Good morning. Welcome to Archrock Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2018 Conference Call. Your host for this morning’s call is Paul Burkhart, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations at Archrock. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Burkhart. You may begin..

Thank you, Adrianne. Good morning, everyone and thanks for joining us on today’s call. With me today are Brad Childers, President and Chief Executive Officer of Archrock and Doug Aron, Chief Financial Officer of Archrock. Yesterday, Archrock released its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter of 2018 as well as annual guidance for 2019.

If you have not received a copy, you can find the information on the company’s website at www.archrock.com.

During this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 based on our current beliefs and expectations as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to Archrock’s management team.

Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct.

Please refer to our latest filings with the SEC for a list of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements made during this call.

In addition, our discussion today will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, gross margin percentage and cash available for dividend. For reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to our GAAP financial results, please see yesterday’s press release and our Form 8-K furnished to the SEC.

I will now turn the call over to Brad to discuss Archrock’s fourth quarter and full year results and to provide an update of our business..

first, to invest in capital efficiency, high return assets that efficiently grow the business and meet our customers’ increasing production needs; second, to reduce leverage to below 4x in 2020, and finally to continue our track record of returning capital to shareholders in the form of quarterly dividends.

Our latest quarterly dividend reflects 2% growth over the prior year quarter and we remain committed to increasing our dividend by 10% to 15% annually through 2020. Moving on to the broader market and looking ahead, we remain excited about the market for compression.

While there have been macro volatility and disruptions elsewhere in the market, the market for compression continues to experience highly constructive supply and demand dynamics. The landscape for the compression business has changed due to the structural shifts in demand for natural gas, especially as the U.S.

moves towards becoming a significant player in the global LNG market. The large scale build-out of LNG facilities is creating incremental growth and demand for natural gas in the U.S. that is directly benefiting compression, a critical component of the energy infrastructure value chain required to gather and move this additional gas to market.

In addition to LNG, higher natural gas demand is being driven by pipeline exports to Mexico, power generation and use as a petrochemical feedstock. And growth in crude oil production is expected to continue to drive demand for compression for Gas Lift applications.

With this continuing strong market for compression to support the transportation of natural gas in the production of oil, customer bookings commitments for contract compression of horsepower to be placed into service in 2019 and even into 2020 remain at elevated levels.

Entering 2019, we have customer commitment levels that are similar to what we had at the start of 2018. Yesterday, we announced our 2019 capital plan, which includes between $250 million and $300 million of growth investment in our fleet.

This spending will support between 285,000 and 345,000 new horsepower additions, much of which is already under contract. In fact, as of today, we have signed commitments for about 250,000 of this new horsepower that will be delivered in 2019 to go to work and we are actively negotiating additional contracts.

Our new build capital program reflects the ongoing opportunities to invest in assets yielding solid returns while remaining focused on improving our balance sheet position. These 2019 investments are focused on large horsepower units that support stable midstream applications tied to natural gas and oil production in key growth plays.

Let me summarize by sharing that the momentum we built in 2018 is carrying over into 2019. We have an exciting year ahead of us. In addition to capturing market opportunities, we will be harnessing technology to improve our operations to drive efficiency and profitability over time.

With that, let me turn the call over to Doug for a review of our fourth quarter and full year performance and to provide additional color on our 2019 guidance..

Thank you, Brad and thanks to all of you for joining us this morning. Archrock delivered another quarter of strong financial results. Revenues for the fourth quarter totaled $233 million reflecting an increase of 12% compared to the prior year period.

Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $98 million, an increase of 31% over the fourth quarter of 2017 driven by higher operating horsepower, improved pricing and ongoing cost controls. Included in our fourth quarter results was a $9.5 million associated with tax audits and settlements.

During the quarter, we received $18.7 million from Exterran in connection with the spin-off involving proceeds it received from PDVSA relating to the sale of Exterran’s previously nationalized Venezuelan assets in 2012. This payment did not affect our income statement.

Net income for the fourth quarter of 2018 was $13 million compared with $49 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. The 2017 results included $53 million benefit from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Net income for 2018 was $29.2 million, up 58% compared to the 2017 net income of $18.4 million.

In contract operations revenue improved for the seventh consecutive quarter to $176 million for the fourth quarter, up 13% from the fourth quarter of last year. This increase resulted from higher operating horsepower through our deployment of new units as well as higher pricing. Gross margins remained strong at 59.4%.

These are attractive margins driven by our team’s quality operational execution in the phase of cost pressures in certain areas of our operations including labor and parts. In our aftermarket services segment we reported fourth quarter revenues of $57 million, an increase of 8% over the prior year quarter.

Gross margins for AMS were 15% compared to 16% in the prior year fourth quarter and slightly below our guidance of 16% to 18% as we experienced several higher cost jobs in the quarter. For the year we delivered gross margins of 17% up from 15% in 2017 driven by better pricing and ongoing efficiency initiatives to optimize our cost structure.

SG&A totaled $21 million for the fourth quarter compared to $30 million in the prior year period. The majority of the $9.5 million benefit from tax audits and settlements resides in our SG&A. Excluding this, our fourth quarter SG&A was in line with our guidance of between $28 million and $29 million.

For the fourth quarter growth capital expenditures totaled $61 million bringing our full year growth CapEx to $252 million and in line with our guidance. Maintenance CapEx for the fourth quarter of 2018 was $13 million bringing that full year total to $50 million and also in line with our guidance.

We exited the year with total debt $1.5 billion effectively unchanged compared to the third quarter. We were successful in further reducing our leverage position, exiting 2018 with the leverage ratio of 4.4x, down from 4.7x in the prior quarter and compared to 5.2x at the end of 2017 pro forma for the merger.

This reduction resulted from another quarter of strong cash flow generation in our business as well as the cash benefits of the Exterrna payment mentioned earlier. We are firmly committed to our leverage reduction goals and continue to expect leverage below 4x in 2020.

We exited the year with available liquidity of $392 million, up from $324 million in the prior quarter. This sequential improvement in our liquidity position was driven by increased borrowing capacity on our revolver, resulting from lower leverage as a result of growth in our EBITDA.

We have recently declared the fourth quarter dividend of $0.132 per share or $0.528 on an annualized basis, unchanged from the previous quarter and up 10% as compared to 2017. Our latest dividend represents a yield of approximately 5% based on yesterday’s closing price and the total dividend payment of $17 million.

Our fourth quarter dividend was paid on February 14 to all shareholders of record as of February 8. For the fourth quarter, our cash flows from operating activities totaled $55 million and our cash available for dividend totaled $59 million leading to fourth quarter dividend coverage of 3.4x.

Excluding the tax settlement our fourth quarter coverage would have been roughly 2.8x. As you saw in our earnings release issued yesterday, Archrock introduced 2019 annual guidance.

This marks an important change in Archrock’s forecasting approach as it reflects the stability in our business is consistent with our energy infrastructure peers and is better aligned with the way in which we monitor our performance and invest in our business. We announced 2019 adjusted EBITDA range of $370 million to $400 million.

In contract operations we expect full year revenue to be in the range of $730 million to $760 million as we continue to grow our operating fleet and benefit from higher pricing on our existing and newly deployed units.

We expect gross margins of between 60% and 62% for the year as we extend the margin improvement we achieved in 2018 by realizing the benefits of higher pricing and continuing our focus on controlling costs. In our AMS business, we forecast full year revenue of $225 million to $255 million with gross margins of between 17% and 19%.

The first and fourth quarters generally experienced some seasonal impacts compared to our second and third quarters. We expect SG&A to total between $118 million and $124 million. Depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be around $180 million and interest expense for the year is expected to be slightly above $100 million.

Turning to capital, on a full year basis, we expect total capital expenditures to be approximately $350 million to $410 million. Of that, we expect newbuild CapEx to total between $250 million and $300 million to support approximately 285,000 to 345,000 in new horsepower with maintenance CapEx forecasted to be between $57 million and $63 million.

We also anticipate investing between $43 million and $47 million for new vehicles and further investments in technology that Brad discussed earlier.

We will also continue to prune and optimize our asset portfolio for those assets not meeting our targeted returns and we anticipate the sale of equipment will raise approximately $30 million for the year which will be used to find a portion of our 2019 capital expenditures. With that, we would now like to open up the line for questions.

Adrianne, will you please begin that process?.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Jeremy Tonet from JPMorgan. Your line is open..

Hi, good morning. This is Charlie in for Jeremy.

Just wanted to start off on the contract ops gross margin guidance for ‘19 that’s obviously a bit above kind of an historical range, so just curious is that mostly just the pricing increases that you are passing through and I guess how confident are you that you kind of keep cost in check to keep that margin at that kind of guidance level?.

Hey, Jeremy, this is Brad. Thanks for the question. We are pretty confident that we can achieve these margins.

We put the range at 60% to 62%, because we are positively inclined in the market with utilization as tight as it is notwithstanding the inflationary pressures in the marketplace we believe we can overcome that as well as continue to work on our costs. We are pretty confident in the 60% plus range in this period.

And one thing I have said in the past and I will repeat here is that we think that this business at around the 60% gross margin space on our financial platform and on our operating platform you will solve returns on the investments we are making today. We see that as a strong positive.

And I will point out that when and if on our platform gross margin gets a lot higher than that it invites the customers to self execute more than they do in their own analysis. So, we feel really good in this range of kind of plus or minus 60% and in the market we see ahead we expect to be on the plus 60% range which is what you see in our guidance..

Great.

One on capital spend, I mean you have been looking beyond 2019 you have seen some of your peers have come down a bit on where their spend is, so I am just curious what your thought is as you think maybe in regard to kind of fleet age and new orders versus maybe high-grading kind of the existing operating plea just the general mindset there?.

I am sure, look I can’t speak to what our competitors or others are seeing in their business exactly, I can’t speak to what we are seeing in the market, and look stepping back, what we see in the market today is an opportunity to step forward and not to lean back. The drivers of that are both the macro level, as well as the transactional level.

At the macro level, the shift that we see in the need for more infrastructure for the higher levels of natural gas and oil production in the U.S. that are occurring right now, they require investment.

And this is part of a structural shift in demand driven by candidly a low natural gas price, which is resulting in the monetization of a lot of gas in the form of LNG and Petrochem and for energy use and export. So, that’s the macro fundamental demand driver that is there and the U.S. supply is readily affordable, available and abundant to meet it.

And so this is part of a infrastructure build-out that’s been in the works for the last 20 years with the advent of Shell and Shell resources, that is in both oil and gas and the low natural gas price that’s come from it’s just monetizing it’s on a gas and this infrastructure investments required to bring it to market.

At the transactional level, our customers are looking for us to support their growth. And so what we announced for our CapEx budget equates to between 285,000 and a little bit over 300,000 horsepower additions. 250,000 of which have already been booked to start 2019.

So, both at the macro level, as well as the transactional level, we see a great investment opportunity in our business and enterprise today, as well as in our fleet to generate solid returns and be there when our customers need us, and that’s what our capital budget reflects..

Makes sense. One last follow-up here on – thinking about some of the – your customers, not necessarily your customers, but some of the E&P names that have been reporting and kind of pulling back a little bit and trying to live more within free cash flow.

I was curious what your thoughts are on the effects of maybe a slower growth outlook or pace versus maybe some potential greater reliance on outsourcing compression services for maybe some of these larger E&P or upstream companies that have kind of traditionally done in-house.

So, just wondering if there’s kind of maybe any upside you see just something like that?.

Yes, totally constructed dynamic coming from our customers today on that front. One of the other reasons that you hit on that says this is a time to lean into investing in this business is that because of the demands for capital allocation upstream in the E&P customers, they are looking to outsource more right now.

And so that capital rationalization that’s occurring in the marketplace is very much constructively supporting the growth in our business as we put out long-term midstream good yielding assets that we expect to be deployed in place for a long time. So, that dynamic is very much supporting the growth in our business right now..

Great. That’s it for me. Thanks..

And the next question comes from Ryan Pfingst from B. Riley. Your line is open..

Hey, good morning, guys..

Good morning..

Just on pricing, how much are spot rates since your last call in November 1, and maybe if you have it handy, how much are they up since they bottomed back in early ‘17?.

Well, for a lot of reasons talking about the amount that the prices are up in the very short-term is not something we’re willing to do, that’s just too tight of information to share for kind of obvious reasons. But from a bottom to top perspective across large demand units, we’re up between 30% and 40% in pricing overall from the bottom.

So, I mean, pricing is up sharply. Now, I will point out that there are some cost pressures that we’ve encountered obviously, so you’ve seen it in our gross margin performance, but pricing is definitely up and it’s up robustly..

Okay, that’s helpful. And then turning to aftermarket services.

What sequential progression do you expect for quarterly gross margins and what are going to be the key swing variables that will likely determine whether the annual gross margin percentage ends up closer to 17% or is that 19%?.

Yes, look the BMS business, it’s a lumpy business, it’s a good business and it very much constructively adds to the return on capital we’ve invested in this business by giving us that incremental margin, that’s lower CapEx required. So, we like the business especially as it sits right on top of the contract operations business very effectively.

But that lumpiness translates into quarter over – translates into what we see quarter-over-quarter.

And what influences it is the type of business mix we have in the quarter more service business pushes us to the higher edge of our margin range and more parts business, which has a lot lower cost associated with it pushes us to the lower end of that margin range and that’s the variable that you’re seeing.

And it makes the business very hard to forecast and predict beyond the range that we set out, but those are the primary drivers we see in the business..

Alright, thanks guys. I’ll turn it back..

Thanks..

And the next question comes from John Watson from Simmons Energy. Your line is open..

Hey, good morning, guys..

Good morning..

Brad, I wanted to start on other CapEx, yes, I think you called this out in your prepared remarks, but I just want to make sure the increase year-over-year in other CapEx that’s due to some of the technological focused upgrades that you mentioned the Oracle system et cetera.

Is that right? And can you also talk to the potential revenue benefit from those upgrades?.

So, the project that I described you’re right, it was in my prepared remarks is a part of the other CapEx increase. So, first off, I’ll point out that, that other CapEx increase comes in two components really. One is the technology project I’ll discuss and the other component is increasing investment in our trucks, which falls into other CapEx.

And that’s just required to support the level of growth we’re seeing in our operations and our workforce. But on the technology project, I’ll share with you, this is pretty exciting stuff. We’ve seen the future and stepping back.

We are looking at the ability to deploy more current technology tools to our overall platform to drive just a much higher level of efficiency in our field operations, as well as in the company’s operating platform overall, including our ERP.

So, what this will look like will be an improvement in the operating platform in the ERP system first, followed by deployment of better technology in the field to achieve a different level of efficiency in our field operations and candidly, a great level of customer service experience improvement.

So, that’s the – that’s what we’re working off of this project. It’s going to require about 2 years of investment, I mean, that’s what’s driving up the other CapEx and we’ll start to see the benefits of this project probably in 2021 potentially as early as late 2020, but that’s the timing of when we’re going to see it.

Look this is going to require about $25 million of investment split between CapEx and SG&A in 2019 and about $20 million in 2020, and then we’ll see the benefits accrued after that. As far as quantifying the benefits, what will – what I’d share with you is that, it’s too far out.

We believe this is going to generate solid returns, in fact, the returns on this investment are equal to or exceed what we can achieve in investing in our equipment today, and so we’re excited about those investment returns. It’s definitely going to have a positive impact in lowering our cost.

How well that translates into incremental growth, more cost-effective growth and/or improvements in margin, we’re going to – we’ll talk about that in the future as we see the benefits of the program..

Great. That is very helpful. Thank you for the breakdown. And maybe as a follow-up to an earlier question on pricing, can you speak to what the gap is between leading edge and maybe your average unit deployed? And I know that’s not easy because of the differing horsepower classes.

But I’m just trying to think through if there is a wide gap or a narrow gap between a unit deployed today that’s been out in the field for a few years versus one that just went into the field today..

Yes, no, we can’t quantify that. But what I’d share with you is that, our effort right now is to keep our operating horsepower at market pricing levels. As you know we have – we have contracts that are of different durations from 1 to 4 years typically, and so we can implement a price increase on units that are out of term.

For 2019, we expect to be able to bring the vast majority of our fleets up to market pricing throughout the year. The price increase we implemented so far in January will bring about half the fleet up to current market pricing and that market pricing varies by market as well as by unit.

But we feel good about that and then the rest of it will get the vast majority of the remaining fleet up to market pricing by the end of 2019. This has been a multi-year effort to bring all of our pricing up to market because of the term that we have on the contracts, but we feel good about our ability to do that in 2019..

Perfect. That’s very helpful, more than you know. One last one, you did a really nice job of speaking to why growth CapEx is needed at this point of the cycle for a variety of different reasons. Is there a – I’m assuming that you could have spent even more growth CapEx, you could have grown the fleet by a larger number than what you’re planning to.

Can you speak to that either qualitatively or quantitatively, how the demand for horsepower compares to what you’re planning to spend?.

Yes, correct. You’re completely right. There is more demand in the market that we’re meeting. We are definitely trying to work with our key core customers to meet their needs, but we’re not satisfying all the demand for capital and equipment that we could entertain with new customers in the marketplace today.

So, in order to satisfy and meet the multiple capital allocation objectives we’ve laid out, this is the amount of capital that we’ve been willing to spend in this market, but there’s definitely an appetite for the market to absorb more.

The other side of that is also interesting because if we don’t see the market developing along the lines that we’ve seen then we’ll definitely be on the lower end or even we have the ability to pull back some of our CapEx. So, the CapEx plan that we’ve laid out is dependent upon the market performing as we expect it to.

We have flexibility to both ramp up within the range and meet our financial objectives in 2020, as well as candidly pull back if the market doesn’t show up as strongly as we’ve – we see it showing up right now in our expectations of our customers..

Great, understood and thank you all for taking my questions and congrats on the good quarter..

Thanks..

Thanks, John..

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Daniel Burke from Johnson Rice. Your line is open..

Yes, good morning, guys..

Hey, Daniel..

As the market has heated up over the last couple of years, I was just curious, what level of pricing escalation have you seen on your newbuild investment costs? Can you kind of quantify that maybe the step up, if any, you’ve seen in new unit pricing over the last say 2 years?.

Yes. The key vendors have seen – we’ve seen price increases in the 5% range in ‘18 is what we saw, and that’s both coming from the major OEMs and through the packagers, but it’s been in about that range..

Okay, thanks, Brad. And then sort of shifting gears, the focus here is appropriately on growth and a 90%-ish utilized fleet certainly speaks to a tight market. We’ve recognized there’s churn in the fleet as well.

But what’s the opportunity given the intensity of demand out there in the market to push utilization of the entire fleet above that sort of 90% level as we look forward over the next year or 2?.

We’re going to try to do exactly that I can assure you, that’s the easy thing to say. The hard thing is to gauge how successful we can be given the fact that there is churn, so we’ll have new units coming into the fleet that start working when we turn them on.

We have units coming off, we’ve units at the shop getting ready for the next job, and then we have to have somewhat in every major market the ability to have units especially on the smaller range available for us. But look for the highly utilized large horsepower 3 stage units, we’re well above 91% already.

So, we’re pushing that utilization rate as high as we can and we’re going to continue to work to optimize our business and have deliveries and work done on just the time – in-time basis as we can to achieve the highest utilization returns for investors as we can. So, we’re already seeing that in certain categories and it’s working.

It’s the ability to pull that up across the broad range of horsepower and geography that we operate in that makes it more challenging..

Got it. And then maybe if I could squeeze just one last one in.

I don’t want to turn annual guidance into quarterly guidance, but when we think about the margin compression this year, you have got the price capture here in Q1, should we think about the margin advance in the contract ops business is pretty ratable as the year advances at least through Q3 or would you provide any incremental nuance to how to think about that margin trend as the year goes on?.

Yes. Sure. Daniel, it’s Doug, I think look, let’s talk first I guess about our CapEx levels in spinning, we see that being weighted towards a 60-40 or even 65-35 to the first half of the year.

Obviously, you will get a slight lag not much, I mean I think this business is much as any, it does a very good job of sort of converting CapEx into cash flow pretty quickly.

So for modeling purposes, I think we would tell you maybe start assuming that in Q2 and Q3 given that the bigger slug of the CapEx gets spent in the first half with them the smaller percentage showing up in the second half of the year. And yes you are right on the pricing impact, most of that flows through effective January 1.

And so I think as you have said we have got guidance that we have given that’s meant for the year. There is some startup expenses that you will also see that are related to those new starts that will offset or mute some of that which is why I would say look for those to start in Q2 and Q3. But overall that’s kind of where we would expect to be..

Got it. Okay. Doug, I appreciate that. Thank you, guys for the time..

Thanks..

Thanks Daniel..

There are no more questions. And I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Childers for final remarks..

Great. So thank you, everyone for joining our call this morning. 2018 was a strong year for Archrock. I am optimistic that 2019 is shaping up to be an equally constructive year as we benefit from the strong market dynamics that are driving oil and gas production growth in the U.S. I look forward to updating you on our first quarter results in May.

Thanks everyone..

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect..