Redwire Corporation

Redwire Corporation

RDWยทNYSE

$18.62

-10%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

Redwire Corporation, a space infrastructure company, develops, manufactures, and sells mission critical space solutions and components for national security, civil, and commercial space markets in the United States, Luxembourg, Germany, South Korea, Poland, and internationally. The company provides various antennas; and advanced sensors and components, which include solar arrays, composite booms, radio frequency antennas, payload adapters, space-qualifies camera systems, and star trackers and sun sensors. It also sells a proprietary enterprise software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based Software as a Service business model. In addition, the company offers on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing solutions; and low-earth orbit commercialization, digitally engineered spacecraft, and space domain awareness and resiliency technology solutions. Redwire Corporation is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.80B
EPS-2.2800
P/E Ratio-8.17
Earnings Date08/05/2026
rdw

Redwire Corporation Street Expectations Map

RDW ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that RDW stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 9.00 to a high of 24.00.

Lowest Target
9.00
-51.66%
Consensus Target
16.17
-13.16%
Highest Target
24.00
28.89%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 9.00 to a high of 24.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-13.2%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

92.8% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.56x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
335.38M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
465.97M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
388.02M - 566.13M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+38.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread38%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

rdw

Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
-226.55M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-18.96M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-29.56M - -8.35M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+91.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread112%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
-2.28
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.34
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.45 - $-0.13
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+85.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread94%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
-211.86M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-102.82M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-124.92M - -85.62M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+51.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread38%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

rdw

Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
-179.22M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-76.28M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-92.68M - -63.52M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+57.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread38%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Redwire Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

RDW ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
171.28M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
165.06M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
137.45M - 200.54M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-3.6%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread38%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

rdw

Redwire Corporation Insider Positioning

RDW ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $33.82M and sold $888.15M worth of RDW shares, resulting in $854.33M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

50.4M

542.96M

Net Activity

-543.0M

-$542.96M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

30.1M

345.19M

Net Activity

-345.2M

-$345.19M

6-9 Months

Bought

11.0M

33.82M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+33.8M

+$33.82M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
BCCML

Bain Capital Credit Member, Llc

10 Percent Owner

11.0M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$33.55M

2
CPAJ

Cannito Peter Anthony Jr

Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo

40.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$250K

3
FAM

Futch Aaron Michael

Officer: Evp, Gc And Secretary

4.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$25K

Top Sellers

1
ARHL

Ae Red Holdings, Llc

Director

80.5M sharesโ€ข35 transactions

$888.15M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $854.33M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.04:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$542.96M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Buying

3 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.