NIQ Global Intelligence Plc
$8.22
-7.7%NIQ Global Intelligence Plc is a consumer intelligence company that provides an AI-powered platform for analyzing shopping data. Its services offer insights into global consumer behavior, supporting strategic and operational decisions for brands, retailers, and other clients. The company operates across three geographical segments: the Americas (North and Latin America), EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa), and APAC (Asia and the western Pacific). NIQ was founded on June 6, 2017, and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -29.4).
Valuation inputs: P/E -29.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum -7.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -7.5%, ROIC -0.2%).
Profitability stack: net margin -1.8%, ROE -7.5%, ROIC -0.2%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +82.0%, momentum -7.7%, net margin -1.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Fair Value Envelope
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that NIQ stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.40, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 21.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.40, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 21.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.24M worth of NIQ shares, with no selling activity reported.
3 Months
118.6K
1.00M
0
0.00
+1.0M
+$1.00M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
72.5K
1.24M
0
0.00
+1.2M
+$1.24M
Top Buyers
Peck James M
Director, Officer: See Remarks
$1.51M
Massey Tracey Ann
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$305K
Kapoor Mohit
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$251K
Miller Curtis John
Officer: Chief Strategy Officer
$170K
Top Sellers
No selling activity
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $2.24M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero selling—the most bullish possible insider signal.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
4 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
niq Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on NIQ by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.