PG&E Corporation
$16.82
-0.18%Pacific Gas and Electric Company generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and natural gas to customers in northern and central California, the United States. It generates electricity using nuclear, hydroelectric, fossil fuel-fired, and photovoltaic sources. The company also develops a personal microgrid backup power transfer meter device for customers that fully integrates into its existing electric SmartMeter system. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers, as well as natural gas-fired electric generation facilities. The company was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Pacific Gas and Electric Company operates as a subsidiary of PG&E Corporation.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.3).
Valuation inputs: P/E 14.3, earnings yield +7.0%, momentum -0.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +8.3%, ROIC +3.8%).
Profitability stack: net margin +10.8%, ROE +8.3%, ROIC +3.8%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.8%, momentum -0.2%, net margin +10.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
PG&E Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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PG&E Corporation Fair Value Envelope
PG&E Corporation Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
PG&E Corporation Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
PG&E Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
PG&E Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PCG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 22.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 21.00 to a high of 25.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 22.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 21.00 to a high of 25.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
PG&E Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $120K and sold $4.97M worth of PCG shares, resulting in $4.85M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
112.8K
1.91M
-1.9M
-$1.91M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
136.9K
2.48M
-2.5M
-$2.48M
6-9 Months
7.5K
119.70K
29.5K
470.09K
-350K
-$350K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
7.0K
106.05K
-106K
-$106K
Top Buyers
Larsen John O
Director
$120K
Top Sellers
Glickman Jason M
Officer: Evp, Strategy And Growth
$1.24M
Poppe Patricia K
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.07M
Singh Sumeet
Officer: Ceo And Evp At Pg&E Company
$1.02M
Simon John R
Officer: Evp, Gc, Chief E&C Officer
$900K
Peterman Carla J
Officer: President, Evp Cust&Corp Afrs
$582K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $4.85M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
pcg Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PCG by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.