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Industrials - Rental & Leasing Services - NYSE - IE
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q1
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Executives

John Wikoff - Head of Investor Relations Aengus Kelly - Chief Executive Officer, Executive Director Keith Helming - Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Richa Talwar - Deutsche Bank Gary Leibowitz - Wells Fargo Jason Arnold - RBC Capital Markets Vincent Caintic - Macquarie Moshe Orenbuch - Credit Suisse Nathan Hong - Morgan Stanley Scott Valentin - FBR & Co. Andrew Light - Citigroup Kristine Liwag - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Darryl Genovesi - UBS Ryan Zacharia - JAM.

Operator

Welcome to today's AerCap Holdings first quarter 2015 results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. This call is being webcast and an audio version of the call will be available on the company's website. The call is also being recorded for replay purposes.

I now hand the call over to John Wikoff, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead..

John Wikoff

Thank you, operator. Good day, everyone. Welcome to our 2015 first quarter results conference call. With me today in New York are Aengus Kelly, AerCap's CEO and Keith Helming, AerCap's CFO.

Before we begin today's call, I would like to mention that in addition to this earnings call, AerCap will also host a group presentation for analysts and investors today at the New York Palace Hotel, in the drawing room, starting at 11:30 a.m. Doors will open at 11:00 a.m.

I also want to remind you that some statements made during this conference call that are not historical facts may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements.

In addition, this conference call contains time-sensitive information that reflects management's best judgment only as of the date of the last call.

AerCap does not undertake any ongoing obligation, other than that imposed by law, to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect future events, information or circumstances that arise after this call.

Further information concerning issues that could materially affect performance related to forward-looking statements can be found in AerCap's earnings release dated May 11, 2015. A copy of the earnings release and conference call presentation are available on our website at aercap.com.

This call is open to the public and is being webcast simultaneously at aercap.com and will be available for replay. I will now turn the call over to Aengus Kelly..

Aengus Kelly

Thank you, John. Good morning, all and thank all for joining us for our 2015 fist quarter earnings call. We are delighted to report record results for the first quarter of 2015. We generated adjusted net income of $304.6 million and EPS of $1.44.

This should see us exceed an annualized EPS of $5 in 2015, which is significantly higher than the guidance we provided of $4 when we originally announced the ILFC transaction in December 2013.

We finished the first quarter with total assets of $44.1 billion and net spread, a critical measure of our operational performance of $878 million, which is a record level for the company and a fourfold increase on last year. Our net interest margin was 9.7%. This also compares favorably to the 8.7% achieved in the first quarter of 2014.

These results reflect the success of our transformational deal with ILFC and the success with which the ILFC platform has been rapidly integrated. I would like to focus on the operational capability of the business for a minute.

Less than a year since the closing of the ILFC acquisition, our utilization rate is running at 99% and the average remaining term of our leases is almost six years. During the first quarter, we executed 104 aircraft transactions, which means we bought, sold or leased more than one aircraft every 24 hours.

And over the last 18 months alone, we have leased 135 widebody aircrafts. On the forward order book, we continue to make substantial progress in leasing new aircraft. One notable transaction that closed in the first quarter was the lease of 24 A320neo aircraft to China Southern Airlines, Asia's largest airline.

In total, we have now placed almost 180 new aircraft on long-term leases from our forward order book. I believe that our discipline in managing our assets combined with AerCap's enhanced scale and global platform will continue to provide significant competitive advantages to us.

Our daily interaction in the market give us unique insight into its trends. 2015 is shaping up to be a good year for demand driven by passenger growth which continue to grow by approximately 5.5% per annum and fuel, our customers' largest and most volatile cost item, continue to trade at relatively low levels.

The reduction in fuel costs is extending the lifespan of older and midlife aircraft types such as the A340 and the 747. This does create interesting trading opportunities and may prolong both the lifespan and operating leases for these aircraft.

We are however operating in an industry that has tremendous long-term growth potential and our customers are re-fleeting for the long-term for the most modern equipment available in the marketplace. Like us, they recognize that global GDP is rising and with it the middle class in many key Asian markets is growing rapidly.

An interesting anecdote is that 100 million people board an aircraft in Asia for the first time every year and the number of people flying today will double in the next 10 to 15 years. Near-term trends are therefore not diminishing the long-term need to re-fleet appropriately, given the potential for higher fuel prices over the longer-term.

Turning to credit exposure. In a global marketplace, you will often see territories that are under pressure, as the Russian market has been. Despite this, though, our receivables remain at historical lows.

Where there is risk, we have consistently demonstrated that our assets are highly portable and we hold significant collateral to protect us against negative credit events. On the liability side of the business, we are a highly cash generative company. And we have a conservative approach towards the management of our balance sheet.

We remain well on track to decreasing our debt equity ratio, which currently stands at 3.2:1 to a target of 3:1 by the end of this year. As of March 31, 2015, we had $7.3 billion of liquidity available on hand and since the announcement of the ILFC deal in December 2013, $14 billion of funding has been raised by AerCap.

In summary, the demand for aircraft remains strong around the globe. We are very successfully in managing the liability side of our business, fleet utilization stands at 99% and over 90% of our revenue is contracted through 2017.

The combination of the operational capabilities of the AerCap platform, our long dated leases and liability structure, will continue to drive attractive returns for our shareholders and we will continue to allocate capital to maximize the long-term value of the business.

With that, I will hand the call over to Keith for a detailed review of our financial performance..

Keith Helming

Thanks, Gus. Good morning, all. I will start on page five of the presentation. Our reported net income, as Gus just mentioned, for the first quarter was $311.5 million. Adjusted net income was $304.6 million.

The adjustments made to derive adjusted net income include the elimination of cost relating to the mark-to-market of interest rate caps and swaps, ILFC transaction and integration expenses and maintenance rights expense. Page six. Reported earnings per share were $1.47 in first quarter. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.44 during the same period.

The average basic shares outstanding in the first quarter were 212 million and on a fully diluted basis there were 250 million shares. In page seven. Total revenue in first quarter was $1.3 billion. Maintenance related revenue was $71 million. Net gain on sale of assets was $34 million and other income was $29 million.

The increase in total revenue as compared to same period in 2014 was driven, of course, by the ILFC acquisition. Page eight. Net interest margin or net spread was $878 million in the first quarter. The annualized margin as a percent to average lease assets was 9.7%, up from 8.7% during the same period in 2014. Page nine.

The impact from asset sales in the first quarter was a pretax gain of $33.7 million. During first quarter, we sold 12 aircrafts from our own portfolio, executed part-out transactions for four aircrafts and five aircrafts were reclassified as finance leases, which generated a portion of the pretax gain. Page 10.

Leasing expenses were $93 million and SG&A was $95 million in the first quarter. Leasing cost includes $47 million relating to the expensing of the maintenance right asset and $11 million relating to aircrafts that terminated or defaulted.

During first quarter, we incurred expenses of $4 million relating to the ILFC acquisition and also in first quarter we incurred $5 million of impairments, which related to the aircraft we parted out partially offsetting the gain on sale recorded in the first quarter. The tax rate for first quarter was 13.5%. Page 11.

AerCap's unrestricted cash balance at the end of first quarter was $1.6 billion and our total cash balance including restricted cash was $1.9 billion. Operating cash flows were $750 million in the first quarter. Page 12.

Our available liquidity sources over the next 12 months is $10.6 billion and contracted debt maturities and CapEx for the same period is $6.4 billion. This results in excess liquidity coverage of $4.2 billion and a ratio of sources to uses of 1.66 times.

These sources do not include additional capital we expect to generate from financing for new aircraft purchases. Page 13. At the end of first quarter, AerCap's debt balance was $30.3 billion and our debt to equity ratio was 3.2 to 1. Our book equity is $8.3 billion and the average cost of our debt for the first quarter 2015 was 3.7%.

Interest cost in the first quarter was higher by approximately $70 million from one-time charges. Moving to page 15. With regard to the financial outlook for 2015, we believe the previous guidance we provided for adjusted net income for the full year is still a reasonable estimate.

Our only update to the previous guidance is an increase in adjusted net income for the after-tax impact of the gain on sale generated during first quarter. Of course, if we generate further gains on sale in subsequent quarters in 2015, adjusted net income would increase further. Now page 16.

We also believe the previous guidance we provided for reported net income for the full year 2015 is still a reasonable estimate, again with the only update being an increase in reported net income for the after-tax impact of the gain on sale generated during first quarter. Those are the financial highlights for our first quarter.

So operator, I would now like to open the call to Q&A..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will now take our first question from Mike Linenberg of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead..

Richa Talwar

Hello, everyone. Good morning. This is actually Richa Talwar, filling in for Mike. Just a couple of questions from us.

First, can you tell us, from your order book, what specific aircrafts you have left to place? And how demand is shaping up for those units?.

Aengus Kelly

Well, we can say that all of our A350s are placed, all of our 737-800s are placed. We have a small number of MAX aircrafts which are placed too. We have A320neos to place mainly towards the end of the decade, but the A320neo is a very high demand airplane and we have seen incredible uptake for this aircraft.

We have never observed such a rapid uptake for a new aircraft before. So we are very confident of moving those. Our next available 787 is in the first half of 2018. So we have moved pretty much everything through 2017 has been moved and we have a few airplanes to move in 2018..

Richa Talwar

Okay. Thanks for that. And then, on your leverage, I noticed that you recently shaved off 75 basis points of your $1.1 billion term loan and you also extended the maturity of that loan by three years.

So I was curious to know, if you saw more balance sheet cleanup opportunities like that down the line?.

Keith Helming

We are going to continue to look to see if there is ways to capitalize on some economic improvements in our liability structure. Those moves were primarily to push out some of the terminations, if you will, out for three years to levelize our debt repayments..

Richa Talwar

Okay. Got it. But the real step function change in your cost to debt will really come, I guess, when you regain that investment grade credit rating.

Is that how we should think about it? And do expect to regain that credit rating, concurrent with you achieving the 3:1 debt to equity target? Or do you think it's going to take a bit longer than that?.

Keith Helming

Well, again on the debt equity target, we do expect to hit the 3:1 in 2015. In fact, as we said before we expect to actually be below 3:1 later in 2015. Again, we are going to continue updating the rating agencies as to our results. Obviously they are watching us closely, so we will see what happens with our rating later on in the year..

Richa Talwar

Okay. Fair enough. I will let some else ask a question. Thank you..

Operator

We will now take our next question from Gary Leibowitz of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead..

Gary Leibowitz

Thank you, operator. Good morning, gentlemen.

Gus, to follow up on the product question, on your 787 placements, can you compare how terms are in the market in terms of lease yield and overall economics to planes that you are placing today versus the ones you started to place a year ago?.

Aengus Kelly

On average, I would say Gary, you are getting more or less the same yield. You have got to remember that as interest rates come down, that takes down the headline rate too, once you adjust for interest rate on average where we placed them a couple of years ago similar to where they are today..

Gary Leibowitz

Okay. And I see you mentioned you added a few 737MAXs.

Is that a sale-leaseback transaction?.

Aengus Kelly

Yes. That one is a deal where given one of the advantages of having the scale of AerCap is that you don't necessarily need the OEM, that you can create your transactions in uncontested situations. And in this example, an airline needed our help with something and as part of the transaction we then picked up some MAX aircraft in 2018..

Gary Leibowitz

Okay. And then just two quick ones, maybe for Keith. Keith, your guidance for the full year reported SG&A leasing expenses is still just over $1 billion, but in the first quarter, they were about $200 million, if my math is right.

What changes in the future quarters?.

Keith Helming

Well, the maintenance right expensing is actually connected to the various maintenance events on the aircraft. So obviously each quarter, it isn't going to be consistent but the estimate that we gave previously for the full year is again the same, the best we have now.

So obviously the last three quarters would be heavier maintenance rights expense than in the first quarter..

Gary Leibowitz

Okay. Great. And then just last one, on the gains from sales, you mentioned somewhere from the sales of aircraft, the others and some of it was from reclassifying to finance leases.

Can you break that down, because I am just trying to compute how much of a margin you generated on the plane sales?.

Aengus Kelly

Yes. Out of the $34 million of pretax gains, about $14 million came from the finance leases..

Gary Leibowitz

Thank you very much..

Operator

We will now take our next question from Jason Arnold of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead..

Jason Arnold

Hi, guys. Good morning. I guess just a follow-up to the last one.

Can you talk a little bit about the decision making process on reclassifying the five aircraft finance lease?.

Keith Helming

Yes. It really just follows U.S. GAAP accounting. So effectively with those aircraft something changed commercially like an extension, if you will and it created the requirement to reclassify them from operating lease to finance lease. So effectively, it's viewed as a sale for accounting purposes, which is why gains can be a generated from those items..

Aengus Kelly

Yes. And mainly focused on a package of A340 airplanes that were extended for a long period of time. And once they were extended for that longer period of time, the risks and rewards of ownership substantially transferred to the operator rather than us..

Jason Arnold

Got you. Makes sense. Okay. Thanks for that. And then just another one on AeroTurbine. You have got a unique alternative versus some of your peers in deciding whether to sell or part-out aircraft.

And I am just wondering if you could talk a bit about the decision making process you go through in determining the best course of action for an individual aircraft? And then maybe comment on the parts market in general?.

Aengus Kelly

Sure. So when an older aircraft comes back, you can either re-lease it, you can sell it or you can parted-out. The re-leasing is generally the preferred option, of course, but if it is uneconomic to invest too much money in overhauling the cabin and the engines, then you will sell it or then parted-out. That's the first decision that's made.

Then you look at the alternative of what's available for a sale of the airplane versus what available on the part-out side. Now as you can see from my numbers, in most cases, we actually sell the airplanes because it is still a very good bid for the sale of the assets.

And you see that there was five airplanes that we parted-out during the quarter that were transferred from the AerCap book. The parts market overall is still a very steady margin we are seeing there. The gross margin in the AeroTurbine business is very robust at the moment..

Jason Arnold

Perfect. Thanks a lot for the color..

Aengus Kelly

No problem..

Operator

We will now take our next question from Vincent Caintic of Macquarie. Please go ahead..

Vincent Caintic

Hi. Good morning guys. Thank you. I wanted to switch over to capital management and if you have any updated thoughts on your share repurchase program, that would be great.

And in particular, Gus, you have discussed that you are an asset manager and in the current environment, where it seems like there's a lot of competition for aircraft, how do you view, say, allocating capital towards aircraft portfolio growth versus your stock? Thanks..

Aengus Kelly

Those are the two questions there. But I will start with capital allocation. We have announced $250 million program in the last quarter. We were able to do that because of the operational performance of the business. It has been very strong, well ahead of what we had guided. Also we had sold more aircraft than we bought.

As you can see, that's pretty indicative of how we think about things. We been net sellers of aircraft since the acquisition. That has enabled us to delever the business and also start the first part of our capital return program, the $250 million announcement.

So when it comes to asset acquisitions at the moment in the market, our focus is making sure that if we spend our shareholders' money, we have got to make sure that's the best use of those funds, that's better than paying down debt and that's better than giving the money back to shareholders. And we see that in certain events where that is the case.

If you are in an open contested sale leaseback opportunity, that is not the case. But with our scale and size, we don't need to compete in that market. Airlines will always come to us whenever they are looking at a fleet.

We are a fleet program, be it for used aircraft or new aircraft because invariably we will have a significant number of assets in the airline.

But overall, on the allocation of capital, it's a bit like whether we decide to sell airplanes or not and the first objective following the acquisition was to delever the balance sheet because the leverage did go up. Once we felt very confident about that we started to allocate money to repurchase shares.

And that's based also in how we look at the value that we could get in the aircraft acquisition market. If that changes, if we see that there is better value buying airplanes, then we would change that. But at the moment our bias, as you can see by our action, has been more towards returning capital..

Vincent Caintic

Thanks for that color.

And then in terms of the aircraft sales, is there any particular trends for what you are seeing for the demand of those aircrafts? Any particular types of airlines or investors and any particular geographies?.

Aengus Kelly

No. I mean the market for aircraft sales has been pretty robust for the course of the last two odd years really. Aircrafts still generate, on a risk/reward basis, a fairly generous yield. If you are a financial institution who wants to put a small bit of money to work into this sector, you can generate all size of yields.

If you look at what you would get in this business you might get a net interest margin. You won't get what we earn, but you might get say 5% or 6%, which is probably three times what you are earning on your mortgage book. So it's still a pretty attractive sector from that standpoint to people in financial services..

Vincent Caintic

Great. Thanks very much..

Operator

We will now take our next question from Moshe Orenbuch of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead..

Moshe Orenbuch

Hi. Great. Thanks. I mean you sort of answered a part of this a moment ago, but a couple of the other lessors have talked about airlines looking to sell more planes and sale leasebacks because of the dollar's strength.

Is that a trend that you have seen? And does that at some future point start your trend towards investing again?.

Aengus Kelly

I think that's one of the factors. We don't see that as the main factor driving sale leaseback activity. Always airlines are going to put up, over 40% of their book is always going to go up in the sale-leaseback market. So I wouldn't particularly blame the strong dollar for it.

And there is lots of different issues that are playing in different parts of the world. So that's one of the factors in that area. We have our own view of what constitutes value for spending our shareholders' money. And if we see the right opportunity, we will be aggressive. But if we don't, we won't..

Moshe Orenbuch

Okay. And if you were to just extend your answer to the last question, how do you kind of see the evolution of that? You have got the $250 million buyback. It sounds like you would have met your leverage target by the middle of the year.

What happens? What should we be looking for in the second half?.

Aengus Kelly

Well, we said that we get to the leverage target by the end of the year. That's our target. By the end of year, we expect to get down to the 3:1.

So that's the target for, we feel that the business has a very robust balance sheet and is able to take advantage of opportunities to deploy capital be it on the aircraft acquisition side or be it on the share buyback side. But we will wait and see to how we get where we are at the end of year..

Moshe Orenbuch

Okay. Thanks very much..

Operator

We will now take our next question from Nathan Hong of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead..

Nathan Hong

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. I was wondering if you could talk about the order book.

Just curious to hear how comfortable you are with the current size and how we should be thinking about growth going forward? Is there any specific aircraft types that you would actually like to add, given the chance?.

Aengus Kelly

When we talk of growth, we are interested in growing for the bottom line. But when the top line meaningless, we are not growing the bottom line. And if we see the right opportunity to acquire aircraft be it from the manufacturers or say in the sale-leaseback market or getting another lessor, if we see the right value, that's when we invest.

But there is no aircraft I need that's not going to make money for my shareholders. If assuming that the equation is right and it's a fair risk and reward for the shareholders, the bias is towards the A320neo, 737 MAX, 787 and the A350 as they will be the core of the global fleet as we go forward. Today, it is the A320, the 737, 777 and the 330.

But fast-forward 10 years, it will be the four aircraft I previously mentioned. So that would be where our natural bias would be..

Nathan Hong

Got it. And you did mention the 737MAXs earlier on the call.

But I am just curious to hear how much visibility do you typically have on sale-leaseback opportunities? I guess in your current discussion with global airlines, are most looking to do a sale-leaseback deal for this year? Or are you actually feeling more interest for 2016 and beyond?.

Aengus Kelly

Well, the MAX, it's 2017. Well, they are only really start beginning to deliver it at the end of 2017. So it's more towards the end of the decade 2018, 2019 on those aircraft types. But you will see plenty of opportunity. You can rest assured that at least 40% of all the deliveries to those airlines will end up in lessor hand, one way or the other..

Nathan Hong

And then just outside of the MAXs, I guess overall the remaining aircraft types?.

Aengus Kelly

Well, I would say the 320neo, 737 Max, the A350 and 787, they would be the four that we have a bias towards, other things being equal. But we don't -- the real bias is towards maximizing the bottom line of the business..

Nathan Hong

Yes. Thanks for the time. I appreciate it..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will now take our next question from Scott Valentin of FBR & Co. Please go ahead..

Scott Valentin

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. Just with regard to the margin, your comments regarding capital flowing into this space.

Just wondering if you see, you mentioned yields are holding, but I am wondering if you are seeing any pressure on any aircraft types, maybe on yield?.

Aengus Kelly

The yield environment has been pretty robust. If you go back over the last 12 months, there has been a general fall in treasury yields which comes into the market. But you are indifferent to that really. So we would say, the yield environment is fairly robust.

We have commented on it on a couple of earnings calls now about the increased demand we have seen for the older airplane types such a 767, 75s, 74s, 340s and you see that in our sales activity during the last couple of quarters too. So overall, the environment is fairly robust right now.

We are also running at 99% utilization, which is full employment really because we will always have some airplanes transitioning from one airline to another. So that's a good indicator of the demand environment there also..

Scott Valentin

Okay.

So the 9.7%, that net spread, do you think that's fairly sustainable for the foreseeable future?.

Keith Helming

Yes. We actually expect the spread to be around 9.8% for the full year 2015. As we have mentioned before, we believe our interest cost will levelize at roughly the 4%. So other than that change, that margin should stay relatively intact..

Scott Valentin

Okay. Thanks. And then one final question. Just any update on Russia? You mentioned 99% utilization rates.

It seems like there's no issues in Russia right now, but maybe your thoughts going forward?.

Aengus Kelly

Well, you saw us take airplanes out of Russia quite rapidly over the Christmas holidays. That's down since then. The ruble has strengthened significantly, It got down to RUB 51 there last week. It's RUB 52 and change today, which is an awful long way from where it was at Christmas in the over 70 mark one for a couple of days.

And that's been a big benefit to those carriers. So at the moment in Russia, we are within 30 days on all of our customer..

Scott Valentin

Okay. Thanks very much..

Operator

We will take our next question from Andrew Light of Citigroup. Please go ahead..

Andrew Light

Hi. Good morning.

Are you still on track to make disposals of roughly $1 billion this year? Or do you think you could step that up, given the strength of the used market?.

Keith Helming

Yes. Andrew, again if we see the opportunities. We are in the market all the time and if we can go north of $1 billion, we certainly will, if we think we are getting a fair price for it.

but just because we bought an airplane for a good price from, we did the ILFC transaction, it doesn't mean I am going to give it away to someone else unless I get paid good price too. I am not going pass on the gains we generated. So we need to get a fair price, but I think we well and I am sure if the market is there, we will go over the $1 billion..

Andrew Light

Based on your comments, would it be fair to say that your current view on new aircraft is the risk/reward is better with sale and leasebacks in the near term than OEM orders?.

Aengus Kelly

I wouldn't say that, Andrew. You haven't seen us do anything significant on either side, really over the course of last year. We did exercise a 50 aircraft option as it came with our Neo transaction. But that was pretty much a no-brainer because it was off the original deal at ILFC had cut. We have done a few sale-leasebacks here and there.

And again they have been in uncontested situations. But the focus over the course of last year has been more on delevering the balance sheet as we go into next year. If we see good value, be it in the sale and leaseback market or with the OEMs, then we would be aggressive.

But you have to make sure that we are making money for our shareholders if we do something like that..

Andrew Light

Can I just ask a quick question on the sale and leasebacks? Because I found very few leasing companies that actually do enter the contested markets.

How would it divide, would you say, between contested and uncontested, rough split between the two?.

Aengus Kelly

Look, there is airplane on the street every week. So most of them are in the contested market, that's the reality. The two lessors in the world who have the capability to have such a huge install fleet with airlines where they probably don't have to enter into that contested market..

Andrew Light

Okay. Thank you very much..

Operator

Our next question comes from Kristine Liwag of Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead..

Kristine Liwag

Hi. Good morning, everyone.

Can you walk through what drove the asset impairment of $5 million in the quarter? And then also which specific aircraft drove these impairments? And also as a follow-on to that, can you provide an update to the appraised value of your aircraft fleet versus their book value?.

Keith Helming

Well, what with regard to the $4.7 million impairment, it related to the four aircrafts that we parted-out. So these aircrafts were put on consignment and we took an adjustment based on what we think the gross proceeds are going to be. And we don't have an update yet on the fair value of our existing portfolio yet.

We will provide that information sometime in the future..

Kristine Liwag

Great. And the OEMs are working on bridging the current generation widebody aircraft to the new aircraft derivatives that are coming on in the next couple of years.

Can you walk us through how you are thinking about the opportunities, maybe in the OEM market there, if you have these end of the line aircraft coming to the market?.

Aengus Kelly

We obviously are placing a lot of widebody airplanes ourselves. Just over the last 18 months, on the used side, we moved about 110 used widebody airplanes. So no one in the world is moving anything like that. So we have a fairly good insight into what the returns would be for those type of aircraft.

Overall, though, I would say that our bias is more towards, if we are spending money on aircraft on widebody airplanes, other things being equal, our bias would be more towards the newer technology, the 350, 787..

Kristine Liwag

Great. Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from Darryl Genovesi of UBS. Please go ahead..

Darryl Genovesi

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. Also thanks for including the market value of the future delivery stream in the presentation.

I was wondering if these market value estimates that you have got on the slide, which is slide 23, are these market value estimates directly comparable to the contractual obligations that you disclosed in your filings, so that would be, I guess, the $24.3 billion at the end of Q4, timing differences aside?.

Keith Helming

Yes. These amounts are the fair value of the aircraft that are delivering at the end of each of these individual years. So it's part of the fair value exercise that we went through with purchase accounting of existing fleet as well as the order book..

Darryl Genovesi

So if compare the $26.9 billion that you have got on this slide to the $24.3 billion number in the filing, that would imply that you essentially see your forward order book as about $2.6 billion of the money, plus or minus a small margin to reflect activity in the first quarter.

Does that sound about right?.

Keith Helming

Yes. The amount that, the so-called fair value impact from the order book is it just over $2 billion, as you indicated, yes..

Darryl Genovesi

Okay.

And I guess how much of that is still on the balance sheet? So essentially what's left of the backlog mark that you took when you closed the ILFC transaction?.

Keith Helming

It's about $2.2 billion, I think, got still left on the balance sheet and the amount was $2.5 billion roughly when we closed the transaction..

Darryl Genovesi

Okay. So you think the fair value of the backlog is essentially still reflected on the balance sheet today, is kind of what I would take away.

Is that the right takeaway?.

Keith Helming

Yes. As the rest of these ILFC aircraft delivered in the rest of that $2.2 billion will be allocated to the individual aircraft..

Darryl Genovesi

Great. Thanks very much..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will now take our next question from Ryan Zacharia of JAM. Please go ahead..

Ryan Zacharia

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking the questions, just two. Interest expense, it said in the presentation there was a one-timer of $17 million.

Can you just comment on what that was?.

Keith Helming

Yes. It related to the part of the accounting policy for predelivery payments is that you capitalize a portion of your interest costs and we changed that methodology in the first quarter effectively catching up the capitalization from the ILFC acquisition. So that was a one-time charge and you won't see it in quarters going forward..

Ryan Zacharia

So net of that and the $7 million of mark-to-market gains, we are looking at interest expense like $260 million-ish.

Does that sound about right?.

Keith Helming

Yes. That's right. So the 3.7% interest cost would have been approximately 3.5%..

Ryan Zacharia

And then the SG&A declined sequentially. It was little bit bigger than expectations. I think there was $10 million of one-timers in Q4, but we saw about a $20 million decline sequentially.

Was there anything one-time in nature this quarter?.

Keith Helming

Not particularly. We are getting down to the level that we think we are going to run on a quarterly basis. So I think we are nearly at 100% of our SG&A cost take out from the ILFC acquisition. So obviously the number will move around a little bit in each individual quarter, but this gets to the rough level that you should see going forward..

Ryan Zacharia

So like $70 million core SG&A, ex-share based comp?.

Keith Helming

Excluding share-based comp, yes..

Ryan Zacharia

Okay. Great. Thanks..

Operator

As there are no further questions, I would like to turn the call back to the speaker for any additional or closing remarks..

Aengus Kelly

Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining us today. We look forward to seeing as many of you as possible in the New York Palace later today and then failing that, we will talk to you on the next quarter's call. Thank you very much..

Operator

Thank you. That will conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. Ladies and gentlemen, you may now disconnect..

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