NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG Energy, Inc.

NRGยทNYSE

$133.39

-0.28%
UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated power company in the United States. It operates through Texas, East, and West. The company is involved in the producing, selling, and delivering electricity and related products and services to approximately 6 million residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers. It generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage. The company also provides system power, distributed generation, renewable products, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, demand response, and energy efficiency, and advisory services, as well as carbon management and specialty services; and on-site energy solutions. In addition, it trades in electric power, natural gas, and related commodities; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. Further, the company procures fuels; provides transportation services; and directly sells energy, services, and products and services to retail customers under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, Stream, and XOOM Energy. As of December 31, 2021, it owns and leases power generation portfolio with approximately 18,000 megawatts of capacity at 25 plants. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$28.14B
EPS4.0900
P/E Ratio32.61
Earnings Date08/05/2026
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NRG Energy, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NRG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NRG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 194.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 162.00 to a high of 211.00.

Lowest Target
162.00
21.45%
Consensus Target
194.50
45.81%
Highest Target
211.00
58.18%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 194.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 162.00 to a high of 211.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+45.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

25.2% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
30.71B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
34.72B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
30.41B - 38.23B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+13.1%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
864.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.36B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.61B - 2.57B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+172.7%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread41%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
4.09
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$9.27
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$7.59 - $12.14
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+126.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread49%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
1.85B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.83B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.48B - 3.12B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+53.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
3.81B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
4.29B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.76B - 4.73B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+12.8%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

NRG ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
4.84B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.23B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.95B - 2.45B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-54.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread23%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NRG Energy, Inc. Insider Positioning

NRG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.35B worth of NRG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.0K

783.25K

Net Activity

-783K

-$783K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

14.3M

2.35B

Net Activity

-2.3B

-$2.35B

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

30.7K

4.93M

Net Activity

-4.9M

-$4.93M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
LPEAL

Ls Power Equity Advisors, Llc

10 Percent Owner

14.3M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.35B

2
KV

Kinney Virginia

Officer: Exec Vp, Chief Admin Officer

25.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$4.06M

3
LD

Liyanearachchi Dak

Officer: Exec Vp, Chief Technology Ofc.

10.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.65M

4
CB

Chung Bruce

Officer: Evp & Cfo

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$766K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.35B net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$783K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.