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Consumer Defensive - Household & Personal Products - NYSE - US
$ 109.02
1.32 %
$ 26.7 B
Market Cap
48.89
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2016 - Q1
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Executives

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President.

Analysts

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc. Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc. Jason M. Gere - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc. Stephen R. Powers - UBS Securities LLC Lauren Rae Lieberman - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co. Olivia Tong - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Jon R. Andersen - William Blair & Co. LLC.

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Church & Dwight First Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. Before we begin, I have been asked to remind you that on this call, the company's management may make forward-looking statements regarding, among other things, the company's financial objectives and forecasts.

These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties and other factors that are described in detail in the company's SEC filings. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Matt Farrell, Chief Executive Officer of Church & Dwight. Please go ahead, sir..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone. It's always a pleasure to talk to you about our business. I'll start with a brief review of our first quarter results, which you read about in this morning's press release. I will then direct the rest of my comments towards our categories. Then, I'm going to turn the call over to Rick Dierker when I'm done.

Rick will comment on each business – that's Domestic, International, and Specialty Products – and also review the outlook for Q2 and for the full year. When Rick is finished, I'll get back on and we'll open the call up to questions. So here are the highlights. In short, Q1 was a terrific quarter for Church & Dwight.

We delivered organic sales growth of 5.2% and 7.5% EPS growth, which is 10% EPS growth on a currency-neutral basis. Category growth was broad based in that 11 of our 15 categories grew in the quarter. From a market share perspective, six of our 10 power brands grew share; so all-in, these results are top tier in consumer products.

Now, I would like to provide you with some color on a few of our categories; that would be laundry, litter, vitamins, and dry shampoo. The laundry category is strong, growing 6.4% versus year ago. This is the fourth quarter in a row of laundry category growth.

The value segment grew 6.1%, and this is the sixth consecutive quarter of value segment growth. In fact, for the last four quarters, value has grown, on average, 4.5% per quarter. The laundry category growth was driven by growth in both the unit dose and liquid segments.

The value liquid segment grew at an 8% clip, driven by ARM & HAMMER liquid, which grew consumption a whopping 11% year-over-year. With respect to unit dose, this form now represents 15% of the laundry category. Our unit dose consumption grew 15% in the quarter.

More recently, we have launched new two-chamber unit dose products under the OXICLEAN and ARM & HAMMER brands. We expect these new products to contribute to future consumption growth. Most of the resets for these launches happened in late March and early April. Now, I would like to take a few minutes to talk about our three laundry brands.

ARM & HAMMER has been our big franchise in laundry for many years and the ARM & HAMMER laundry share continued to grow this quarter, up 30 basis points. To illustrate the strength of the ARM & HAMMER brand, ARM & HAMMER liquid laundry has grown share year-over-year in 25 consecutive quarters.

Our XTRA brand backed off promotional volume in Q1, which improved our year-over-year profitability, but resulted in our giving up 40 basis points of share. On a full-year basis, we expect XTRA net sales and profits to be up year-over-year.

OXI laundry share was down 10 basis points year-over-year as we, like others, felt the effect of Persil's promotional activity. In the most recent four-week period, we are back to a one share, so promotional phasing does influence shares.

If we look at how OXICLEAN is doing in the stain fighter additive category, OXICLEAN's share hit an all-time high of 48% share. Now, I'm going to turn my comments to cat litter. The clumping litter segment continued to show strong growth at 5.3%. ARM & HAMMER litter was one of the winners in the quarter. We continue to grow faster than the segment.

Our consumption grew 6.7%, behind our latest innovation, MICROGUARD CLUMP & SEAL litter. Just a quick commercial, MICROGUARD seals and destroys odors and prevents future bacterial odors from forming. It's an innovative product and we are broadcasting that message on our package, that 98% of consumers who have tried the product would recommend it.

Now, let's talk about vitamins. The overall VMS category continues to show steady growth, up 3%. The gummy segment of VMS grew almost 15% in Q1. So let me break down the 15% for you. The adult gummy segment grew 23%, while the kids gummy segment declined 8%.

Adult gummies is where we are putting our focus as it is underdeveloped and it will be the source of future growth for us. Our brand, VITAFUSION, is the largest brand in the adult gummy category and was the biggest driver of the 23% adult segment category growth. The good news this quarter is that our gummy business is growing, again.

We have had wide retailer acceptance of our new adult beauty line, which hit store shelves in March; so we're off to a good start this year for vitamins. The last category I want to address is dry shampoo. This category grew 26% in Q1 year-over-year. A, the category in the U.S.

is nearly $100 million, with the potential to be a $300 million category in the U.S. if we match the historical category growth experienced in the UK. BATISTE is the number one brand in the U.S. with a 17.2% share. BATISTE global net sales will cross $100 million this year, making it the number one dry shampoo brand globally.

So it's no surprise that the BATISTE brand is expected to be one of our fastest-growing brands in the future. Many new products are shipping right now. I've mentioned dual chamber pods, MICROGUARD litter, and the vitamin beauty line.

In addition, we have the new GROOVE condom and RIVIERA lubricant by TROJAN, and the new Bluetooth-enabled pregnancy test kit from FIRST RESPONSE. We feel good about our distribution and we look forward to these products contributing to our organic growth in 2016.

Our goal is to continue to focus on consumer insights, leading us to innovative new products to drive share and category growth. Next up is Rick to give you details on our first-quarter results and the outlook for Q2 and the full year..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

first, investing in R&D projects behind our future product portfolio; second, investing in our international sales force footprint, specifically in high-growth areas of our business to drive future growth; and third, we expect higher ongoing IT infrastructure costs as we implement two new important systems, our spec management system for R&D and our trade management system for sales.

We are positioning ourselves well for the future. We continue to expect 50 basis points of operating margin expansion. Next is income tax; we now expect 34.7% for the full year, so it's a little higher than our previous outlook of 34.5%. We continue to expect $630 million of free cash flow, net of approximately $55 million of CapEx for full-year 2016.

This represents 125% free cash flow conversion. So now, Matt and I will open it up for questions..

Operator

And our first question comes from Bill Chappell. You may proceed, sir..

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Thanks. Good morning..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Bill.

How are you?.

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

I'm good. Hey, Matt, maybe just a little bit more on the laundry category trend. This is certainly the highest volume, not just for you, but for the whole category, we've seen in a long time. I mean, it's tough to say if it's just because of pods coming into the category and bringing I mean ....

The question is how sustainable is this? How much upside is this? And is it category-wide, or is it also market share related?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, is your question is the category growth driven solely by pods? Because it clearly is not..

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Right.

Well, I mean, the question is do you see mid-single-digit growth for the category throughout this year?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Look, I don't have the crystal ball to say if we're going to have mid-single digit the whole year.

That's going to be a function of year-over-year comps, right? But all I can say is if we look at the trends, the trends have been strong with respect to liquid laundry for the last six quarters, and certainly the last four quarters, and no reason to expect that won't continue in the future..

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Okay. And then, Rick, just on the SG&A guide, it was – it came in higher than expected in the first quarter.

Is it safe to say a lot of the hires are front-end weighted?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yes, I want to clarify what – the only head count aspect of the incremental SG&A investment is really around – hasn't been done, yet. It's going to happen this year, but it's really more to the international footprint business, for the export business and for our Australian sub. So that's the only head count aspect of it.

The rest is investments behind incremental projects, new ideas for the future, IT infrastructure costs, not necessarily head count, and we did have some of that in Q1. We expect those to happen throughout the year..

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

And just to clarify, were these things that were always in the plan or just momentum was so strong starting the year we started to bring some of these in?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yes, I think that's exactly what it was, is momentum is strong. You heard us raise our outlook for gross margin from 40 bps to 70 bps of expansion, and so we're choosing to make some of these investments now..

William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Okay, great. I'll turn it over..

Operator

And our next question comes from Kevin Grundy. You may proceed..

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

Thanks. Good morning, guys..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Hi, Kevin..

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

Hey, first question, guys, the organic sales, clearly very strong in the quarter, but even specifically with respect to the Domestic business it's probably about 200 basis points higher than what we're seeing in the Nielsen data.

Can you comment on that? Was there any timing benefit? Can you comment at all on retail or inventory levels? And then, I have a follow-up..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Are you saying it's a big pipe in the first quarter?.

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

Yes, so it's that, Matt, or are you seeing better growth in non-scan channels, like at Costco, as an example?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, well, obviously, Costco is an important customer for us, both on the vitamin side and also the laundry side. So, it is true the non-measured channels do influence our results..

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

Okay. Just two more quickly for Rick or for you, Matt. What gets you to the higher end of the range for the balance of the year as you look out? How much of that is laundry, litter, vitamins? Maybe a little bit of commentary there would help. And then the other one, you guys generally comment on the M&A pipeline, what you're seeing and efforts there.

So those two follow-ups will do it for me. Thanks..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, well, one of the reasons I chose to speak about the categories upfront, Kevin, is because laundry, litter, vitamins, and, more recently, the dry shampoo categories are catalysts to the Company, and we started the year with growth in all those categories and consumption growth as well.

So that bodes well for us for the rest of the year; so that definitely influences our thinking on our success of the Domestic business in 2016. And the other piece of our full-year raise is, obviously, International. International had a rocking first quarter, and so we're taking up their number on a full-year basis as well..

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

The M&A piece, Matt?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Say again?.

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

The M&A pipeline? Yes..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

M&A, well, as we've said in the past, there's rarely a week when we're not looking at some transaction, but we don't go any further than that in our commentary. We're always looking, diligencing something, but we're pretty fussy about what we'll buy..

Kevin Grundy - Jefferies LLC

Okay. Thank you..

Operator

And our next question comes from Bill Schmitz. You may proceed, sir..

Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Guys, good morning..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Bill..

Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Can you talk about the gross margin progression? Because the natural flow of the business, and if you look at what some of the other folks in laundry have done, just given the year-over-year decline in a lot of commodity costs, the gross margin should naturally be a lot higher.

And, obviously, you beat your guidance and raised it for the full year, but what is offsetting that natural flow through of what you would expect, given this commodity and category growth environment?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, Bill, I think that's a fair question. We talked about it a little bit on our Analyst Day and we talked through some of the headwinds, like transactional currency. But I'd say, overall, we're really pleased with our gross margin expansion.

We just talked about how we're going from 40 basis points to 75 basis points, so essentially we're doubling it; and that entire doubling of it is largely commodities. I think we feel more comfortable with that full-year outlook of commodities.

So, do we have one-offs every now and then on write-offs and whatnot that burden gross margin? Sure, but overall, in general, we're really happy about doubling our gross margin outlook, pretty much, and if commodities continue to stay where they're at or improve, we'll probably be talking about it again..

Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Okay. And then, I know this is a small one and maybe it's a little nitpicky, but on this Spencer Forrest acquisition, I think you spent $175 million for $30 million of sales.

Is there this massive growth trajectory of the business? Is that why you paid such a high multiple of sales?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think we probably got similar questions like that when we bought BATISTE back in 2011. The way to think about that, Bill, is that the hair thinning category is about a $240 million category. That's mostly dominated by topicals, brands like Rogaine.

And our point of view is that hair thinning can also be addressed with hair fibers, and we bought a product that we think is going to have significant growth in future because it addresses the problem in a cosmetic fashion and not with chemicals..

Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Okay, and then maybe just back to that gross margin thing very quickly because, on my math, you should do 300 basis points of gross margin expansion this year.

But this quarter, was there a purchase accounting step up or anything like that that impacted the gross margin from this TOPPIK deal?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

No. No, there's not. And we can take it off-line at some point, but there is no way that we had the exposure from the commodities to make it a 300 basis point move. We just don't have that type of volatility..

Bill Schmitz - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Got you. Okay. Thanks so much..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

All right, Bill..

Operator

And our next question comes from Caroline Levy. You may proceed..

Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC

Thanks so much. I wanted to talk about your new products.

You went through some stuff pretty quickly, but can you elaborate on some of the major ideas and why you think that this is going to keep the momentum strong, and if you think your market share gains can continue?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, we've been the leader in the litter category for many years, now. If you remember when we spoke downtown in February, we showed a chart that showed our innovations over the past three years or four years. So we've clearly been the catalyst for that category, and we have a winner again this year with the MICROGUARD product.

So we're driving growth in the category, which is a big category, and we're taking share. And we generally have a big new idea every year, so we think we can continue that in the future.

With respect to laundry, as I said earlier, while ARM & HAMMER has been quite a powerhouse for us for a long time, the new product this year – one of them, is the BioEnzyme product, which has the EPA Safer Choice label, which is becoming more meaningful to all shoppers.

So we think that's a nice new variant for us that's going to help us continue to grow the franchise. Some of the other things I mentioned, vitamins, what we did was we decided to shrink-wrap our products, so we got beautiful new packaging, which obviously speaks out or pops on shelf; and we think that is going to be a winner for us this year as well.

Continuing down the line, in the TROJAN, TROJAN RIVIERA, so this is – you may recall this is a lubricant that can be used in the shower. So that's another consumer insight that we think is going to help expand the share for TROJAN. And as you know, TROJAN's share continues to grow. We're up slightly year-over-year, a little over 76% share.

And FIRST RESPONSE, again, is the number one brand in pregnancy test kits, and we're the first people to come out to try a Bluetooth-enabled pregnancy test kit. So that's our – what we're trying to do there is test and learn in what we call the Internet of Things. So we have a very robust new product development process.

We're very focused on consumer insights and that does lead us to really cool ideas with respect to new products, and we've got a nice pipeline for 2017 and 2018. So that gives us confidence that we continue to grow the top-line organically..

Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC

That's great.

And if I just may ask how much the TOPPIK should – TOPPIK acquisition should continue to contribute? Is it about a percentage point to growth through the balance of the year?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, remember, that's a small business. It's about $30 million in total, right, so....

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Right. So, yes, about 1% for the full year on a reported basis..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

On a reported basis, yeah..

Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC

Got it. And then, just lastly on buybacks, you actually were well ahead of what we expected in the first quarter at $200 million.

The longer it takes for you to find a big acquisition can we expect a higher run rate on buybacks, now, perhaps?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

So, Caroline, I think we were right on our expectations for a buyback. We said we were going to do around $300 million this year of buybacks, and we did $100 million in December. We did about $200 million in February, and if you look at our past practice, we typically get ahead of our full-year buyback in Q1. So $300 million is right on target.

We feel good about that number. I think, as you've seen us in the past, if we go many, many, many years without doing an acquisition and we have the cash build up on the balance sheet, then we always look back and say how do we return that to shareholders..

Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC

So you could step it up in the fourth quarter, but don't expect much for the balance of the year, probably?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, I would say that $300 million is our sweet spot for this year as of now..

Caroline Levy - CLSA Americas LLC

Got it. Thank you very much..

Operator

And our next question comes from Joe Altobello. You may proceed..

Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Thanks. Hey, guys. Good morning. First question on the categories, obviously getting better, you did mention back in February that that could be potential upside to guidance. Is there any larger takeaway on the broader consumer in the U.S.

from the fact that 11 of your 15 categories were up?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's a good question, Joe. So we know everybody has their own crystal ball about the economy and we do look at it the same way; so we always monitor those 15 categories. So having 11 of the 15 up is a very good sign, and the four that weren't up are some of the – at least three of them are some of the smaller categories.

So I would say, yes, that is a good sign. Of course, you have to temper that by – if you look at some of the big houses, most big banks, more recently, have reduced the GDP outlook for the U.S. this year to 1.5%; so, obviously there is some pessimism out there. The credit card debt is going up.

Some people speculate that fuel savings are going to healthcare costs. So there's definitely a couple different camps out there with respect to the economy. For our part, we do look at these categories and we see a lot of strength in them, so we don't think that's going to turn around that quickly.

We think it should stay strong for the rest of the year..

Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

And how are retailers managing inventories? Are they getting a little bit more – or, actually, less conservative, given that?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

No, I wouldn't say that. I think the retailers are no different than any of the CPG companies and everybody looks at working capital very closely. So, no, I wouldn't say there would be any change in practice there..

Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay. And then, you mentioned that kids gummies, the category, was down 8%; just curious what drove that..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, the kids gummy section has been trending down for more than just this quarter, for a while. And the speculation around that is that, once upon a time, before the advent of adult gummies, that adults took kids gummies, and that with a lot of adult gummies now coming on shelf, adults are using the adult gummies and not the kids.

So that's why I said earlier is that our focus is on adults. Kids is a very mature category. Even when we bought the business, if you looked at vitamins, two-thirds of all the vitamins that children took in the U.S. were gummies. So it was already saturated, and so there's some migration from kids to adults..

Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Got it. Okay. And one last one, I have to ask on OXICLEAN laundry detergent. It looks like the shares were down, again, a little bit this quarter.

What's your thinking there, maybe plans for that brand going forward in that category?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Well, look, it's no secret that you have a new entrant into high-end laundry detergent last year with Henkel's Persil brand. And they went to Walmart and Amazon, and then at the end of the year, and now, they're expanding and doing a lot of couponing, et cetera.

So, there is – the activity is very fierce right now with respect to couponing from those guys. So, obviously, we would be a victim of some of that. So we lost some share, but, as I said in my earlier remarks, you are right. In the quarter, we did lose 20 basis points of share.

If you look the more recent week, we're back to a one share; but it's sort of a steady state, one share right now, and we're really trying to crack the code here and figure out how to grow that brand. But we are still committed to it..

Joseph Nicholas Altobello - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay. Great. Thanks, guys..

Operator

And our next question comes from Jason Gere. You may proceed..

Jason M. Gere - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Okay. Thanks. Good morning, guys. Two questions; one, I guess, obviously, every few years one of your big competitors finds some cost-cutting initiatives in place and everybody fears about what could happen to some of the categories.

And laundry, in particular, the category seems to be strong, so you talked a little bit about Persil and a little bit of the couponing there.

Is there anything on the front from that big competitor right now that they may go after some of the shares that they've seen either at the high end or even push more behind their value brand just to get greater growth?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

No, Jason, I don't have any intelligence, other than what you see in the marketplace today, that they're big push is in the high end with Persil, pretty aggressive claims. And there is nothing more to report from that competitor..

Jason M. Gere - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Okay, but how about the other competitor, the bigger one, the big dog? I'm talking about just as they're pushing a little bit more with Simply Clean or even at – as they've seen that you've made the foray into the pods, just wondering if there's any intel there? It seems like you guys feel pretty comfortable about how this year is playing out, but what does history teach you?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, maybe it'll help you if I comment just on the amount sold on deal in laundry last year versus this year. So last year first quarter, it was 36% for the category, and this year first quarter, it's 35%; so not much of a change year-over-year.

If you're talking about what new innovations they have, I think we all know that they have a similar product to our BioEnzyme that they just launched; but I don't have any other color other than that..

Jason M. Gere - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Okay. No, that's good. And then the other question, just going back to some of the investments on the international sales force, and I know you talked a lot more about the export business, but just curious your thoughts.

You've been predominantly a domestic business, with some of the categories being able to carry over to your – more your North American international counterparts, Mexico, Canada, et cetera.

But with this expansion in international, does it change your thinking about the portfolio you have getting greater expansion, whether in new markets or even with expanding some of the categories that you're in domestically? So just wondering if we should read into anything there..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, look, when we talk about the International division, we have our countries, so we have six primary countries, and then we have an export business. And we have found that we've had a lot of success with our products in a lot of countries other than those six countries that I mentioned where we have subsidiaries.

And we've got a terrific leadership team in the export business, and they've been driving a lot of growth. And when you have people that are successful like that and they have plans to execute to drive that growth, we said we're going to add the head count. And you know how stingy we are around here about adding heads.

So we're going to invest behind these guys in export, and we're also doing the same in the Specialty Products Division. We bought a business a year ago, a small business, to add to our animal productivity business, and, likewise, we have the ability to go international with some of those products as well. This is both in dairy and in poultry.

So we're going to invest for the future and, because we had a rocking first quarter and things are looking up for the year, we said, hey, this is a good time to reinvest..

Jason M. Gere - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Okay. Got it. Thanks for the color. Thanks, guys..

Operator

And our next question comes from Steve Powers. You may proceed..

Stephen R. Powers - UBS Securities LLC

Hey. Thanks. A follow-up on domestic growth trending above tracked channels.

I know it's a small base, but how much of that was from strength in e-commerce? And what, if anything, are you guys doing differently in that area as online demand accelerates?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's a good question. Most CPG companies have their online sales between 1% and 3%, and when I say 1% – that range would include all the usual suspects, the amazon.com, walmart.com, target.com, et cetera, et cetera. So, I would say most CPG companies are in the early innings with respect to selling product online.

Now, of course, that can change very quickly. For our part – when I say change very quickly, it's not going to go to 5% or 10% in just a couple years, but it will change over time. So we've decided that we want to get really good at that, so it's one of our focuses right now.

It did not – was not a big contributor, I would say, to the first quarter results, but we are going to have higher online sales this year, year-over-year, by a meaningful percentage year-over-year..

Stephen R. Powers - UBS Securities LLC

And is – does it have anything to do – are any of the investments you're making incrementally this year in SG&A, are any of them related to e-commerce capabilities?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

TROJAN, BATISTE, VITAFUSION, L'IL CRITTERS, OXICLEAN, and ARM & HAMMER Litter. So I hope everybody on the call is getting a couple of those buttons for their refrigerators..

Stephen R. Powers - UBS Securities LLC

There you go. Okay. Great. Thanks, and I guess – it's really small, I know, but can you just quantify, Rick, the deal amortization in the quarter and what you just – the number, incremental amortization year-over-year for the full year? Thanks..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, I would say that in Q1 the TOPPIK acquisition had a really high SG&A rate, it was probably around 15%, and part of that is amortization, part of that's transition costs. So all-in, it was around 40 basis points to the quarter..

Stephen R. Powers - UBS Securities LLC

Thanks..

Operator

And our next question comes from Lauren Lieberman. You may proceed..

Lauren Rae Lieberman - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Thanks.

Just first, Rick, to follow up on that, that was the first quarter impact from the higher SG&A, but going forward, what would be the amortization because the transition cost would obviously go away?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yes, it's probably about half of that..

Lauren Rae Lieberman - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Okay. All right, thanks. And then, also, just in terms of the incremental spending overall, Matt, you said it yourself. You guys are stingy and incredible cost control over the years, so I just found it striking that you found this much that you want to put money back into.

So are these areas that – I know you said it was – you had the flex, but why didn't you go after them before? What does it add incrementally to the growth potential that you wouldn't have had without the investment? I just think it's interesting, given how tight you've been with investment over time, the decision to put so much back in..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, well, Lauren, we wouldn't quantify our business model with respect to how many people did we or are we adding, and what's the sales and profits associated with that. The point is that has been a focus for us, the export business. Even before we made this decision, we had hired even stronger people there.

So this is just another increment on top of that increment..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, and let me put a little bit of context behind it, too. We're talking about a move of going from down 10 basis points in SG&A to up 25 basis points.

That's around $11 million or $12 million, right? We're adding, whatever, $3 million or so from incremental R&D projects, not head count, just more opportunities for the future, more NPD, more resources to work on different things.

There's a couple million dollars for the head count for the International business and the export business, and there's a few million dollars for higher IT infrastructure costs. So it's not like we're taking a huge dollar amount and going and investing in head count. I just want to be clear on that..

Lauren Rae Lieberman - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Okay. That's great.

And on the International, what would it be – what would be the decision point for you guys to move from an export model to being – establishing local operations and running it like more of an affiliate model?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's a really good question, and to do something like that, you'd have to have one of your brands really have enough critical mass so that you could enter that market. And there are a couple of countries we're looking at right now, but we wouldn't disclose that..

Lauren Rae Lieberman - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Okay. Thanks so much..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah..

Operator

And our next question comes from Jason English. You may proceed..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Hey, good morning, folks. Thanks for squeezing me in..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Jason..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Hey, Jason..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Congrats on the solid start to the year..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

(39:12)..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

I wanted to come back and rehash some of the questions that have already been asked. First, to Bill Schmitz' question on gross margins, 300 basis points that he gets to mathematically seems pretty optimistic, but I agree with his general premise that mathematically it's not that hard to get well above where you're guiding to.

So a couple of questions just to help us understand this; first, commodities, is there something to consider in terms of your hedge positions for last year, this year, et cetera, that may cause your benefit or lack thereof to be greater or worse than what we'd see in spot markets? And then, secondly, the leakage on the fixed-cost absorption for the new vitamin plant, I appreciate that that's here to stay for a while, but you're soon going to start to lap the startup expenses.

Do those two effectively wash, or our expectation was that you could actually get a surplus, that the startup costs were greater than the fixed-cost de-leverage you're getting now?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, sure. So I'll take the commodity question first. So we had said previously, and it's still the case, that, in general, resin was down 10%, surfactants were down 20%, paper was relatively flat. You guys know what oil and diesel are doing, and those are favorable year-over-year as well. I think, in general, we do have some hedges out there.

We went into the year with about 30% hedged, which is really our lowest level in quite a few years because we thought we should float most of the market. We do have a couple hedges on surfactants, so maybe we're not getting the entire spot market benefit, but, in general, 300 basis points is not realistic for us at all.

So we do have that as a tailwind, in general, from commodities. Fixed costs for vitamins; now remember, we told you guys this was a 75% increase in capacity, so a $300 million business becomes $525 million. It's going to take some time to really grow into those fixed overheads.

And you're right, we had startup costs last year, but those fixed overheads are more in totality than the startup costs were a year ago..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

That's helpful. That's helpful. And then, back to the laundry category growth, we see the lower promotional activity. We see some of the mix-up that's happening in the category.

But when we do our best to try to get to a load equivalent volume, we're seeing volume on a load equivalized basis growing north of 3%, which is a bit of a head-scratcher, right, because it's hard to imagine that people have just decided – or have more dirty clothes or are doing more laundry.

Any views on what's driving that volumetric growth from a load equivalized perspective?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think I have to agree with you, Jason, that it's a head-scratcher. I could say in the past at times we think sometimes the information that we use on volume, you have to take with a grain of salt because of all the different sizes within the category.

If you think about wash loads, so if you're saying there's a lot more wash loads, it's illogical to think that there's 3% or 4% more wash loads being done with population growth only 1.5%..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Yeah. Do you....

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Hey, Jason, the other thing there is....

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Yeah, go ahead..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

...we do see trends. There's a certain percentage of the category that does mix pods and liquid laundry, so that might throw off your wash load metrics as well..

Jason English - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Yeah, definitely, definitely. Okay, cool. Well, I'll just pass it on. Thank you, guys..

Operator

And our next question comes from Olivia Tong. You may proceed..

Olivia Tong - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thanks. Just one for me is around a little bit more about gross margin and more the gross to net spend that you guys do, because there has been a lot of talk this quarter amongst other HBC companies about that line item.

So, first, how much is your spend in that area and how has that been trending?.

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Yeah, we don't want to go into the details between gross to net and all of our trade spending, Olivia. I would say we continue to watch the trade spending, just like we do every item in the P&L; and Matt has given you context on laundry. That's a good indicator, right? Amount sold on deal for laundry a year ago was 36%. Now it's 35%.

For litter, it was 24% a year ago. Now it's 22%. Vitamins is another big category for us, and that was 39% a year ago and it's 39% this year. So there's a little context..

Olivia Tong - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thank you..

Operator

And our next question comes from Jon Andersen. You may proceed..

Jon R. Andersen - William Blair & Co. LLC

Hey, good morning, guys..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Jon..

Jon R. Andersen - William Blair & Co. LLC

Just two quick ones for me. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more about your, I guess, latest power brand, BATISTE, and provide some context around the opportunity in the U.S.

I think dry shampoo is a bigger part of the shampoo category in the UK, but could you give us maybe some metrics there so we can try and understand the opportunity that lies ahead here in the U.S.? And then, the second question is just an update on the potential for another round of compaction in liquid laundry. Thanks..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, as far as the context for the BATISTE opportunity is look at the UK. The UK, round numbers, has about 60 million people, and it has – the category there is about $60 million. So you just do the quick math, you have 335 million people in the U.S.

So you've got five times the population, so we'd say, well, you've got an opportunity for five times the category size; that would be $60 million becomes $300 million here. So that really is the math behind the thinking that this could be a much bigger category..

Jon R. Andersen - William Blair & Co. LLC

And then, on compaction in laundry?.

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah as far as compaction, yeah, well, it's nothing to report on compaction. I think the last time that anything was said publicly, Walmart was thinking about the end of 2017 or early 2018; but there's no discussion about that right now..

Jon R. Andersen - William Blair & Co. LLC

Okay. Thanks. Good – congrats on the good start..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jon..

Richard A. Dierker - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Thanks, Jon..

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating in today's conference. You may now disconnect at this time..

Matthew T. Farrell - President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Thanks, everybody, for joining us..

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