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Healthcare - Medical - Instruments & Supplies - NASDAQ - US
$ 167.86
-2.38 %
$ 4.11 B
Market Cap
-58.49
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q2
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Executives

John Mills - Investor Relations Vivek Jain - Chief Executive Officer and Chairman Scott Lamb - Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Larry Solow - CJS Securities Jayson Bedford - Raymond James Mitra Ramgopal - Sidoti.

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Second Quarter 2017 ICU Medical Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Mr. John Mills, Partner at ICR. Please go ahead, sir..

John Mills

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for the ICU Medical financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2017. On the call today representing ICU Medical is Vivek Jain, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman; and Scott Lamb, Chief Financial Officer.

Before we start, I want to touch upon any forward-looking statements made during the call, including beliefs and expectations about the company’s future results. Please be aware they are based on the best available information to management and assumptions that are reasonable.

Such statements are not intended to be a representation of future results and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Future results may differ materially from management’s current expectations.

We refer all of you to the company’s SEC filings for more detailed information on the risks and uncertainties that have a direct bearing on operating results and the financial position. Please note that during today’s call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, including results on an adjusted basis.

We believe these financial measures can facilitate a more complete analysis and greater transparency into ICU Medical's ongoing results of operations, particularly when comparing underlying results from period-to-period.

We have included a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures for today’s release and provided as much detail as possible on any addendums that are added back.

In addition, the sales numbers that Scott will be covering as well as the company’s financial statements, the reconciliation from GAAP to adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS are available on the Investors portion of the website for your review. Also, we are having a presentation that accompanies today’s remarks.

You can view the presentation by going to our website at icumed.com and click on the Investor Events. And with that, I will now turn the call over to Vivek..

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

Thanks, John. Good afternoon, everybody. Our second quarter of 2017 was our first full quarter of owning Hospira Infusion Systems and we are about to embark on stage integration execution to create a single unified company.

We continued to drive legacy ICU revenue growth in Q2 and executed well through a large volume of commercial, operational and integration activity.

On today’s call, in addition to explaining the Q2 2017 results and the most recent business segment performance, I wanted to provide a status review on the near-term goals we described in the last call, outline the current status of integration, discuss our expectations for the balance of 2017, and lastly, provide a sketch of how we are thinking about 2018 at a high level from both an income statement and balance sheet perspective and on the drivers for value creation and the return of our capital into the longer term.

In Q2 2017, revenues were generally in line with our expectations. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS were slightly above our initial expectations. Like Q1, we continue to have numerous transactional accounting impacts particularly in gross margins which makes the results a little hard to follow. The short story is this.

Revenues continue to be slightly better than we thought due to hanging on to some of the business that we expected to go away and likely will, real cash operating expenses were in line with our estimates and the actions we have taken to-date will help improve the results for the balance of the year.

We finished the quarter with approximately $332 million in revenue, adjusted EBITDA came in at approximately $47 million and adjusted EPS came in at $0.76 and we finished the quarter with $241 million of cash on our balance sheet.

The total company year-over-year comparisons are not relevant than in the business segment commentary, but I will try to provide the best segment color, but please remember the delayed close countries still impact our comps in the infusion consumables and infusion systems segments.

Turning to the three primary segments of our combined business, let me start with what we expect to be our largest business over time, Infusion Consumables.

This is essentially the legacy IQ business plus the Hospira consumables business which was predominantly the distribution of ICU manufactured products and a smaller amount of unique Hospira products.

It’s hard to get the exact revenue number due to the delayed close countries, but our internal estimate which we will not put exactly with the reported numbers is the segment had revenues of approximately $111 million in Q2. That would imply the segment being down high single-digits quarter-over-quarter.

Legacy ICU was strong with growth over 20% oncology, both legacy ICU and legacy Hospira businesses were strong internationally and this was offset by legacy Hospira losses in the U.S.

This is the segment where we are the most advantage now as a joint entity and we are hard at work on rationalizing the product portfolio and bringing together the operational efficiencies of the combination.

Commercially, we have all the pieces, all the technology and all the scale to compete globally and should be able to offer more value to the customer. At the moment we expect Hospira losses to bottom out over the balance of this year as the major changes occurred in the third quarter of 2016 for the legacy Hospira business.

We believe that this segment should be positioned for some growth in 2018. It is important to spend a moment on the effects of the transaction on our results in this segment for 2017 as it will make an impact on our 2018 build.

As mentioned on the previous call, we are not currently capturing the full margin in this business due to the combination until we have sold all of the inventory Hospira purchased from ICU pre-transaction. To explain this a bit more from an accounting perspective it’s like ICU took a timeout from selling any product to Hospira for most of 2017.

Since we became our customer we don’t capture the effective intra-company profit until all existing inventories finished and newly built product is sold to the end customer.

Based on our current view of 2018, even with the reduced Hospira demand, we believe this will have a positive $20 million EBIT impact year-over-year as we fully recapture this margin in 2018.

The second segment to talk about is infusion systems, which is the business of selling pumps, dedicated sets and software which is an important segment because it’s the business that brings a lot of recurring revenues and it was the largest customer of the legacy ICU OEM business.

The same issues exist here and trying to be precise on the revenue number given the delayed close countries and some accounting adjustments. Most of those delayed close geographies Latin America, parts of Europe and Asia are all predominantly pump markets for us.

Our internal estimate is the segment delivered $96 million in revenue, which would imply being down in the mid single-digits range as the losses we outlined in the revised transaction are taking a bit longer to materialize. The international business is holding together reasonably well and we would expect this segment to bottom out in the U.S.

sometime in 2018 with the lowest level install base in the last 20 years. Relative to where we are starting at the new owner, this segment is much smaller than historical levels and just improving ourselves a little to make a huge difference across the P&L.

We have been focused both on our core group of loyalists here from a customer perspective as well as the situations where we think we have market share risk and beginning the process of focusing on how to offset those risks.

We think Hospira forgot a lot of the reasons customers like the products and we are going back to work on basic marketing and defining our integrated value to the market. This segment has had historically high amount of resources and structural cost to support it, much more so than other businesses in ICU given its capital equipment.

And we have been very aggressive in rightsizing the structural costs to align with the current reality. The last segment that we acquired is one we had the least familiarity with infusion solutions. This segment reported 113 – approximately $113 million in revenues and declined in line with our previous estimates.

We are really focused here on quality and capital expenditures and making sure we clean up a lot of the orphan business issues and standup activities.

We are trying to operate the transparency to customers and illustrating the generic drug like regulatory framework, high capital expenditures required and value and a healthy supply side situation to a business that was a bit of a historical anomaly at Hospira. And we are deeply focused on our separation from Pfizer here.

In Q2 we continue to hang onto some legacy business longer than we expected, but we do assume in our 2017 revised expectations longer term that we will have losses as previously described.

On the last call, we outlined our near-term goals of broadening the customer dialogue with an integrated commercial organization, aligning around the various additional cost saving actions, making decisions on geographies, digging in on operational and quality reviews and fully planning the IT conversions and stand up to allow us to exit TSAs from Pfizer and ensure that our R&D and CapEx investments were spent – are spent wisely and with discipline.

I wanted to give an update on those items. On customers it has really been about refreshing the message of why ICU Medical exists and the value we can add to the system and the value to the system and having us as a healthy participant. We have locked down our U.S.

commercial team and have also finished our reorganization in Canada which is an important geography. We have finished planning most of the commercial organization for the rest of the geographies.

With these teams we have been focused on first upping our commercial intensity, changing the commercial execution and improving the customer intimacy that deteriorated over the last few years at Hospira in these business lines. Feedback on the products continues to be solid.

The products are necessary for the system and have been reliable for many years. We are trying to bring historical ICU mentality of innovation and value to these categories. We have found a core group of team members who deeply care about the customer and want to get out and fight every day.

And we found a core group of customers who believe in the products like the stability and frankly just want to do their jobs of delivering patient care and not particularly interested in the drama of one of their core suppliers. We just need to act with intensity here as we did at ICU over the last few years. On cost savings, we have been very active.

Towards the end of Q2, we undertook another deep round of cost savings initiatives. The first activities in Q1 were focused on the commercial activities. These actions were broader and centered around support areas and what I would call the luxury items for us at this moment in our history.

The benefits of these actions will start to show later this year and help us to reach our synergy targets for 2018. We have been actively diving into each product line and each geography to understand where we make returns and organize the decisions that need to be made.

We stated in the last call that those decisions may result in discontinuing certain product lines or even withdrawing from certain geographic markets. Each decision has to weigh the strategic merits versus the realistic financial plan.

Since the last call, we have decided to exit the Brazilian infusion pump market and some regional Middle East locations. More importantly we have continued to move forward on investing where we believe returns can be generated. This morning we signed a small acquisition of an Australian consumable company called Medical Australia.

It’s a net $8 million acquisition, but it helps us get more scale in the Australia market where legacy Hospira had lost its footing. It is the company we were tracking for a long time at legacy ICU and now it’s going to help broaden our consumables business. And in the context of this integration it allows us to leverage a bigger footprint in country.

It is a public company M&A deal which is a little suboptimal at this size, but we can manage the transactional execution at a low cost and believe it does not affect the specific integration of legacy Hospira in Australia. So welcome to our new mates in this market and we look forward to joining – having you join the ICU medical team.

On quality, we went through a lot in the first hundred days of the year with full FDA inspections at both the Costa Rica pump facility and the Austin IV solutions facility, additionally we had over 10 notified body audits at a number of our sites including Chicago, San Jose and San Diego for legacy Hospira and Salt Lake City and Ensenada for legacy ICU.

Since the last call we have received our official closeout relating to the 483s as we received in Austin and we have had another FDA – successful FDA inspection at our San Clemente office here. We continued to be actively deep diving on all quality related activities. I would say that not everything is to my satisfaction yet.

And we have to err on the side of caution as the new owner and it still could be bumpy.

We are adopting a mindset of transparency around all historical issues and we believe it is important for regulators, customers and suppliers to see if it’s continuously improving ourselves and cleaning up any historical issues with a cautious and conservative mindset.

Just like I said for the first year at ICU not until we have some time under our belt and we see success under our watch where we declare fundamental improvements. We continue to be cautious here with our budgeting and are attempted to build in conservatism on our P&L to handle these bumps, okay.

On to the integration IT migrations and TSA separation from Pfizer, we are deeply into the throes of integration planning, philosophically as the founder ICU used to say we are trying to measure twice and cut once. These IT system migrations are complex, filled with legacy issues and require great caution.

I have personally been burned in prior experiences when these projects become more transformational versus migrational. And we have seen even the best-in-class industry companies that we deeply admire have issues with these challenges. So, we are being very deliberate.

Our plan is to start the execution phase soon in what I call the outer perimeter countries and regions where we have less profit at stake, but have to implement many of the same processes and procedures that we do here in the U.S. market.

We think right now it’s best to be cautious and plan that we will not be off these systems until the end of the third quarter of 2018.

It is vital in the value equation to have this happened as we have previously stated, there is between $30 million and $35 million in long-term savings moving away from Pfizer infrastructure which we currently pay $85 million a year for.

The second part of integration is building the capabilities in-house as much of the planning and execution at the moment is done with expensive consultants and service providers and we need to build the competency inside the company, because efficient operations that I see is what led to our attractive historical margins.

To use the hockey analogy, I think our first line is set and part of our second, but we need to fill this building out the second and third lines to make sure we can finish the game. We are actively recruiting to bring the right people into the company.

We first solidified the general management and finance support for each segment and now we are focused on this area. Okay. I wanted to bring all this back to the topic of short-term results, how we think about the medium-term of 2018 and longer-term value creation.

Due to hanging on to some of the legacy Hospira revenues longer than we thought plus the cost savings initiatives today, we are modifying our 2017 adjusted EBITDA range to $180 million to $190 million versus the $170 million midpoint we had previously issued and Scott will walk you down through EPS.

When we revised the transaction, we had talked about a goal of achieving a $250 million adjusted EBITDA run-rate by the end of 2018. I wanted to outline how we are currently thinking about it and hopefully by our third quarter call, we can state a more specific range for 2018. Our current math for 2018 is as follows.

If we assume to finish 2017 at the midpoint of our modified guidance at $185 million, to that we would first add the $20 million of intracompany profits I described in the consumable segment; second, our previous goal of $35 million of 2018 operational synergies; third, a normal expectation for legacy ICU, now Hospira plus ICU consumables earnings growth of $10 million and a reasonable assumption for TSA savings in 2018, which we would call $10 million today.

We would then subtract from that the losses we expect in the Infusion Systems and Solutions segments. We think the losses will be felt more in the first half of 2018 leading to a better back half run-rate. Again, there are a lot of moving pieces, but we wanted to directionally outline how we were thinking about it.

While adjusting EBITDA is a useful metric given all the noise of the transaction, it’s important to get the real cash expenses of integration behind us and focus on the real free cash generation for longer term value creation.

We talked on previous calls, how we would sacrifice margins this year and in the short-term to improve working capital in the balance sheet. In Q2, we added $40 million of cash when EBITDA was $47 million due to certain improvements.

We expect this trend to continue and should finish this year with approximately $300 million in cash and still all Pfizer $75 million in January 2020.

The way I think about it for long time ICU shareholders is ICU is still adding the same amount of annual cash to the balance sheet and essentially Hospira is paying for its own integration, albeit the cash isn’t coming in, in the exact same fashion.

But the other important driver for value creation in the longer term, even if we don’t have growth, our capital expenditures and tax rate. On the last call, we said 70% of our business or so going forward, the infusion consumables business and the infusion systems business does not have as much of a CapEx need as historical Hospira.

The declines in volume across the network and having duplicative manufacturing assets, allows us to be more optimized here. At the moment, we think will require a little less CapEx than originally anticipated. Scott will talk about tax rate, but the combination should have materially improved tax rate versus historical ICU.

Longer term, heading into 2019, there are again items that I would call the high hanging fruit or synergies dependent on IT separation that allow us to get more efficient with our processes and infrastructure. We have to execute well in 2018 to allow for these to be available.

If we can also have the strongest balance sheet possible, at the end of 2018 we can use it to help returns along with capturing these high hanging items, we think we have the case for longer term value creation.

Today, high level when we look at the business we see roughly 50% of the total business infusion consumables and the international portion of infusion systems where we have a good offering and a right to win. And we have 50% of the business where we need to improve the situation.

Like our experience in ICU, we believe the Hospira business is with just some basic operational rigor can improve its P&L in the medium to long-term. Our goals were just like our previous experiences to first enhance margins then improve overall growth.

In the best case while better execution to improve our top line performance over time, drive operational improvements and improve cash conversions and returns.

In the worst case we will continue to fight headwinds on the top line, but we can still drive operational improvements and generate solid cash returns over time relative to the capital we deployed due to the levers I just mentioned.

And like ICU historically there are a number of continuing intrinsic value drivers including high quality or hard to reproduce production assets, sticky product categories and the opportunities for more cash generation, but what is different than our previous experience in ICU is the sheer size and scale of the work we have to do.

It’s very rare when the $400 million lean corporate player buys the $1 billion revenue customer. This is a complex corporate carve out and has aspects of a turnaround in certain of the business lines at the same time while kind of being a public LBO just without any debt.

We do get to do this from a position of strength and stability in our base business, but it is about as challenging of a corporate project as many of us have faced.

With that said on all the previous call we talked about the offensive and defensive reasons for the transaction, the need to control our own destiny and even with all these challenges, we believe there is a real intrinsic value in the asset we have created.

We feel that we have been very transparent with investors on our plans over the last few years and cautious with our own expectations and we want and need that mentality to continue. Not to talk down or talk up the circumstance just to be realistic on what’s ahead of us.

Short-term out-performance is not likely with this transaction and it is important that people understand that. As we said on the previous calls the results for the acquired businesses in the short-term will get worse before they get better, similar to our first year here at ICU.

We expect the back half of 2017 to be a little lighter than the first half of the year even with the cost savings efforts that are now being realized. As we said on previous calls the first few quarters under our ownership, we subject to all the expected difficulties of the carve outs and the bumps that come along.

If you are an investor that wants the predictability that ICU has offered in recent years that will be difficult to repeat over the near-term, but when we get it right long-term returns could be generated quickly like ICU. In closing, we believe that this was a logical evolution for both businesses.

We feel we have been able to put together a final transaction that didn’t risk the enterprise and still left real room for value creation for investors.

And if you are an existing ICU investor, we appreciate your support in advance and hope you feel that these actions provided sensible capital deployment and an opportunity for increased value in the medium to long-term.

As always I would like to close with things are moving fast, we are trying to improve the company with urgency and we are trying to take responsible action and break some of the inertia that many companies in our position face. We may hit some bumps as we take on some of these actions and we will overcome them and emerge stronger.

I really appreciate the effort of all the combined employee – I really appreciate the efforts of all employees at the company to adapt, move forward and focus on improving results and our company appreciates the support we have received both from our customers and our shareholders. With that, I will turn it over to Scott..

Scott Lamb

Thanks, Vivek. So the second quarter was our first full quarter as a combined company which makes this period a bit more representative of what the next few quarters could look like although there are a number of moving parts such as the effects of purchase accounting and TSAs with Pfizer.

I will first walk down the income statement, then discuss all the various adjustments and then highlight the key items impacting operating performance versus transactional accounting. So to begin our second quarter 2017 revenue was $332 million when compared to $97 million in the same period last year.

GAAP net loss for the second quarter of 2017 was $37 million or a loss of a $1.87 per diluted share compared to GAAP net income of $17 million or $0.98 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2016.

Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the second quarter of 2017 were $0.76 as compared to $1.15 for the second quarter of 2016 and adjusted EBITDA was $47 million for the second quarter of this year compared to $33 million for the second quarter last year.

Looking at the difference in our sequential performance this year of adjusted EPS of $1.68 compared to quarter two of $0.76 with a $10 million tax benefit in Q1 versus only $2 million benefit in quarter two and higher depreciation in quarter two versus quarter one due to the acquisition.

Now, let’s discuss our second quarter revenue by market segment and for your reference the 2016 pro forma unaudited revenue numbers can be seen on Slide #4. And as a reminder, revenue will be reported by the following four market segments. The first is infusion consumables.

This includes the non-dedicated sets and accessories such as the SwabCap and will include the traditional ICU IV therapy and oncology segments. Second is infusion systems, which includes the infusion pump hardware software dedicated pump sets and service revenue and third is IV solutions and fourth, critical care.

For the second quarter, sales of infusion consumables were $78 million. Sales of infusion systems were $73 million and solutions sales were $134 million. As we mentioned on our last call, we are a contract manufacturer to Pfizer for certain IV solution products that we will make and sell to them at cost for at least a 5-year period.

Excluding $21 million of contract sales to Pfizer, solutions sales were $113 million. As Vivek mentioned, we continue to hang on to some legacy infusion systems, consumables and solutions business in the second quarter.

Critical care sales were $12 million compared to $13 million last year and the remaining $35 million of sales is primarily made up of sales to delayed closed countries and isn’t traceable back to specific market segment. For the second quarter, our GAAP gross margin was 27% compared to 52% for the same quarter last year.

The year-over-year decline is due to the acquisition of the Hospira business, which has certain historically lower gross margins and certain transaction-related items. SG&A expenses increased for the 3 months ended June 30, 2017 as compared to the same period in the prior year primarily due to the impact of the Hospira acquisition.

R&D expenses increased for the 3 months ended June 30, 2017 as compared to the same period in the prior year due to the acquisition of Hospira and were 4% of revenues this quarter compared to 3% for the second quarter last year. There are temporary impacts to our P&L that are both operational and transactional, so I wanted to take you through these.

Beginning with operational items related to decisions we have made on how to temporarily operate the business. As we have already mentioned, reported revenue from the delayed-close countries is not reportable by market segments and most of these countries should close by the end of this year. Next is gross margins.

The planned inventory reduction from product we acquired in the Hospira transaction is the decision we made to improve working capital efficiencies. So while this helps free cash flow, this will cause a temporary loss of fixed overhead absorption in the factories starting in the second quarter and should continue into the fourth quarter this year.

By the end of this year, we expect to have inventory levels in line with our expectations. In addition, we expect to improve SG&A and absolute dollars through synergies and spending of the business over time, but in the short-term, we will have duplicative headcount as we prepare to exit the TSAs.

And as we mentioned on our last call, we do expect expenses to go up before they start to come down. The temporary impacts of the P&L that are transactional accounting related are first in January prior to closing the transaction, ICU shipped one month of product to Hospira and recognized gross profit on those shipments.

However, in the second quarter, the profit we would have recognized prior to the acquisition now gets delayed until that product shipped to the customer. This had a temporary effect on margins and earnings in the second quarter and will also affect the third quarter of this year until we start shipping this product to our customers.

Second is the purchase price step up of inventory purchased in the transaction. As you can see from Slide #3, when you back out the effect of purchase accounting on a non-GAAP basis, our gross margin was 36% or 9 percentage points above our GAAP gross margin.

We will see this type of impact to a lesser degree in the third quarter until we have finished shipping this acquired inventory and the fact that we included 3 months of certain lower margin legacy Hospira product shipments in the second quarter versus only 2 months in the first quarter this year.

Restructuring, integration and strategic transaction expenses were $20 million for the 3 months ended June 30. Restructuring and integration charges were $8 million and these charges were related to severance and integration costs to stand up the business from Pfizer.

We do believe we are making good progress on our integration as we see a clear path forward to standing up the legacy Hospira business from Pfizer with a heavy emphasis on systems integration. Strategic transaction expenses were $12 million for the three months ended June 30 and were mostly related to our acquisition of the Hospira business.

In addition, there is a non-cash adjustment to the carrying value of our contingent consideration payable to Pfizer if we reach a certain cumulative earnings target by the end of 2019. This change is created by many factors, including the discount factor, time value of money and the probability of reaching this target.

These impact our GAAP earnings, but are excluded from our adjusted earnings since this has nothing to do with the operational performance of the business. Our tax rate benefit was approximately 5% in the second quarter of this year compared to 31% tax rate expense in the second quarter last year.

Excess tax benefits recognized were on stock option exercises, research tax credits and the mix of taxes in domestic versus foreign jurisdictions. These are partially as a positive result of the Hospira acquisition and they all contributed to the overall tax benefit for the quarter.

For these reasons, we expect our annual tax benefit from 2017 to be between $7 million and $9 million. And next year, we believe our tax rate should be at a historical low, excluding any discrete items to be in the mid to high 20% range.

Now, moving on to our balance sheet and cash flow, we continue to be very focused on cash earnings and free cash flow. And in this quarter, we were able to generate $37 million of free cash flow. This included a reduction in inventory by $45 million.

Now, while we don’t expect to be able to continue to bring inventory levels down the rest of this year at the same rate as we did in the second quarter we will continue to work towards improving our working capital. In the second quarter, we spent $11 million on CapEx and for the full year, we expect to spend approximately $70 million on CapEx.

And this includes investing in IT integration and infrastructure. As of the end of June, our balance sheet remains strong, with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $241 million and net cash of $166 million. And we should end the year with $290 million to $300 million in cash and $75 million in debt.

We are reiterating our full year 2017 revenue guidance to be in the range of $1.2 billion to $1.25 billion.

In addition, based on our results through the first 6 months of this year and expectations for the remainder of 2017, we are modifying our adjusted EBITDA expectations from the previous range of $165 million to $175 million to $180 million to $190 million.

We are also modifying our adjusted EPS guidance from the previous range of $3.55 to $3.90 to $3.80 to $4.20 range.

I just want to be clear we are now only six months into the acquisition and there are still a lot of moving parts both operationally and transaction related including standup costs of new hires, IT migrations, etcetera and it could be bumpy.

In 2018 we will be clear of many of the accounting impacts such as the delay of capturing our full margin for our consumables business which combined with no more purchase accounting should improve the performance of the company. And we look forward to keeping everyone updated on our progress on our third quarter earnings call.

And with that I would like to turn the call over for any questions..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from the line of Larry Solow of CJS Securities. Your line is open..

Larry Solow

Great. Thanks.

Good afternoon, Vivek a lot to digest here, but just in summary it sounds like just from a high level revenues are year-to-date or even in the quarter perhaps slightly better than expected, but and then the difference being above that’s slightly better on the core is that some of the Hospira revenues or you are holding in some of those markets where you contractually expected to drop over the next couple of quarters.

And then on the cost side things are perhaps coming in faster a little bit better integration faster than expected and I guess bodes well for next year is that sort of a good way to look at it?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I think on revenues, it’s what you said. It’s we are hanging on just up for a little bit longer. We do expect it to go away. And then we were able to take up some costs which impacts this year and will help next year. That’s than saying integration is going well Larry. I mean the cost reductions are going well.

The integration we are about to start which is all the stuff about running the backend of the business. We believe we planned for it well, but the execution is just about to start..

Larry Solow

And just on the Hospira side any reason why you think it’s holding on and what is just contractually – just some of these purchasing matters you are having been you takes a little bit – it’s a little bit of lag between what they do and what the contract says they should be doing and why do you think this will change?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I think to a large degree, it’s a lot of inertia, right to be brutally honest about it. And on some situations, we are in there. We are fighting. We are trying to stay alive and even if we can keep the conversation going for a little bit longer that’s still cash that we are generating to our account. So we are trying to do that.

But I don’t think it’s a lot more complicated in that..

Larry Solow

And then you sort of gave us ballpark of where you think next year lays out on EBITDA basis, I know that the loss from the Hospira business or the additional losses sort of on gains that were held on this year, is there – can you ballpark what you sort of think that number might be is that like another $10 million less EBITDA type thing or is it more than that?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I mean if you added up the pieces we said there of the adding off the base of this year that took us to some number like 260. And we don’t know exactly it’s doing a couple of percentage points better than we thought this year where we are hanging onto. And when we revised the deal in January, some of these losses will continue into ‘18.

So it’s probably what we are hanging onto plus a little bit for next year, right. And so at that gross margin, it could be $15 million or $20 million of risk around that right..

Larry Solow

And then just last question on the….

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I would say the run rate in the back half and hopefully losses first half of the year, right..

Larry Solow

So it sounds like you are instead of using the run rate 250, it sounds like maybe you are hopeful of getting closer to that 250 if losses are in a $10 million, $15 million year-over-year?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I am not leaving anything, it’s going better and we think on integration I am not saying we are changing. Right now we improved we think this year and we have tried to get the color as to why we think we can standby the 250 run rate we said before..

Larry Solow

Okay.

So most of the numbers are really run rate type thing and not a full year number per se, is that right?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

As of now that’s how we are seeing..

Larry Solow

Got it, okay.

And then just lastly I think I know you said legacy oncology ICU was up 20%, is there anyway I don’t know if you – can you figure out legacy just in infusion therapy side, is there anyway to sort of – that sounds like still growing low double-digits range is that fair to say?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

No not legacy ICU…..

Larry Solow

Excluding the Hospira adjustment sort of…?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

Not, but even not legacy ICU infusion therapy it wasn’t double digits towards the end of last year, right. So it’s doing fine, it’s growing, but it’s all co-mingled in the same pot now, it’s one segment. So we are not going to – we got to stop talking about legacy, we are not even setting up our systems to look at things that way..

Larry Solow

It’s not that easy to cancel, but is there any change, the market obviously was red hot last year is there any change in sort of that macro or anything of meaning or material?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I mean right now utilizations continue to look okay to us and fairly balanced. And there isn’t outliers in any part of the country. So we haven’t seen major utilization shifts. I mean we are paying a lot of attention to senses. Senses was a little bit lighter, but nothing dramatic..

Larry Solow

Got it, okay, great. Thanks a lot..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Jayson Bedford of Raymond James. Your line is open..

Jayson Bedford

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions.

I guess just to finish up the last discussion, the message on 2018 EBITDA around run rate of $250 million you give us a few more components, but it sounds like you are endorsing that comment or reiterating the goal of $250 million EBITDA run rate is that?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I mean we said – hi Jason. We said $250 million when we cut the deal. We obviously felt that was a tough time and we are trying to say we believe what we said at that moment and illustrates up the components to help us get there..

Jayson Bedford

Okay.

Is there any way you could bridge us from the first – from the gross margin the adjusted gross margin in 1Q of 45% to the 2Q gross margin of 36%, can you just give us the components of that?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I will all handily give that one to you Scott..

Scott Lamb

Jayson there is a couple of components to that that we mentioned. One is do you remember in the first quarter we shipped one month of product to Hospira that had the full profit in it in the first quarter versus we did not get to recognize any of that profit in the second quarter.

The second is the fact that we are bringing down inventory levels as you can see and that had an impact on the factories absorption of fixed overhead that’s the two primary reasons for it..

Jayson Bedford

And the profit on the products sold to Hospira I have to believe that’s a few million dollars, so the vast majority of the gross margin drawdown here from 1Q to 2Q is the drawdown in inventory is effectively what it is?.

Scott Lamb

I don’t know if I would characterize that as such and as Vivek mentioned there is $20 million….

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

It’s not a small amount of money, Jayson. It impacts the gross margin by more than 100 basis points right to recapture that..

Scott Lamb

Yes. I think they both were impactful Jayson..

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

But Jayson it’s what we said which is we would slowdown production and try to sell what we acquired in the transaction and we are trying to do that and that’s how when I tell about Hospira, it’s funding itself for it’s integration. We are still putting cash on the balance sheet in the midst of crazy integrations I think..

Scott Lamb

And if you are just looking at margin not GP but margin for example remember there are certain legacy Hospira products that have lower gross margins than do the legacy ICU and we had three months of legacy Hospira versus only two month last quarter, so you could look at that as mix as well..

Jayson Bedford

Okay.

Scott what’s the tax rate associated with the $0.76 in adjusted EPS that you reported?.

Scott Lamb

You us – there is the tax benefit of the 2 million and then I believe the rate and adjusting out the tax effect while it adjusted out is around 27%, 28%..

Jayson Bedford

Okay. I am just trying to get to the disconnect between it seems like the EBITDA was a lot bigger than from a upside perspective than the adjusted EPS and I am just trying to figure out what the delta is there. So, maybe I could take that offline..

Scott Lamb

Sure..

Jayson Bedford

I guess from – just lastly from me in terms of closing the international countries, your accounting for a portion of that in the other bucket as you played out in the press release, is there any idea of how much you are kind of leaving on the table meaning how much you recognized when these countries are indeed closed?.

Scott Lamb

So Jayson if you look at the face of the P&L it shows I believe $34 million, $35 million in other that is almost all primarily related to these delayed closed countries. And so that revenue is not allocable to the two market segments of consumables and systems.

And so what we tried to do in this call was to estimate what we thought that allocation might be to get it by market segment. And so we are basically realizing the overall revenue on the face of the P&L that’s in the total revenue line, but it’s just not allocable to the different market segments until we bring them into the ICU fold so to speak..

Jayson Bedford

Okay. And just maybe bigger picture, maybe for Vivek, what has the ownership of the Hospira portfolio done for the legacy ICU business meaning I guess I am specifically thinking of the kind of independent non-dedicated set business that you had outside of your Hospira relationship.

Has it helped, hurt or status quo?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

It’s too early to say it’s done anything. It’s certainly not going to hurt. I think the things that we are excited about there and we said look, we do believe we will have growth in the – and you guys know it, it’s a word that’s hard to come by and still have to be months here. We are talking about doing okay in that segment next year.

One area of excitement for us is in our oncology business, Hospira had exclusive access to a large portion of the market. And so we are unleashing our folks on that portion of the market and getting its full attention, which is good.

Second thing is the international opportunity and focus, ICU was doing okay internationally, but Hospira brought a bunch of countries. So, they had real scale and we want to put all the products in their hands and this Australian thing is kind of an example of that like where we got to just do better and there is more market available to us.

And in the U.S. – and it’s not something you want to wear in your sleep, but the fact that we are vertically integrating and capture the full top to bottom margin allows us to be more competitive in some situations. We are trying to just get a dialogue in those situations, but it does position us better.

I mean, those are the three real drivers for us on consumables..

Jayson Bedford

Okay, thanks. So, I will get back in queue..

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

Thanks, Jayson..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Mitra Ramgopal of Sidoti. Your line is open..

Mitra Ramgopal

Yes, hi, good afternoon. Just a couple of questions. Vivek, you talked early about doing the deep dive into the product lines and in geographies and one of the things you decided was to exit Brazil and some of the Middle East locations.

I was just wondering is this sort of an annual review you will be doing or is this more sort of good for the next maybe 3 years to 5 years out in terms of what you know underway?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

Look at the infusion business over last 3 years to 5 years, no, I mean, I think it’s everyday, it’s our job right. It’s big. It’s 3 or 4 times the size of us. And so we got to get it right on the people. We got to get it right on the products and the systems and with every level, we are looking at it everyday.

There is a lot of good people there who are getting us up to speed fast and adding value, but it’s not a static thing where we just – we will let you file this year. We didn’t just check the box and it’s all okay, right, that’s not what it’s going to be.

But what I am happy about is there was a lot of good work and analysis done, it’s just didn’t necessarily make its way to the top. There is no lot of people who have a lot of history and knowledge about the business and the segment and etcetera. And we are just trying to let those people get out in the sunlight and show themselves a little bit..

Mitra Ramgopal

Great, okay.

No, totally understood and I know you mentioned markets like Canada being pretty important now just small acquisition regarding the Australian market, are there other geographies you think you need to be in or and again I know you are always evaluating but anything that…?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

I think there are geographies like this Australia. I think it’s small [indiscernible] talking about it. But there are geographies that are important that we were relying on Hospira and Hospira wasn’t executing well and so we need fix those geographies. Canada was an example of where they are executing well and there is a great team etcetera.

That wasn’t the case in every market.

And so in the markets we have a great team we got to leverage out in markets that we were both a little bit left on, we have to invest and in certain markets it just as like the Middle East stuff we are talking about or the Brazilian pop market, if you are not of a certain size get out and you have to make those decisions and regardless of what might be a 10 year growth opportunity we can’t subsidize it today and I think on the margin, there is probably a rebalancing there is probably a few more places to get a little less weighted on and a few more places to invest more in..

Mitra Ramgopal

Right.

And let me look at the product line, I know critical care is something you are going to be bringing on some new products looking at the first half maybe versus a year ago etcetera it seems like it’s still not quite where you wanted to be?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

It is not from a P&L perspective where we wanted to be it, used to be roughly flat, I think it was down and we are not trying to disrespect critical care here. It just hasn’t been at the forefront in the last few months, it was down a little bit. But the big thing happened which is the product Cogent was launched, it made it’s way to market.

It’s at customer sites, a little bit like our attitude was on ChemoLock 18 months ago or 2 years ago. We are not going to talk about until we get some real amount of sales, but it’s done, it’s being produced, it’s out the door.

And that is different than we got approval a year ago and it took a year on some of these capital equipment projects to get them out there, but that is happening, that’s a really good thing for that business..

Mitra Ramgopal

Right.

And finally I know you are only about six months into the whole process, you have already gone through the FDA inspections identified a lot of cost savings etcetera, how would you characterize where you are in the process in terms of where you expected to be looking back at the transaction six months in, would you say you are pretty much where you want to be or you are maybe ahead, maybe a little behind, how would you view things right now?.

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

We don’t have so much time these days today to be interested about that stuff. I feel like we are good at we did okay job on the easy stuff, right. We did an okay job on the cost reduction which you are tough choices but a manageable set of decisions.

I think the next six months as we start these IT migrations will be a much more telling period is our planning was solid or not. And so I think the things that protect the shareholder and protect the P&L in terms of cash generation, managing inventory and working capital, cost reduction hanging onto business.

That’s stuff we have done okay some through luck and some through our actions. And now the execution around the integration is going to kind of be the next test right and that’s a real test when you start turning off systems and turning on systems and you are own watch..

Mitra Ramgopal

Right, okay. Thanks again for taking the questions..

Operator

Thank you. And I am not showing any further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back over to Vivek Jain for any further remarks..

Vivek Jain Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board

Thanks everybody for listening to our Q2 call. We hope you see we are working hard to try to create value around this large undertaking and then transaction that we did. We look forward to updating everybody on our third quarter call. And we hope everybody enjoys the balance of the summer. Thanks very much..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This does conclude today’s program and you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day..

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