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Technology - Semiconductors - NASDAQ - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q4
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Executives

Leslie Green – IR, Green Communications Consulting, LLC Gary Fischer - Chief Financial Officer Morris Young - Chief Executive Officer.

Analysts

Richard Shannon - Craig-Hallum Sheldon Grodsky - Grodsky Associates Kim Donovan - Needham & Company Dave Kang - B. Riley & Co.

Operator

Good afternoon everyone and welcome to AXT's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2014 Financial Conference Call. Leading the call today is Dr. Morris Young, Chief Executive Officer and Gary Fischer, Chief Financial Officer. My name is Robert and I will be your coordinator today. As a reminder today's call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the call over to Leslie Green, Investor Relations for AXT. Please go ahead..

Leslie Green

Thank you, Robert, and good afternoon everyone.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, including comments made in response to your questions, we will provide projections or make other forward-looking statements regarding, among other things, the future financial performance of the company and our ability to control costs and improve efficiency, increase orders in succeeding quarters, improve our competitive position as the market improves, as well as other market conditions and trends.

We wish to caution you that such statements deal with future events and are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.

These uncertainties and risks include but are not limited to overall conditions in the markets in which the company competes, global financial conditions and uncertainties, market acceptance and the demand for the company's products, and the impact of delays by our customers on the timing of sales of products.

In addition to factors that may be discussed in this call, we refer you to the company's periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available online by link from our Web site for additional information on risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations.

This conference call will be available on our Web site at axt.com through February 23, 2016. Also before we begin, I want to note that shortly following the close of market today, we issued a press release reporting financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2014.

This information is also available on the investor relations portion of our Web site at axt.com. I would now like to turn the call over to Gary Fischer for a review of the fourth quarter results.

Gary?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Thank you, Leslie, and good afternoon. Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2014 was $19.6 million compared with $23.1 million in the third quarter of 2014. In the fourth quarter of 2014, revenue from North America was about 16%, Asia Pacific was 60% and Europe was about 23% of total revenue.

No customer generated more than 10% of revenue during the fourth quarter and the top five customers generated approximately 34% of total revenue. Gross margin in the fourth quarter was 25.4% compared with 23.0% of revenue for the third quarter of 2014 as a result of product mix, continuing efforts on cost reduction and favorable yields.

Total operating expenses in the fourth quarter were $5.6 million compared with $4.7 million in the prior quarter. Of our total operating expenses, SG&A expenses were $4.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2014 compared with $3.5 million in the third quarter.

The increase in operating expenses in Q4 was largely driven by $613,000 in incremental professional fees. During the fourth quarter, our audit committee received an email concerning possible related party transactions implied to have resulted in beneficial gains to one of our named executive officers, Davis Zhang, or his immediate family members.

Our audit committee took the matter very seriously conducting a thorough investigation of the assertions. As noted in our 8-K filing today, the audit committee identified some historical related party transactions that were not previously disclosed. However, the investigation did not conclude that there was any intentional misconduct by Mr.

Zhang or that he received any improper benefit from these transactions and the matter was closed this month. Excluding the $613,000 for legal expenses, SG&A in Q4 would have been $3.7 million or about $200,000 over Q3. R&D costs were $1.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2014, slightly above Q3 which with rounding was also $1.2 million.

Total stock compensation expense was $268,000 for the fourth quarter of which $4000 was included in cost of sales, $222,000 in SG&A and, $42,000 in R&D. This is $4000 lower than Q3 so it's basically flat. Operating loss for the fourth quarter of 2014 was $592,000 compared with an operating profit of $653,000 in the third quarter.

If you filter out the $613,000 for legal expenses, our operating line would have showed profit of $15,000. Net interest and other for the fourth quarter was a gain of $260,000. This is about what we had in Q3 as well. This net number consisted four categories.

Foreign exchange loss of $618,000, sales of IntelliEpi stock for a gain $637,000, net interest earnings on our $49 million in the bank of $123,000, and fourthly, equity earnings of our unconsolidated joint ventures, a gain of $26,000. This equity earnings number in Q3 was $390,000 and the drop to $26,000 is primarily the result of year-end accruals.

Net loss in the fourth quarter of 2014 was $311,000 or $0.01 per diluted share. This compares with a net income of $644,000 or $0.02 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2014.

Cash and cash equivalents with maturities of less than three months, short-term investments and other investments in high grade debt securities with maturities of less than two years, was $48.9 million at December 31. This was up slightly from Q3 and year-on-year it is up $1.3 million.

Accounts receivable net of reserves were $17.9 million at December 31, compared with $21.1 million at September 30. December 2013 accounts receivable was $14.9 million. Net inventory was $38.6 million at December 31 compared with $36.6 million at September 30.

Of this, approximately 49% is raw materials, 42% is work in progress and 9% is finished goods. Depreciation and amortization in the fourth quarter was $1.4 million and CapEx was about $620,000. For the fiscal year 2014, revenue for the whole year was $83.5 million, down slightly from $85.3 million in fiscal 2013.

Gross margin for fiscal year 2014 was 20.6% of revenue, a significant improvement from 13.9% for fiscal year 2013. Net loss for the year 2014 also improved to $1.4 million or a loss of $0.04 per share compared with a net loss of $8 million or $0.25 per diluted share for fiscal year 2013. Okay.

This concludes our financial statement, now I will turn it over to Dr. Morris Young for a review of our business..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you, Gary. Coming off of a stronger than expected Q3, several customers across of our product portfolio adjusted inventory late in the fourth quarter resulting in revenue that was lighter than our previous expectations.

Adjustments were not concentrated in any particular substrate category or customer, rather appears to be a general softness some of which we expect to recover in the first quarter. However, with continued cost and yield improvements coupled with favorable product mix, we improved gross margin meaningfully.

As Gary noted, excluding the incremental legal expenses, we would have recorded a profit in the quarter despite lower than expected revenues. We view this as a testament to our solid business model and the success of our customer and revenue diversification efforts.

As we discussed last quarter, the environment in semi-insulating gallium arsenide substrates appears to be stabilizing following two years of dramatic changes.

The applications that were most vulnerable to the industry transition to SOI such as p-HEMT switches, seems to have largely moved on to that technology and those still dominated by semi-insulating gallium arsenide substrates such as HPT devices, radar, defense and Wi-Fi, do not appear to be making a change.

We have made significant investment in refining our technical stratifications for the HPT market and are working to overcome the business impediment of growing our market share in this application. As expected, we saw industry consolidation in the fourth quarter, leaving three primary players in this space.

This development underscores the challenges faced by all suppliers in recent years from the SOI transition and ASP degradation. AXT is the only pure play substrate supplier in this market.

As such, I am proud of the way that we have weathered a very difficult market dynamic through continued diversification in our overall product portfolio and our customer base. As well as strict expense management, a leverage of our unique low-cost and vertically integrated business model.

In terms of our semi-conducting gallium arsenide substrate business, revenue were also a bit weaker than the prior quarter with lighting, display, printer and laser applications, all coming in somewhat lower than expected.

CPV remains a small portion of our revenue currently but an area in which we expect to see growth this year as a result of ongoing research in CPV efficiency. We are continuing to make a blended approach to our sales effort, participating in the growing low-end market, so long as we retain the higher end sales opportunities.

Our germanium substrate revenue also trended down modestly in the third quarter. In general, sales into the satellite solar cell application have been fairly consistent with the last many quarters. CPV revenue, however, have come down as a result of industry's consolidation and the lack of new CPV installation.

Recently, a major installation in San Diego was cancelled prompting a leading supplier to move to sell its CPV division. Therefore, we do not expect meaningful growth in our germanium revenue for the next couple of quarters but we do believe that it will continue in a stable fashion at this current levels. Turning now to indium phosphide.

We continue to see a strong demand from co-applications such as fiber optic lasers, detectors as well as emerging opportunities in solar and data center connectivity and we expect this area of our business to continue to see healthy growth in 2015.

It is difficult to seize the opportunity at this time because it is being driven by new applications that they are still in its infancy. However, it is an interesting market for us as even relatively small growth can move the needle for AXT. Further, competition in this market is limited primarily to three players including AXT.

We don’t expect to see additional suppliers enter the market in the near-term as indium phosphide is a very difficult material to work with. It is manufactured under very high pressure conditions and therefore has barriers to entry beyond that of gallium arsenide.

AXT is a strong competitor with a core competency in this material, a healthy cost structure and industry-leading technical support capability. Finally, with regard to raw material business, our revenue was down slightly in the fourth quarter. We expect total sales volume and pricing to remain stable in the coming quarter.

In closing, this has been a positive year for AXT on a number of levels. While the first quarter demand weakness contributed to a modest decline in our annual revenue for the prior year, meaningful improvement in our cost structure and a positive shift in our revenue mix resulted in a significant improvement year-over-year to our bottom line.

Further, we grew our cash and investment by $1.3 million ending the year with a balance of $48.9 million. As we enter 2015, we are well positioned to drive growth in our business and to continue executing our strategic priorities. Further, I am pleased with the team I have in place to leverage the opportunities ahead.

That includes our addition in 2014 of Gary Fischer as Chief Financial Officer. I want to thank our customers, partners and investors for their continued support and our employees for their ongoing dedication to the success of our company. This concludes my comments on the business. I will now turn the call back to Gary for our first quarter guidance.

Gary?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Thank you, Morris. Looking to the first quarter of 2015, we are expecting a modest improvement in sales in Q1. Therefore we are expecting total revenues of between $19.5 million and $20.5 million. We expect approximately $1.2 million in additional professional expenses in Q1 as the audit committee review was completed in February.

Therefore, we are expecting a loss of $0.02 to $0.04 for the quarter based on $32.5 million diluted common shares outstanding. Roughly equivalent to the professional fees that we will pay. This concludes our prepared comments, Morris and I will be glad to answer your questions now. I will turn it back to the operator..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Richard Shannon of Craig-Hallum..

Richard Shannon

I guess just a few questions from me. Maybe to start with your guidance for the first quarter. Gary, you are modeling for slight improvement in revenues here. I wonder if you could give us a general sense of the direction you expect in kind of the major product categories you talk about, you know down, flat or up.

Any way you can characterize those will be helpful?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes, I think we think material will probably be flat. I think indium phosphide will probably improve and the other two substrates are probably going to be flat..

Richard Shannon

Okay. And I couldn’t do the math fast enough for my head to get to the bottom line here, kind of implying what your gross margins you are expecting there. But I would imagine it to be somewhere, may be a little bit below fourth quarter but still in the 20s range somewhere.

Is that a fair assessment Gary?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Yes, yes. That’s reasonable..

Richard Shannon

Okay. Okay, fair enough. Let's see here. Morris, a couple of questions. Looking a little bit farther out this year, I am wondering about your wireless business.

Whether you think that can grow this year and does it require you to gain some share in the HPT business to make that happen?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, you know I am always optimistic..

Richard Shannon

Yes, I know..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

But, of course I mean we had a pretty down, substantial down year last year. But I am looking at a few positions that I can definitely try to improve from the level of 2014. But, however, nothing is concrete as of this moment. But I do expect the wireless to come back this coming year 2015..

Richard Shannon

And actually I meant to ask a question before that. Gary, can you give us a sense of how wireless grew in 2014 on a yearly basis..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Let me check my notes because I don’t have it memorized..

Richard Shannon

Okay.

Shall I throw another question while you are searching, Gary?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Yes, go ahead..

Richard Shannon

Morris, another question. Just kind of ask this one of you periodically, just want to get your general sense of gallium pricing environment. It seems like kind of a steady, stable environment.

Is there anything you are hearing out there in terms of the supply base that might drive some improvements or are you expecting it to be kind of flattish for the foreseeable future..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, just as a comparison, 2014 was not a very good year. I think we started the year at $260 a kilogram and ended the pricing at $220. Although the amount of decrease was not substantial but it was a down year for gallium in 2014. I mean at this point I don’t think I want to speculate. I think we are happy to sell everything we can.

We are happy we are still on the positive territory but whether it's going to go up or down -- but I think, I just still want to remind everybody that we have been increasing our volume substantially, it's just we don’t make a whole lot of money out of it..

Richard Shannon

Okay. All right. Fair enough. Maybe just one last kind of big picture question. And Gary when you find that number, please let me know. As you look at your entire business this year, Morris anyway you can provide us a thought process around what you think you can grow your top line revenues.

Is this going to be a flattish year, a modest growth year, or can you grow 10%? What's your best guess as you look at the year right now?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, let me go take a crack at it. Again, I hope, Gary will be more concerned with it and I will be more gung-ho. I mean that’s always the dynamics between us I think. Definitely I like to see growth. And for the reason that I think indium phosphide is a growth opportunity for us. I mean definitely.

I think raw material, I think we hit the bottom and I think we are selling everything we can. So I think revenue is not a issue but rather it's the profitability. I think semi-insulating gallium arsenide -- I mean the way I assess is that it definitely has to hit a bottom. But again, we still have to really dig in very hard.

Try to be innovative and gain market share from some of our competitors. I think semi-conducting however, I think on the low-end, I think it's very difficult. The pricing is very very competitive and we are not banking on that.

But I think we are trying to gain some market share in the more lucrative market such as [printer heads] [ph], such as CPV, as well as lasers, and those should give us the opportunity for growth.

Gary?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

I think that’s good. And Richard, your question was year-on-year, between '13 and '14, how did the substrate revenue-.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

No, gallium arsenide trends..

Richard Shannon

For wireless..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Semi-insulating, wireless. Yes..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

I only have gallium arsenide as a group in this room so I don’t have it broken out..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

My thinking is that it's probably coming down a bit..

Richard Shannon

Okay. That's kind of [indiscernible]. .

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

As a group gallium arsenide is down..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes. Well, you know it's coming from both SOI. Started the year in 2013 and in the beginning of 2013 was still strong. And also the pricing pressure as well..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will go next to Kim Donovan of Needham & Company. And as there is no response, we will go on to our next caller. Our next question comes from Sheldon Grodsky of Grodsky Associates..

Sheldon Grodsky

Well, this quarter was both a pleasant surprise and a big disappointment because it should have been profitable. Now the investigation cost money in the fourth quarter and apparently cost even more money in the first quarter.

What is the outcome of the investigation?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

The outcome has been released in a separate press release filed with the 8-K today. So the best way for you to get the gist of it is to just grab that, either now or after the call. But the outcome was basically that there was some very old third party, related party transactions that should have been disclosed in our disclosures and were not.

So we are disclosing them in the 8-K that we filed today. But there was -- the investigation did not conclude that there was any intentional misconduct or that there was any improper benefit from those transactions.

So we are relieved with that and we have your same feeling that the quarter actually was shaping up nicely but we have to take -- our committee has to take these things very seriously. So it's expensive to do the research..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes..

Sheldon Grodsky

Did you have to send American lawyers to China for this?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

I think short answer is yes. But I think the bottom line is it's finished and we are glad that we now know the number, what it would impact us on Q1, but nothing more in the future..

Sheldon Grodsky

Okay. Now the margin improvement, the gross margin improvements in the fourth quarter. And I am looking at it of course on a year to year basis.

For whatever reason you chose to compare the fourth quarter to the third quarter but I am looking at the fourth quarter versus the fourth quarter and the gross profit improvement was rather dramatic going from $4.97 million from $2.81 million.

So do you think you have that going forward? Is this part of your operations now or did it just work out, certain things that fell into place for this quarter that won't be there for coming quarters..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Well, you know there is obviously some variables that we don’t control. Like ASP and to some degree the product mix. But in aggregate, when I am running models internally in the company, I think we will be in the low 20s. And so hopefully we can be even above that but I think it's realistic to assume that we will be in the low 20s..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

I think year to year comparison, there are several key comparisons. You remember back in the first quarter of 2014, we instituted a forced reduction, programming our production. We also picked up some yield improvements. Yield efficiency improvements in our factory. So I think that helped. I think the product mix as Gary mentioned, definitely helps.

I mean going forward we just see that product mix should be in our favor. So those are the two big things. I am really looking forward to see if we can pick up more volume as well. I think quarter-to-quarter comparison, I think first quarter of 2013 and I think the revenue number also improved slightly too, right..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Yes. This fourth quarter versus 2013 fourth quarter, revenue improved. Yes..

Sheldon Grodsky

One other question if I may. I believe that you had indicated in the last conference call that one of your competitors in Japan -- I don’t know your business that well, so I don’t know if they compete across the board.

But one of your competitors in Japan had left the business or was leaving the business and has that resulted in the business improving as far as you can tell?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes, I think so. I think in general -- but of course that’s negated by the fact that the business environment continues to be very difficult..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

It's relatively a recent event. So it's too soon to say that it's been up or down because of that. But common sense for us is that we are going to benefit from that decision that they have made..

Sheldon Grodsky

Are they out of the market at this point or are they still unloading inventory?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes, out of the market..

Operator

There are no more questions. We will take our next question from Kim Donovan of Needham & Company..

Kim Donovan

Sorry about that. I had some technical difficulties. This is Kim Donovan on for Edwin Mok. I was just wondering if you could give a little color around the indium phosphide business.

How much that grew year-over-year in 2014? As well as the gallium arsenide, how much that declined in 2014?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, we don’t have that number right off the head. I think two quarter ago we also decided not to report in a different category. But I think we can give you color as overall indium phosphide probably grew year-over-year and gallium arsenide was either flat or decreased slightly..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Gallium arsenide came down in the hundreds of thousands of dollars not millions of dollars. So it's slightly down. But it was offset by growth in indium phosphide and we actually grew also in our raw material business in 2014. So there is some fluidity between the product lines. It's a good question to ask..

Kim Donovan

Okay. And then Gary, now that you have been with the company for several months, do you see more operating improvements going forward. How should we think about the longer term, like growth and operating margin profile for the company..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

For OpEx, the company did a big restructure before I arrived, back in Q4 of 2014. So I think OpEx will remain relatively flat.

[Indiscernible] we will have to set aside these special professional expenses that we are going through because of the investigation, but other than that it will probably move up slightly as the year goes on but nothing material.

And then as we said in terms of gross margin which also has our manufacturing overhead cost in there, that might move a little bit but we don’t think it will move too much either. So we think the margins as we said will still be hopefully in the below 20s..

Kim Donovan

Okay.

And do you have any idea what revenue would achieve operating breakeven?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, we used to have this model I think probably sometime ago, was what $22 million in revenue and 25% margin we would have breaking even. But I think we can probably improve that slightly because of the factory efficiency improvement. But again, I think it does depend on revenue mix as well..

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

Yes. ASP and product mix make a difference. But you can kind of back of back into some numbers. If you take Q4 and back out the professional expenses for the investigation, you get pretty close to breakeven. So that’s probably a good benchmark..

Operator

And we will take our next question from Dave Kang of B. Riley & Co..

Dave Kang

What was the expected OpEx or professional fees in the first quarter? Did I hear it correctly, is it 1.4?.

Gary Fischer Chief Financial Officer, Vice President & Corporate Secretary

1.2.

Dave Kang

1.2 got it. Thank you. And then regarding the inventory correction.

It sounds like, well, Morris, some of that is done, so does that mean there is still some softness in first quarter or can you provide more color on that situation?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, basically we said it's going to improve slightly. Because you see the guidance is -- we are going to up the guidance. If you take the midpoint about $0.5 million more, right..

Dave Kang

Okay.

And is it primarily in your phosphide that’s providing some growth, everything else kind of being flat?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Well, we will much rather take it as a total but I think if you read from our script, I think we did say inventory of the indium phosphide is strong..

Dave Kang

And then just lastly on the gallium industry, overall industry. What was the capacity? I mean it sounds like there is still some capacity [indiscernible].

Is that why pricing remains pretty challenging?.

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

I don’t think so. I think if you take the overall [P-Hem] [ph] business, I always estimate it to be about 40% of the overall gallium arsenide business. I mean if you take that down, I think it's down 70%. So that’s substantial..

Operator

And this does conclude our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back to Dr. Young for closing remarks..

Morris Young Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Thank you for participating in our conference call. As always, feel free to contact me, Gary Fischer, or Leslie Green directly if you would like to meet with us. We look forward to speaking with you in the near future..

Operator

And this does conclude today's conference call. Thank you again for your participation and have a wonderful day..

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