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Technology - Software - Infrastructure - NASDAQ - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q4
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Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Backblaze fourth quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers ' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, today's program may be recorded.

And now I would like to introduce your host for today's program, James Kisner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir..

James Kisner

Thank you and good afternoon. And welcome to Backblaze's fourth quarter in the Fiscal Year 2021 Earnings Call. On the call with me today are Gleb Budman, co-founder, CEO, and Chairperson of the board, and Frank Patchel, Chief Financial Officer. Today Backblaze will discuss the financial results that were distributed earlier this afternoon.

Things on this call include forward-looking statements that include, but are not limited to our future financial results, use of our IPO proceeds and investments in our business, our ability to compete effectively, acquiring new customers in retain and expand our business with existing customers, hiring and retaining key personnel, and effectively manage our growth.

These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. In particular, those described in our Risk Factors that will be included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2021, and our other financial filings.

You should not rely on our forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. All forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions and beliefs as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update them, except as required by law. Our discussion today will include non-GAAP financial measures.

These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for, our GAAP results. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results may be found in our earnings release, which was furnished with our Form 8-K filed today with the SEC.

You can also find a slide presentation related to our comments in the webcast, which will also be posted to our Investor Relations page after the call. Before I turn the call over to Gleb, I'd also like to mention that in the latter portion of our call, we will be addressing questions we have gathered from non-institutional or retail investors.

We're very excited to be able to engage more broadly with retail investors and look forward to a robust dialogue with all of our investors. I would now like to turn the call over to Gleb.

Gleb?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you, James. And thanks to all of you for joining us. Given that we have a number of investors new to the Backblaze story, I want to briefly review what Backblaze does. Backblaze is building the leading independent cloud for data storage. We provide two easy and affordable cloud storage services on our purpose-built storage cloud.

Our B2 Cloud Storage service provides developers and IT people a public cloud storage service that is dramatically easier and 1/5th price of Amazon Web Services S3 and others. Backblaze can scale to any size, but we are optimized for the underserved mid-market, which we define as companies with less than 1,000 employees.

We also offer our Computer Backup Service, that provides unlimited cloud backup for laptops and desktops for companies and individuals. This service is especially beneficial as remote work accelerates. Now, to the business highlights. We had a strong Q4 to finish off a great year.

And grew overall revenue 28% year-on-year to $18.7 million, with continued robust growth of 56% for our B2 Cloud Storage business, and 16% growth in our Computer Backup business. ARR for the company reached $75 million and our high-growth B2 Cloud Storage crossed over 1/3 of the entire business, reaching ARR of approximately $27 million.

Importantly, we achieved these results with essentially no benefit from investment of our IPO proceeds. The Backblaze team continues to work toward being the leading independent Cloud For Data storage. Our strong Q4 results support our plan to increase our investments at a faster rate than we previously planned just a few months ago.

Frank will offer more detail. But broadly, we intend to increase our sales and marketing investments by over 100% in 2022, or about $10 million more than our prior internal plans. I'll now share detail on 4 ways we're scaling the business in 2020, and beyond. First, outbound sales. We began last year with no outbound sales team.

We believed that we could grow Backblaze by reaching out to businesses that would benefit from our cloud services. And we started a small initiative. As the program showed signs of success, we started scaling the team.

By the end of Q3, 2021, we had increased the number of outbound sales reps to five, today, we are at 13 and we intend to continue scaling up that team. Second, paid advertising.

Before going public, we focused on optimizing our significant organic inbound traffic with proceeds, we are investing to raise brand awareness among our key go-forward markets, namely developers and IT admins. We launched our Blaze It advertising campaign which is reaching millions of video viewers.

While the campaign is still ongoing, initial data suggests that brand awareness is a significant opportunity area for us to drive new interest in our offerings. Third, partnerships. Our partners represent tremendous and efficient growth opportunities for Backblaze.

We regularly announce new partners and a recent example is the expansion of our Veal partnership to include their Kasten offering. Kasten is a leader in Cooper NetEase data protection. To those number Cooper NetEase is a leading open source platform that developers use to build and deploy applications.

Kasten customers can designate Backblaze B2 as their storage destination to protect their Cooper NetEase environments from loss, or ransomware attacks. While also supporting regulatory compliance. Providing storage for Coupa NetEase data is just another way we are carrying out our strategy to be the independent provider of storage for developers.

We're also excited to announce that we'll be accelerating our partner driven revenue through the launch of a new partner marketing team. We believe the creation of a dedicated partner marketing team will bring the focus necessary to better build both our existing partner relationships and bring new partners onboard.

As part of this effort, we've already hired a great leader for that team. Fourth, developers. developers are a strategically important group for Backblaze. And our efforts on this front are bearing fruit. B2 Cloud Storage ARR from developer accounts, roughly doubled in the past year. And this customer boasts an NRR of nearly 150%.

And so in 2022, we are increasingly focusing our go-to-market and engineering efforts on engaging and growing with developer customers. To support our momentum, we recently established and evangelism team and recruited key members from the developer community.

We believe we are well-positioned to become the cloud storage of choice for the developer community. Aided by our strong relationships with developer partners, such as Cloudflare, Fastly, and HashiCorp. And as well as our commitment to ease-of-use, interoperability, and straightforward value.

I'll highlight a developer customer that demonstrates several aspects of the strength of our platform and marketing efforts for developers. Can Stock Photo is one of the earliest stock image and video sites. They provide royalty-free images, photos, digital illustrations, clip art, and videos to their customers.

They have roughly 70 million photos alone. And they're 106,000 contributors add roughly 30,000 new files every day. Can Stock Photo was an early adopter of Amazon S3 when it launched in 2006. While Amazon S3 worked for them at first, it became increasingly expensive.

To minimize costs, Cloudflare started to use Amazon S3 Glacier, but the retrievable delays and complicated pricing tiers, increasingly frustrated the camp stock team. As their business grew, they also worried about vendor lock-in.

Because of Amazon's egregious [Indiscernible], if they ever wanted to leave, the cost to switch providers would only grow steeper over time. In the case of camp stock, the CEO happened to use Backblaze Computer Backup to protect this personal computer and his DevOps staff were fans of the popular drive stats series on our blog. If you are.

With our blog, it is much loved and read by about 3 million people per year. If you're interested in learning about Storage, or our company, I recommend you visit backblaze.com/blog. While Chemstock wanted to switch to Backblaze, they worried about the complexity of leading Amazon.

But with our migration service, we make it point-and-click easy for customers to unshackle themselves from a major diversified Cloud vendor. And we cover our customers ' costs too egress their data out of those providers. The CEO of Chemstock said that it was literally like flipping on a light switch. It was that easy.

Finally, while Storage is at the core of businesses like Can Stock, they also use other cloud services to run their infrastructure. Our partnerships enabled Can Stock Photo to move the rest of their cloud infrastructure out of AWS as well.

By freeing them from the walled garden of AWS, we enabled Can Stock to dramatically decrease the cost and complexity of their cloud infrastructure, while getting the benefits of best-of-breed independent cloud services.

This is just one customer example, but we believe it epitomizes how our marketing efforts and product offering work synergistically to attract developers and other customers. As we outlined during our IPO, we see a large market, and the opportunity to become the leading independent cloud for data storage.

We are executing on the strategy we laid out by investing significantly in our sales and marketing efforts, including scaling up our outbound sales, paid advertising, partnerships, and developer focus. And we continue to invest in the products and platform.

One example is our Cloud replication feature, which we are on track to make available by the end of the first half of 2022. We do this to ensure we provide our customers an incredibly easy-to-use, affordable, trust that storage platform, for all their data needs.

I will now turn the call over to Frank Patchel, who can review the financial results for the quarter in more detail.

Frank?.

Frank Patchel

Thank you, Gleb. And thanks everyone for joining us today. Turning to our Q4 financial results, unless otherwise noted, I will be referring to non-GAAP metrics. And the growth rates mentioned are year-on-year. We remain focused on 2 key metrics, revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA.

Adjusted EBITDA is defined as earnings before interest, depreciation, amortization, stock-based compensation expense, and other expenses or benefits, that are non-cash or that we deem non-recurring. Our Q4 revenue totaled $18.7 million, an increase of 28% year-on-year. B2 contributed sales of 6.6 million, reflecting 56% growth.

Computer Backup revenue totaled $11.9 million, reflecting 16% growth. In Q4 B2 Cloud Storage represented 35% of total revenue, continuing its upward trend. Computer Backup benefited from the first full quarter of the price increase we implemented in the last month of quarter three.

The cost, since most backup customers are on an annual or two-year subscription, this increase, which was from approximately $6 per month to $7 per month, will continue to phase. And as they renew across the next two years, at the higher price. Our retention metrics remain strong.

Recall, we track 2 key metrics, Net Revenue Retention, NRR, and Gross Customer Retention. These metrics are defined in more detail in our earnings release and filings. But basically, NRR is the growth of the recurring revenue for a set of customers, while gross customer retention measures retention of customers.

Both metrics are trailing 4 quarter averages. The total company NRR was 110%, with B2 at 130% and Computer Backup at 102%. Gross customer retention was 91% overall, with 89% for B2 and 91% for Computer Backup. These NRR and gross customer retention metrics, were within 1 point to the values for Q3, 2021.

Now, this quarter we made a slight refinement to our methodology for calculating NRR and gross customer retention. This had no impact on our reported financials, or our overall company metrics. And only a very minor impact on these metrics for our 2 separate product lines.

As part of our year-end numbers, we've also disclosed customer count and annual average revenue per customer, as of December 31st, 2021. We plan to share these metrics once per year. Our paid customers increased to 499,000 from 466,000 in Q4 2020. The number of customers for B2 grew to 74,000 from 59,000, one year ago.

The number of customers for Computer Backup totaled 439,000 up from 419,000 in Q4 2020. Now turning to Annual Average Revenue Per Customer or ARPU. For the entire company it increased to $147 versus $124 in Q4 2020. B2 Cloud Storage ARPU, grew to $348 versus $292 one year ago. In Computer Backup, ARPU was $108 up from $97 in Q4 of 2020.

Working down the P&L adjusted gross margin, which excludes non-cash expenses of depreciation, amortization, and stock-based compensation was 75%, improving from 74% last quarter and inline with our expectations. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $1.3 million or negative 7% of revenue down from positive $2 million or 14% in Q4 of 2020.

This reflects expenses from higher investments in both sales and marketing and R&D, as we continue to increase investments pursuing the large market potential for B2, as well as increased G&A expenses chiefly related to public company costs.

Turning to the balance sheet, cash and cash equivalents were approximately $105 million as of December 31, 2021. Which includes the proceeds from our November initial public offering? Now, I'd like to provide our outlook for both quarter one and full-year 2022.

For the first quarter, we expect revenue to be in the range of $19 million to $19.5 million. We expect one adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 20% to negative 16%. We expect a Q1 2022, basic share count of approximately 30.5 million to 31 million shares.

Turning to the full year 2022 outlook, we expect revenue to be in the range of $83 million to $86 million. While we are increasing our spend in 2022, we are not currently anticipating a significant benefit to revenue from this spend until late 2022, or 2023.

Turning to the 2020 to EBITDA margin guidance, we expect a full year 2022 adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 18% to negative 14% as we increase our investments and address our significant market opportunity and aim to accelerate our growth. I will now turn the call back to James..

James Kisner

Thank you. Operator. We're now ready to take questions from analysts..

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ittai Kidron from Oppenheimer & Company. Your question, please..

Ittai Kidron

Thanks, guys. Solid quarter. Gleb, thanks for the review on the 4 items where you're investing a lot. That's very helpful. Touching on that, perhaps trying to grow a little bit deeper. You've now been a few months into this investment cycle. So 2 questions.

One, what have you learned so far about the investment in these 4 areas? Some insights on what you've learned through this process would be interesting to hear. And then, second, from an ROI standpoint, is there a way for you, and I know it's early because you've yet to see material upside from this. Yes.

I think, you mentioned later this year is where we see the benefit, but perhaps letting your gut call the shot here a little bit.

How do you feel about ROI here? Well, what areas do you feel you've got to get better ROI versus less, with respect to these investment areas?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Hey Ittai. It's good to hear your voice. And thanks for the questions. So on the outbound sales side of things, that's a problem that we kicked off at the beginning of last year and in a very small scale, and then we've been scaling it up.

Part of the reason that we've been investing in and scaling it up more rapidly in this last little bit is because we're seeing a good return from that, especially on the opportunity potential side. And so it's an area that I'm very excited about as I said, we've scaled it from one to three to five to 13, and we're continuing to scale that up.

So that's definitely one that we're investing behind it because we're seeing a good opportunity there. And we track metrics similar to other companies. We track opportunity potential, we track conversion rates, we track time to close, and we're enthused by what we're seeing on that front. So the upfront sales is exciting.

On the partnership side, we've been doing partnerships for a long time. We've been successful with those partnerships. And so one of the things that we talked about as part of the IPO process was that with our partnerships, we had responsibility for bringing the partners and making them successful, was part of the broader marketing and sales effort.

One thing that I'm excited about is that we're now focusing on it with a dedicated partner marketing team, which will help us bring more partners onboard and also get them more successful. On the paid advertising side, that one is a more nascent motion for us.

But we've seen that the Blaze It campaign that we launched is something that has that resonates with people so the actual campaign itself is well received. And the early, early results that we've seen in terms of getting viewership from the investments has been positive, and we're tracking carefully to see what we see on our trends.

And finally on the developer side, developers are just a very strategic audience for us. It's something that is very important for Backblaze overall.

And we think that the product market fit of the B2 platforms for developers is excellent, and as we mentioned on the call, the NRR metrics are very positive with developers and the early signs in terms of our doubling of the ARR coming from our developer accounts is also very positive.

So we're excited to invest further behind that with the evangelism team and into the product and platform as well..

Ittai Kidron

Okay, that's very helpful. Maybe as a follow-up, when you touched on NRR, It is down in both product categories on a year-over-year basis. So help me think about the path forward here on this metric and especially with new investments coming.

And maybe also if you could tie it into pricing clearly on the Computer Backup, you have some pricing mechanisms that still need to work in your favor over the next year or two, but perhaps on B2, anything under competitive fund held, how do you think about how pricing is holding up in that category? Thanks..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

On the NRR side it's certainly a metric that we track and care about. I think if you look on the B2, NRR is pretty consistent to what it's been, and it's still best-in-class at around a 130%. We don't guide NRR.

I will say that Cloud application is something that we expect to have some impact on helping NRR, the pricing that as it flows through on the Computer Backup side, we expect to have some impact in helping NRR as well..

Ittai Kidron

Very good. Thanks, guys..

Operator

Thank you all. Our next question comes from the line of Jason Ader from William Blair. Your question, please..

Jason Ader

Yes. Thanks. Hey, guys. I guess I wanted to follow up on the ties question on the investment posture. Here is definitely from an EBITDA margin outlook standpoint is lower than what we were -- than what we were modeling, what we had in our model for 2022.

And it's just want to understand a little bit better the calculus there at the board level, at the management level, what was the back and forth around how much you should invest and from a timing perspective, and from just an overall opportunity perspective, just any more kind of color in terms of how that process played out..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yeah, that's a good question, Jason. Because obviously, as we said, it's an increase over our prior plans. I think one of the things that we looked at was as the programs that we were seeing were starting to look successful, we wanted to put dollars behind those.

So some of the programs that we kicked off earlier in the year, earlier in 2021, we didn't have data internally to support accelerating them. We do have some of that data internally now and so we've made some of those decisions.

I think one of the things we talked about was, we didn't want to fundamentally drastically change the way we run Backblaze, but we do want to invest for.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

growth. And so finding that healthy balance between investing behind things that we feel good about. And without getting ahead of our skis. So let me see if Frank wants to add anything to that..

Frank Patchel

I really think that covers it, but I think what we're really doing is we're sacrificing EBITDA in the short term for really accelerating the growth. And asking to how we got there, it was a careful, methodical approach, as you would expect.

We looked at increasing it at the rate that we had first projected and we felt that seeing some good results from quarter 4; that really would make us believe that we should be accelerating further. Having said that, the investments are in every quarter, and we are measuring them.

So we have the opportunity as the quarters progress to see where we should accelerate further or where we should cut back in any of the areas..

Jason Ader

That's helpful. Thank you. And then Gleb, as you scan the market for opportunities for B2, are there any other verticals or segments of the market where things have popped up and you've said to your team, we got to go more aggressively there.

I mean, we know about developers, about smaller organizations, but any other geographies, verticals, market segments where you see some green shoots and some opportunities?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

So one of the things that's been interesting is our outbound team -- one of the things that they do is they test ICPs. Basically, ideal target customers -- ideal customer profiles. And so as they go along, they will pick a target profile. They'll test it and then they'll -- to the extent that it looks promising, then they'll start scaling that up.

And they've done that in a couple verticals over the course of the last year.

I don't want to go too much into what those specific verticals are but -- for competitive reasons, but the -- but in general, the approach is similar with those which is, the team goes out, they reach out to a number of potential prospects to see whether the -- our core value proposition resonates.

And then if so, then they scale up the efforts on the outbound in that ICP. And so we've seen a few verticals that we've been focusing on. Developers, I almost put in a somewhat different category. Developers is a big strategic focus area for us. It's an area where broadly, we're investing behind the product and the platform and the approach of it.

On the vertical side of it, we can be a little more tactical about going after one vertical after another. As a targeted focus..

Jason Ader

Great. And then one final quick one.

Just as you think about the ICPs, is it somebody that's got a lot of data that's price-sensitive? What can you tell us about what's resonating with your -- from a value proposition standpoint, with those specific customer profiles?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

One of the areas that we've been seeing in general interest is in a lot of the ransomware needs. And so a lot of the customer are ones that are interested and concerned about ransomware and protecting from that. And so some of them have been cyclical time sickle in terms of their timing, not so.

We've seen school districts where there -- depending on the time of year when they can purchase and deploy new things. We've seen some of it has been somewhat regional based on areas of the country that have been hit by various natural disasters, and they've cared about backup and archive has become top of mind.

So different areas, but in general, those are some of the types of things that have been resonating with our offering -- with the customers..

Jason Ader

Thanks and good luck..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Eric Martinuzzi from Lake Street. Your question, please..

Eric Martinuzzi

Yeah. I wanted to focus on the cash impact of the decision to accelerate the investment.

So if we start with a $105 million at the end of December 2021, where do we wind at the end of December in 2022? And I'd like you to address it from -- because I'm thinking given the guidance for 2022, if we start with a 13.5 million adjusted EBITDA loss at the midpoint. And then we throw capex against it, capitalized software against it.

And then the hard disk drive, principal payments against it. I'm coming up with around 67 million those are my numbers, not yours, but can you tell me if I'm in the ballpark there for projected cash balance end of year..

Frank Patchel

Hi, Eric. It's Frank. No. You're too high.

And the reason is, remember that for our capital ex -- are you using $67 million at the end of the year; is that what you said? Or the usage is $67 million?.

Eric Martinuzzi

Yeah. At the end of the year. I was using $2 million for capex, and $4 million for capitalized software, and $19 million for hard disk drive..

Frank Patchel

Right. So the only thing I would say to that is that we do lease our hard drive, so it's not an immediate capital expenditure for us in that regard. Our leasing is over a three-year period. So -- but the rest of the numbers that you're indicating are right. You're working right down our EBITDA. So I think it's correct..

Eric Martinuzzi

Okay. And then as I look at the headcount, obviously this investment, this incremental $10 million -- and help me understand what that translates into.

And I think the best way to ask the question is, what was head count at year end '21? And then what are you planning for headcount, come the end of '22?.

Frank Patchel

We had 270 employees at the end of '21 and we're expecting to add approximately a 180 to give us approximately 450 headcount at the end of '22. I do want to caveat that a little bit because it's very difficult in these times to hire the quality that we want. Last year, we fell a little bit short in our hiring goals. We pushed it over into '22.

But it's still a situation where to succeed for us means adding a lot of very good people..

Eric Martinuzzi

I understand. That's going to keep the HR department busy. Good luck with that. Thanks for taking my questions..

Frank Patchel

Sure..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Erik Suppiger from JMP. Your question, please..

Erik Suppiger

Thanks for taking the question. Good to see some nice growth on the B2 there. Talk a little bit about what the impact of the incremental spend will be on the B2 service.

Do you think that will enable you to accelerate growth from the current 50% range as we get into '22? Or what do you think this will do in terms of a return?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, you have to remember that it takes time for us from the time we're making these initial investments for their prices to see significant results. And what I mean by that as we are adding the headcount, especially in sales and marketing, but all across the business.

But those headcounts are being added now and we're pleased at the pace that we're adding them. These associates -- new associates will be trained and they'll start contributing, and then to get a really meaningful number of new accounts will take time. So that's why we attributed the additional revenue growth out into fourth quarter and into 2023..

Erik Suppiger

Okay.

Then I'm curious if you've seen any further changes AWS since they'd announced some adjustments to their pricing for their [Indiscernible] fees, has there been any change from a competitive perspective or from a pricing perspective from AWS?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

We haven't seen anything material come from that, the egress change on their front was so tiny and immaterial, I think it was really didn't affect customers or the market specifically, it was just an I guess in the direction of admitting that what we've been saying about them being egregious in what they're charging is being seen by customers, but we haven't seen any actual impact from their changes..

Erik Suppiger

Okay.

Any change competitively from anybody?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

I wouldn't say any material change in the market since the last earnings call, we continue to focus on being dramatically easier than other products out there. We're still 1/5 the price for competitive offerings with the Amazon, Google and Azure. So I can't give anything to material in the market has shifted in the last quarter..

Erik Suppiger

Very good. Thank you..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold from Raymond James. Your question, please..

Simon Leopold

Great. Thanks for taking the question. I just first wanted to clarify two things, pretty straightforward and then my question. I think upfront, Gleb, you said that the sales and marketing line would be $10 million higher in '22, so roughly $28-ish million. I'd just like confirm if that's what you said..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

No. It's $10 million higher than what we had previously planned in our earlier planning in the Q3 last year timeframe for 2022. Back then, we had planned on increasing spend and we're accelerating that spend by an additional $10 million..

Simon Leopold

So what are you thinking at this point? So that means roughly $35 million-ish?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Approximately..

Simon Leopold

Okay. Great. I'm glad I clarified that. And the other one was in answering one of the earlier questions, you used a phrase 1, 3, 5, 13, I think you are making a reference to the number of books you've hired for sales assist. I just wanted to make sure I had that down if that's what you were referring to..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes. You're exactly right. It was not some sort of Fibonacci sequence or anything. We started the outbound sales team with one person at the beginning of 2021. When we started seeing some early signs of success, we scaled that up. We went to three people to five people and today we have 13 people on that outbound sales team..

Simon Leopold

And where do you see that at the end of the year with this hiring push?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

So we're not -- we're not guiding that numbers specifically, but I will say that we continue to intend to scale that up. So this is not the end point for us. It is a ramp that we intend to continue hiring for and it is part of our hiring plans..

Simon Leopold

And just the last one. Glad you gave us these comments. I think Frank said that we're only going to get the customer numbers once per year. Hopefully, you'll give us the ARPU numbers on a regular basis. I'm just wondering how to think about your expectations or your goals for the ARPU metric by year-end. It's been trending up.

I think the mix shift to helps that. I'm just trying to get a sense of the range of how to think about the growth in ARPU. Thank you..

Frank Patchel

Well, we're not really prepared to guide ARPU, but you can see and you'll see in our filings the trending that we have there, which we're very pleased with. And the areas that are going to benefit ARPU are the ones that you said. So we really see that continuing..

Simon Leopold

Thank you for taking the questions..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Zach Cummins from B. Riley Securities. Your question, please..

Zach Cummins

Yes. Hi Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. A lot of the ones like I wanted to ask have already been alluded to.

In terms of just your initial 2022 annual guidance, can you dig down a little bit about what's really baked into that? I mean, it seems like you're not really assuming much for any of these investments or anything from new products like Cloud replication really impacting much.

So this year, I'm just curious on what's really baked into that initial range you guys gave us?.

Frank Patchel

That's correct. On Cloud replication, it's a mid-year release and it takes a lot of -- even though it doubles the revenue for any B2 customer that takes it, you need a meaningful amount to really move the needle.

So we're not forecasting a lot revenue there in 2022; but beyond that, it's a very exciting product with a big need in the market so we have good expectations going forward. On our overall revenue, that $83 million to $86 million -- so we really look at how we've been trending and you know that 99% of our revenue is recurring.

So then we look at what is going on with additions to our client base and additions to our data in B2 for our customers and how subscriptions are being added into market Computer Backup. And those are the areas that we have a beat on and where we're forecasting in..

Zach Cummins

Understood. That's helpful. And Gleb, in reference to the partner marketing team that you are building out.

What are kind of the key areas of focus for them? Is it really out of the gate, just trying to sign up more partners, or is it really focusing on some of the bigger partners you have right now in the near term and really expand those out, kind of the example that you get with Veeam?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes, it's a good question. So the prior marketing team is more focused on doing activities with partners. So we -- we haven't partnerships team that has been responsible for bringing partners on board. And the partner marketing team.

What one of things that we've found is the partners come onboard and many of them say, hey, we wanted to x, y, and z with you. And the partner marketing team is responsible for making more of those activities happen. So we do joint webinars, joint activities, joint events, joint materials for sales training.

So those kinds of things are what the partner marketing team is initially responsible for it..

Zach Cummins

Understood. Well thanks for taking my questions and best of luck here in the coming quarters. Thank you..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you..

James Kisner

Thanks for all those great questions from the sell-side analyst community. I would now like to read questions that come from our non-institutional investors. While a handful looks like they've already been answered. We're going to address a handful of the popular questions that were submitted. The first one is for Gleb. Gleb.

Where do you see top-line revenue route coming from over the next five years?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thanks, James. First, before I answer, I want to thank all the investors who submitted questions. We've always aimed to be transparent with our customers, partners, and employees. And we aim to extend that approach to how we operate as a public company.

We have a community of about 3 million blog readers and half a million customers and they were critical as a part of our success to-date. And we're excited to take the same approach and engage with our retail investors as a key community and stakeholders in our journey.

So back to the question on growth over the next five years, we expect the primary driver of our growth will be from B2 Cloud Storage as it becomes a greater portion of our business. We expect that that will be the case with both from new customers and also in spend by existing customers.

So the sales and marketing activity that we've been talking about driving a lot of the activities to drive more new and somewhat larger customers still in the mid-market. And then also driving NRR, which is the net revenue retention from our existing customers.

And the product and platform investments that we're making to support those customers with things such as Cloud replication that we talked briefly about..

James Kisner

Okay, Gleb., I have another one for you.

Are there any plans to expand the data centers to more regions and allow selection of where data is stored like with Amazon?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Today, we have multiple data centers. We have them around the U.S. and in Europe. And customers can choose to keep their data in the U.S., in Europe, or both.

And while we aren't going to pre -announce the plans for competitive reasons, we do continue to regularly evaluate whether to add additional regions and whether that would be valuable for our customers. So we'll continue to do that..

James Kisner

This one's for Frank.

Frank, when do you anticipate the company will turn a profit or post positive adjusted EBITDA margins?.

Frank Patchel

Well, we need to remember that we have positive adjusted EBITDA in 2021. More conscious of the fact that many of the new public companies do not, but we've had a history of that. But right now what we're doing is we are really prioritizing growth, and investing in that growth which is causing a downward pressure on earnings.

So we expect that to happen and that's why our guidance is for the negative EBITDA..

James Kisner

All right. Next one.

Gleb, what's the company's next big move?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

As we discussed earlier, it's not really one single big move. It's a series of multiple moves all focused on growing B2 Cloud Storage rapidly.

Those big moves include the scaling up of activities that we're seeing successful in sales and marketing, and investing in the product and platform with things like Cloud replication, and focusing on those key target audiences. So the Developer community, the IT community, and helping more and more of those customers find out about us..

James Kisner

Okay, next one, what's the company's next big move? Sorry, I just asked that one.

What do you see being the biggest opportunities in markets for secure data storage? And is it more commercial or residential?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

The biggest opportunities -- so we believe that the commercial market -- more broadly, the small and medium enterprise market where we're most focused, is where we see the biggest growth opportunities for us.

IDC estimates the small and medium enterprise market is -- about 60% of the entire storage is a service market, and we believe it's the most underserved part of that market. So while we are thrilled to continue to support businesses and individuals, the biggest growth opportunity we see for us is in that commercial area.

And more specifically, in the small and medium enterprise that's under-served..

James Kisner

Okay, last one.

When will Backblaze release a Cloud cellphone backup?.

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

I'm not sure that's coming from an investor or customer, but it's not something that's currently on our roadmap.

At this time, we believe much better use of our capital is to invest more in growing the B2 Cloud Storage business, where we believe we have strong competitive differentiation, great product market fit, and it's a very large impact for end market..

James Kisner

Thanks to both of you for those answers, for any back to Gleb, I expect the nation that we will be conducting virtual investor meetings next week hosted by Raymond James and every 23rd, 24, we will also be attending the JMP Securities Technology Conference March sixth, intended Frankco and the William Blair of ritual TEGNA Media Summit on March 15th.

I'll now turn the call back to Glenn for closing comments..

Gleb Budman Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thanks, James. And thanks again, for your interest, your participation, and we look forward to updating you again on our progress in just a few short months. Operator, you may now end the call. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. And thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day..

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