Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.

PBยทNYSE

$67.55

+0.21%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. operates as bank holding company for the Prosperity Bank that provides financial products and services to businesses and consumers. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand, savings, money market, and time accounts, as well as and certificates of deposit. The company also offers 1-4 family residential mortgage, commercial real estate and multifamily residential, commercial and industrial, agricultural, and non-real estate agricultural loans, as well as construction, land development, and other land loans; consumer loans, including automobile, recreational vehicle, boat, home improvement, personal, and deposit account collateralized loans; and consumer durables and home equity loans, as well as loans for working capital, business expansion, and purchase of equipment and machinery. In addition, it provides internet banking, mobile banking, trust and wealth management, retail brokerage, mortgage services, and treasury management, as well as debit and credit cards. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 273 full-service banking locations comprising 65 in the Houston area, including The Woodlands; 30 in the South Texas area including Corpus Christi and Victoria; 63 in the Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas area; 22 in the East Texas area; 29 in the Central Texas area, including Austin and San Antonio; 34 in the West Texas area, including Lubbock, Midland-Odessa and Abilene; 16 in the Bryan/College Station area; 6 in the Central Oklahoma area; and 8 in the Tulsa, Oklahoma area doing business as LegacyTexas Bank. Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$6.81B
EPS5.7200
P/E Ratio11.81
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 11.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 11.8, earnings yield +8.5%, momentum +0.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.1%, ROIC +5.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +31.2%, ROE +7.1%, ROIC +5.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +80.2%, momentum +0.2%, net margin +31.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PB ยท NYSE
Current Price
$67.55
EPS (TTM)
$5.52

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+0.4%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Earnings are growing but price is fallingโ€”potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.

Stock Price Change

-1.6%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 1.6%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

11.8x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

With growing earnings (+0.4%) and a relatively low P/E ratio (11.8x), the stock may be undervalued if the growth trend continues.

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

PB ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $67.55, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Prosperity Bancshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $67.55
3Y-
5Y+1.0%
10Y+45.0%
3Y+45.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y+124.0%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y+8.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y+64.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y-8.0%
10Y+57.0%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+72.0%
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

PB ยท NYSE
Revenue1.74B
Cost of Goods Sold (488.83M)
Gross Profit1.25B
Operating Expenses (555.78M)
Operating Income693.58M
Interest Expense (488.83M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income693.58M
Income Tax (150.74M)
Net Income542.84M
Net Income
542.84M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

71.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

39.9%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

31.2%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

21.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

71.88%
Gross Profit Margin
10%
3Y-22.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y-21.0%
39.90%
Operating Profit Margin
13%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y-24.0%
31.23%
Net Profit Margin
13%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y-12.0%
7.13%
Return on Equity
11%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y-5.0%
1.41%
Return on Assets
16%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-9.0%
10Y+15.0%
5.46%
Return on Invested Capital
27%
3Y-5.0%
5Y-31.0%
10Y-
PB

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

PB ยท NYSE
Net Income542.84M
Depreciation & Amortization34.12M
Stock-Based Compensation12.10M
Change in Working Capital-34.35M
Others-1.46M
Capital Expenditures-32.53M
Free Cash Flow516.98M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

95.2%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

5.9%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+14.5%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

-$34.35M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

PB ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.55B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment429.77M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets3.93B
Long-Term Investments36.87B
Other Non-Current Assets838.71M
Total Non-Current Assets38 B
Total Assets
43.62B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.65x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

4.31x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-828132000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

4% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

PB ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PB stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 73.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 68.00 to a high of 76.00.

Lowest Target
68.00
0.67%
Consensus Target
73.00
8.07%
Highest Target
76.00
12.51%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 73.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 68.00 to a high of 76.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.1%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

11.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

PB ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $993K worth of PB shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.3K

361.29K

Net Activity

-361K

-$361K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.7K

405.32K

Net Activity

-405K

-$405K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.1K

143.17K

Net Activity

-143K

-$143K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.2K

83.35K

Net Activity

-83K

-$83K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
HNS

Holmes Ned S

Director

10.9K sharesโ€ข50 transactions

$756K

2
SRH

Steelhammer Robert H

Director

1.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$104K

3
HL

Henderson Leah

Director

1.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$77K

4
SHI

Stafford Harrison Ii

Director

800 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$57K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $993K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$361K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.89%
Dividend Yield
5%
3Y-
5Y+36.0%
10Y+52.0%
ย 

pb Dividend History

PB
10Y CAGR +7%
Latest $0.6
Annual $2.38
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%