Main Street Capital Corporation

Main Street Capital Corporation

MAINยทNYSE

$50.71

-1.7%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company specializes in equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializing in recapitalizations, management buyouts, refinancing, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, industry consolidation, mature, later stage emerging growth. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, recapitalizations and refinancing. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides one stop financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, consumer discretionary, energy, materials, technology, and transportation. The firm typically invests in lower middle market companies generally with annual revenues between $5 million and $300 million. It prefers to invest in ranging between $2 million and $75 million in equity investment and enterprise value in ranging between $3 million and $20 million. The firm typically prefers to invest in the range of $5 million and $50 million per transaction in debt investment value and in the range of $1 million and $20 million in annual EBITDA. The firm's middle market debt investments are made in businesses that are generally larger in size than its lower middle market portfolio companies. It takes 5 percent minority and up to 50 percent majority equity investments. Main Street Capital Corporation was founded in 2007 and is based in Houston, Texas with an additional office in Chojnรณw, Poland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.72B
EPS5.5200
P/E Ratio9.19
Earnings Date08/06/2026
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Main Street Capital Corporation Street Expectations Map

MAIN ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MAIN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 70.00.

Lowest Target
50.00
-1.40%
Consensus Target
59.20
16.74%
Highest Target
70.00
38.04%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 70.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+16.7%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

33.8% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

27.17x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
644.50M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
582.66M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
581.92M - 583.61M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-9.6%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
493.40M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
339.60M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
332.38M - 346.83M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-31.2%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
5.52
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$3.81
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$3.72 - $3.88
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-31.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
520.20M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
434.54M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
433.99M - 435.25M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-16.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
526.71M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
435.71M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
435.17M - 436.43M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-17.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

MAIN ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
73.75M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
13.43M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
13.41M - 13.45M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-81.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Main Street Capital Corporation Insider Positioning

MAIN ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.78M worth of MAIN shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

28.2K

1.78M

Net Activity

-1.8M

-$1.78M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
MN

Meserve Nicholas

Officer: Managing Director

14.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$940K

2
MJE

Morris Jesse E

Director, Officer: Evp And Coo

10.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$605K

3
BJB

Beauvais Jason B

Officer: Evp, Gc, Secretary

4.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$236K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.78M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.