Stem, Inc.
$9.04
-11%Stem, Inc. operates as a digitally connected and intelligent energy storage network provider in the United States and internationally. It offers energy storage systems sourced from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company also provides Athena, an artificial intelligence platform, which offers battery hardware and software-enabled services to operate the energy storage systems. In addition, it offers system design and engineering services, supply chain management, energy storage value stream optimization, warranty and preventive maintenance plan management, operation and maintenance reporting, and program enrollment and incentive management services. The company serves commercial and industrial enterprises, independent power producers, renewable project developers, and utilities and grid operators. Stem, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 0.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E 0.6, earnings yield +181.8%, momentum -10.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -55.3%, ROIC -28.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin +88.2%, ROE -55.3%, ROIC -28.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +180.6%, momentum -10.9%, net margin +88.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Stem, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Loading price and EPS data...
Stem, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Stem, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Stem, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Stem, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Stem, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that STEM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 11.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 10.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 11.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Stem, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $128K and sold $353K worth of STEM shares, resulting in $224K of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
9.2K
102.44K
-102K
-$102K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
1.1K
11.75K
-12K
-$12K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
13.3K
229.19K
-229K
-$229K
9-12 Months
20.0K
128.40K
20.8K
9.37K
+119K
+$119K
Top Buyers
Laureles Saul R.
Officer: Chief Legal Officer
$34K
Tappin Matthew
Officer: President, Software Division
$34K
Carlson Michael James
Officer: See Remarks
$34K
Shukla Rahul
Officer: Chief Accounting Officer
$14K
Musfeldt Brian
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$12K
Top Sellers
Tappin Matthew
Officer: President, Software Products
$200K
Shukla Rahul
Officer: Chief Accounting Officer
$60K
Narayanan Arun
Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$57K
Carlson Michael James
Officer: President, Managed Services
$23K
Laureles Saul R.
Officer: Chief Legal Officer
$13K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Negative insider sentiment with $224K net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
STEM has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
stem Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on STEM by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.