The St. Joe Company

The St. Joe Company

JOEยทNYSE

$64.49

+0.35%
Real EstateReal Estate - Diversified

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in Northwest Florida. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment plans and develops residential communities of various sizes for homebuilders or retail consumers. It primarily sells developed homesites and parcels of entitled or undeveloped land. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment also plans, develops, entitles, manages, and sells commercial land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products. The company owns 170,000 acres of land in Northwest Florida. The St. Joe Company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.70B
EPS2.0000
P/E Ratio32.24
Earnings Date07/22/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 32.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E 32.2, earnings yield +3.1%, momentum +0.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +15.1%, ROIC +63.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +22.5%, ROE +15.1%, ROIC +63.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +48.9%, momentum +0.4%, net margin +22.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

joe

The St. Joe Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

JOE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

The St. Joe Company

The St. Joe Company Fair Value Envelope

JOE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that JOE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $64.49, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The St. Joe Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $64.49
3Y+65.0%
5Y+160.0%
10Y+852.0%
3Y+103.0%
5Y+220.0%
10Y+436.0%
3Y+63.0%
5Y+156.0%
10Y+627.0%
3Y+295.0%
5Y+411.0%
10Y+1381.0%
3Y-188.0%
5Y-321.0%
10Y+1771.0%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+48.0%
The St. Joe Company

The St. Joe Company Profit Bridge

JOE ยท NYSE
Revenue513.32M
Cost of Goods Sold (35.81M)
Gross Profit477.51M
Operating Expenses (331.26M)
Operating Income146.25M
Interest Expense (77.11M)
Other Income/Expense8.88M
Pretax Income155.11M
Income Tax (39.23M)
Net Income115.63M
Net Income
115.63M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

93.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

28.5%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

22.5%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

25.3%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

93.02%
Gross Profit Margin
124%
3Y+121.0%
5Y+80.0%
10Y+159.0%
28.49%
Operating Profit Margin
20%
3Y+17.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+1335.0%
22.53%
Net Profit Margin
22%
3Y-20.0%
5Y-20.0%
10Y+36.0%
15.09%
Return on Equity
47%
3Y+34.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+552.0%
7.62%
Return on Assets
58%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+75.0%
10Y+392.0%
63.93%
Return on Invested Capital
1242%
3Y+1746.0%
5Y+1664.0%
10Y+49731.0%
JOE

The St. Joe Company Cash Conversion Engine

JOE ยท NYSE
Net Income115.88M
Depreciation & Amortization47.47M
Stock-Based Compensation1.23M
Change in Working Capital4.85M
Others27.48M
Capital Expenditures-4.06M
Free Cash Flow186.64M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

161.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

2.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+221.5%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$4.85M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

joe

The St. Joe Company Funding & Solvency Profile

JOE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents136.28M
Net Receivables40.49M
Inventory3.84M
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets191 M
Property, Plant & Equipment41.32M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments270.48M
Other Non-Current Assets1.02B
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
1.52B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.01x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.96x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

96 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

13% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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The St. Joe Company Street Expectations Map

JOE ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for joe.

joe

The St. Joe Company Insider Positioning

JOE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $80.53M worth of JOE shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

514.6K

33.99M

Net Activity

-34.0M

-$33.99M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

229.9K

15.20M

Net Activity

-15.2M

-$15.20M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

616.0K

31.34M

Net Activity

-31.3M

-$31.34M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BBR

Berkowitz Bruce R

10 Percent Owner

1.4M sharesโ€ข26 transactions

$80.53M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $80.53M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$33.99M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.25%
Dividend Yield
-64%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+37.0%
10Y-
ย 

joe Dividend History

JOE
10Y CAGR +7%
Latest $0.16
Annual $0.76
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%