MPC - NYSE
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
$267.21
+1.6%Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Refining & Marketing, and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures aromatics, propane, propylene, and sulfur. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 7,159 brand jobber outlets in 37 states, the District of Columbia, and Mexico through independent entrepreneurs. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotMarathon Petroleum Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that MPC stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 239.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 174.00 to a high of 285.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 239.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 174.00 to a high of 285.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.
Key Insight
Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertainty—exercise caution.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.
Key Insight
Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertainty—exercise caution.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Declining expectations indicate headwinds—investigate whether temporary or structural issues.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.
Key Insight
Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertainty—exercise caution.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $5.09M worth of MPC shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
4.1K
954.42K
-954K
-$954K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
5.3K
1.07M
-1.1M
-$1.07M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
18.3K
3.07M
-3.1M
-$3.07M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Benson Molly R
Officer: Chief Legal Ofc & Corp Sec
$1.77M
Rucker Kim K.W.
Director
$1.29M
Henschen Michael A Ii
Officer: Ex Vp, Refining
$1.07M
Hessling Ricky D.
Officer: Chief Commercial Officer
$954K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $5.09M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
Related Guides
Continue your MPC research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.