team of building maintenance and engineering professionals, who are able to perform a greater amount of services in-house.

Thus, further capturing third-party markups and generating increased profitability for our shareholders. You can see this in our financial this quarter by noting that the increase in our tenant reimbursements outpaced the increase in our expenses year-over-year.

I would like to note that this platform operates at its fullest potential, increasing efficiencies and providing superior tenant services when we have the size and markets to justify bringing service lines in-house at rates less than those that would otherwise be charged by third parties.

We can do this more as we increase our management density or scale in market, which allows us to hire more specialized staff and keep them operating at full capacity. The Duke transaction was transformational in that it significantly increased our size and ability to drive scale in many of our markets.

We have created what we believe to be a best-in-class property management and building services platform that is set up to deliver superior results for tenants and shareholders alike. From a same-store perspective, we continue to operate our properties efficiently and profitably. Our same-store NOI growth for the period was 2.9%.

This was despite a slight decrease in our occupancy year-over-year from 91.7% to 91.4%, due in part to the final remnants of the original Forest Park leases rolling off.

Overall, we have seen an increase in leasing activities and inquiries at our Forest Park assets due largely to speculation surrounding HTA's impending announcement of the hospital re-purposing.

In a submarket with less than 5% vacancy, we feel good about our positioning in this market and the core critical nature of this asset to the HTA campus and anticipate seeing re-tenancy and subsequent growth in the latter part of next year. Our leasing activity remains strong.

In the quarter, we leased over 745,000 square feet of space or 3.1% of the portfolio. This includes 224,000 square feet of new leasing. The highest amount of quarterly new leasing we have seen since being public, reflective of the overall increase in leasing activity we are seeing across many markets.

Re-leasing spreads also moved higher to 2.2%, the best we've seen since we became public, driven by renewals in key growth markets, including Houston, Boston and Miami. Our retention for the quarter was 75%, bringing our year-to-date retention to just under 80%.

Our concessions also remain very low with less than $2 per square foot per year of term on a blended basis for both new and renewal lease tenant improvements and just 3 days of free rent per year of term.

Our leasing teams take into consideration many different metrics when evaluating deal terms, giving consideration not only to rental rates and re-leasing spreads but also valuing heavily the free rent concessions and impact to the overall building as aspects to consider.

It is our desire to enter in a market-based rate that reflects our institutional management and superior positioning in many of our markets.

We believe it is this philosophy that has helped HTA generate some of the highest and most consistent performance among our healthcare REIT peers while establishing and maintaining lasting relationships with our tenant base. Operating expenses for the quarter were up slightly over the prior year, due largely to property taxes and utilities.

HTA continues to aggressively appeal taxes when appropriate and anticipates future utility benefits as we focus on bundling our usage to receive the most favorable rate for tenants.

Turning to our 2017 investments, I am pleased with the way that our team has integrated these assets onto our platform, with minimal disruption to tenants or building operations.

While this has been a large undertaking, the fact that we already had established property management and leasing offices in all but one location, allowed us to move quickly and surpass our initial timing expectation.

In total, as of the end of the third quarter, approximately 92% or nearly 6 million square feet of our 2017 acquired assets were managed internally, bringing our total portfolio square feet under management to just over 22 million square feet.

This is extremely beneficial from a financial perspective as our 2017 in-house properties have over $5 million in annual property management fees that will now come to HTA. Because we are able to in-house the majority of these properties within 30 days post-close, we were able to recognize over $1 million of those fees in the third quarter.

Equally as important to our in-housing success is the ability to integrate maintenance services onto our platform. As a result of the 2017 acquisition, we now have 17 markets with over 500,000 square feet, the key point when we are able to in-house complete mechanical, electrical and plumbing services.

At the end of Q3, approximately 79% or just over 5 million square feet of our 2017 new acquisitions had been staffed with in-house maintenance specialists, bringing our total portfolio of square feet under in-house maintenance services to 20 million square feet or 83% of the portfolio.

As our maintenance specialists begin to in-house more services previously provided by third parties and provide their services to tenants at market-based rates, that's when we see the highest efficiencies from our maintenance services group, efficiencies that benefit both new acquisition and our existing portfolio.

We expect to be on a very good path to see meaningful value creation from our in-house maintenance team by the first quarter of 2018. From a leasing perspective, we have seen a significant number of new leasing opportunities on these acquired properties and have been able to execute on them utilizing our existing team.

In the third quarter alone, we closed on over 26,000 square feet of new leases, which accounts for 40 basis points of increased occupancy on the 2017 acquisition portfolio. We also had advanced stage lease prospects that would increase our development properties to over 90% leased.

Many of these leases were from existing relationships in existing markets. So we are pleased to see this carrying over to new properties. We also closed renewals on over 108,000 square feet of space in our 2017 investment pool.

While we don't include these in our projected synergies to the transaction, this leasing activity would have resulted in third-party leasing commissions of almost $0.5 million, had those transactions been completed by third-party brokers.

As we move into our budgeting season, our team is focused on continuing to utilize our platform and size to generate scale and efficiencies. We believe we are still in the early stages of refining our property management platform that is recognized for its quality, not only in the medical office sector but across all sectors.

With that, I will now turn the call over to Robert to discuss the financials for the period..

Robert Milligan

Thanks, Amanda. The third quarter for us was a relatively clean quarter that allows us to demonstrate the impact of the 2017 acquisitions in our underlying portfolio performance.

Third quarter normalized FFO per diluted share was $0.42, up 5% from the third quarter of 2016 and only included partial period impacts from the final closings of the Duke and Tampa portfolios as well as 2 of the developments that were completed.

Our normalized funds available for distribution increased 52% to $74.8 million compared to the prior year. We no longer report this on a per-share basis as we believe this is a liquidity measurement, however, our payout ratio for an increased dividend was 83%. Our same-store cash NOI growth was 2.9% despite a slight decline in occupancy.

As Amanda discussed, we have increased the profitability of our platform, and this performance demonstrates our ability to continue to grow our cash flows even as we focus on pushing rental rates where appropriate, which sometimes comes at the expense of short-term occupancy.

You can see this in our 2.2% cash re-leasing spreads in this period, which is up from the flat to 1% we have been averaging. As importantly, we are increasing rates without spending a significant amount in tenant improvement dollars, which tend to offset any additional NOI that could be generated.

We continue to demonstrate our ability to grow our NOI for shareholders through multiple avenues. Our ability to grow these margins is demonstrated in our reported same-store rental revenue margin, which increased 90 basis points year-over-year.

We are providing this metric as we think it demonstrates our true profitability growth on our base revenue without the distorted impact in our recoveries has on other margin metrics. We are focused on increasing this margin as we continue to utilize and improve our platform in additional areas.

We expect continued stability in this performance as the lease rollover remains limited, with an average of 10% rollover per year through 2022.

G&A for the quarter was $8.3 million, which is less than 5% of revenue and approximately 45 basis points of gross asset value, significantly lower than our direct peers and in line with larger diversified healthcare REITs. We are efficient with our overhead and infrastructure overall, especially given the operational focus of our business.

Overall, we had $11 million of recurring capital expenditures, including building capital, tenant improvements and an internal and external leasing commissions. This is less than 10% of NOI, more than 50% more efficient than traditional office and significantly less than some of our peers.

As discussed last quarter, the addition of the Duke portfolio, which had an average building age of under 9 years and limited lease rollover, certainly helps our capital efficiency in this period and will continue to do so in the coming years. Let me touch on a few other areas to note, directly related to our future financial performance.

The performance of our 2017 acquisitions in the period was on track with our underwriting and demonstrated our ability to grow yield through the combination of property synergies, development completion and even some upside in leasing.

Our 2017 acquisitions included a number of moving pieces with rights of first refusal, property synergies and development. However, the simple story is that we acquired $2.7 billion at what we believe is an in-place 5% first-year cap rate.

With synergies of $5 million to $7 million across all 2017 acquisitions and 7 development properties in process, we believe we should achieve a mid-5% yield on these acquisitions by the middle of 2018. During the period, our 2017 acquisitions produced almost $33 million of cash NOI.

This included over $1.2 million of property synergies, primarily from eliminated third-party property management fees. A full period impact from closed acquisitions and developments completed in the third quarter should add an additional $1 million to this run rate.

And when added to leases signed at the time of acquisition but not yet paying cash rent results in a 5.1% run rate yield as of 9/30. We expect that yield to continue to increase in the fourth quarter and is on track to hit our target of a mid-5% yield in the middle of 2018 as the final developments are completed.

Further bolstering our view on this was the fact that we have already signed additional new leases in the third quarter totaling 40 basis points of acquisition occupancy, which will roll into our numbers in 2018 as tenant build-outs are completed.

In addition to these synergies that impact NOI, you can also see the financial benefits to our performance through the capital efficiency of newer buildings and the utilization of our existing leasing platform. In this period alone, we renewed 108,000 square feet of new space for these properties.

This will bring the total amount of leasing commissions earned to over $0.5 million or 1.5% of cash NOI if we use third parties like many of our peers do. This was a key consideration of ours as we looked at these acquisitions, even if they don't directly impact core NOI and FFO.

A part of the Duke acquisition was the opportunity to add their existing development platform. Development has never been a core part of the HTA story. However, we believe this capability certainly has strategic merit given our size and the depth of relationships in our key markets. Any acquisition and transition results in certain personnel turnover.

However, we are getting to the team that we believe will position us best to be a leader in the space, focused with our key markets and tenants. This includes some of the existing Duke folks, primarily on the construction side and also some new ones we are in the process of bringing on board.

It will also include partnering with other development platforms, all of which works strategically for our healthcare relationships and will result in accretive opportunities for shareholders.

We are far down the path on many conversations in this area, both for new development and redevelopment opportunities in our portfolio, and look forward to announcing specific projects as they are signed. Turning to another area that has received increased scrutiny from investors in the space is tenant credit.

Generally speaking, medical office building rent typically makes up a very small percentage of our tenant outpatient revenue stream, resulting in rent coverage in the 8 to 9x range. You see that in our level of bad debt, which currently runs up well less than 1% of revenue.

However, as the sector continues to go through changes in consolidation, there will be situations that cause investors to take note. One of those currently relates to Community Health System.

While we aren't experiencing any issues with their credit, we do think it's instructive to discuss how parent health system financials relate to medical office performance in credit and specifically, how we, at HTA, monitor and underwrite for these situations.

In our experience, one of the most critical factors for on-campus medical office buildings and tenant health is specific performance of the hospital campus on which they are located. More important than the parent operator is the operations of the actual hospital, the entity that is generally on our lease.

This hospital performance not only drives volumes and activity on the campus, but it also provides any downside protection if the parent runs into issues. At HTA, we monitor the specific hospital performance metrics and take specific actions based on what is occurring. Take Community, they now operate 129 hospitals in 20 states.

They have had some issues related through acquisitions and consolidation in the space. As an entire organization, they account for 2.9% of HTA's total ABR, almost all of which is directly leased by the specific hospital operator.

However, we are comfortable with our exposure for the following key reasons, first, our exposure to Community specifically relates to 18 medical office buildings that are located on 11 of the 129 specific hospital campuses, primarily in Tucson, Arizona, Oklahoma City, Charlotte and Longview, Texas to the east of Dallas.

Second, all of these hospitals are profitable. In fact, the average operating income of a community hospital is over 11%, nearly twice the industry average. Third, several of these are in joint ventures with leading not-for-profit operators.

Should the parent entity suffer any disruption, we would expect these hospitals to not only not shut down, but realistically, be sold to other leading health systems given the volumes and positioning the hospitals have in these markets, something that has been demonstrated repeatedly this year.

Simply put, we are comfortable with the hospital positioning and think that it is critical to performance, whether it's part of the for-profit system or an A-rated not-for-profit system.

It's also part of the benefit of having local boots on the ground that can pick up the subtle changes to hospital performance that may not be reflected in the financial statements. Finally, our balance sheet remains in good shape. We ended the period with leverage at 31.9% debt-to-total capitalization and 6.2x debt to EBITDA.

We have over $900 million of available liquidity and a very manageable debt maturity schedule over the next 5 years.

However, we believe our balance sheet is a competitive advantage, and with our scale, it should allow us to drive our cost of capital lower as investors and others entities recognize the tremendous stability of cash flows and diversification in our combined platform. As such, we are committed to driving our leverage down to the mid-5s.

To that end, we raised $200 million of equity on our ATM in October. $125 million was taken immediately and used to repay debt. $75 million was raised on a forward basis, and we expect it will be used to fund acquisitions in the next 3 to 6 months.

This will get our leverage below 6x by year-end and should go lower as additional development comes online, and we grow our earnings into 2018. As we look to the fourth quarter, we believe we have created a compelling company for our shareholders and tenants.

We have one of the highest quality medical office portfolios in the country, which is positioned to provide stable and growing cash flows. In addition, we have created a unique national operating platform that provides for additional growth potential in multiple environments.

This combination positions us as a leader in this attractive sector going forward. I will now turn it back to Scott for final remarks..

Scott Peters

Thank you, Robert. Thank you, Amanda. I'll now open it up for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question will come from Karin Ford with MUFG Securities..

Karin Ford

Robert, I just wanted to ask about your comments there at the end about the $200 million of ATM issuance that you did post quarter end. Is the goal with driving down leverage to be in a position to be an acquirer of another large portfolio? I know there are a few kicking around out there.

Or is there something different in mind when you're thinking about capital allocation and the leverage plan with the ATM issuance? Can you talk about that?.

Robert Milligan

Yes. Absolutely, Karin. First and foremost, as we look at our overall capital structure leverage liquidity, we're really focused on making sure we head into 2018 with the balance sheet in great shape.

I think, certainly as we look at the long term -- from a long-term perspective, we think our increased size and scale and diversity combined with strong balance sheet certainly positions us to lower our cost of capital.

So we do remain committed to bringing that leverage certainly down below 6x by year-end and certainly back to our long-term average, where we've been running at 5.5 to 6x area, which we think will certainly help on that path.

So the $200 million that we raised, $125 million taken immediately really gets us just from a positioning perspective to the below that 6x metric. And we do want to make sure we have a significant capacity to take advantage of any acquisition opportunities. But I think as Scott talks, we're very focused on being disciplined in our acquisitions.

We've made a great deal already this year. I don't think we need to chase portfolio pricing. That still is extremely competitive.

We're going to be focused on buying in our markets, where we can immediately add property management, building services, leasing capabilities that really gets us 25, 35 basis points, which would then allow us, really, to make accretive acquisitions that's good for all shareholders..

Scott Peters

Yes. Karin, I would just add on Robert's thing. I think we're, as a company, we're focused on an investment-grade upgrade.

We think that being the size of a company now with the stability of cash flows and the demonstration of the synergies, the occupancy that we've demonstrated, I think that puts us in a strong position to continue to lower our cost of borrowing.

And as far as the bigger portfolios go, my understanding is that the cap rates that are being chased on some of these are actually lower than the acquisition price that we did for Duke. And as we've demonstrated, we're performing at a 5% yield now and want to move it up to 5.25%.

So will we see something in our market on a single asset basis that we find attractive and that Amanda can bring into her asset management platform, and we can gain those synergies, we would do that. But we're not looking are the larger portfolios. They're not the quality that we bought, and we're very happy with where we are today..

Karin Ford

That's helpful. My second question is, I just want to make sure I understand the roadmap on what takes the investment yield -- the yield on the investments up from 5.1% to 5.5% by mid-2018.

It's -- the developments coming online and what else is in the assumption there?.

Scott Peters

Well, certainly, it's the developments coming online is going to add a significant piece to that. When you look at the cash flows we've had from the developments in the period, on the 7 projects, we only had $600,000 of NOI. When we look to get them fully stabilized, that should produce about $2.5 million per quarter of cash NOI.

We anticipate that being really in place by the second quarter -- end of the second quarter of '18 is 2 of the projects are finished, going into the third quarter of 2018 to be kind of fully realized. So that's certainly the first piece of it.

The second piece of it, as we've talked about from a total 2017 acquisition perspective, we see property synergies of $5 million to $7 million. We achieved run rate of about $5 million this quarter, largely driven on property management fees. But we anticipate being able to get another $500,000 and $600,000 a quarter to really help drive that.

Those are the 2 main areas that we have that will take it from the 5% in place that we bought it, really going up to that 5.5% area. It's the combination of those factors..

Scott Peters

Karin, in regards to the synergies, we've talked here as a management team and what we've seen is we've been now 18 or 20 quarters in a row talking about synergies from asset management and synergies from our leasing core critical markets and gateway markets with core critical mass and NIM.

This Duke transaction and adding $2.7 billion of assets to this platform really puts us, what we feel, is almost a couple of years and the ability for us to continue to generate greater savings. The more assets you have in markets, the more you can realign your staff, the more services that you can bring to the tenant.

We just think that this opportunity now, for us, over the next 2 or 3 years is very exciting..

Karin Ford

Great. And just my last question, it sounds like you're having success in pushing rents a little harder in your core critical locations.

Have you also been trying to push escalator levels? And what type of escalators are you getting on new leases these days?.

Amanda Houghton

This is Amanda. Our escalators, for the most part, were trying to maintain consistent with the market-based escalators, and we're seeing 3%, sometimes 4% annual escalators now we're able to get.

So I think, I mean, we factor in many aspects when we're looking at lease deals, not only that rental rate and that re-leasing spread, but the escalator is a big one, and that's a big driver of our growth going forward.

So I think -- this quarter, I think we were just under 3% on average, but as we're seeing the new deals coming on in our pipeline, we're re-leasing a lot more than that, 3% and even 4% on some of our core markets..

Operator

The next question will be from Todd Stender of Wells Fargo..

Todd Stender

Just my first question, if we could stick on the subject of development. You've got the 4 properties generating $600,000 of cash. You said maybe it gets to 90% preleased.

Is it fair to assume that the contribution ramps each quarter until you get to that $2.5 million run rate? And is that a Q3 of '18 number that gets to that $2.5 million to $2.75 million range?.

Robert Milligan

Yes, Todd. It should ramp up really sequentially, certainly, as projects are completed in the ones that are 100% build-to-suit. You should have another certainly about $400,000 coming online in the fourth quarter just from the projects that we completed in the third quarter. Those were 100% occupied. There's various level of free rent in them.

But you should see about $400,000 being added to that in the fourth quarter. The other 2 projects that are still being built -- I'm sorry, there's 3 projects still being built.

One of the projects will come online midway through the fourth quarter and can start contributing, but really will have a big benefit in the first quarter with the final 2 being done second quarter. So full stabilization cash NOI by the third quarter of 2018..

Todd Stender

And that's a cash number?.

Robert Milligan

That's a cash number, correct..

Todd Stender

Okay. And then I have a couple of questions regarding CapEx specifically just on the recurring CapEx piece. First, when you look at the recurring CapEx as a percentage of NOI, it fell to about 10%, I believe, in the quarter.

How has that trended historically if you back out TIs and LCs? What's an appropriate level we should look at maybe for the foreseeable future? And how does that compare to, say, traditional office?.

Robert Milligan

As we look at medical office and, particularly, our portfolio, I think you've traditionally seen medical office run about 12% to 14% of cash NOI. I think that's been somewhat of an industry standard, really, looking back over the last 10 years. I think we've historically run in that kind of 12% to 13% range.

I think some of our peers put a lot more capital in their building. We've seen some of them up towards the 20% range. But I think the industry standard tends to be 12% to 14%. Traditional office, on the other hand, is much higher than that, 20% to 25% would be typically what we would see there.

So first of all, I think medical office is just that much more capital efficient from the ability to reuse the spaces, have high levels of tenant retention and then we do go find new tenants, they're typically going to be able to use the space that's built out for physician's offices.

As we've looked at our portfolio over the next 5 years, one of the things that we talked a lot about doing these acquisitions, especially the Duke portfolio, was really the ability to add very recently developed properties.

The Duke portfolio had an average age under 9 years, which significantly reduces just the standard building maintenance that you're going to have to perform. So as we look at it, we think from our perspective, we should be at this 10% to 11% of NOI. We think that compares very favorably, certainly to the sector on an overall basis.

And I think it's not just the building capital, I think it's also the leasing commissions. What Amanda talked about was just in this quarter alone, we saved $0.5 million that we would have had to pay out to the third-party leasing broker. $0.5 million is meaningful but when you look at it in the context of overall NOI, that's 1.5% of NOI.

That's a key benefit that we get from doing the synergies, buying properties in our markets, and you don't really see that in some of the other acquisitions that are getting done..

Todd Stender

That's helpful. And then just a final question I guess somewhat related. We saw an uptick in your average term, I guess, on both new and renewal leases, but also rents are coming up as well. But also an uptick in TI dollars per square foot.

How do you think about your economic rents, I guess, after you backed that out? And any color you could provide on any trends you're seeing there?.

Amanda Houghton

Yes. So I would say when you kind of factor in your TI per square foot per year of term, we're actually pretty consistent with where we've been historically. I will say that what we've seen lately is that there is more required to build out many of these spaces to kind of fit the needs of the groups that we're working with now.

There are a lot of larger groups who are consolidating smaller spaces so they are looking to do more 7- and 10-year terms, and I think that's what you see that sort of blending that overall term up. But even the TI that we're providing, many times it doesn't cover it.

So we're also getting physician group and hospital system contribution towards that TI, which to us is kind of the best way to ensure their long-term tenancy. They're invested in the space along with you..

Scott Peters

Todd, to build on what Amanda said, we are seeing larger groups. We're seeing the smaller practices, of course, disappear on little larger areas. And for these physician groups, they are practicing longer, they are looking for more TI dollars. We, obviously, are -- we look at the -- each individual deal.

We extend it if they get -- go from 5 to 7, they get a little more TI from us. But as Amanda said, they are putting in more dollars into their spaces. So I think it's a blend of the 3 things..

Operator

The next question will be from Vikram Malhotra with Morgan Stanley..

Kevin Egan

This is Kevin on for Vikram. I just had a question in regards to just portfolios in the market right now. I know you've definitely heard about a few out there.

Just in terms of -- what are you seeing in terms of demand? And how are investors? Are there any changes from the prior quarters?.

Scott Peters

Well, there are portfolios out there, as we've mentioned. We're very happy with our acquisition. I think we did it early in the cycle, frankly, with just a superior quality portfolio, 85%, 90% in our markets. So we couldn't have been more happy with the opportunity to have acquired that last quarter.

The portfolios that are out there right now are a little more diverse in location. They're not in our key markets, as a whole. There is a lot of appetite out there, I will say that. I think there's still a very high degree of interest in getting size and bulk into the MOB space. So I think you're going to see these be very competitive.

And we're, as I've mentioned, we're looking for, as we move forward, those assets in our gateway markets that bring additional synergies like we see in the Duke transaction, which I think demonstrates everything we've been talking about the last 5 years. We like those type of acquisitions..

Kevin Egan

And you would say, just in terms of the players that are, I guess, kind of chasing these deals, what would you say? Are they typically public REITs or are there other players as well?.

Scott Peters

Well, I can't speak for the public REITs. I wouldn't do that. I do think that there's a -- from what we understand and the feedback we've gotten, there's a diverse same type of group of folks that were looking at the Duke transaction that are looking at these portfolios. I think you have to look at size.

I mean this portfolio at Duke, I thought when we looked at it and when we underwrote it and we looked at the markets and we did our analysis, I thought this was the best, highest-quality portfolio that would be available for an acquisition opportunity, either in the last 5 years or in the next 5 years.

So I think there is a high degree of appetite when someone can get a large group of assets, and hopefully, they hope that they're quality assets. We certainly thought that the Duke portfolio was quality from top to bottom..

Operator

The next question will be from Jonathan Hughes with Raymond James..

Jonathan Hughes

Maybe one for Amanda, and you touched on this earlier. But looking at the tenant recovery debt ratio to expenses, it was north of 71%, up nearly 400 basis points year-over-year.

What's the target or ceiling on that ratio? And does that change once the Duke assets are rolled into the same-store pool?.

Amanda Houghton

Sure. And I think you're referring to that same-property NOI schedule on the supplement. So overall, I think -- in 2016, our recovery ratio was right around 59% and now, we're seeing right around that 71%, 72%. I think there are a couple of dynamics that are sort of changing our recovery ratio overall as a portfolio.

I think the first, and I mentioned it in my opening remarks, we are doing more higher-margin maintenance services in-house. So instead of paying a third party, we're able to provide the same services at the lower cost with market-based rates.

So that is, I think forever sort of changing that recovery ratio that you're going to start to see for our portfolio. But, secondly, I think, especially this year, you're starting to see the benefit of some base-year resets.

So over the past several years, we've seen continued expense declines, I think, across our portfolio through these savings -- initiatives that we've done. And many of our tenants got underneath their base year essentially, throughout that period. Over the last 12 to 24 months, we've been resetting base year.

So now when expenses go up, we can actually pass that through. So I think there is a fundamental change in some of the makeup of our portfolio that you're seeing there with the recovery ratios..

Jonathan Hughes

Okay. So is maybe, like, 75%, your target, or....

Amanda Houghton

Again, the Duke portfolio is largely a triple-net portfolio. So any kind of a triple-net structure, you've got 100% recovery ratio. So you will see a blend upwards as we integrate the Duke portfolio..

Jonathan Hughes

Okay. And then earlier you mentioned aggressively fighting property tax increases. And maybe what markets drove that? And I assume that was the main driver of the 4.5% growth in OpEx in the quarter..

Amanda Houghton

That's right. I mean property taxes were about half of that increase and that was largely due to our Northeast market and, specifically, properties that we had acquired during the first half of last year. It was underwritten.

We expected it, but particular markets in the Northeast did have a 5-year sort of reassessment year this year, and that's where we saw that increase..

Jonathan Hughes

Okay. And then just one more from me, and this is for Robert.

On the new ATM program, can you just talk about how you think about using that in the traditional sense versus the forward-sale feature? And when you prefer to do one over the other? Is this just related to maybe timing of development cash outflows or just certainty of financing? I mean any color there would be great..

Robert Milligan

Well, typically, we've used the ATM, really, to match fund small acquisitions, that typically $35 million, $50 million to keep the leverage in check. We're going to continue to do that. This was an opportunity as we looked at it. We want to get leverage below 6x. We've got a couple of opportunities.

We wanted to make sure, in this kind of volatile interest rate environment, we had the equity to go pursue. So we took advantage of it. But we've traditional viewed the ATM as a method to really fund kind of the small to midsize acquisitions that we've typically made..

Jonathan Hughes

Okay. And that's up, 6% leverage target.

I mean is that what's needed to get to maybe another credit ratings upgrade?.

Robert Milligan

Well, we think it's important to get sub-6%. We think 5.5% to 5.75% is the stated targets. We think we can get there with natural earnings growth and really managing the balance sheet, how we've typically done that..

Operator

Next we have Tayo Okusanya with Jefferies..

Omotayo Okusanya

Thanks for giving quite a lot of detail on the earnings call. That is appreciated. A couple of things from my end. Could you just talk a little bit about tenants' retention trends? It's kind of been on a downward trend the past few quarters.

Just curious whether it's very specific to just the leasing going on in the quarter or there is something else going on?.

Amanda Houghton

Yes, I think overall, I mean we've target a range of 75%, 85% on our retention, but our focus has been and continues to be on the quality of our deals. So you saw re-leasing spreads at the highest levels. Our new leasing terms are at highest levels.

We're trying to get good-quality tenants that will generate synergies for our building and other tenants from the building. So I think anything sort of within that 75%, 85% range is well within what we would consider to be sort of a good progress. And that's kind of what we look to see at, going forward..

Omotayo Okusanya

Okay.

So is it fair to say, you purposely sometimes willing to let space just expire because you think you can get either better tenant credit, better rents, what have you, just because of just a really strong demand right now?.

Amanda Houghton

Yes. I think we do require market-based rents, so there are still some legacy tenants that aren't used to paying those sort of rents, so we would let those tenants leave.

But we also have had some examples of smaller tenants that we have not been able to renew because we are making room for larger tenant.so I think that you can see more of that going on, as we do try to sort of transition to some -- to accommodate some of the larger groups in our buildings..

Scott Peters

And one of the factors we have seen, and we continue to see, Tayo, is the expansion. Just it's just a core part of what the medical office sector is today. You get a good tenant -- you get a tenant of 5,000 square feet, 3,500 square feet, and they continue.

And this is -- I would say they continue greater than 50% of the time that we're seeing in high-quality locations. They're looking to expand because these groups are growing, they're consolidating, and so retention can look a little low. But when you're expanding it, you don't look at that as a new tenant.

So I think that's a little bit of what you're seeing in our numbers..

Omotayo Okusanya

Got you. That's actually very helpful. Okay, so that's the first thing. Then the second thing I wanted to ask, just around again, leasing spreads, when I take a look at the supplemental -- Page 17 of the supplemental, when I just take a look at new and renewal leasing activity, on a year-to-date basis, expiring leases averaged base rent $22.47.

Starting leases, $22.46. So it's basically flat, so there's no real spread here. But in the meantime, you do spend some money in regards to TI and leasing commissions.

I'm just trying to understand, I mean, kind of the economics around re-leasing, just kind of given this situation where there doesn't seem like there's a mark-to-market here, but yet you are still spending money on the space to get it ready for the new tenant..

Robert Milligan

Yes, Tayo, thanks for going through that, those numbers on there. First thing is a bit mechanical in nature, you take the third quarter, for example, what will you put in the supplement was the base rent of the entire expiring leases, not just what was renewed.

So when you look on a suite versus suite basis, you are seeing that rent roll up, which is a little bit different map on there. So I think that's the first thing really mechanically, that's taking place.

So what we are seeing on the renewal -- and again -- and then the overall just comes from a mix of where we are doing leases, where we are seeing leases and where you're seeing that shake out..

Omotayo Okusanya

So if you do it through apples to apples, space being filled up versus space where someone's moving out, how should we'd be thinking about that spread?.

Robert Milligan

Well, that's what we're seeing as the 2.2% of the third quarter. We see that being pretty consistent on a go-forward basis as we're looking at the renewals in our key markets..

Omotayo Okusanya

Okay. That's helpful. Then last one for me, thanks for indulging me. A lot of talk on the call about the development platform and HTA-Development and I'm just getting serious, last quarter when you bought the platform from Duke, there was a lot of excitement about Keith coming on board, to kind of lead the strategy. He's kind of since left.

It doesn't sound like that's disrupting the business in any way, shape or form based on some of the comments you made on the call, but what exactly caused him to leave? And how are you kind of thinking about either backfilling him? Who's going to be new leadership? That type of thing..

Scott Peters

Well, as Robert mentioned in his comments, Tayo, we've sort of taken the folks that came from the Duke platform, and I think we've now tailored that platform to our size and our scope and our -- to our discipline. Frankly, we're going to be very disciplined in our development. We're going after medical office buildings.

We're not going after a diverse group of assets, as the Duke development team had done prior to this. So we are being very consistent on what we're chasing.

We're being very consistent in putting our relationships first, meaning the relationships that either Duke had or frankly we've had and it's been a surprise to me, we've had as many relationships or if not substantially more, that we've reached out to from a development perspective and have generated opportunities.

But there's 2 or 3 opportunities that we think we'll be talking to you about specifically, probably in the fourth quarter and that will be exciting. We don't see that we're going to add anybody. We may add 1 person or something, but we've realigned some folks. We've taken the development guys. They're also doing acquisitions.

They had a pretty talented group of people at Duke, so there's been an opportunity to move a couple of people up, as there's been a change. And frankly, I think we're now at a point where we're very comfortable with the team that we have and there's always movement in and out, and that's just part of things.

And so we're -- it isn't going to be, in my view, and again, go back 3 months and have we done exactly, what we said we would do, when we underwrote the portfolio? I think you would check every box, if you look at our call that we went through when raised equity.

I think the development objectives and strategy that we thought we're going to do, is right in line with where we're headed..

Operator

The next question will be from Rich Anderson with Mizuho Securities..

Richard Anderson

Rob, if I could just get back to the re-leasing spread math. I see what 2.2 is, that's just on renewals for the third quarter. I'm -- but isn't the real number 1.8? Because you still re-leased, you put a new tenant in, but it's still re-leasing spread, right? So I'm just trying to understand..

Robert Milligan

Yes. No, it's really you go to a 75% retention in there. 1/4 of the expiring leases didn't -- space did not get renewed there. You take the 75% of the space that got renewed, that expiring rate or the new rate was 2.2% higher.

So when you look at the expiring rate that we put in there, it's blended with the additional 25% of space that wasn't actually renewed..

Richard Anderson

Okay. So then a question -- I get that. So now the question is, how does that become a sudden run rate for you? Because when you look back at the first and second quarter, it was basically pretty flat, even down in the first quarter -- if we're just looking at the renewal part of the equation.

What has happened to this -- miraculously go up by 200 basis points or so in terms of the cash re-leasing spreads?.

Scott Peters

Rich, this is Scott. I don't think it's miraculous. But if you go back to our first quarter call, we talked about moving rent spreads in the third or fourth quarter. We thought we were going to be able to do that in our key markets, and we focused on doing that. We have seen the market get stronger.

I mean, Amanda mentioned, the fact that we've done more new leasing this quarter than we'd ever done since we've been public. We continue to see opportunities and obviously, we're almost -- unfortunately, you're almost in the fourth quarter -- through the fourth quarter. We continue to see the same sort of activity this quarter.

So when you see activity and you see the opportunity, our retention was 75%. It was a blend of expansion space, where we didn't renew somebody as we had made a commitment to a larger tenant. But it was also a distinct purpose on our part to move rent spreads in markets where we think there's limited space.

And we've got, I think, a very good portfolio, the Duke portfolio will be a great addition to that. So I think our run rate for lease spreads are probably 1.5 to 2.5. I think that's where we see it today given the fact, that we've looked at this fourth quarter, we've looked at the first part next year, so we -- that's kind of where we see it..

Richard Anderson

Okay. Fair enough. Robert, when you were kind of going through the accretion analysis, you mentioned the development ramp, the property synergies. You didn't mention the new leasing, which I think was 29,000 square feet or something like that, out of the 17 investments.

Is that -- like should we think about that as the gravy part of the story and the primary growth will not necessarily come from new leasing, but from the other 2 buckets?.

Robert Milligan

Yes. As we look at that, in our underwritten 5% cap rate, there was 30 basis points of leased, but not occupied space that was there at the time we closed. That will come on really in 2018, the first 2 periods. So you get a little bit of a lift, just in our natural underwriting of that 5 cap over the first year.

But yes, the occupancy we didn't underwrite a lot of occupancy upside, as part of that. So we do view that as gravy. I think that was one of the things we looked at and said, we like being in the market. We know these assets. We know a lot of the tenants.

I think we've seen some of that cross over, frankly, be a little bit more effective earlier on, than what we had necessarily originally expected. So yes, we see that as just upside and entire proof that the scale in the market is helping on the leasing front..

Richard Anderson

Okay. Gravy. Giving approaching, I guess. The other thing I want to -- on the -- it's kind of the breakdown of the portfolio. The hospital count went down to -- from 20 to 15 in the portfolio.

What happened there? I know Amanda mentioned re-purposing some assets in Forbes Park portfolio, but what happened there to draw that number down?.

Robert Milligan

Yes. Really what it was, was we took some of the micro hospitals that Duke had. We had originally classified them as hospitals. But frankly, as we took investors on some tours of them and walk them through them, the feedback was overwhelmingly, these are really medical office buildings.

The only difference is that on the ground floor, there's an emergency room versus an urgent care room or an emergency room versus a surgery center. And so we made the decision to shift all of those into the medical office building portfolio. That also makes the hospitals really cleanly rehab hospitals and no taxes as well.

So that's a much cleaner number for investors to look at. There's a rehab hospitals at all times but quarter-over-quarter, that's what took place..

Richard Anderson

Okay. Next one, trying to get through this as quick as possible. So 2.9% NOI growth this quarter, still round up, 3%, seems to be staying at range. But the question becomes, if you're going to get accretion, financial accretion from the investments and you're mentioning 5.5% return when it's all said and done.

But is there also going to be growth accretion from Duke? I know you mentioned the synergies and all that, but relative to where the company was before, do you see 3% going to 3.5% in terms of the same-store growth profile this company at some point down the road? Or should we still be thinking in terms of 3% on -- from a long-term perspective?.

Robert Milligan

As we look at it, we frankly, as Amanda talked about, one of the occupancy was just the Forbes Park burning off this quarter from a leasing perspective. If Forbes Park was in there, we would have been 3.3%, 3.4%, 3.5%.

As we look and really reset property management and building services, we get benefits as you point out, not just on the Duke portfolio, but certainly on the existing HTA portfolio, and that's where, as we look at really in the back half of 2018, we see the opportunity for that to increase. I mean we certainly got to execute on our path to get there.

We had to roll out of the building services, make sure we utilize that skill effectively, get that leasing and certainly the Forbes Park asset that Amanda referenced, but we do see that as an opportunity, as we get into the back half of 2018..

Scott Peters

Rick, I think as a management team, we added 1 plus 1, it needs to be 2.5. It doesn't -- it shouldn't be just 2. So from a management's perspective, we should see a greater growth in our same-store NOI as we move into the -- into 2018.

This will be the first time we're right now going through budgeting, we're going through organizational market decisions because now we have different sized markets. We've got 17 markets with 500,000 square feet.

So I think in 2018, we're excited about being able to push that from, as you say, 3%, pretty consistently, maybe up a little bit and really show some benefit from the consolidation..

Richard Anderson

Okay. Great. And then lastly, before you announced the acquisition, the consensus FFO estimates for 2018 was $1.78. Implies about $0.45 a quarter.

So I know you guys don't issue guidance, but is that the way, we should be thinking about $1.78 as sort of the hurdle to prove financial accretion from your investments in 2017? Or am I thinking about it wrong?.

Robert Milligan

Well, I think as we look towards 2018 estimates, I think the biggest driver in all the models was certainly what the level of acquisition was, what the cap rate was and what the financing was. I think the driver for us -- that was the biggest driver for us frankly.

And as you've seen MOB cap rates come down, I think the opportunity for external growth has changed fundamentally. As we're looking at 2018 now, what gets interesting to us is, we feel very comfortable with the growth that we're going to have going into the next year with really limited acquisition opportunity.

We think we've set ourselves up for a nice 2018 earnings growth profile, again, with the acquisitions coming online, with same-store growth -- I'm sorry, with the developments coming online, with additional synergies. We think we've set ourselves up now to be in a good position from an earnings perspective for 2018.

Really without a lot of acquisitions going into next year..

Scott Peters

And I think Rich, this put us in a position to be very selective on the acquisition front. Make sure that it's accretive. Make sure it's disciplined in our markets.

And I think we're one of the few companies, frankly, certainly within our peer group that can look at the opportunity we have over the next 5 quarters and just look internally and say, gee, wish we can continue to grow shareholder value and FFO growth..

Richard Anderson

But Duke in itself is absolutely accretive in 2018 in your opinion?.

Scott Peters

Yes, it is..

Operator

The next question will be from Michael Knott with Green Street Advisors..

Michael Knott

Just on that point of limited acquisition opportunities for '18, how do you think about maybe the type of volume that might be realistic for HTA next year as we think about, what you might be able to do?.

Scott Peters

Well, I'd like to clarify. I do not believe there will be limited opportunities from a sector perspective. I think that you're seeing the monetization of MOBs. There's quite a few preliminary discussions that I think I'm aware of, that's in the market with health care systems that have now seen the opportunity to be able to do this.

We continue to see individual assets that are out there. I think for HTA, it's all a matter of being disciplined, being in our markets and the cost of capital and the accretion that's associated with it. We will be selective buyers. We're in a great position.

We have the ability to add NOI based on our asset management program and our ability in the markets. And so we'll be selective. I think there'll be opportunities, but I don't want to commit or really comment on how many they will be because it really depends on what is in the markets, what's available and, of course, can it be accretive..

Michael Knott

Okay. And by the way, what's your takeaway on the high prices that all of these roofers were getting exercise at both in your deal and some of the other deals.

Just curious if you view that as something of a floor buffer on pricing and sort of contributing to the high prices in the sector?.

Scott Peters

Well, yes. I mean the short answer to your question is yes. I think it will continue. I think there's some of the portfolio that are out there right now, that have ROFR attach to many of the assets.

And I think that you're going to see some of the assets executed on, and I think you're going to see some of them flipped or held for a period of time by the health care system. But it certainly seems to be putting a floor or a continued value to the key critical nature of these MOBs..

Michael Knott

Okay.

And then any of your markets by chance were a new supply maybe becoming an issue or you think it might become an issue over the next couple of years? And maybe any speculative off-campus type of construction you're seeing? Or is still pretty much the same story there on supply?.

Scott Peters

The nice thing is now that we have a development group and a team, we actually have insight into what's going out or what's going on in out across the country. And we have not seen an uptick in developments and we haven't seen an uptick in development in our markets.

What we have seen uniquely is the ability for us to be involved in 2 or 3 things directly related to a health care system, where we have a current asset, and we have our current relationship. So there -- that's an opportunity.

Those are opportunities that we probably would not been able to take advantage of over the next 14 to 18 months without the development team that we have..

Michael Knott

Okay. And then maybe just a couple more quick ones.

'18 FFO, as mentioned a second ago, can we expect guidance from your next quarter? Or is that not something that you're planning to put out there?.

Scott Peters

I think we're going to take that under consideration. But right now, we haven't made a determination on that..

Michael Knott

Okay. And then last one for me would just be your '18 and '19 lease expiries. I think the average call at 10% of rents per year.

Any early read on many challenges or opportunities in that group? Or is it pretty much the same type, 75% to 85% retention that you talked about earlier?.

Amanda Houghton

Yes. It's pretty consistent with what we've seen historically. I mean we're always about nine months ahead on all of our renewals. So I think we've got a pretty good pulse on next year, and we'll continue to work 9 months out as we go forward the next year..

Operator

Our next question will be from Chad Vanacore with Stifel..

Chad Vanacore

All right. I'll make this short and sweet.

I do want to go back to development and just think about what are your pre-leased goals? And what are your expectations on stabilization period?.

Scott Peters

Well, I think our pre-leasing goal is 80% to 85%. In some cases, it will be 100% in a couple of things that we're looking at simply because it's directly with the health care system and it's a really it's something that they're pushing to get completed. So we want occupancy, we want it pre-leased and that will continue to be our goal..

Chad Vanacore

All right.

So if you want to get up to low-90s, is that in the next 12 months? Is it something shorter or something longer?.

Scott Peters

Well, I'd like to think that you are going to get whatever you build. If it's 80%, 85% pre-leased you get up to 90%, 95% by the time it's built. I think again, if it's in a good market, good location, you got the health care system. Our large physician groups that are locating there, we've got a leasing team in the market.

Our goal would be that it's 90%, 95% leased by the time it gets built and placed in service..

Chad Vanacore

All right. And then just thinking about the asset management side of the business.

Post the Duke transaction, what kind of improvements in process? Or any particular challenges that you had to overcome integrating this Duke portfolio?.

Amanda Houghton

Yes, I'll say that the process itself, it was quicker than I think we all expected or could have hoped. I mean it -- the benefit of already having management offices in 24 locations across the country was helpful. We only had to open up 1 new office.

Staffing for the most part, we integrated Duke staff and combined it with our own and made efficiencies were possible. So I think that the property management integration was pretty seamless. I don't know too many other companies that would have been set up to do what we did, in the time frame that we did it.

And I really think that our biggest opportunity is the engineering services and maintenance services that we're really starting to see the benefits of, starting this coming quarter, and I think that in 2018, as we continue to train our folks and integrate and specialize in various services, we're going to continue to see some engineering and maintenance margin through our operating results..

Scott Peters

I'll just add to what Amanda said. We were -- I've never been accused of being, I think, not aggressive. Conservative, I think, but when we underwrote it, we thought that it would take 75 days.

We cut that substantially down and the whole organization from top to bottom, including the accounting because the accounting was such a big -- you've got 600 leases, and we went through the process.

And I can't tell you that -- we would have never, I think, thought and going forward, that we could have done it and completed in the time period that we did. And so I would take this point in time to thank all our employees who may listen to this call for all the hard work that went in, in a very short period of time..

Operator

The next question will be from John Kim with BMO Capital Markets..

John Kim

Can you walk us through the mechanics of the forward ATM sale? Is the price fixed? And do you have any influence on when the shares are placed over the next 6 months?.

Robert Milligan

Yes. So the way the forward works, the shares were issued in price at the time of the transaction. We have the ability to take the proceeds and thus, officially issue the shares at any time over the next 6 months. So the price was fixed. There's a small carry fee associated with it. That's less than 2% but essentially, it's fixed.

Today, we can take it at any time over the next 6 months..

John Kim

And what was that price?.

Robert Milligan

Net of all commissions, it was $29.40..

John Kim

Okay. I guess based on your answers to various questions, it seems like the $200 million that you've placed this month was more of an aberration than the norm, just to produce leverage.

Is that the case?.

Scott Peters

Well, we were very focused on our leverage. We were very focused on our debt-to-EBITDA, and we're also focused on -- there are a couple of opportunities that we like. They're in our markets. It will be very accretive to us.

Even today, based on cost of capital, and so it gives us the flexibility but more importantly, it puts our balance sheet and it puts our ability to move to that next level and an investment basis, irrespective of what the market does.

And obviously, with the tenure being as unpredictable as it is right now, I think we're in a very solid position, vis-à-vis, what we want to accomplish in the next 6 months..

John Kim

On the discussion of re-leasing spreads, that will continue to be there, it looks like your 2019 expirations have a high base rents relative to where you've been signing leases today.

Should we expect a roll down in 2019? Or is this just a mix issue with that year?.

Amanda Houghton

No. I think that the expiration of rent, it just really reflective of the location of our expiring leases. So certain markets inherently have higher rates, and I don't think that's an indication at all of where they'll roll..

John Kim

Okay.

And then finally on the topic of new supply, are you seeing any increase in conversion since MOBs from other asset classes, whether it's retail, suburban office or some other sector?.

Scott Peters

Well I think this is one of the things that folks have talked about is this conversion of retail. I think that's very difficult.

I think the infrastructure that's established in a retail location is far different than the infrastructure needed for a medical office building, especially if a specialized physician group is moving in, it's costly to go through the redevelopment and then the location.

I mean I'm not sure there's many locations that are going to be necessarily attractive to health care systems or to large physician groups.

So I think that, that conjecture along -- I remember 3 years ago or 4 years ago, there was a huge conjecture that all the vacant office buildings were going to become medical office buildings and we really haven't seen that take any substantial move towards that actualization.

What we have seen is in locations that are critical to the health care systems or locations that have been established as campuses that there is redevelopment going on in those situations, where they're taking perhaps an office moving into an MOB or taking a -- something that they can convert and that I think will continue because again, the medical office building space, I think is the most highly focused location, location, location asset in any of the asset classes in real estate.

They're very purposeful where they want to be and obviously, on a hospital campus or across the street, that's not a conjecture, that's either there or it's not there. So I think you'll see that -- I don't see that being a great impediment for the MOB sector..

Operator

The next question will be from Daniel Bernstein with Capital One Securities..

Daniel Bernstein

A quick question on development yields going forward, if you look at the construction cost going up, labor cost going up, should we still be thinking about that 6.75%, 6.8% yield to stabilization? Or is that going to be coming down to say below the mid-6s, when we think about modeling that out?.

Robert Milligan

Yes. Dan, typically what we're seeing is developing getting done 50 to 100 basis points wide, of what an acquisition cost would be. So certainly, as you see an acquisition, pricing comes down I think competitiveness on the development is also coming in as well.

So I think we're seeing around 6 to 6.25 would be typically something that we would see on a development basis depending on size, quality and things like that..

Daniel Bernstein

Okay. And one quick question on the balance sheet. You're obviously delevering down to the mid-5s debt to EBITDA. But when you look at the competitors for acquisitions out there, they are on the private side, they're probably using 3- to 5-year money.

Have you thought about, where you would want to issue unsecured debt in the future in that 7- to 10-year type of range or would you want to shorten the debt duration a little bit down to 5 to 7 years to be more competitive, when you're bidding for assets?.

Scott Peters

Well, I think we're a long-term owner of assets, and I -- somebody told me 30 years ago that you finance long-term assets with long-term debt, and you don't do it with short term.

I think actually that there will be many opportunities or there will be opportunities, in fact we've seen a couple of opportunities where there's some roll over of shorter financed MOBs by some of the private side and those are turning into opportunities that are coming to market. But you are not going to see HTA go short in duration.

The whole purpose of our stability of our balance sheet and the opportunity to buy the portfolio that we did was to continue to improve our long-term credit cost to capital..

Operator

The next question will come from Eric Fleming with SunTrust..

Eric Fleming

I'm all set..

Operator

The next version will then be from Michael Mueller with JPMorgan..

Michael Mueller

Just few short ones. Try to be brief here.

Shoot for once development ramp, did you say there was another $1 million to $2 million that wasn't in the run rate that will be in the run rate by mid-2018?.

Robert Milligan

Yes, that's the way we see it playing out. We generated a $1 million to $2 million within this quarter. We do see the ability to get to the top end of our initial $5 million to $7 million range. That would equate to another $0.5 million a quarter, $2 million annualized..

Michael Mueller

Got it. Okay.

Looking at the I guess the Duke development people that left, did they had not compete?.

Scott Peters

I don't believe they did. I'm not a big firm believer in a noncompete, frankly. There wasn't anything in that situation that I would want to get in the way of their ability to continue to do what they want to do.

I think, again, we don't see any impact, frankly, to our core business or our ability to keep the development folks busy or our ability to put out the amount of dollars that we really want to do. So I wish all of them the best and that's kind of how business goes.

You want the right mix, you want the right tenure tone content for people to be aboard and there's got to be a desire for both parties to do that..

Michael Mueller

Okay.

The last question, since you've been talking to all of your tenants so far and thinking more about the development opportunities, what are the current thoughts in terms of a base case for how much development do you think you could do in a year, say in 2019 or 2020 about how much $100 million, $150 million?.

Scott Peters

Well, the Duke platform had traditionally, with the infrastructures that they had in place, done about $125 million. Frankly, they had thought that, that was underutilized. And when we look at it and when we talk to people that we have now, I think we can move that up.

I would expect that we'll do somewhere between $100 million to $200 million a year and take advantage of the opportunity to be that fully integrated partner with the health care system. And again, if it's fully leased or 90% leased and we're getting the 75 to 100 basis points spread.

And its great location, great real estate, that's a good opportunity for shareholders..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks..

Scott Peters

Well, I just like to thank everybody for joining us on the third quarter. As you can expect, we're very happy to have released the results and been able to talk about what was a very busy 6 months for us, and we'll be focused certainly on the fourth quarter in 2018.

And again, if there's any follow-up questions or comments, please don't hesitate to call either Amanda, Robert or myself. Thank you, guys very much..

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect..

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