$290.67
-0.95%Lithia Motors, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Domestic, Import, and Luxury. It offers new and used vehicles; vehicle financing services; warranties, insurance contracts, and vehicle and theft protection services; and automotive repair and maintenance services, as well as sells vehicle body and parts under the Driveway and GreenCars brand names. As of February 18, 2022, the company operated through 278 stores. It also offers its products online through 300 websites. Lithia Motors, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Medford, Oregon.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.1B | $2.2B | $4.3B | $8.7B | $17.4B | $34.7B | $69.5B | $139.0B | $277.9B | $555.8B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$140.4M | -$280.7M | -$561.4M | -$1.1B | -$2.2B | -$4.5B | -$9.0B | -$18.0B | -$35.9B | -$71.9B |
| Owner Earnings | $945.2M | $1.9B | $3.8B | $7.6B | $15.1B | $30.2B | $60.5B | $121.0B | $242.0B | $484.0B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $875.2M | $1.6B | $3.0B | $5.6B | $10.3B | $19.1B | $35.3B | $65.4B | $121.1B | $224.2B |
Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.