Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.

MEGยทNYSE

$15.64

+0.71%
IndustrialsWaste Management

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. operates as an environmental services company in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Assessment, Permitting and Response; Measurement and Analysis; and Remediation and Reuse. The Assessment, Permitting and Response segment provides scientific advisory and consulting services to support environmental assessments, environmental emergency response and recovery, toxicology consulting and environmental audits and permits for current operations, facility upgrades, new projects, decommissioning projects, and development projects. Its technical advisory and consulting services include regulatory compliance support and planning, environmental, and ecosystem and toxicological assessments and support during responses to environmental disruptions. The Measurement and Analysis segment tests and analyzes air, water, and soil to determine concentrations of contaminants, as well as the toxicological impact of contaminants on flora, fauna, and human health. Its services include source and ambient air testing and monitoring, leak detection, and advanced analytical laboratory services, such as air, storm water, wastewater, and drinking water analysis. The Remediation and Reuse segment provides engineering, design, implementation, and operations and maintenance services primarily to treat contaminated water, remove contaminants from soil, or create biogas from waste. It serves technology, media, chemical, energy, power and utility, industrial and manufacturing, financial, and engineering industries, as well as local, state, provincial, and federal government entities. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in North Little Rock, Arkansas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$565.70M
EPS-0.1400
P/E Ratio-1034.44
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1034.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1034.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -0.2%, ROIC -0.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -0.1%, ROE -0.2%, ROIC -0.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +54.0%, momentum +0.7%, net margin -0.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MEG ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

MEG ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MEG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $15.64, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Montrose Environmental Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $15.64
3Y-91.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-82.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+153.0%
10Y+340.0%
3Y-97.0%
5Y-99.0%
10Y-95.0%
3Y+420.0%
5Y+5710.0%
10Y-3878.0%
3Y+756.0%
5Y-1638.0%
10Y-1411.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+63.0%
10Y+319.0%
Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

MEG ยท NYSE
Revenue830.54M
Cost of Goods Sold (547.11M)
Gross Profit283.43M
Operating Expenses (270.81M)
Operating Income12.62M
Interest Expense (19.57M)
Other Income/Expense-1.40M
Pretax Income11.22M
Income Tax (12.06M)
Net Income-843.00K
Net Income
-843.00K

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

34.1%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

1.5%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

-0.1%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Effective Tax Rate

107.5%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

34.13%
Gross Profit Margin
-15%
3Y-4.0%
5Y-1.0%
10Y+19.0%
1.52%
Operating Profit Margin
-129%
3Y-130.0%
5Y-122.0%
10Y-127.0%
-0.10%
Net Profit Margin
-99%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-99.0%
10Y-99.0%
-0.19%
Return on Equity
-99%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-99.0%
-0.09%
Return on Assets
-99%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-99.0%
10Y-99.0%
-0.11%
Return on Invested Capital
-97%
3Y-97.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-97.0%
MEG

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

MEG ยท NYSE
Net Income-843.00K
Depreciation & Amortization50.91M
Stock-Based Compensation42.72M
Change in Working Capital2.97M
Others1.81M
Capital Expenditures-16.32M
Free Cash Flow91.16M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-10813.6%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

15.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+10006.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$2.97M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

MEG ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents10.05M
Net Receivables117.61M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets88.98M
Total Current Assets217 M
Property, Plant & Equipment135.81M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets586.33M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets9.24M
Total Non-Current Assets145 M
Total Assets
948.02M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.84x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.15x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

99 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

23% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

MEG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MEG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 49.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 43.00 to a high of 54.00.

Lowest Target
43.00
174.94%
Consensus Target
49.33
215.41%
Highest Target
54.00
245.27%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 49.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 43.00 to a high of 54.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+215.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

22.3% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

MEG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $5.50M worth of MEG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

54.0K

1.38M

Net Activity

-1.4M

-$1.38M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

112.2K

3.13M

Net Activity

-3.1M

-$3.13M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

39.8K

980.09K

Net Activity

-980K

-$980K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
RJ

Revuelta Jose

Officer: Chief Strategy Officer

110.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$3.07M

2
MV

Manthripragada Vijay

Director, Officer: President & Ceo

85.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.15M

3
PJT

Presby J Thomas

Director

9.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$275K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.50M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.38M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
ย 

meg Dividend History

MEG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%