Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.

HRTGยทNYSE

$20.88

-1.5%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides personal and commercial residential insurance products. The company offers personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, and rental property insurance in the states of Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Virginia; commercial residential insurance for properties in Florida, New Jersey, and New York; and licensed in the state of Pennsylvania, as well as personal residential and wind-only property insurance. It also provides restoration, and emergency and recovery services; and property management, and reinsurance services. The company writes personal line policies through a network of retail independent agents, wholesale agents, and a partnership with a direct agency, as well as indirectly to approximately 1,500 retail locations through eight wholesale agency relationships; and personal and commercial insurance policies through a network of approximately 70 independent agencies. Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$633.71M
EPS6.3300
P/E Ratio3.30
Earnings Date08/04/2026
hrtg

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

HRTG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that HRTG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 36.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 36.00 to a high of 36.00.

Lowest Target
36.00
72.41%
Consensus Target
36.00
72.41%
Highest Target
36.00
72.41%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 36.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 36.00 to a high of 36.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+72.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
847.33M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
861.06M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
857.60M - 864.51M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1.6%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
195.59M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
131.43M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
127.55M - 138.31M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-32.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
6.33
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$4.30
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$4.12 - $4.47
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-32.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread8%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
267.15M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
552.81M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
550.59M - 555.03M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+106.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
279.85M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
563.01M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
560.75M - 565.26M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+101.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

HRTG ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
92.97M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
91.29M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
90.92M - 91.66M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-1.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

HRTG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $24K and sold $4.99M worth of HRTG shares, resulting in $4.97M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

1.0K

24.45K

Sold

86.3K

2.31M

Net Activity

-2.3M

-$2.28M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

39.7K

1.08M

Net Activity

-1.1M

-$1.08M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

60.2K

1.60M

Net Activity

-1.6M

-$1.60M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
WPL

Whiting Paul L

Director

1.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$24K

Top Sellers

1
GEJ

Garateix Ernie J

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

87.9K sharesโ€ข13 transactions

$2.40M

2
MT

Moura Timothy

Officer: See Remarks

52.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.39M

3
LK

Lusk Kirk

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

28.3K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$719K

4
BS

Binnun Sharon

Officer: Chief Accounting Officer

17.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$491K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $4.97M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.28M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.