Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.

NP·NYSE

$24.31

-7.4%
TechnologySoftware - Application

A data-driven managing general agent for flood insurance. Sells residential and commercial flood insurance (primary & excess), and parametric earthquake insurance. Uses AI and machine learning platforms (e.g. underwriting engine "Triton", policy management "Poseidon"), distributes via agency network, and does not take balance sheet risk or handle claims themselves; rather, insurance and reinsurance carriers do.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.31B
EPS-0.2000
P/E Ratio-121.55
Earnings Date06/03/2026
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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Street Expectations Map

NP · NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NP stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.81, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 32.50.

Lowest Target
20.00
-17.73%
Consensus Target
27.81
14.40%
Highest Target
32.50
33.69%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.81, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 32.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+14.4%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

44.9% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.90x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

NP · NYSE
Latest Revenue
159.55M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
196.58M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
195.24M - 199.55M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+23.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

NP · NYSE
Latest Net Income
37.41M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
73.55M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
70.77M - 76.32M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+96.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

NP · NYSE
Latest EPS
-0.20
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.53
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.51 - $0.55
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+366.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

NP · NYSE
Latest EBIT
71.88M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
99.50M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
98.83M - 101.01M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+38.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

NP · NYSE
Latest EBITDA
75.59M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
104.37M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
103.67M - 105.95M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+38.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

NP · NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
10.02M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
13.70M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
13.61M - 13.91M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+36.7%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Insider Positioning

NP · NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $4.91M and sold $326.87M worth of NP shares, resulting in $321.96M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

50.0K

935.35K

Sold

11.3M

298.78M

Net Activity

-297.8M

-$297.85M

3-6 Months

Bought

23.0K

494.41K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+494K

+$494K

6-9 Months

Bought

174.1K

3.48M

Sold

1.5M

28.09M

Net Activity

-24.6M

-$24.61M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
SJ

Steiner James

Director, Officer: Cfo And Secretary

119.0K shares1 transactions

$2.38M

2
BTR

Burgess Trevor R

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo & Chairman Of The Board

100.0K shares2 transactions

$1.94M

3
VMW

Vostrizansky Michael Warren

Director

23.0K shares1 transactions

$494K

4
CJW

Carlon Jonathan Winant

Director

5.0K shares1 transactions

$100K

Top Sellers

1
FVL

Ftv Vii, L.P.

10 Percent Owner

6.7M shares3 transactions

$172.16M

2
BH1L

Bsiv Hold 101, Lp

10 Percent Owner

6.1M shares3 transactions

$154.71M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $321.96M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.02:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$297.85M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

4 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.