UMH Properties, Inc.
$14.95
-0.33%UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that owns and operates 124 manufactured home communities containing approximately 23,400 developed homesites. These communities are located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Michigan and Maryland. In addition, the Company owns a portfolio of REIT securities.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 213.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E 213.6, earnings yield +0.5%, momentum -0.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +2.9%, ROIC +2.7%).
Profitability stack: net margin +10.1%, ROE +2.9%, ROIC +2.7%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +46.6%, momentum -0.3%, net margin +10.1%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
UMH Properties, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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UMH Properties, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
UMH Properties, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
UMH Properties, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
FCF Growth Trend
Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโmonitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.
UMH Properties, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
UMH Properties, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that UMH stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 16.00 to a high of 16.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 16.00 to a high of 16.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
UMH Properties, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $83K and sold $30K worth of UMH shares, resulting in $53K of net buying activity.
3 Months
3.5K
50.34K
0
0.00
+50K
+$50K
3-6 Months
32
488.00
0
0.00
+488
+$488
6-9 Months
2.1K
31.84K
2.0K
30.00K
+2K
+$2K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Quigley Kenneth K Jr
Director
$36K
Mitchell William Edward
Director
$30K
Carus Jeffrey A
Director
$9K
Hirsch Matthew I
Director
$7K
Clark Todd J.
Director
$999
Top Sellers
Mitchell William Edward
Director
$30K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Positive insider sentiment with $53K net buying. Buying activity substantially exceeds selling, indicating insider confidence.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Strong buy/sell ratio. Buying is at least double the selling activity, suggesting robust insider confidence.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
umh Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on UMH by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.