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Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants - NASDAQ - US
$ 12.36
-2.75 %
$ 370 M
Market Cap
15.85
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q1
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Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And thank you for standing by. Welcome to the El Pollo Loco First Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants have been placed in listen-only mode and the lines will be open for your questions following the presentation. Please note that this conference is being recorded today, May 6, 2021.

On the call today we have Bernard Acoca, President and Chief Executive Officer of El Pollo Loco, and Larry Roberts, Chief Financial Officer. I would now like to turn the conference over to Larry Roberts..

Larry Roberts

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon. By now, everyone should have access to our first quarter 2021 earnings release. If not, it can be found at www.elpolloloco.com in the Investor Relations section.

Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that our discussion today will include forward-looking statements, including statements related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business and strategic actions we have taken in response as well as our marketing initiatives, cash flow expectations, capital expenditure plans and plans for new store openings among others.

These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore you should not put undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we currently expect.

We refer you to our recent SEC filings including our Form 10-K for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. We expect to file our 10-Q for the first quarter of 2021 tomorrow, and would encourage you to review that document at your earliest convenience.

During today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance.

The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP and reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures are available in our earnings release.

Before I turn the call over to President and Chief Executive Officer, Bernard Acoca, I'd like to note that Bernard and I are in different locations today. Please bear with us if you experience any slight delays or minor audio quality issues. Bernard, please go ahead. .

Bernard Acoca

one, expand the brand, grow in new geographies with franchisees; two, support the brand, build the right organization for asset light growth; three, evolve the brand, digitize the business to compete; and four, focus the brand, exaggerate what makes us so special and different.

While I won't focus on each of these strategies in great detail, I would like to give you a brief update. Evolving our brand is all about utilizing technology to better serve our customers. During the quarter our digital business continued to grow and is now approaching 11% of total system sales primarily driven by third-party deliveries.

In addition, our enhanced efforts to grow our loyalty customer base are paying dividends as we have added approximately 200,000 new members since the beginning of the year. Equally as important we are seeing an uptick in loyalty transactions, which are the centerpiece of our go-to-market strategy for the long term.

We also continue to make progress improving our speed of service as a result of several measures implemented late last year, including efficient labor deployment, readiness guidelines, repacking side items and salsa, and better positioning of equipment in our restaurants.

Moreover, during the first quarter, we expanded our test of order taking tablets to ten restaurants. This technology enables our team members to take orders and payment from customers, while they're in the drive-thru queue with the goal of cutting our drive-thru times in half by achieving a 45 second order and window time.

It's early days, but we are very encouraged by the results we're seeing in our test restaurants. We currently plan to further expand the test in May and are targeting pending achievement of our KPI's to begin rolling out the platform to company restaurants this fall. Turning to our strategy to focus the brand.

Our team has been working tirelessly to exaggerate what makes us so special and different. To that end, in addition to our regular marketing activities, we will be executing several brand sparks in 2021. We believe that these will give us the opportunity to more deeply connect with our target audience to build brand love and affinity.

The first spark will be to celebrate this upcoming Mother's Day. Our Strong Like a Madre Mother's Day Grant initiative, was designed to recognize, celebrate and support greater Los Angeles area moms who had to put their career and personal pursuits on pause because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Nominations for moms via Instagram are open now through May 14, and each of the 12 selected winners will receive a $5,000 Madreship grants that gives them the opportunities and resources to get back to pursuing their dreams.

The role of a mother is never simple and the past year pandemic and economic strike has made the world's toughest job even tougher. For mothers of color and single moms, this crisis has been amplified as these communities have been disproportionately impacted by job losses and workforce exits.

This is what inspired El Pollo Loco to give back to moms and help them regain their footing after a year of constant setbacks.

Most of you have heard me discuss, our focus to build a culture at El Pollo Loco centered on leadership with heart and this is another example of building our culture, while also strengthening the bonds with and making a difference in the communities we serve.

Finally, we continue to focus our efforts on expanding the brand as we work with existing franchisees and recruit new franchise partners to develop new market. We feel good about the progress we're making and expect to be announcing new development agreements over the next several months.

In summary, our confidence is steadily growing that the worst of the pandemic is behind us, with positive sales trends, continued progress in implementing our acceleration agenda and vaccines becoming more widely available, our team members and franchise partners are ready to capitalize on a more normalized operating environment.

As always, I'd like to thank our dedicated employees and franchise partners who courageously steered us through an incredibly trying period and are now leading us to capitalize on accelerating our growth. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Larry to review our first quarter results in more detail..

Larry Roberts

Thanks, Bernard. Before we get into our first quarter results, I just wanted to highlight that two new company restaurants were opened during the quarter, one each in Las Vegas and California. In addition, we completed three remodels using our new L.A. Mex design in Los Angeles.

We expect capital spending for 2021 to be in the range of $20 million to $25 million. Now, onto our financial results. For the first quarter ended March 31, 2021, total revenue was $107.7 million compared to $105.2 million in the first quarter of 2020.

Company operated restaurant revenue was $94.2 million compared to $92.6 million in the same period last year.

The increase in company operated restaurant sales was primarily due to a 3.3% increase in company-operated comparable restaurant sales, and an increase of $0.5 million in non-comparable restaurant sales, partially offset by a $1 million decrease, due to temporary closures as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The increase in company-operated comparable restaurant sales was comprised of a 15.7% increase in average check, partially offset by a 10.7% decline in transactions. During the quarter, our gross pricing increased versus 2020 was 3%. Franchise revenue was $7.6 million during the first quarter compared to $7.1 million in the prior year period.

This increase was driven by franchise comparable restaurant sales increase of 10.5%, as well as the opening of three new franchise restaurants during, or subsequent to the first quarter of 2020. This was partially offset by the closure of seven franchise restaurants during the same period. Turning to expenses.

Food and paper costs as a percentage of company restaurant sales decreased 170 basis points year-over-year to 25.9%. The improvement was predominantly due to higher menu prices, lower food and paper usage, resulting from dining room closures, and effective waste management. These were partially offset by slightly unfavorable menu mix.

We currently expect commodity inflation to be around 1% for 2021. Labor and related expenses, as a percentage of company restaurant sales increased 160 basis points year-over-year to 32.6%.

The increase was primarily due to higher hourly wages in California compared to last year and $2.7 million of labor costs related to leaves of absence pay and over time associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. These were partially offset by increased menu prices and operating efficiencies. In 2021, we expect wage inflation of around 5%.

Occupancy and other operating expenses as a percentage of company restaurant sales increased 140 basis points to 25.3%, primarily due to higher maintenance spend, operating costs and marketplace delivery fees.

General and administrative expenses increased by approximately $1.1 million year-over-year to $10.5 million, primarily due to increases in management bonus and stock compensation expense. As a percentage of total revenues, general and administrative expenses increased approximately 80 basis points to 9.7%.

We recorded a provision for income taxes of $1.6 million in the first quarter of 2021 for an effective tax rate of 28.7%. This compares to a provision for income taxes of $1.3 million and an effective tax rate of 26.6% in the prior year first quarter.

We reported GAAP net income of $4 million, or $0.11 per diluted share in the first quarter, compared to GAAP net income of $3.6 million or $0.10 per diluted share in the prior year period.

Pro forma net income for the quarter was $4.7 million or $0.13 per diluted share compared to pro forma net income of $5.5 million, or $0.16 per diluted share in the first quarter of last year. For a reconciliation of pro forma net income and earnings per share to the comparable GAAP figures, please refer to our earnings release.

Let me quickly touch on our liquidity. During the first quarter, we paid down $9 million of debt, as of March 31, 2021, we had $53.8 million of debt outstanding and $6.7 million in cash and cash equivalents. I'd now like to provide a brief update on our business during the second quarter of 2021.

As Bernard mentioned earlier, all company owned and the vast majority of franchise restaurants located in California, which make up 80% of our restaurants are now operating at 50% capacity.

Through April 28 second quarter system-wide comparable restaurant sales increased 39.1% consisting of a 32.8% increase at company-owned restaurants and a 43.9% increase at franchise restaurants. System-wide comparable restaurant sales increased by 36.8% in Los Angeles and surrounding areas while increasing 42.9% in other markets.

As a reminder, our COVID-19 related expenses have been trending downward as a number the cases are declining in California. And for the months ending April 28 2021 we estimate that the company incurred $100,000 to $1500,00 of COVID-19 related expenses primarily related to leave of absence and overtime pay.

Lastly due to the uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic the company is not yet providing a financial outlook for the year ending December 29 2021. However, we are reiterating the following limited guidance; the opening of three to five company-owned restaurants and four to six franchise restaurants pro forma income tax rate of 26.5%.

This concludes our prepared remarks. We'd like to thank you again for joining us on the call today and we're now happy to answer any questions you may have. .

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Sharon Zackfia with William Blair. Please proceed. .

Unidentified Analyst

Hey guys. This is Alex on for Sharon. I was just wondering if you could clarify. In the L.A. and outer market comps through second quarter is that a difference there really just based on easing restrictions and increase in consumer sentiment.

Could you provide a little color on that?.

Bernard Acoca

Sure. Yes. No, I think it's part of an ongoing trend that we've seen where naturally Southern California particularly L.A. was harder hit by COVID greater impact with COVID related issues. That's one. Two from more of a macroeconomic standpoint our customer base in L.A. tends to skew very heavily Hispanic.

And throughout the pandemic and continuing up into the present what we've noticed is that while that customer is recovering they're not recovering at the same rate as perhaps the general market consumer is at this point. So, given that 74% of our company restaurants are concentrated in L.A.

we are seeing still some catch-up taking place in the LA market. Now the encouraging news is we're seeing trends move in the right direction at a pretty rapid clip. So, we remain optimistic that L.A. has a lot of room to still recover. .

Unidentified Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks. I'll pass it on..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jake Bartlett with Truist Securities. Please go ahead..

Unidentified Analyst

Hey guys. This is actually Jack on for Jake. Thanks for taking the questions. To kind of follow-up on current sales trends.

I guess would you be able to break out how much of a current trend is driven by dine-in sales versus drive-thru sales? And maybe another way to think about it is just have the level of drive-thru -- the absolute level of drive the sales maintained even as the dining rooms are open?.

Bernard Acoca

Yes. So, the drive-thru through business is the lion's share of what's driving the business right now. So, we're still slightly below 70% of our business coming through the drive-thru our dining rooms naturally are opened only to 50% capacity.

And while we're seeing a slight uptick in the growth of that business it certainly hasn't returned to where it was pre-pandemic naturally -- well and that would be a challenge with the 50% cap to begin with.

So, yes, to answer your question where we're seeing the strength in the business is largely off-premise primarily driven by drive-thru and then we're seeing some nice growth as well in delivery and our to-go business as well. .

Unidentified Analyst

Okay. Great. That's helpful. And then I guess as the dine-in business continues to come back do you expect that to have an impact on your average check? And you've experienced a lot higher average check throughout the pandemic.

So as that dining comes back is that going to have an impact on average check? And is there any implications on your margins as that happens?.

Larry Roberts

Well, I guess, I'll take that one is all along we've communicated that we think average check obviously the growth in average check will certainly slow down and probably flatten out a little bit as transactions grow. I think part of that is recognizing that we'll get transaction growth as the dine-in traffic comes back.

And so I think the positive is there that I think we still feel like we'll get incremental sales from dine-in traffic coming back. I do think the check may drop down a bit just because I think you get more individual and two-party transactions in dine-in versus some of the delivery and drive through transactions that we do.

From a margin perspective, I think of the potential impact of the dining room which we haven't really done too much yet is just when the dine-in traffic is significant enough do we need to put some incremental labor in to comply with the regulations around keeping restaurants clean and those types of things. So, that's to be determined.

But I think that's where more of the margin impact would be versus just the drop in check because again I think we'll get transaction growth as that takes place..

Unidentified Analyst

Great. Thanks. That makes a lot of sense. And then I guess just one last one. A lot of other companies have talked about difficulty staffing up in this time as everyone is kind of trying to staff up at the same time.

Are you seeing any difficulties there? And is that holding back maybe some opening of dining rooms?.

Bernard Acoca

So, naturally everyone is seeing a tightening of the labor market and is impacted in somewhere or another. I can tell you from a staffing perspective what we're seeing that is that it's not universal across the board that we see a little bit of aggravation and staffing some of our restaurants in some concentrated areas but it's not universal.

That's one. So right now we're doing a pretty good job contending with it. But with that being said, we are putting place some additional actions to ensure that we're increasing our staffing levels that we're kind of, increasing our hiring practices more broadly.

But right now at present, it seems to be manageable, because as I mentioned it's not widespread. It's more primarily concentrated in some particular areas..

Unidentified Analyst

Great. Thank you for the time..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Andy Barish with Jefferies. Please go ahead..

Andy Barish

Hey guys. Hope you well. Just one quick clarification Larry, on the two-year system growth, is that comparing AUV's in April to April of 2019? I just want to make sure, I'm thinking about that correctly..

Larry Roberts

Yeah, the two-year comps are 2021 versus 2019? Yes..

Andy Barish

Okay. Okay. And then, what was -- was it purely geographical I guess the gap in the much wider gap in the franchise comps as you reported in the first quarter..

Bernard Acoca

Well, Andy, if I heard the question correctly, the gap between franchise and company I think is really again falling in a couple of areas. One, our strong company concentration of restaurants 74% of them roughly in L.A.

and the toll that COVID took -- the toll that COVID took for quite sometime leading up into February on the company restaurants there which, I don't think was as widely felt outside of L.A. to the degree that we experienced it here.

And then, I'd say the differential also has to do again with the recovery of that Hispanic consumer, which historically our Hispanic consumer has led our growth.

What we have seen throughout this pandemic and what we're seeing up into the presence is that -- and I think this is also a testament to the fact that we've cast a wider net to appeal to a much broader customer base over the past couple of years.

But right now if you look at our trade areas, it's really our general market trade areas, and what we term are, mix trade areas which consist of both naturally general market and lower concentration of Hispanic consumers that are leading the growth in our business versus our highly Hispanic trade areas.

So given that, we're more dependent than let's say, a lot of our franchisees are in that very high Hispanic concentration of customers. I think those are the two primary factors that largely explain the differential..

Andy Barish

Thanks Bernard. And then, Larry, if you can give us a little sense I know March you mentioned was a 20% restaurant-level margin number.

Is that a good way to think about things near-term for maybe for the next couple of quarters in terms of the seasonality in the business and things like that?.

Larry Roberts

Yeah. So I'll just give you a little more detail on margins. Given -- assuming current trends continue on the sales line, I expect Q2 to be similar to March, in terms of margins so a strong second quarter on the margin line.

And Q2 is usually our strongest margin quarter, absent any kind of one-off adjustments Q2 is usually our strongest margin quarter. So, then as you move through the year, you got a little bit of seasonality that will drag margins a little bit.

The other headwinds that we have for balance of the year are just around some of the investments that we're making like in packaging. We're rolling out new packaging, getting rid of all our Styrofoam and putting in recycled packaging. So that's going to add a little cost to the business.

Like I highlighted just earlier on one of the questions is, we may need to make some investment in our dining rooms, as dining room volumes increase. So that created a little bit of a headwind. And then, as I move through the year, expect to see probably a little pressure around utilities, electricity rates are high.

And obviously electricity usage in the third quarter is always high because of the heat that we get in L.A. and Las Vegas. And then, the food cost back half of the year, I expect a little bit more cost inflation, primarily around freight, and oils, like soybean oil. So I expect to see a little more COG's inflation back half of the year. So again.

Q2 should be strong in the range of March. And then, I think there's going to be a little bit more pressure back half of the year. And of course it always depends on what the sales are in terms of where ultimately the margins come out back half of the year, but current trends are very positive around margins. .

Andy Barish

Great. Very helpful. Thank you..

Larry Roberts

Yeah..

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back to you Mr. Acoca..

Bernard Acoca

We would like to thank you all for participating on today's call. And we look forward to speaking to you all real soon. Have a great day. Stay safe..

Operator

That does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you once again for your participation. And ask that you please disconnect your line..

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