Stride, Inc.

Stride, Inc.

LRNยทNYSE

$99.63

+3.2%
Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training Services

Stride, Inc., a technology-based education service company, provides proprietary and third-party online curriculum, software systems, and educational services to facilitate individualized learning for students primarily in kindergarten through 12th grade (K-12) in the United States and internationally. Its technology-based products and services enable clients to attract, enroll, educate, track progress, and support students. The company offers integrated package of systems, services, products, and professional expertise to support a virtual or blended public school; individual online courses and supplemental educational products; and products and services for the general education market focused on subjects, including math, English, science, and history for kindergarten through twelfth grade students. It also provides career learning products and services that are focused on developing skills to enter in industries, including information technology, health care, and business; and focused post-secondary career learning programs, which include skills training for software engineering, healthcare, and medical fields to adult learners under Galvanize, Tech Elevator, and MedCerts brand names, as well as provides staffing and talent development services to employers. Stride, Inc. serves public and private schools, school districts, charter boards, consumers, employers, and government agencies. The company was formerly known as K12 Inc. and changed its name to Stride, Inc. in December 2020. Stride, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.24B
EPS6.6900
P/E Ratio14.89
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.9, earnings yield +6.7%, momentum +3.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +19.5%, ROIC +13.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +12.0%, ROE +19.5%, ROIC +13.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +35.5%, momentum +3.2%, net margin +12.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Stride, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LRN ยท NYSE
Current Price
$99.63
EPS (TTM)
$7.17

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+7.2%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Earnings are growing but price is fallingโ€”potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.

Stock Price Change

-31.3%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 31.3%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

14.9x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

With growing earnings (+7.2%) and a relatively low P/E ratio (14.9x), the stock may be undervalued if the growth trend continues.

Stride, Inc.

Stride, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

LRN ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that LRN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $99.63, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Stride, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $99.63
3Y+159.0%
5Y+979.0%
10Y+2688.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+131.0%
10Y+176.0%
3Y+169.0%
5Y+1075.0%
10Y+3087.0%
3Y+109.0%
5Y+438.0%
10Y+255.0%
3Y+168.0%
5Y+953.0%
10Y+533.0%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+114.0%
10Y+213.0%
Stride, Inc.

Stride, Inc. Profit Bridge

LRN ยท NYSE
Revenue2.41B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.46B)
Gross Profit943.92M
Operating Expenses (583.83M)
Operating Income360.09M
Interest Expense (10.50M)
Other Income/Expense20.85M
Pretax Income380.95M
Income Tax (93.01M)
Net Income287.94M
Net Income
287.94M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

39.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

15.0%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

12.0%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

39.24%
Gross Profit Margin
5%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+5.0%
14.97%
Operating Profit Margin
22%
3Y+61.0%
5Y+380.0%
10Y+839.0%
11.97%
Net Profit Margin
20%
3Y+88.0%
5Y+408.0%
10Y+1056.0%
19.46%
Return on Equity
12%
3Y+48.0%
5Y+436.0%
10Y+1103.0%
12.55%
Return on Assets
18%
3Y+93.0%
5Y+450.0%
10Y+920.0%
13.31%
Return on Invested Capital
21%
3Y+63.0%
5Y+416.0%
10Y+848.0%
LRN

Stride, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

LRN ยท NYSE
Net Income287.94M
Depreciation & Amortization114.67M
Stock-Based Compensation36.79M
Change in Working Capital-76.87M
Others88.06M
Capital Expenditures-60.01M
Free Cash Flow372.81M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

129.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

13.9%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+71.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$76.87M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Stride, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

LRN ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents614.05M
Net Receivables854.87M
Inventory21.50M
Other Current Assets12.00M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment111.08M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets404.42M
Long-Term Investments50.20M
Other Non-Current Assets122.45M
Total Non-Current Assets284 M
Total Assets
2.45B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

6.21x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.49x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

72% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Stride, Inc. Street Expectations Map

LRN ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that LRN stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 109.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 94.00 to a high of 125.00.

Lowest Target
94.00
-5.65%
Consensus Target
109.50
9.91%
Highest Target
125.00
25.46%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 109.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 94.00 to a high of 125.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+9.9%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

28.3% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

4.51x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Stride, Inc. Insider Positioning

LRN ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.27M worth of LRN shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

14.0K

2.27M

Net Activity

-2.3M

-$2.27M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
RJJ

Rhyu James Jeaho

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

14.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.27M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.27M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

No Dividend Yield Data

LRN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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lrn Dividend History

LRN
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%