NGVC - NYSE
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
$28.61
-1.7%Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. The company's stores offer natural and organic grocery products, such as organic produce; bulk food products; private label products comprising pasta, pasta sauce, ketchup, canned beans and vegetables, frozen vegetables, frozen fruits, frozen meals, frozen pizza, bread, baking mixes, plant based butter, olive and coconut oil, coconut milk, honey, maple syrup, preserves, chocolate, coffee, bacon, beef jerky, canned seafood, popcorn, tortilla chips, taco shells, eggs, cheese, apple sauce, apple cider vinegar, spring water, paper products, cleaning products, and other products; dry, frozen, and canned groceries; meat and seafood products; dairy products, dairy substitutes, and eggs; prepared foods; bread and baked products; beverages; and beer, wine, and hard cider products. Its stores also provide private label dietary supplements; body care products consisting of cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care products containing natural and organic ingredients; pet care and food products; books and handouts; and household and general merchandise, including cleaning supplies, paper products, and dish and laundry soaps, as well as other common household products, such as diapers. The company operates its retail stores under the Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage trademark. As of February 1, 2022, it operated 162 stores in 20 states. The company also offers science-based nutrition education programs to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that NGVC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 40.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 40.00 to a high of 40.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 40.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 40.00 to a high of 40.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $276K worth of NGVC shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
3.0K
87.12K
-87K
-$87K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
4.5K
189.02K
-189K
-$189K
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Isely Lark
Other: 13D Group Member
$189K
Isely Charity
Other: 13D Group Member
$87K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $276K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.
Related Guides
Continue your NGVC research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.