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Industrials - Aerospace & Defense - NYSE - US
$ 66.61
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$ 984 M
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33.31
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q4
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Executives

Tony Reardon - Chairman, CEO Joe Bellino - VP, Treasurer and CFO.

Analysts

Mark Jordan - Noble Financial Chris Van Horn - FBR Capital Market Ken Herbert - Canaccord Genuity Mike Crawford - B. Riley & Company Bob Franklin - Prudential Financial.

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Q4 2014 Ducommun Earnings Conference Call. My name is Mark and I’ll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes.

I would now like to turn the conference over to the moderator. Please proceed..

Unidentified Company Representative

Thank you and welcome to Ducommun’s fourth quarter conference call. With me today is Tony Reardon, Chairman and CEO; and Joe Bellino, Vice President, CFO and Treasurer. I would now like to provide a brief Safe Harbor statement.

This conference call may include forward-looking statements that represent the company’s expectations and beliefs concerning future events that involve risks and uncertainties that may cause the company’s actual performance to be materially different from the performance indicated or implied by such statements.

All statements other than statements of historical facts include in this conference call are forward-looking statements. Although the company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to have been correct.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the company’s expectations are disclosed in this conference call and in the company’s Annual Report and Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014.

All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements.

Unless otherwise required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, after the date of this conference call. I’d like to turn it over now to Tony Reardon for a review of the operating results.

Tony?.

Tony Reardon

Thank you, Jordan, and thank you everyone for joining us today on our fiscal fourth quarter conference call. Before reviewing the financials I wanted to comment on the company’s delayed filings and restatement of prior periods.

We are obviously very disappointed by the restatement which resulted in both internal control deficiencies and employee misconduct, specifically after the discovery of misconduct by employees we identified a single long-term contract for which a forward loss provision should have been recorded in 2009 and the impact on subsequent periods of the adjustment of the forward loss provisions as products were delivered.

The misconduct and its related financial impacts were concealed from Ducommun senior management, our internal auditors and our external auditors. The misconduct by these employees is not the way we do business. Ducommun is dedicated to the outmost integrity and everything that we do.

We have begun the process of taking corrective actions including termination of employees involved and we're dedicated to committing the necessary resources to ensure that this never ever happens again. To be clear our investigation revealed no other programs were involved in this misconduct and there was no impact to our customers.

At the same time and unrelated to the employees in this conduct we discovered errors in our income tax accounting. These errors are also unacceptable and we're committed to enhancing our controls and our technical expertise to ensure that they are not repeated.

In addition the restatement includes previously identified and disclosed immaterial adjustments. Now turning to our financial results, Ducommun's fourth quarter benefited from improved mix and modest sequential increase in our operating margins.

However the quarter also has several unusual items that somewhat aided these performance gains as Joe will review in a minute. Revenue for the quarter was $188 million, our operating cash flow was 32.5 million and including the various one-time items we reported earnings at $0.46 per share.

While 2014 is now behind us and we can look back and asses our overall accomplishments as well as areas needing further improvement we ended the year with $742 million in sales essentially flat with 2013 while recording a $1.79 of earnings per diluted share.

All in all we had a number of important successes while withstanding a significant decline in our military business. The growth in our commercial aerospace operations was certainly a highlight.

We posted a record revenue of 242 million driven by higher product shipments of large commercial aircraft and modest growth in our regional and business jet markets helping to offset $32 million decline in military sales as compared to 2013.

During the year we noticed many significant wins such as on the 737 MAX and Airbus A320, A320 NEO and A350 platforms. We also made some excellent in-roads penetrating the engine markets positioning us for growth going forward.

In addition we have signed or we are in the process of finalizing long-term supply agreements with Airbus, Boeing, United Technologies, Spirit and Parker Aerospace. Turning to the non A&D markets, we continue to see positive results from our efforts of targeting major strategic industrial customers.

The catalyst behind our success here has been our constant focus on providing innovative solutions and outstanding service with growth fuelled by strong customer relationships and a surge in new business development activity. This was exemplified by the fact that during the year Ducommun earned preferred supplier status from key industrial customers.

We have positioned ourselves to reap positive results from cost savings and efficiency improvement initiatives across the company and saw excellent working capital gains in several key areas. But we still have more work to do here.

We continue to look closely at our manufacturing footprint and as an example have initiated a facility consolidation one of our structural solutions business units aggregating the operation from three buildings into one.

This effort will be finalized earlier in the second half of 2015 as we will continue to focus on driving operational efficiencies and margin enhancements going forward. Improvements already achieved in working capital helped propel operating cash flow to $53 million and free cash flow to $35 million in 2014.

We also paid down nearly $43 million of our credit facility last year and in 2014 with a net debt to EBITDA ratio slightly under 3:1 from a high of 4.5:1 following the acquisition of LaBarge in 2011.

We've consistently told our shareholders and our lenders that we're committed to reducing our leverage ratio to less than three times by the end of 2015 and we are on schedule to hit that target.

In addition we are now planning to refinance our debt in its entirety as soon as practical which we expect will result in significant interest expense savings going forward. Joe is going to talk about this more in a moment.

Looking ahead we will focus on top line growth across commercial aerospace market, engine markets and the non A&D segment to offset the headwinds caused by declining military programs and the sun setting of certain platforms which will impact our sales and margins during the first half of 2015 as we adjust the mixed changes and invest the new commercial programs.

We'll look to drive higher growth and improved operating performance in the second half of the year concentrating our efforts on expanding margins, growing the business and ensuring customer satisfaction through operational excellence.

In short this will be a transition year for Ducommun as we work to refinance our debt and position the company for higher returns in 2016 and beyond. Now let me provide some color on the markets and our products and of course our programs. Starting with our military and space markets in 2014 revenue fell 8% or 32 million year-over-year.

The fourth quarter was down 18% or 18 million versus 2013 reflecting the many challenges we’ve discussed previously including the wind-down of the Boeing C-17 program for which we made our last shipments in the fourth quarter.

We also saw lower revenue within our military helicopter space which included the Apache main rotor blade down in the fourth quarter. But we expect this business to remain at current level during 2015.

These changes caused our military structures business to decline more than our electronics segment last year, although the electronics segment was impacted by lower radar racks shipment particularly for the F-18 and the F-15 program.

Going forward, we expect that revenue within the military and space markets will continue to trend somewhat lower reflecting budget realities and platform curtailments with sales stabilizing in the second half of 2015.

While the President’s latest budget includes increased defense spending for fiscal 2016, it’s clearly too soon to say whether this will actually happen and if it does whether Ducommun will see any meaningful increase in orders near-term.

That said we are encouraged by the budget’s emphasis on equipment modernization which plays to our strengths and the fact that it include substantial increase in funding for a number of programs we currently support.

In any event we believe that ongoing conditions in the Middle East combined with the crucial nature of the platforms we serve support a base level demand even as budget negotiations play out in Washington. Electronics upgrades to such aircraft as the F-18 and the F-15 we believe will continue.

Our Missile defense business revenue was slightly down in 2014 and we expect this market to stabilize going forward. We also continue to bid on new opportunities within military and missile defense space and believe that our customer relationships and quality reputation put us in a solid footing to win additional content.

We are targeting applications that best leverage our technology advances and our structural expertise.

The bottom line is that even in the current budget environment there will always be room to expand our defense business on the right programs and platforms and we intend to do just that, positioning the company for higher growth when spending in Washington is better define.

In the meantime we are actively taking steps across our facilities to reduce cost, increase efficiency and expand our margins. We know we can do this even as run rates start to drop on certain platforms as we look to reduce working capital and drive higher cash flow for investment elsewhere.

And one place we’re certainly investing is within the commercial aerospace arena whereas I noted earlier we had our best year ever. Revenue in the fourth quarter rose to nearly 65 million also a record, up 25% year-over-year from 2013 and driving the full year revenue of 242 million, up 14% year-over-year.

The growth across our large commercial airplane platforms was evidenced by our biggest program, the 737, which rose to nearly $60 million in sales in 2014. The consistent growth in our commercial programs has served to somewhat offset the decline in the military sales.

We will continue to look for further growth in both commercial aircraft as well as the engine markets. As spoken in the past about the many opportunities we’re working on to expand particularly with Airbus and we’re clearly focused on increasing our penetration with this important customer.

At the same time, we’re bidding on new electronic and structural solutions for Boeing, Spirit and Bombardier as well as major engine OEMs where we’re working to build on already existing partnerships.

We feel confident that even in current levels our business can expand substantially within this space driven by increased content as well as higher build rates. Moving to our non A&D business, the end of 2014 so a continued upward momentum. The Q4 revenue of nearly 38 million is the highest since the third quarter of 2012.

In addition our backlog within these markets rose 25% year-over-year which bodes well for going into 2015. We remain focused on winning new customers within this space and have made good in-roads into several heavy industrial markets.

However, within the natural resources markets we’re fully aware of the implication inherent in the slightly lower oil prices and cutbacks I think our slightly significantly lower oil prices and cutbacks in the future capital spending.

This business represented about 6% of our total revenue in '14 and we have strategies in place to deal with the current market fluctuations which will likely negatively impact demand near-term.

The fact we project sales for us in the oil market could drop 30% to 40% during the first three quarters, but we feel confident that the steps we’ve taken over the past year will broaden our business base and expand our industrial segment market penetration.

For Ducommun in total in 2014 top line was characterized by solid growth in our commercial aerospace and non A&D markets offsetting softer revenue within the defense area. I think you will note that Sales were flat we offset $32 million of dropped sales in the military with our growth in the commercial market.

We see the trend continue in 2015 with year over year comps a bit tougher particularly during the first three quarters but due to the impact of a legacy C-17 Apache and Radar Rack business. As I said earlier we view 2015 as a transition.

We will focus on replacing reduced military sales and offsetting oil and gas sales by leveraging strong customer relationships and aggressively pursuing new business development opportunities. Overall we feel that the robust plan that we have in place will improve margins and drive growth positioning the company for higher returns.

With that I would now like to have Joe review our financial results, Joe..

Joe Bellino

Thank you, Tony, and good morning everybody, we appreciate you being on the call this early. As Tony mentioned we are deeply disappointed in the employees' misconduct and the weaknesses in our internal controls over financial reporting that have lead to restatements in certain prior periods.

We take this matter very seriously and are working diligently to implement the necessary corrective actions.

We’re in the process of remediating four material weaknesses, three related to a long-term contract initiated in prior periods, following the discovery of misconduct by employees which resulted in the identification of a forward loss reserve and this should have been recorded in 2009, the prior period.

In addition a fourth material weakness was recognized related to income tax errors in the year-end reconciliation of income taxes for payables and deferred assets and deferred tax balances, primarily in 2013, 2012 and 2011.

We expect to remediate the forward loss contract material weaknesses by the end of the third quarter this year and the tax adjustment weaknesses by year-end as they are year-end entity controls.

The 10-K results which we released this morning for fiscal 2014 include restatements of certain previously issued financial statements and the selected financial data. Want to try to quantify the effect of that; the restatement has the following effect on our financial statements.

Net income increased $1 million or $0.09 per fully diluted share for the nine months ended September 27, 2014. Net income increased 2 million or $0.19 a share for fully diluted share for fiscal 2013. Net income increased $1.2 million or $0.11 per fully diluted share for fiscal 2012. These are all compared to what was previously reported.

Our shareholders’ equity was reduced by 4.4 million as of September 27, 2014. The restatement had no effect on our revenues or our cash flows from operations. Now turning to our financial results. Looking at the fourth quarter results net sales for the quarter were approximately 188 million that was very similar to last year’s fourth quarter.

The revenue does reflect to the continuing shift in demand that we’ve seen throughout the second half of 2014 with a strong 25% increase in revenues for the commercial aerospace shipments and they’re being offset by an 18% decrease in military and space sales both structural and electronics products.

Within the commercial aerospace sector we saw increases in both structures and electronic solutions, as we continue to benefit from higher airframe build rates and increased content.

Conversely in the military and space sector we have seen reduced demand in both structural solutions and technology applications reflecting lower aggregate demand for government defense spending. We expect these mix shift trends as well as overall levels of demand to continue through the first half of 2015.

Ducommun's net income for the fourth quarter of 2014 was 5.2 million, that’s $0.46 per fully diluted share compared to a loss of 5.2 million or $0.49 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2013.

As previously reported in '13, when we reported our results for the fourth quarter, the net loss included charges of 8.8 million or $0.51 per share after tax, it was comprised of two pre-tax program related charges of 14 million that were somewhat offset by reduced accrued compensation expenses in that period of approximately $5.3 million.

Fourth quarter 2014 net income was favorably impacted by an insurance recovery, we also saw one in the third quarter and increases in income from a favorable customer settlement resulting in a modest benefit from the reversal of the forward loss reserve.

The fourth quarter also benefited from a favorable income tax rate which was partially offset by higher accrued compensation and benefit cost in our fourth quarter.

In the fourth quarter legislation was passed to approve the research and development tax credit and we recognized a 2.4 million or $0.21 per fully diluted share benefit as compared to last year’s comparable period where we have recognized $0.8 million benefit in the fourth quarter or approximately $0.07 per diluted share.

The reason I talk about these are that in 2013 and legislation was approved on January 2nd so we took approximately 0.7 to 0.8 million a period or $0.07 a share throughout the four quarters in '13 whereas in '14.

We only recognized the R&D tax credit benefit of $0.21 in that period so as we look at it the delta was $0.14 on a true run rate year-over-year.

Regarding the availability of federal R&D tax credits in 2015 as legislation has not been passed this year, we do not expect to record any related R&D tax benefit until or such legislation is passed, as a result we expect a normalized tax rate of 31% throughout each reporting period in 2015.

Operating income for the fourth quarter was 10 million or 5.4% of revenues very similar to the amount reported in the third quarter 2014. This reflects the environment and the shift in business mix we experienced in the latter half of the year including the two military programs that Tony spoke about that are winding down.

Our gross margin of 17.9% was slightly higher than the 17.6% gross margin in third quarter of 2014. We are addressing the impact of mix shift and gross margin levels and taking action by rightsizing our manufacturing cost structure to adapt to these changes.

Higher accrued compensation cost resulted in selling, general and administrative expenses running above 12.6% of revenues resulting in an operating margin of 5.4%, again this was very similar to the amount we reported in our third quarter of 2014.

Including the current quarter results was $1 million insurance recovery related to property and equipment which is classified in other income. EBITDA was $18.2 million or approximately 9.7% of revenues in our fourth quarter. In reviewing results by each of the business segments, first Ducommun AeroStructures, DAS.

DAS reported sales of 78 million in the fourth quarter as compared to 81 million in last year’s prior period. DAS revenue was unfavorably impacted by a 27% decrease in military and space sales, primarily due to the reductions in the C-17 as the contract ended in the fourth quarter and Apache main rotor which has seen reduced customer requirements.

Partially offsetting the military and space declines was an 18% increase in commercial aerospace revenues driven by solid growth of Boeing and Airbus shipments. Along with an increase in sales of regional and business jet applications. DAS's operating income was 6.9 million or 8.8% of revenue similar to the third quarter of 2014.

Segment operating income was favorably impacted by the reversal of forward loss reserve a result of a customer settlement. Partially offset by higher accrued compensation and benefit costs. Our EBITDA in the DAS sector was 10.5 million or 13.5% of revenues. Now, next in reviewing Ducommun and LaBarge Technologies or DLT segment.

Net sales for the fourth quarter of 2014 were 109 million as 2% increase compared to last year’s comparable period. That said, we have modest shift as defense electronic sales declined by 8 million, they were offset by increases in commercial aerospace electronics revenue which were up 5 million and $5 million increase in non A&D sales.

We attribute the decrease in defense technologies applications revenues primarily because of reductions in funding for F-18 modernizations affecting our radar rack applications and softness in military helicopter demand.

In recent years we have seen sequential declines in our defense electronics backlog but we continue to see higher demand for our commercial aerospace electronics. And our non A&D offerings both the result of recent business development initiatives.

However, while revenue within the natural resources sector was solid for the quarter and for the year, we are now seeing the adverse impact of the changing dynamics in the energy markets including higher oil prices. And this is being reflected on our sequential decline in current backlog.

DLT’s operating income for the fourth quarter of '14 was 8.5 million or 7.8% of revenue that compares to 9.4 million or 8.8% of revenue in '13. The decrease reflects an unfavorable product mix, higher manufacturing costs and accrued compensation and benefit expenses. They are partially offset by higher revenues.

We are currently addressing and taking action on the level of manufacturing expenses and are aggressively pursuing cost reduction activities and supply chain initiatives and they’re improving operating performance. EBITDA was 13 million during the quarter or 11.9% of revenue compared to 13.9 million or 13% of revenue in last year’s comparable period.

Corporate, general and administrative expenses which Ron allocated to the business segments for the fourth quarter of 2014 were 5.3 million or 2.8% of revenue, compared to 3.5 million or 1.9% of revenue in last year’s comparable period, primarily as a result of higher accrued compensation and benefit expenses this year as compared to last year.

Our overall backlog at the end of the quarter was 559 million. This equates to a sequential decrease of 10 million versus Q3 2014 and reflects a $13 million decline in our military and space backlog, a $7 million increase in commercial aerospace products and a $4 million reduction in demand for industrial and energy application.

As I mentioned most of those are really related to the slowdown and backlogs on the energy sector, we’re working diligently to finalize additional orders across various commercial aerospace and defense technology platforms in the upcoming half of this year consistent with normal seasonal patterns. We now turn to liquidity and capital resources.

Earlier Tony mentioned that during the quarter we continued to de-lever our balance sheet and generate very solid cash flows. In 2014 we generated a record 53 million in cash flow from operations, compared to just under 46 million in full year 2013.

We generated approximately 38 million in free cash flow which is approximately $3.40 per fully diluted share and use all of that and some cash on hand in our balance sheet to repay nearly 43 million in debt in 2014.

We remained diligent in effective working capital management and expect our net cash profile going forward to reflect historic seasonal patterns. We ended the year with sufficient cash balances and expect to continue deleveraging the balance sheet. At year-end, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA was approximately 3:1.

During the first quarter of 2015, we also made another $10 million prepayment on our term loan debt in our -- and we have not reduced our total funded debt to $280 million. At this stage we are on schedule with regards to our goal of deleveraging to targets of 2.75 to 3 by year-end 2015.

In addition, we recognized that we may have the opportunity this year to refinance our debt and reduce interest expense significantly going forward as well as increase our ability to execute on our strategic growth initiatives. Capital expenditures for fiscal 2014 were 18 million, we expect them to be 15 million in fiscal 2015.

In closing, as we continue to focus on managing the changing mix in our business addressing manufacturing costs and pursue supply chain savings and opportunities to support our goal of achieving sustained operating and EBITDA margin which along with diligent and frugal expense management and a focus on working capital efficiency should permit the company to generate meaningful free cash flow going forward.

And with that, I'd like to turn it back to Tony for his closing remarks.

Tony?.

Tony Reardon

Thank you, Joe. We faced many challenges these past few years, while building solid business across multitude of platforms and technologies, and we are dedicated to improving performance across all aspects of our operations.

In addition, we’ve realigned our company to operate faster, more innovative responses to our customers and build a real strong management team.

Our commercial aerospace business is firing on all cylinders and we’ve grown this part of our business over 50% organically in the past five years through a combination of broader structural offerings, advance technology applications, higher run rates and excellent customer service.

At the same time our non A&D operations has rebounded and we see further room for growth by targeting electronic solutions for advanced automation within the industrial, energy and medical end markets.

That said we believe the first-half of 2015 will be negatively impacted in terms of both top-line revenue as well as margins, by lower defense spending versus 2014. In addition, our non A&D business has seen some softness with the energy space due to the lower oiling prices while at the same time, we’re investing and ramping up on new programs.

We see plenty of room for operational improvement and margin expansion in this year and as Joe indicated we’re looking forward to refinancing our debt and locking further value for our shareholders. This is something we are committed to doing.

We want to thank our shareholders for their continued interest in Ducommun, our employees are dedicated to our success and that of our customers and we believe 2015 will lay the groundwork for higher growth and improved margins in 2016 and beyond.

We have the talent and the technology to take this company to the next level and that’s exactly what we plan on doing. With that Mark, I’d like to turn the call open for questions please..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Mark Jordan from Noble Financial. Please proceed sir..

Mark Jordan

A question for Joe relative to the potential of refinancing of the debt, if you had to do it today what would be a reasonable range of, -- interest savings that you believe you would have incurred or be able to realize? Secondly what would you expect to pay in terms of one-time non-recurring costs to execute that transaction?.

Joe Bellino

Regarding the one-time costs which would be the GAAP accounting cost which would include a pre-payment of the $200 million senior note, which will be about 10 million plus the write-off of unamortized deferred financing cost from the 2011 financing that would be about - plus accounting and legalities that would one-time $16 million charge..

Mark Jordan

And do you have a sense as to what would be the annualized savings you might be if you were to do it today?.

Joe Bellino

I think what we're thinking as I mentioned we have $280 million in currently outstanding we would probably -- and then we're building some cash again as we normally do. We'll probably refinance approximately $285 million I would be thinking of a range Mark in terms of somewhere between 5.25% to 5.75% interest rate all-in.

And that would compare to slightly over 8% which we're paying today. In terms of timing we're really pleased that the Fed is going to keep interest rates down, we are closely monitoring the interest rate markets and market timing certainly is a factor of that but we settle along, we would like to conclude this financing in the third quarter.

And perhaps sooner than later in the third quarter because we have our first call on the $200 million senior note is in July..

Mark Jordan

In the first quarter you typically have your lowest corporate G&A expense in sort of the seasonal pattern that you’ve shown over the years.

Given the restatement is there meaningful cost that would be added in that would sort of offset that normal seasonal decline in corporate expense and we should be looking for another million of expense in that area in the first quarter?.

Joe Bellino

That’s a very good comment and a very good observation. We have spent more time with the outside resources into assisting us in getting close as well as more review with our outside auditors. So I don’t think million is the number that’s pretty hefty but it will be in the 10s of 100s of 1,000s of dollars and we haven’t resolved all that yet.

But you can add that to in your modeling for the first quarter..

Mark Jordan

Final question for me you mentioned the growth opportunity you have in the Commercial aerostructures business. You mentioned that you were working to finalize long-term supply agreements with virtually all of your major customers Boeing, Airbus, Spirit et cetera.

What fundamental change will the establishment of those longer term agreements have with regards to a margin opportunity and enhanced visibility of revenue and being able to plan out better over time?.

Tony Reardon

one is your expertise in delivering on-time, your ability to maintain excellent quality and then how do you manage your cost structure.

And as we look forward we've set long-term agreements with our customers and in some cases they are three year supply agreements where we set up an opportunity to not only maintain the business that we have but also secure some enhancement and growth across the board.

So there will be more predictability on platforms that we currently serve and there will be more predictability for us in terms of opportunities to get new business; of course you always have to be competitive in those marketplaces and you always have to win the business.

But we have really put ourselves in a position where we've improved our quality over the year. We have improved our delivery performance over the year and we have put ourselves in a position where we think we can be successful at capturing new business.

So it has opened up the opportunities for us to grow with each one of these customers I can tell you that..

Mark Jordan

Finally 737 is going through a evolution from the NG to MAX.

Could you sort of quantify what kind of content you have on NG, what you have locked up for MAX and what incremental opportunity you have picking up more content as MAX evolves?.

Tony Reardon

And I think I gave you a number earlier about what our total revenue base was and that’s probably up as far as we generally go; we don’t normally [inaudible] that value out and actually Boeing doesn’t like us to do that.

So, I can tell you that we’ve done a real nice job on the MAX especially in the engine area and the nacelle area; we have had some real nice wins across the board on that. We expect that most of our applications will carry forward.

We do deliver the 737 spoilers on the NG program and that’s one of our larger programs and that will carry right into the MAX for example. So we expect a lot of our applications and we actually haven’t seen maybe one application that may not be transferred over where they’ve either eliminated or they’ve changed it but it wasn’t a significant number.

But we’ve been able to offset those on the MAX program. So, we think that we’ll be able to sustain pretty good growth in those areas and we think once we finalize with Spirit we’ll have more opportunities along those lines as well..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chris Van Horn from FBR. Please proceed..

Chris Van Horn

So, when I look at the backlog growth in 2014, could you just get in a little more detail on whether some of that growth is new customers or is it existing programs increasing their volume? Just any sense of where the growth is coming from..

Joe Bellino

Hi good morning this is Joe. I think you would break it into buckets; your question is where is the growth in the backlog coming from? On the Commercial Aerospace it’s coming from a combination of some higher build rates from the large airframe manufacturers and increased content I made those in my earlier remarks.

But even as we saw in the first quarter here we saw that Boeing increased their shipment that was primarily in the 737 and then the larger growth was in the Dreamliner where they delivered 30 planes versus 18 last year.

And in Airbus their A320 family of products single out carriers are seeing nice growth and increased build rates as well as the A350 is coming on. The reason I mentioned those, those are the two programs that we’re really focused on. On Boeing’s 777 it’s been pretty flat, so that’s where we’re seeing the growth.

But also over the years we’ve been obtaining more content with primarily our titanium forming solutions, thermal forming solutions. And so we expect those trends to continue.

In the industrial sector that’s really been a focus of our market development effort, it’s in industrial and electronics that cover an array of applications on the Ducommun LaBarge Technology side. And we are seeing nice backlog growth of those are new sprouts, new growth of new customers..

Chris Van Horn

And then how about on the medical side, same as industrial or is there some different dynamics going on?.

Tony Reardon

Chris in terms of the medical side in terms of specifically backlog is that the question?.

Chris Van Horn

Yes..

Tony Reardon

The backlog’s been pretty stable on the medical side. And I don’t think we’ve seen much change has been stable to OpEx really over the last year and a half and we’ve actually brought in some new customers there and then we’re weaning out some customers as well. So, that’s kind of remained pretty stable year-over-year.

So, -- and it’s actually up slightly from 2013. So that’s been a relatively solid performer for us over the last couple of years. And as the industrial market was down that market was actually growing in over 2012-’13..

Chris Van Horn

And then kind of along those lines can we look at your able presentation can we still kind of use those long-term growth rates that you have or are those up for revision?.

Tony Reardon

We’ve updated those the ones that are in the April 1 that we posted last night that reflects our [Multiple Speakers] of those end-markets for the next three years on average..

Chris Van Horn

Got it I apologize I must have missed that. And then if I think about CapEx, you mentioned 15 million in fiscal ’15. Just two questions I guess on that.

What’s kind of that your maintenance versus growth mix there? And then is there opportunities as you kind of ramp-down on the defense side to move some of that capacity more towards the Commercial? Because it seems like we’re going in a little bit opposite directions in those two end-markets?.

Joe Bellino

Yes let me take that one Joe here. I think Chris that on the CapEx side, so your first question was maintenance versus growth and it’s about 45% to 48% on the maintenance side and then the rest is on growth and it has shifted from to more supporting the Commercial market.

So, we had a couple of big wins last year and we had some of the capital expenses there associated with this.

If you look at 2014, our capital is actually up to about $18 million versus our normal run rate around somewhere between 12 and 15, but we think that -- we don’t think that most of the capital that’s allocated for 2015 will primarily in addition to the maintenance capital will primarily be dedicated to growth on the Commercial side of business.

There are a couple of new military programs we’re working on but I don’t believe there’s too much capital expense related to those programs..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ken Herbert of Canaccord. Please proceed..

Ken Herbert

I just wanted to follow-up on that question first, on the CapEx side, when we go past ’15 just looking out a few years are you in a situation where coming out of ’15 you’ll be fairly well capitalized to support the 37s specifically the MAX rate is up to 52 or is the an 87 re-step up as well or do we see a nice sort of scale down in the CapEx after ’15 or should we assume this 15 million is a, sort of a normalized number for the next few years..

Tony Reardon

I would say that we would see some scale back saving around the ’12 range Ken, because we have a number of new programs that we’re working on that may drive further CapEx but specifically in terms of the 787 and the 737 program I think we had some CapEx this year related to the MAX program and some of that may spillover into 2015 but I think we’ll be pretty well capitalized for both those programs, if we have to do anything it will probably be more along the line of production tooling, I don’t see us envisioning major capital to support the current applications that we have on the 787 or on 737 programs.

Now we are working on a couple of new applications on the 787 program that may require some CapEx but you know those are programs that we don’t have in-house and they would fall in that line of support of new customer development..

Ken Herbert

And then Joe if I could, when you look at your the components of free cash flow here into ’15, it looks like working capital was fairly consistent from ’13 to ’14, you obviously get maybe some cash savings on the interest but can you just talk about the other moving pieces specifically from a free cash flow in ’15 and how much growth do you think you can get out of working capital with some of the initiatives you just talked about, that might be a benefit to cash in ’15..

Joe Bellino

Ken, in the last few years with, we have our very robust programs initiated under Joel Benkie and his team’s leadership of working on improving scheduling deliveries to customers reducing past due backlogs and inventory turnover.

The reason I tell this that if you quantify those but just a little over two years ago in September of ’13 we had about 142, $164 million of inventory and we’re down to 142 and we think that there’s more opportunities there to reduce our inventory dollars and improve our returns which will free up more cash flow.

That’s certainly one area that we look at, I also mentioned supply chain initiatives, and our supply chain initiatives they’re not only in bringing more value to our improvement and profitability to our operations but more value to our customers by a more robust supply chain.

We will see not only we believe some cost savings but we’ll see some cash flow savings of us not having to stock so much incoming raw materials.

So we’re really excited about our opportunities there and so we’ve looked at this since the old consolidated business since 2012 and it has been, it certainly follows the cash flow, follows the seasonal patterns they have in ’12, ’13 and ’14, but our discipline on working capital effectiveness again has allowed us to always generate this kind of cash and at the end of the year we had as you see $45 million in cash..

Ken Herbert

The cash flow I mean in the fourth quarter was feel good, but as I look at ’15, is it possible to quantify those, I mean I see you’ve got a obviously a 3 million tailwind from lower CapEx, you get some interest cash interest savings, can these other initiatives generate 3 million to 5 million in free cash this year as a positive or how should I think about free cash flow specifically the bridge from ’14 to ’15?.

Tony Reardon

Well I think there’s a couple of things to think about when you look at, Ken see, you got the mix change, so make no mistake about the military programs spilled a lot of cash right.

So you have that change but the supply chain initiatives that Joe talked about and the things that Joel and Doug Groves our Chief Accounting Officer are driving, just really the management of not only the receivables and the payables but how we’re managing the inventory coming in, we’re looking at what we call you know the sales order in operating planning so that we can reduce our two-times so we are really concentrating on trying to stay level or increase the cash flow and to give you a number of that we would increase 5 for next year I think for this year I think we really have more work in front of us but I would say that you know it would be safe to say that in terms of the pickups we see that are right in front of us towards at the end of the year we think we’ll pick up some additional savings on the inventory returns and of course the savings that we anticipate from the refinancing, so I would say that if you looked at normal cash flow for the year our goal is to try to stay stable with what we did last year even with the decline on the military side.

There is a significant loss of business if you look at we were down $32 million in sales but we still have the front-end in the year where we had significant military sales that drove some cash flow. We are going to offset that with better management of our working capital in the first half of the year..

Ken Herbert

And then if I could, you have talked alluded to a lot sort of softness for your markets specifically on the military side in the first half and oil gas from natural resources but maybe some more stability in growth in the second half, is it possible to help us a little bit just what is sort of the cadence and maybe how soft are we -- how much of another breakdown do we have perhaps here from current levels or are we going to sort of maintain current levels and then see more growth sequentially in the second half, any more specifics around the cadence would be helpful for '15?.

Tony Reardon

Yes I think that if you looked at last year's first quarter from a revenue standpoint and then turned around and looked at the margins we generate we had some non-recurring pickup in the first quarter but the revenue base if you take a look at that that we had in the first quarter last year that included about $14 million to $15 million in military sales which we don’t have so, and the replacement of that has been partially offset.

So the revenue base we see for the first two quarters will be down slightly we think year-over-year but we will be able to pick that up in the second half. We really have a lot of work that kind of takes off at the end of Q2 and starts growing for us that’s coming through today.

So we think the first quarter is going to be pretty soft and then the second quarter will be better and then third, fourth quarter. So we see sequentially going forward, Joel I think maybe you want to add something to that..

Joel Benkie

No, I think that’s pretty, very accurate Tony..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Mike Crawford from B. Riley. Please proceed..

Mike Crawford

In the past you have talked about possibly upping your facility when you recited that for [Summers] maybe increasing unsecured borrowings of 300 million from 200 million and that would give you some more flexibility to [Multiple Speakers]?.

Joe Bellino

Yes. Your question Mike was that we have certainly to pursue growth initiatives both organically and potentially modest acquisitions we certainly would build in capacity either upon refinancing or having the capability to expand our credit facility to support our strategic growth yes..

Mike Crawford

And Joe, have you started or is there an ongoing process to evaluate potential targets?.

Joe Bellino

Well yes, where we are is we're internally evaluating the most appropriate structures. There is a number of criteria that we're looking and there is actually up to as many as 10 criterias that there we are valuing for proper -- for the appropriate structure which fits our corporate strategies and our longer term plans.

I feel we are moving along in the process quite well and we do assuming market conditions permit we ought to be able to complete our refinancing here in the third quarter..

Mike Crawford

And then just operationally given that the Boeing C-17 revenue pretty much ended I believe at the end of September of 2014.

So now what is happening with the footprint where that activity had been occurring what are you couldn’t bring there that [indiscernible]?.

Joe Bellino

On the C-17 program there is a couple of things going on, first of all we're still finalizing and as you can imagine the footprint for that program was primarily taken up by the tooling that was required for that program because we had over 105 applications on that program.

But as that winds down what we've done in particular with the machine tools that is up to our new programs in there for the Bombardier 7000 new business jet, the A320 or A319 program that we picked up have picked up some of that use of the capital equipment.

So I think we're moving through and we're feeling the shot with new orders we have got a couple of things in the engine market that we are working on that have been announced that are taking up some of the footprint.

So I think that we plan on having the opportunity to feel that up as we go forward and it creates opportunities for us that’s the way we look at it and I think that we'll be just fine as we go forward. And if you remember from the press standpoint we've got some of the largest presses in the United States from a forming standpoint.

So we are well positioned to grow that business with the current requirements in the marketplace..

Mike Crawford

And then last question relates to the Apache, so we know the budget request is actually quite triggerable it remains to be seen what’s going to happen with that but given that kind of uncertainty, how do you see Apache overall going through as you come in?.

Tony Reardon

Well, if you look year-over-year as we talked about last year the main rotor blade actually is we supply kits on that, so we’re probably on the main rotor blade with probably 40% level of what revenue -- what we were at maybe it is probably closer to 35% of the revenue that we had at the main rotor blade, the tail rotor blade should stay flat.

But again those sales are down comparatively year-over-year. We anticipate you got the Apache program and then as we indicated the helicopter market was soft last year, so we do all the leading edges for all military programs in the United States and that market was down as well last year and we think that that will stabilize this year.

So, when you look at the first half of the year there were quite a bit of Apache sales the both first quarter and the second quarter that were significant that we won’t see this year and they kind of wound down in the second and third quarter last year.

C-17 again as we mentioned before actually we completed all the shipments in the fourth quarter on that, so primarily you're right about September and would actually through November we were shipping C-17 on that..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bob Franklin from Prudential Financial. Please proceed, sir..

Bob Franklin

You mentioned that the accounting issues are going to get resolved one of them by the end of the third quarter, the other by the end of the year.

Can I take it that, you are going to do the refinancing without having those resolved?.

Tony Reardon

Yes, we can do that as a result, we are required to report until they’ve remediated those activities and we found known that the financial markets are accepting to that we will report on that quarterly.

The ones related to the contract, we -- and we have disclosed this in our 10-K that some of the remediation efforts and will be testing those at the end of the second quarter and hopefully we’ll get those all taken care of the tax ones are it's in annual entity level control rather than a quarterly and that’s why when we issue our 10-K for 2015 that will be remediated given the actions that we’ve identified and are working on..

Bob Franklin

I think you mentioned the 737 program is now at $60 million a year is that right?.

Tony Reardon

That’s correct..

Bob Franklin

Is that your largest program now?.

Tony Reardon

That’s correct. Yes it is, yes..

Bob Franklin

And then are you on the 330s at all?.

Tony Reardon

Yes..

Bob Franklin

And is that in your backlog?.

Tony Reardon

Yes, it is..

Bob Franklin

Are you able to tell us how much your backlog is of 330s?.

Tony Reardon

It's not significant I’d say it's under 4 million something like that..

Bob Franklin

And then I was surprised that energy was such a big factor for you it took your backlog down, I think you said by 4 million.

I know non-A&D I think is 18% rather can you tell us what energy is and specifically what kind of work you do in energy?.

Tony Reardon

The energy market represented about 6% of our total sales in 2014 and so what we do in the oil and gas market specifically is we do electronic components for Schlumberger for their down hole drilling capability, we do down hole drilling support for -- primarily with motors for position control and drill bits and things of that nature.

And then we also have outfitting for fracing. So, we do a we outfit the controls and as for the fracing business. So all those businesses are softer this last quarter as opposed to where we were last year with regards to the significant drop in the oil prices..

Bob Franklin

And I know this conference call is 12 hours off the usual schedule, so thank you for being up for this..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ken Herbert from Canaccord. Please proceed..

Ken Herbert

Tony, I just had one follow-up, you referenced a few times growth in commercial aircraft engines, can you just provide a little bit more granularity on exactly what you're doing there and what type of engines you have got exposure to were you expecting much exposure on?.

Tony Reardon

Yes, I think that if you look at some of the new engine development work that is going on particularly in the 787, we’ve been able to penetrate some market there and we haven’t announced any of this. But we have been able to pick up a nice win there.

And so if you look at three primary engine manufacturers that we’re working with is general effort we have some structural equipment and we’re working with them on in fact with me is primarily structural and then Rolls Royce is both structural and electronics and our electronics back on.

So we're working with all three unfortunately Joel Benkie when he came he had a terrific background in the engine market. So that has really helped us kind of get some entries in there and we've been able to do a real nice job of bit penetrating that market.

And our business development team has done an excellent job in the last year and a half of really getting in and reestablishing we've always had great relationships with [Brad] and GE.

But we've been able to increase our relationships with Rolls-Royce so now we look at as the three major engine manufactures and we're able to work with them on hot sections. We also have penetrated in the cell business deeper and we look at that as being part of the engine market.

So as we look at those markets we've been able to nice work both on the structure side and on the electronics systems group is really penetrated those markets as well.

So when you look at where LaBarge was really brought in and they had like zero Commercial Aerospace sales and because the context and we've been able to pick up we've grown that business significantly in the last two years almost 15 full total let’s say unknown..

Operator

I would now like to hand you over to Tony Reardon for closing remarks..

Tony Reardon

I would like to thank everybody for joining the call today. And tell you that we are really going to put the corrected actions in place and drive the corrected action that is necessary to remediate the issues that we faced in the last part of 2014.

And we will be in a position this next year to really drive growth in our business as we offset the military decline. So I want to thank everybody joining us and we look forward to talk to you at the end of the first quarter. Thank you very much..

Operator

Thank you very much. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation, you may now disconnect and have a great day..

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