TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

TPVGยทNYSE

$5.38

-2.0%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. is a business development company specializing investments in venture capital-backed companies at the growth stage investments. It also provides debt financing to venture growth space companies which includes growth capital loans, secured and customized loans, equipment financings, revolving loans and direct equity investments. The fund seeks to invest in e-commerce, entertainment, technology and life sciences sector. Within technology the areas of focus include: Security, wireless communication equipments, network system and software, business applications software, conferencing equipments/services .big data, cloud computing, data storage, electronics, energy efficiency, hardware, information services, internet and media, networking, semiconductors, software, software as a service, and other technology related subsectors and within life sciences the areas of focus include: biotechnology, bio fuels/bio mass, diagnostic testing and bioinformatics, drug delivery, drug discovery, healthcare information systems, healthcare services, medical, surgical and therapeutic devices, pharmaceuticals and other life science related subsectors. Within growth capital loans it invests between $5 million and $50 million, for equipment financings it invests between $5 million and $25 million, for revolving loans it invests between $1 million and $25 million, and for direct equity investments it may invest between $0.1 million and $5 million (generally not exceeding 5% of the company's total equity). The debt financing products are typically structured as lines of credit and it invests through warrants and secured loans. It targeted returns between 10% and 18%. It does not take board seat in the company.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$218.42M
EPS1.2200
P/E Ratio4.41
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 4.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 4.4, earnings yield +22.7%, momentum -2.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +13.9%, ROIC +9.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +50.6%, ROE +13.9%, ROIC +9.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +57.9%, momentum -2.0%, net margin +50.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TPVG ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Fair Value Envelope

TPVG ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that TPVG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $5.38, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $5.38
3Y-185.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y+77.0%
3Y+626.0%
5Y+69.0%
10Y+523.0%
3Y-345.0%
5Y+39.0%
10Y+342.0%
3Y-43.0%
5Y-287.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y-43.0%
5Y-287.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y-17.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y+93.0%
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Profit Bridge

TPVG ยท NYSE
Revenue97.21M
Cost of Goods Sold (16.03M)
Gross Profit81.18M
Operating Expenses (5.45M)
Operating Income75.73M
Interest Expense (26.52M)
Other Income/Expense-26.52M
Pretax Income49.21M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income49.21M
Net Income
49.21M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

83.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

77.9%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

50.6%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

0.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

83.51%
Gross Profit Margin
31%
3Y-218.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y+127.0%
77.90%
Operating Profit Margin
73%
3Y-152.0%
5Y+27.0%
10Y-47.0%
50.62%
Net Profit Margin
12%
3Y-134.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y-29.0%
13.92%
Return on Equity
50%
3Y-391.0%
5Y+58.0%
10Y+170.0%
5.86%
Return on Assets
40%
3Y-396.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+129.0%
9.02%
Return on Invested Capital
115%
3Y-556.0%
5Y+74.0%
10Y-15.0%
TPVG

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Cash Conversion Engine

TPVG ยท NYSE
Net Income0.00
Depreciation & Amortization-2.22M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-1.51M
Others23.81M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-57.03M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Growth Trend

-137.3%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.51M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Funding & Solvency Profile

TPVG ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents8.57M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets9 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
807.09M

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.30x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

9 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Street Expectations Map

TPVG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that TPVG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.95, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.50 to a high of 18.00.

Lowest Target
5.50
2.23%
Consensus Target
8.95
66.36%
Highest Target
18.00
234.57%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.95, with estimates ranging from a low of 5.50 to a high of 18.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+66.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

139.7% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Insider Positioning

TPVG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $25.94M worth of TPVG shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

1.4M

9.13M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+9.1M

+$9.13M

6-9 Months

Bought

1.5M

9.11M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+9.1M

+$9.11M

9-12 Months

Bought

1.2M

7.70M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+7.7M

+$7.70M

Top Buyers

1
LJ

Labe James

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

2.0M sharesโ€ข55 transactions

$12.97M

2
SS

Srivastava Sajal

Director, Officer: President And Cio

2.0M sharesโ€ข55 transactions

$12.97M

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $25.94M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

4.61%
Dividend Yield
-64%
3Y+45.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y-25.0%
ย 

tpvg Dividend History

TPVG
10Y CAGR 4%
Latest $0.23
Annual $1.24
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%