OPFI - NYSE

Good afternoon and welcome to OppFi's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. After managements presentation there will be a Question-and-Answer Session. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Shaun Smolarz, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin sir.

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. On today's call are Todd Schwartz, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman, and Pam Johnson, Chief Financial Officer. Our second quarter 2023 earnings press release and supplemental presentation can be found at investors.oppfi.com. During this call, OppFi will discuss certain forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by OppFi's management in light of their experience and assessment of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are made as of today and OppFi undertakes no duty to update or revise any such statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results, developments and business decisions to differ materially from forward-looking statements are described in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the sections entitled Risk Factors. In today's remarks by management, the company will discuss certain non-GAAP financial metrics. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in the earnings press release issued earlier this afternoon. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Todd.

Thanks, Shaun. And good afternoon everyone. I am very pleased with our second quarter results, which further demonstrate our focus on profitability. In the second quarter of 2023, we more than doubled adjusted net income year-over-year while achieving double digit revenue growth. I believe this result clearly indicates our ability to balance growth and risk while maintaining expense discipline. Pam will review our second quarter results in detail as well as discuss our full year guidance update, which includes raising our earnings outlook. Before she does, I will cover three topics: one, the key highlights from our Q2 2023 financial performance; two, our progress on strategic business priorities for 2023; and three, an update on our corporate development initiatives. Second quarter results were driven by improvement in credit performance due to adjustments made last year and recent modeling enhancements, as well as continued total expense leverage and growth and recoveries. The key highlights for the second quarter this year, compared to last year, are: solid 14% total revenue growth to $122.5 million; the strong rebound in both net income with 90% growth to $18.1 million and adjusted net income with 138% growth to $16.3 million. We achieved these results while holding ending receivable steady at approximately $398 million, further demonstrating our renewed focus on profitability over portfolio growth. To this end, we realized additional gains in cost efficiency in both marketing and operations. Marketing cost per funded loan decreased 23%. Total expenses as a percentage of total revenue decreased by 16%. Now, I would like to provide updates on our core strategic initiatives. During the second quarter, credit performance continued to strengthen, net charge off rates improved year-over-year and sequentially, both as a percentage of total revenue and average receivables. Net charge off rate as a percentage of total revenue decreased 17% or seven percentage points falling to 36.2% from 43.5% in Q2 last year. Further illustrating the effects of credit modeling enhancements and adjustments at the end of the second quarter, the total first payment default rate decreased 23%, and the total delinquency rate declined by 10%. I want to take this opportunity to remind investors about the overall seasonality of the business. Since this affects sequential credit trends, loan vintages originated during late first quarter to early second quarter are historically weaker than other times of the year, which affects credit performance in the third and fourth quarters. Therefore, partly due to seasonality, we expect net charge rates to increase sequentially in both the third and fourth quarters while continuing to improve on a year-over-year basis. This year, our recovery strategy continues to contribute strongly to our net charge off rate improvement. During the second quarter recoveries increased 91% year-over-year to $6.5 million. Our plan this year is to remain disciplined and prioritize strong unit economics and profitability over origination’s growth. Last year's adjustments to credit modeling have yielded positive results. Our product and marketing teams continue to focus on cost effective initiatives to generate lower risk origination volume. We have worked hard to optimize our marketing funnel to lower origination costs and yield better quality. We remain very focused on realizing operational efficiencies. This is demonstrated by the 16% improvement year-over-year for total expenses as a percentage of total revenue during the second quarter. We achieved this with more efficient marketing spend, effective management of general and administrative expenses and the previously announced streamlining of our customer support operations. These improvements were made despite interest expense increasing by approximately $3 million or 43% year-over-year. Before I conclude my remarks, I'll provide a brief update on our corporate development initiatives as discussed on our Q4 2022 conference call in March diversifying the business is one of our strategic growth priorities. We are most interested in potential accretive acquisitions in adjacent customer or product categories where we believe we can leverage our core competencies and brand equity to create value and serve more customers. We believe there are opportunities in the market and are starting to see more realistic valuation expectations. In summary, the strength of our business during the first half of the year gives me confidence that our strategic decision making last year put us on the right path and is generating positive results. This confidence is why my family and I continued to purchase shares during the recent open trading window following our Q1 earnings release. We also expect to be more proactive with Investor Relation activities in the second half of this year with plans to meet with investors at conferences and related events. With that, I'll turn the call over to Pam.

Thanks Todd and good afternoon everyone. Q2 was a solid quarter as credit performance continued to improve during the seasonally strongest period of the year. Total revenue increased 13.5% to $122.5 million. Net originations decreased 10.8% year-over-year to $200.6 million due to our strategic focus on profitable growth that emphasizes quality over quantity and the narrow credit box open to the lowest risk credit segments in the addressable market. New customer originations for the quarter decreased by 30.3% year-over-year, while existing customer originations increased by 13.8%. Our annualized net charge-off rate as a percentage of average receivables was 46.6% for the second quarter compared to 51.9% for the prior year quarter, and 61.8% in the first quarter of 2023. As the percentage of total revenue the annualized net charge-off rate for the second quarter was 36.2% compared to 43.5% in the comparable period last year, and 49% in the first quarter of 2023. To reiterate what Todd discussed earlier we now expect the net charge-off rates to increase sequentially in the third and fourth quarters due to seasonally weaker loan vintages from earlier this year, while improving in both of those quarters on a year-over-year basis. For the full year we anticipate significant improvement from last year. Turning to expenses, total expenses for the second quarter totaled $56.2 million, or 45.9% of total revenue compared to $58.8 million or 54.5% of total revenue for the second quarter of 2022. The year-over-year decrease was primarily the result of lower direct marketing spend due to the mix shift partially offset by higher interest expense. Interest expense for the second quarter totaled $11.2 million or 9.2% of total revenue compared to $7.9 million or 7.3% of total revenue for the same period last year. The increase was due to higher interest rates on our credit facilities utilized to fund originations over the past year. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $35.7 million for the second quarter, a 78.7% increase from $20 million for the comparable period last year, driven by both lower net charge-offs and operating expenses. Adjusted net income was $16.3 million for the second quarter, more than doubling from $6.8 million for Q2 last year. Adjusted earnings per share was $0.19 compared to $0.08 for the second quarter last year. For the three months ended June 30, 2023 OppFi had $84.8 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Our balance sheet remains strong with cash, cash equivalence and restricted cash of $62.1 million, total debt of $331.9 million, ending receivables of $397.8 million and equity of $177 million as of quarter end. We believe we have ample liquidity available to support our current growth plans with $537.1 million in total capacity to fund receivables at the end of the second quarter. In late July we also announced the upsizing our revolving credit facility with affiliates of Atalaya Capital Management to $250 million. We appreciate Atalaya's confidence in us and the strengthening of our business relationship. The increased capacity will be used to fund receivables growth, which we expect to generate incremental profitable growth. Turning now to our outlook; for full year 2023 we are reaffirming guidance for total revenue of $500 million to $520 million, which applies growth of 10% to 15% year-over-year. In addition, we are increasing guidance for adjusted net income to between $29 million and $35 million from the $24 million to $30 million prior range. As a result, we are also raising our outlook for adjusted earnings per share to between $0.34 and $0.41 from the $0.28 to $0.35 previous range. While we're now providing formal quarterly guidance, I'd like to share additional details for how we're thinking about the second half of the year. We expect to resume year-over-year origination's growth in the third and fourth quarters. For revenue we're anticipating low- to mid-single-digit growth in Q3 and then acceleration to low-double digit growth in Q4. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from David Scharf with JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Good afternoon and thanks for taking my questions. Todd, little bit of, I guess more of a philosophical or strategic question for you. This whole learning season investors and analysts been asking managements about after credit tightening, what do they – what do they need to see to get more aggressive or to open their credit box a bit? But I'm more interested in kind of hearing your thoughts about how we ought to think about what your kind of longer term vision is for OppFi in terms of growth rate? You've talked a lot about quality over quantity maximizing returns over just top line or balance sheet growth. Do you have a certain ceiling in your mind in terms of regardless of the opportunities out there of how much you're willing to sort of grow the portfolio or rather is it going to continue to be sort of opportunistic depending on the cycle?

Yes. Thanks David. Good question. Well, so first of all I pointed this out on other calls. Back in 2019 we were originating two segments that today we originate zero of and we could double our addressable market essentially overnight, but it's obviously there's cyclicality to the business in the consumer segment. The consumers had a great run. We founded this business in 2012. We had a credit cycle for seven straight years where we had really, really strong performance, and then obviously with COVID and everything else that happened we've adjusted, and that's what – that's what's great about our team. We're nimble and we're able to adjust to the market dynamics. Right now, I'm proud that we've been able to increase revenue and grow even with and with much stronger quality right on the credit side. And I also – we're seeing, we're still being a little bit that we're being real disciplined on the credit. I do think though that there's going to be a time when the consumer – this cycle's out and we will be able to open up some more segments, and like I said, it virtually doubles our addressable market. 40% of our originations, I mentioned new loans in 2019 came from those segments and we're no longer originating loan. So for that being said, I think I'm really proud of the team and our marketing funnel optimization has been really great. We've brought on some new partners. We have actually some strategic initiatives in the pipeline to open up potentially some new geographies but we have nothing to report now, but we're working on some of that as well. So right now we're comfortable with where we're at and with the credit we’re getting, we also were able to find some model enhancements, right? We were able to take some of the data from some of the losses last year and have been able to actually increase growth in certain segments and pockets because of that data. So that's really exciting as well.

Got it. No that's helpful. I mean, it kind of sounds like we're not going to be drinking from a fire hose as soon as you see sort of macro factors change, it's going to be more measured in kind of predictable growth going forward?

Yes. That's...

One follow-up; you mentioned on the marketing side, and I know I think in your prepared remarks or in the press release you talked about the marketing cost per funded loan, down over 20%. Can you just update us on sort of the channel mix? I mean, where direct mail versus digital, whether there's any kind of concentration with particular sites like a LendingTree or so forth?

Yes. So we don't – we keep all our partners at less than 10%. We really – we really make sure that we don't have that, that type of risk or concentration as some others in the place. We've also, direct mail is actually something that we see tremendous amount of ability to improve in. We really have been with COVID and with kind of what went on with the consumer; some of the modeling has become less predictive. So we have huge room to improve, and so we're achieving these results kind of even without that, that muscle fully – I would say fully at 100%, but I really have some interesting things there to deploy in upcoming quarters. We have partnerships with some of the ones you mentioned. One of – one thing that's been really great is our SEO is up 65. Our Search Engine Marketing Optimization have yielded 65% increase, I believe in applications and qualified apps. Our referral program continues to be a really strong driver of high quality consumers that we're able to originate for on behalf of the bank partners. And so we have a nice mix shift where we don't allow any one partner or vertical to be too much of our current origination platform to keep it fully diversified.

Got it. Hey last question, just on the guidance, maybe clarification. I was going to originally, I had scribbled down here to ask about maybe what was behind the second half trajectory in terms of earnings being much more kind of front end loaded after the Q2 results. But Pam commented about the loss rates. Am I correct in that, that's pretty much the predominant driver in the more pronounced seasonality versus maybe what we had modeled is the increase in loss rates seasonally in the second half?

Yes, I think it's the continued discipline of growing at high single digit, right, also affects that number, right, as a percentage of revenue, right? So we're going to be remain disciplined in a normalized environment if there was maybe a little bit more growth out there obviously that may be a little bit of a different conversation. But we had a really strong fourth quarter vintage coming into the first quarter of tax refund. And we also – our real great story is our recoveries, right? Our recoveries are up 90% year-over-year. Our values-based recovery strategy that we implemented, also our tech and product team revamped the whole payments portal for our consumers and made it easier for consumers to interact with payments and our service delivery to be able to power that. And so, we did a lot of the strategic decisions last year and they were very tough decisions and we kind of have told The Street, and our analysts and our investors kind of there was going to be minimal profitability. We remained profitable for the year. But all those things we did kind of came better than expected in the second quarter and we continue to benefit from that in the third and fourth quarters. But yes, I mean, as you start to originate throughout the year, there is a little normalization on the losses, but we still are very, very encouraged about our approach. Our OpEx is at the right level of where we think the business needs to be. And I think with our acquisition costs and, losses, kind of trending normally, we're in a good spot.

Got it. Perfect. Thanks so much.

Next question comes from Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Hey guys. Thank you. Hey, one thing, you called out besides improving credit and expense leverage with some recent modeling enhancements. Could you just describe kind of what those were?

Yes. I mean without getting too technical some of the stuff we've seen on some of the customers income and on the bank side of attributes have been very, very helpful. Obviously like with inflation taking hold last year and people kind of having less discretionary to pay their obligations, we took a lot of that data and analyzed it very heavily and compared it back to years past. And that's one advantage we have is we have a really, really strong set of 10 years of data to pull from and find things that have become more predictive in this environment and inflationary environment. Albeit, unemployment remains low, people are employed, and so that's the positive here. And we were able to derive some additional attributes in our credit modeling that have helped increase originations. I mean, ultimately we are a credit access business and we're trying to find more borrowers that we can serve, but we have to do it within the confines of loss rates and what's acceptable for our business. And so that's what's great about some of this modeling is you can increase some volume while also re reducing some losses. And so, feel really good about the contribution the credit team made there. And we will continue to find more attributes and more analysis to help.

Got it. And it looks like you have ample liquidity. How are you seeing the competitive environment today?

Yes, I mean, listen, we‘re – we always judge our competitive by the match rate. So, we have a TurnUp program where when customers come to us organically, we first check them against a consortium of lower cost lenders before we engage, right? So that's one of our brand promises is to provide a lower rate or the best available product if we can. And that match rate has increased in the second quarter. The first part of the year it was running at about 10%, it's kind of gone. So, there is definitely some increased competition from lower APR providers. Listen, as much as that that does inhibit our growth little, it's actually part of our brand process and we're happy for our customers if they can get a lower rate that really is kind of what we set out to do when we founded OppFi. So it is part of the thing. I have to say though, if you look at our mix shift and you look at the lower risk segments we've originated significantly more of the lower risk credit despite that in the quarter and in the first quarter as well. And they are performing on par with our expectations of having a much higher quality book.

Got it. And then just lastly, it looks like Salary Tap and the OppFi Card, you guys are kind of shutting down. Any charge associated with that or cost savings we should think about going forward?

We have written that portfolio down, Mike, and you will note that when you read our 10-Q. It was originally held for sale, we are no longer marketing it. And so, winding it down is what we're looking at.

Got it. Got it. And then the people working on it, are they reallocated or is there any cost days by winding those down or…

Minimal.

Minimal. The people – most of the people have been redeployed in other aspects of our business.

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

[Operator Instructions] Since there are no further questions at this time, I would like to turn the floor back over to Todd Schwartz, CEO, and Executive Chairman for closing comments.

Thanks everyone for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again in November when we report third quarter results.