Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

HIMSยทNYSE

$27.51

+3.5%
HealthcareMedical - Equipment & Services

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. operates a multi-specialty telehealth platform that connects consumers to licensed healthcare professionals. The company offers a range of health and wellness products and services available to purchase on its websites and mobile application directly by customers. It also provides prescription medication on a recurring basis and ongoing care from healthcare providers; and over-the-counter drug and device products, cosmetics, and supplement products, primarily focusing on wellness, sexual health and wellness, skincare, and hair care. The company's curated non-prescription products include vitamin C, melatonin, biotin, and collagen protein supplements in the wellness category; moisturizer, serums, and face wash in the skincare category; condoms, climax delay spray and wipes, vibrators, and lubricants in the sexual health and wellness category; and shampoos, conditioners, scalp scrubs, and topical treatments, such as minoxidil in the hair care category. In addition, it offers medical consultation services, as well as health and wellness products through wholesale partners. The company is based in San Francisco, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$6.14B
EPS0.5700
P/E Ratio48.26
Earnings Date08/03/2026

Earnings Call Transcript

HIMS โ€ข 2025 โ€ข Q2

Operator
Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Hims & Hers Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Bill Newby, Head of Investor Relations. Bill, please go ahead.
Bill Newby
Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Hims & Hers Health Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Today, after the market closed, we released this quarter's shareholder letter, a copy of which you can find on our website at investors.hims.com. On the call with me today is Andrew Dudum, our Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer; Yemi Okupe, our Chief Financial Officer; and our new Chief Technology Officer, Mo Elshenawy. Before I hand it over to Andrew, I need to remind you of legal safe harbor and cautionary declarations. Certain statements and projections of future results made in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements that are based on, among other things, our current market, competitors and regulatory expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary materially. We take no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statement after this call, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions or otherwise. Please see our most recently filed 10-K and 10-Q reports for a discussion of risk factors as they relate to forward-looking statements. In today's presentation, we also have certain non-GAAP financial measures. We refer you to the reconciliation tables to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures contained in today's press release and shareholder letter. You can find this information as well as a link to today's webcast at investors.hims.com. After the call, this webcast will be archived on the website for 12 months. And with that, I will turn the call over to Andrew.
Andrew Dudum
Thanks, Bill. The momentum we saw through the first half of 2025 is proof that our platform is delivering exactly what millions of people have been waiting for, access to personalized, high-quality care that meets people where they are. From the beginning, we have believed that medicine should be centered on the individual, not the system. We are now seeing the market demanding just that. What we have built is working and it's working at scale. We're seeing it in the momentum of our business, in the results our customers are experiencing and the growing number of people choosing our platform to optimize their health and realize the benefits of precision medicine. For decades, only the wealthiest have enjoyed access to these benefits. We are now making them accessible to everyone. At the end of the second quarter, we were serving over 2.4 million subscribers on our platform with nearly 1.5 million collaborating with a provider to receive a personalized treatment, and that number continues to grow each day. We believe we're not just expanding access to care, we're fundamentally improving how it can be delivered. Today, our platform allows subscribers to access a network of nearly 1,500 world-class providers that can diagnose and treat concerns in a fraction of the time it can take in a traditional brick-and-mortar setting. It equips these providers with hundreds of options to address the unique needs of each individual patient with these options informed by millions of past clinical interactions and customer journeys. And it enables consistent and proactive support to be delivered seamlessly through the Hims & Hers apps. We believe this innovative and connected approach is leading to transformative results while also expanding the number of specialties we're positioned to address. I'd like to first touch on the customer successes we are witnessing today before diving deeper into where we're going next. We recently published a white paper containing an analysis of internal data highlighting what we're seeing in our weight loss specialty when care is personalized, holistic and readily available. The data reflected those customers on a personalized treatment plan inclusive of a GLP-1 treatment for 6 months reported losing on average 10.3% of their body weight and even more impressive is the number of individuals sticking with their plans. At 6 months, only 25% of customers on our platform had discontinued treatment. This is particularly encouraging when considering discontinuation rates in certain publicly available studies reached approximately 80% by 6 months. Our belief is that this strong retention is a result of three key factors. The first is provider access. It is not surprising that consumers are looking for deep engagement with a medical professional when starting and undergoing a new treatment. Our typical weight loss subscriber has six interactions with the provider in the first 3 months of beginning their treatment. The second is white glove customization. Providers are collaborating with subscribers to manage efficacy and side effects by assessing how subscribers are responding to treatments and then adjusting titration schedules and end dosages if clinically appropriate. The final element is the accessibility and clarity brought by app-based tools. Subscribers have the ability to receive clear treatment instructions and educational content while also accessing tools such as water intake trackers and calorie counters that help them live healthier lives. This approach and the resulting benefits were historically reserved for a privileged subset of the population. Today, we're broadening access to this model despite pushback from traditional incumbents who we believe seek to limit providers' ability to prescribe personalized treatments. Our belief is that these two key principles that have played a significant part in the success of our platform will become the industry standard in the years to come. First, the top priority is and will always be the protection of the consumers' interest. Our platform exists to serve the customer, and we ensure that the providers and the offerings and services that we make available are oriented toward delivering the best quality of care for our subscribers. Second, providers have complete independence in decision-making. We empower providers to exercise their own independent clinical judgment in making clinical decisions during each interaction. We've implemented multiple safeguards to ensure providers never feel that they have been coerced or forced in any way to make clinical decisions for business purposes. Over time, we expect more companies will recognize this as the future of health care and the ones who prioritize the customer above all else will be the ones who succeed. We look forward to partnering with those who share that vision. Now moving to where we're going next. As we build upon this vision and embark on our next chapter of growth, we look forward to bringing the same focus into new specialties. We believe these new specialties will expand our ability to address each individual customer and position us to achieve the 2030 targets we set out last quarter of at least $6.5 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA. Our upcoming launch in hormonal health marks a significant step forward along this path. For men, low testosterone often causes fatigue, decreased libido and an overall diminished quality of life, while women face menopause challenges like hot flashes, sleep disturbances and mood swings. Evidence also shows that treatment in these areas can help reduce the risks of heart disease and cognitive decline over the long term. Our approach will provide access to personalized solutions for both men and women to effectively manage these hormonal changes. We're excited to expand our offerings over time to help combat these conditions that are estimated to impact more than 50 million in the U.S. alone and have been under-recognized in traditional health care for decades. A key component to addressing the under- treatment of these conditions will be the integration of comprehensive and accessible lab testing. With our recent acquisition of a blood testing lab, we are in the process of verticalizing testing capabilities that will transform how we deliver access to care. Initially, we expect this will support our hormone launch offering. But in the coming quarters, we plan to begin offering lab testing as a stand-alone service. We expect this will result in a significant category on its own. We live in a country where normal biomarker ranges completely distort the perception of what optimal health looks like and access to lab testing can be overwhelming, expensive and intimidating. By offering access to simple, standardized tests tailored to the individual's need, we expect to empower customers to better understand their health and give them the ability to take proactive steps toward optimizing it. As we move into 2026, these insights will provide the foundation for our initial entry into longevity. In recent years, there has been an explosion of innovative treatments across immunity, recovery and improved metabolic function. We believe that by combining access to comprehensive lab work with a growing network of compounding and peptide facilities, we are well positioned to unlock broader access to thoughtful, proactive interventions that are not just reacting to certain conditions, but focused on helping individuals live longer, healthier lives. We believe each of these initiatives is laying the foundation for a future where a membership at Hims & Hers will cover the majority of conditions that impact an individual's everyday health. Eventually, we expect that we will transform our platform from a destination where customers come to treat issues to one where they come to prevent them. Alongside these opportunities, our teams are developing the technologies and data platform needed to deliver an increasingly comprehensive offering to tens of millions of subscribers. I'm excited to introduce Mo Elshenawy, our new Chief Technology Officer, who is leading these efforts. Mo's experience in partnering with regulatory bodies to design industry-defining frameworks, along with his work scaling AI for life and death decisions will be crucial in advancing Hims & Hers' technological capabilities. While we'll dive deeper into our technology road map at a later date, I'd like to briefly turn it over to Mo to share his vision and approach to making us a truly technology-first health care platform. Mohamed (Mo) Elshenawy Thanks, Andrew. I'm excited to be here and join the Hims & Hers team at what I believe is a critical moment in health care. One of the main reasons I joined Hims & Hers is the clear opportunity to drive change in an industry that has seen limited innovation despite significant advances in technology. The pace of innovation in health care has frankly been unacceptable, but Hims & Hers is in a unique position to change that. With a trusted brand, a massive and engaged customer base and consistent clinical support, we have already established a remarkable pipeline of structured data that providers and customers are benefiting from every day. We believe this will enable us to enhance every aspect of the patient journey from initial intake to treatment, follow-up and ongoing care. And with the addition of lab testing capabilities and the eventual planned integration of wearables, we will continue to build on this experience, delivering access to tailored and proactive care that can evolve with each customer. Moving forward, our vision is ambitious. It's to reinvent health care by making high-quality personalized care accessible to everyone everywhere. In the near term, we will focus on several key pillars as we work towards realizing this vision. First, we will ensure care is supported by a unified data and intelligence platform. Our multisource learning system will not only improve and personalize access to care at scale, but also automate key processes like fulfillment, inventory and routing to increase efficiency. and we believe our systems powered by AI will never plateau and will continuously improve over time. Second, we will be focused on building AI-powered personalized agents that are always on. This will create an end-to-end patient journey powered by AI that will be able to help personalize every interaction and provide 24/7 support to ensure continuous engagement and increase the likelihood of reaching a positive outcome. Third, our entire platform will be designed with global-ready architecture. Scalable modular architecture will allow us to continue to expand internationally, adapting different regulatory environments across regions, and we aim to build a secure, cost-effective platform that can seamlessly support millions of customers and begin fostering valuable partnership across the health care ecosystem. And finally, we will prioritize AI governance, safety and ethics. We will foster responsible AI use with human oversight and bias mitigation and are committed to developing our technology in an ethical manner. We believe these pillars will lay the foundation for a health care system that can learn and improve with each new subscriber that joins the platform. And I could not be more excited for the opportunity to help build what I believe will be the future of health care. With that, I'll pass it back to Andrew.
Andrew Dudum
Thanks, Mo. We're looking forward to seeing the impact you and your team will have on how our customers are able to engage in their health on a daily basis. Before passing it over to Yemi, I'd like to touch on one more recent development. In July, we closed our acquisition of
Oluyemi Okupe
Thanks, Andrew. I'll start by providing an overview of our second quarter financial results before going deeper into our updated outlook for 2025. In the second quarter, we continue to see remarkable success across our platform, signaling that our strategy focused on democratizing access to precision medicine is resonating with consumers. Consumers are increasingly engaging with our platform across all stages of their care journey from collaborating with providers to address and manage their conditions, benefiting from provider tools to access customized treatments and utilizing app-based tools and provider access for their follow-up care. We believe we are just scratching the surface of what's possible and over the course of the second quarter, have laid an even stronger foundation to elevate the future value we can bring to our subscribers. Our efforts translated into strong results in the second quarter. Revenue grew 73% year-over-year to $545 million, while we simultaneously maintain an adjusted EBITDA margin north of 15%. Expanding access to personalized treatment options and a wide array of tools is allowing us to attract new subscribers to the platform and also resulting in stronger retention. Subscribers increased 73,000 quarter-over-quarter to over 2.4 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 31%. We see continued robust subscriber growth across our dermatology, oral weight loss and daily sexual health offerings that all sustained year-over-year subscriber growth rates above 55% in the second quarter. Strong performance across these offerings helped offset headwinds that came from offboarding GLP-1 subscribers on commercially available dosages as well as a decline in our on-demand sexual health subscriber base. We expect headwinds from the rotation of our sexual health specialty toward more premium daily offerings for the next couple of quarters but are excited to see over 40% of total sexual health subscribers and roughly 65% of new sexual health subscribers in the quarter benefiting from a daily offering, respectively. We are able to embed an expanding set of capabilities within our daily offerings that are not feasible to incorporate into our on-demand offerings. Today, our daily sexual health offerings allow subscribers to partner with providers to treat hair loss concerns, improve their cardiovascular health, support testosterone levels and optimize vitamin levels. Over time, we expect this to have a meaningful benefit in retention and the customer lifetime value across our sexual health specialty. Continued subscriber adoption of personalized offerings as well as the success of our weight loss specialty continue to drive year-over-year growth in our monthly average online revenue per subscriber. However, in the second quarter, we saw monthly average revenue per subscriber decline quarter-over-quarter to $74 from $84, primarily as a result of the offboarding of a portion of our GLP-1 subscribers. Now shifting to profitability. The second quarter was an exceptional demonstration of our team's ability to remain agile and deliver on the high standards outlined in our capital allocation framework across even the most volatile environments. Our platform drove $82 million of adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter. The complexity of our platform and future ambitions will necessitate a more nuanced organizational structure, one that is able to move in an even more agile manner and scale globally. In the second quarter, we took action to adjust to that new reality. Adjusted EBITDA was negatively impacted by approximately $7 million in the second quarter as a result of severance payments to former employees and sign-on bonuses used to attract new talent. Leverage on marketing investment and gross margin expansion were the primary levers that resulted in second quarter adjusted EBITDA margins expanding nearly 3 points year-over-year. Marketing as a percentage of revenue was 40%. Investment was slowed at various points throughout the quarter as we saw volatility in marketing efficiency as a result of the onboarding and offboarding of a previous collaboration within the second quarter. Strong performance outside of our non-weight loss offerings as a result of improving retention from adoption of personalized treatment plans and rollout of new offerings was able to offset some of the volatility we observed within our weight loss specialty. Gross margins expanded 3 points quarter-over-quarter to 76%, primarily as a result of growth in specialties outside of weight loss. G&A costs were pressured in the second quarter as a result of the onboarding of new executives as well as additional costs stemming from the decision to reassess our organizational structure. G&A as a percentage of revenue improved 1 point year-over-year but deleveraged 4 points quarter-over-quarter as a result of these dynamics. A similar dynamic was seen in operations and support costs. Technology and development costs as a percentage of revenue increased 1 point year-over-year and 2 points quarter-over-quarter to 7%, reflecting increased investment in technology talent across the organization. This is an area that we expect to continue to invest in across the coming quarters as we believe it will translate into an even better customer experience and be long-term financially accretive. In the second quarter, we meaningfully strengthened our balance sheet with the completion of a convertible debt offering in May. We ended the second quarter with a cash and short-term investments balance of over $1.1 billion. Meaningful investment was made in the second quarter to expand our ability to offer new form factors, automate processes within our facilities and strengthen supply chain through significant investment in working capital. Free cash flow for the second quarter was negative $69 million as a result. We expect to return to positive free cash flow generation in the second half of the year. Our balance sheet provides a meaningful opportunity to deploy capital across both organic and strategic M&A opportunities. We will not loosen our capital allocation standards as a result of this flexibility but have even greater confidence in our ability to accelerate efforts across the strategic growth levers that we believe will shape the future for Hims & Hers. I'll double-click in the areas that we expect to receive the most meaningful share of investment. First, we expect to continue investing in deeper personalization capabilities, which we view as a critical component of our ability to democratize access to precision medicine. Our ambition is to move from a world of hundreds of treatment options to thousands over time. We expect this will unlock greater flexibility for our subscribers across form factors as well as enable customized treatments to address multiple concerns concurrently, such as vitamin deficiencies and side effects within our specialties. This will necessitate upgraded equipment, additional facilities and more extensive automation capabilities over time. Second, we intend to invest in capabilities that will enable us to gain deeper insights to better serve our subscribers while simultaneously increasing investment in our platform to better leverage that data to address subscriber needs. We believe that responsibly harnessing data from potential future capabilities such as lab testing and wearables will allow us to better serve subscribers across multiple stages of their treatment journeys, including diagnostics, treatment and follow-up care. And that investing in our platform will allow us to elevate the subscriber experience through even more expansive tools such as AI coaches, chatbots and more dynamic customer support models. Our belief is that these elements will increase demand for our platform as well as drive stronger retention. Lastly, we believe that demand for a consumer-oriented health care model transcends borders. Our recent acquisition of
Bill Newby
Thanks, Yemi, and thank you to all the investors who sent in questions over the weekend. We received quite a few on the recently announced acquisition of
Andrew Dudum
Yes. Thanks, Bill. Thanks, Hims, for the question. From my perspective, I think it's a really powerful opportunity to take a leadership role in bringing what we believe is the personalized high-touch, affordable precision medicine consumer experience globally. And so I think the acquisition of
Bill Newby
Thanks, Andrew. We also received a number of questions on the new capabilities and specialties that we'll be bringing to the platform in the coming quarters. Here's -- this is another multipart question from [indiscernible]. How does the launch of at-home lab testing improve the business and support the broader mission of Hims & Hers. What impact do you expect it to have on the development of new business verticals? And do you expect this will allow you to introduce membership options that are more widely accessible, similar to what's been done with Amazon, Netflix and Costco?
Andrew Dudum
Yes. Thanks, Bill. It's a great question. Altruistically, I have a real passion to get people access to this type of information at as low a cost as possible. I think it's absolutely critical when you think about transitioning the American health care system as well as the global health care system from one where patients are coming into the system to treat an issue versus coming to the platform to take advantage of preventable options. And I think at-home testing is going to be absolutely foundational across all of our categories going forward as well as opening up membership opportunities, like you mentioned. I think the simplification of not only what tests truly matter and when for a patient, but also really what gold standard optimized biomarkers looks like is really critical for this offering, right? We live in a country where the majority of us die from preventable disease. And so there's a massive disconnect in access and education with regard to what these test outcomes should be. Being the average or being the median in the United States on your lipid profile where the majority of us die from a heart attack is not great. And so I think there's going to be an incredible opportunity to educate patients on what tests are necessary. So it's not massively overwhelming, make those tests incredibly affordable and accessible and not intimidating and also educate patients based on who they are, their age, their dynamics, what those optimal outcomes and metrics can be. Now ultimately, I think we can then not only get them that data but help them with the next steps. And I think you'll see in these offerings that we bring to market that the lab testing is just the beginning. It's the beginning of then an opportunity to have very seamless ability to treat and optimize your core risk areas. I think this will be ultimately a foundation and infrastructure, as you can imagine, that then allows for a Grind-like or Costco-like health care membership, right? That transitions patients from coming to us for a single condition all the way to moving them towards ultimately a goal of preventative health. I think you can see this in the steps that we are taking, not only in the testing road map that we've been outlining, but also in the recent leadership additions like Nader Kabbani from Amazon as well as Dheerja, who led product at Robinhood and owning her -- the membership platform over there. I think we are staffing both the technology, the infrastructure, the raw capabilities in our facilities as well as the team to go after what we think is a broad membership that sets a new standard for what health care ultimately should be for everybody globally.
Bill Newby
Thanks, Andrew, and thanks again to everyone who's sending questions. With that, I will pass it back to the operator to begin the regular way analyst Q&A.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Maria Ripps with Canaccord.
Maria Ripps
First, can you maybe help us understand a little bit better sort of some of the core dynamics between your core business and the weight loss segment, both in Q2 and sort of expectations for Q3? So -- I know you reiterated your weight loss target for this year, but anything you can add in terms of sort of underlying trends within your personalized GLP-1 offering? And then I have a quick follow- up.
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. Thanks for the question, Maria. Maybe I can start. So I think that what we saw quarter-over-quarter in Q2, there's obviously some pretty material headwinds in the GLP-1 footprint as we offboarded the folks that run commercially available dosages. Across the weight loss specialty, we see continued success within our oral offering as well as personalized sema. But when we look at kind of like the core business, I think we've spoken around this a couple of times before. What we're seeing is really there's a drag coming from the sexual health on-demand component of the business. And that's really a conscious effort. What we've observed over the last couple of quarters is as we've expanded the sexual health daily offering, that continues to grow north of 55%. We also do see very strong retention across the daily relative to the on-demand business. And so if you pull out the on-demand sexual health business, many other specialties such as our dermatology business, the oral weight loss, the sexual health daily are all growing north of 55%. We're doing a conscious effort just to make the overall base of our sexual health customer a lot healthier. As we start to lap these dynamics in 2026, we would actually expect to receive a benefit both from lapping, but also the stronger retention on the daily health users. And so really, I would say is like the area where we're seeing the most softness, obviously, quarter- on-quarter has been the GLP-1 side of the house, mainly not commercially available dosages. But then there's also just the dynamic of the sexual health on-demand business. Outside of that, we're seeing strong growth across many of our other specialties.
Maria Ripps
Got it. That's very helpful. And then secondly, with the generic GLP-1 sort of expected to launch in Canada next year, could you maybe talk about some of the sort of cross-border dynamics that we should keep in mind? Are there any certain sort of legal nuances that sort of could make importation feasible from a consumer or provider perspective?
Andrew Dudum
Yes, Maria, I can take that question. Generally speaking, our approach with bringing the generic semaglutide to market in Canada is going to be vary by the book, right? And so there will be, from our perspective, no cross-border dynamics between the Canadian markets and the U.S. Shipments will be sent to Canadian addresses. They will be through partnerships with large generic manufacturers who are manufacturing and bringing them into the Canadian market. So there should be no cross-border dynamics that we will be expecting from our standpoint.
Operator
Your next question comes from Craig Hettenbach with Morgan Stanley.
Craig Matthew Hettenbach
A question on the Hers business, whether it's a rough percentage of revenue or subscribers, just kind of an update on how that business is performing and some of the key growth drivers seeing on the Hers side.
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. Thanks for the question, Craig. We still see the Hers business continuing to grow at a very robust pace. It's primarily benefiting from the dermatology business, both in terms of skin as well as hair. We're also seeing strong demand for the weight loss offering and specialty continue as well as our mental health offering. And then in the latter half of this year, I think we're very excited to bring on hormonal support for menopause in the Hers category as well. And so we do still see several catalysts continuing to drive a strong outlook for the Hers business.
Craig Matthew Hettenbach
Got it. And then just a follow-up question, and I appreciate the color on kind of the near-term investment cycle. Specific to AI, can you talk about how you're approaching that, whether it's the returns you expect to get on that or just reasonable time line of that having an impact on the business as you move forward?
Andrew Dudum
Yes, Craig, thanks for the question on that. We aim to build the AI strategy in such a way where you're making very tangible and tactical improvements very quickly. I think in the age of the AI explosion, we are really benefited by the fact that our platform touches tens of thousands of patients every single day, and that allows for us to build use cases for both providers and patients or pharmacists that we can see nearly immediately driving results. And so I think there's going to be an agent-centric model here that delivers on-demand 24/7 access and support across the stack, whether it's the provider side, the patient side, the pharmacist side, et cetera. But we aim in the next 3 to 6 months to be building out technologies that are immediately improving efficiency, improving engagement, providing support across the stack.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Eric Percher with Nephron Research.
Eric R. Percher
I appreciate the incremental disclosure in the Q around the GLP-1 value. And I want to make sure I'm understanding, we see a value of $190 million this quarter, down from $230 million. It sounds like there's some revenue headwind. Should we assume that there's a pretty significant continued decline in Q3 and Q4 as we're modeling out the year?
Oluyemi Okupe
No, I think it's a great question, Eric. We saw the meaningful step down primarily as a result of offboarding folks that were on commercially available dosages of GLP-1s. I think what's remaining for the duration of kind of Q3 and the rest of the year are products that we intend to have on the platform, whether that's the oral weight loss product or personalized semaglutide, so our expectation is to see renewed and continued growth. There are some revenue recognition dynamics that will result in a steeper acceleration in the fourth quarter. We're just shipping on in smaller batches, which also carries implications for the revenue recognition. But on a go-forward basis, we see very strong demand for the weight loss specialty holistically and as of now are expecting that to continue.
Eric R. Percher
And we should think of the $725 million inclusive of oral, which you've stated is over $100 million. Is that the right way to think about the balance of these components?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes, correct. So the $725 million is holistic across all of the weight loss components. So it's a full holistic weight loss offering.
Andrew Dudum
And Eric, that includes liraglutide, branded medications, oral, personalized, et cetera. It's the whole specialty.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Ryan MacDonald with Needham & Company.
Ryan Michael MacDonald
Maybe first on the Canadian expansion. Are you intending to expand in Canada under the Hims & Hers brand or the
Andrew Dudum
Yes, Ryan, great question. We will be leveraging a lot of the expertise of the
Ryan Michael MacDonald
Super helpful clarification there. Maybe a follow-up for Yemi. In your prepared remarks around the outlook for the remainder of the year, did you say that average revenue recognized per order will be down in the second half versus first half? And if so, does that imply an acceleration in subscriber growth expectations on a quarter-over-quarter basis?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. Thanks for the question, Ryan. I think when we were stating that there would be a change where we recognize we would have lower revenue recognized per order. That was specifically to the personalized GLP-1 component, just given the regulatory dynamics there of the pivot towards 503As for that specific specialty, what will happen is you'll have on each order a lower amount of revenue recognized, but then the order velocity will be more frequent. And so that's why you see an acceleration also happening in Q4 because there's just greater compounding of orders over time as you progress the quarters.
Ryan Michael MacDonald
Okay. So average monthly order or average revenue per subscriber is not necessarily going to be down sequentially?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes, not necessarily. So it's specifically to the offering.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Brian Tanquilut with Jefferies.
Brian Gil Tanquilut
Maybe just a follow-up to some of the discussions. As I think about just the marketing spend that you're planning for the back half of the year, how should we be thinking about patient or client acquisition cost on a per person basis per [indiscernible] base? I mean, how are you trying to manage that?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. Thanks for the question. We do intend to invest in a pretty robust fashion in the second half. That said, I think we still are going to hold to our standard and our capital allocation framework. So we do expect to be able to manage a payback period well below a 1- year period. That said, I think we are looking to, as we progress the year and launch new specialties, have the firepower to wean those. The environment in Q2 was volatile, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks. And so really giving the teams the ability to learn in the third quarter with a more stable product suite, particularly in a way is something that we're excited by. But then kind of what you see happens as we turn the corner around these investment periods, the benefits accrue pretty quickly. And so you kind of see that taking place in the second quarter, where we were able to maintain very robust growth while also holding back investment, particularly in the core categories for a period of time. And so if you kind of look at how quickly the margins expanded to north of 15%. We expect that to be -- our ability to be able to do that again in the future as well. But really in the second half, we're leaving flexibility for marketing into new specialties as well as newer geographies the ability to learn with some of our existing specialties and then also just talent acquisition. As Andrew mentioned, we do expect to lean into AI and realize returns there very quickly. That also does come with a cost to talent, and that's reflected in our guidance assumption in the back half of the year.
Brian Gil Tanquilut
That makes a lot of sense. Maybe just a follow-up on inventories, pretty steep increase quarter-over-quarter. So just curious how we should be thinking about inventory levels going forward? And there are specific drivers pushing that or that drove that increased quarter-over-quarter?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. I think just as we historically look to -- I think there's a couple of factors. As we historically look to launch new specialties, we want to ensure that there is a durable supply of inventory available. Then as we also just look at the strength of our balance sheet, some of the volatility occurring around the world right now with tariff uncertainty, the ability to leverage the balance sheet and the free cash flow now to take advantage of predictability is something that the management team opted to want to lean into right now at the moment. It's not to say that we're going to have similar step-ups in inventory each quarter. This is more probably of a quarter where it's a little bit of an anomaly just as we look to strengthen our supply chain across several of the specialties given some of the dynamics going on there.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of George Hill with Deutsche Bank.
George Robert Hill
Yemi, you kind of leaned into where I was going with your last answer. But I guess I wanted to talk about the front end of the sema franchise. And I guess, can you guys confirm that you kind of source all your sema API from high-quality FDA-inspected CGMP type facilities? And if it's coming from overseas, I was going to ask if you could talk about the tariff risks, particularly if it's coming from China and if any of that's an issue. And then I had a very quick follow-up, which is what's the right way to think about your 503A capacity given how quickly the business is ramping? I don't know if the right way to think about it is in dollars and doses. Would love any commentary on that.
Andrew Dudum
George, I can probably take the first half and Yemi cover the second. We have a number of API suppliers across the stack, both domestically and overseas that we leverage to serve all the customers on the platform. I think to your point, the most important question there is all of these are through FDA-registered facilities, CGMP. They undergo rigorous testing for things like potency, identity, and they are all verified with third-party testing, which I think gives our team, our safety team and our patients a great deal of confidence.
Oluyemi Okupe
And then with respect to your questions around the tariff and capacity, like at this moment, we don't see any meaningful pressure coming and embedded in our outlook is that there will not be any meaningful pressure coming from the tariffs. Capacity, I think we have found numerous different ways to ensure that we do have the capacity to be able to support the buildup subscriber base, not just for this year, but over the coming years. And so the CapEx investments and other vehicles that we've laid give us the confidence that we'll have the ability to fulfill all of our customers' needs for years to come.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Jonna Kim with TD Cowen.
Jungwon Kim
Last quarter, you mentioned the 2030 target. Just wanted to get a sense of the mix of international and the U.S. business in that long- term target. If you can give us any color about how big the international business could be over time? And then just a follow-up question. Any changes in your marketing strategy? Do you plan to still focus more on the weight loss side or the core offering? Would love to get any color there.
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. Thanks for the question, Jonna. So I think that we see several future growth levers to achieve or exceed the 2030 targets. International will definitely be a component, but we also still see an immense amount of opportunity here in the U.S., whether that's in the form of the new capabilities or specialties that Andrew went through in his prepared remarks. So there's not necessarily an exact split that we're giving right now, but each of the elements and growth levers that we are currently investing in, we believe are $1 billion-plus opportunities individually, whether that's new geographies internationally or new -- a combination of new specialties that we're going into or continuing to invest and deepen the breadth of personalization offerings and consumer experience on the platform. All of those are things that we believe have the ability and the potential to have outsized returns. And so that gives us the conviction to be able to release a target that's about 5 years out. With respect to the investment in marketing, I think we are going to continue to hold a very high bar on the spend and then look for the 1-year payback period or less. That said, I think over the last couple of quarters, we've received several learnings across the investments. And so you will see us do specialty-specific investments, both across the core offerings as well as multi-condition marketing as well. We'll continue to iterate and look to calibrate that spend. But really, I think as we're doing that, we do expect to still hold to the capital allocation framework that calls for the payback period of a year or less.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Grosslight with Citi.
Daniel R. Grosslight
You mentioned launching hormone therapy in the coming months. I was hoping maybe if you could put a bit of a finer point on that. Is that more of a 4Q launch now? And if you can dig in a bit more on what investments you need to make ahead of the launch and the cadence of that, both from a CapEx and OpEx standpoint. And if you're going to be compounding these offerings in your own pharmacies.
Andrew Dudum
Thanks, Daniel. I can take some of that. Probably can't give you too much on the specific date where the communications team might be a little bit frustrated with me but would expect it relatively soon. The offering, I think, is going to have a really wide range of treatments, inclusive of compounded generics and I think eventually branded and specialty offerings through a network of partners and offerings, which we're really excited by. And this will be delivered predominantly through our facilities long term as well as through partner facilities in the beginning, both across perimenopause, menopause and then low testosterone on the men's side of the business. And Yemi, if there's anything on the financial preparation that you want to reference?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. I think a lot of it we've actively done and we're continuing to do. And so the embedded in our guidance is all of the investment around needing to prepare for the new launches.
Daniel R. Grosslight
Okay. Got it. And maybe if I can just tackle the core revenue with my follow-up. The revenue ex GLP-1 was down slightly sequentially. Yemi, you mentioned derm, oral weight loss and daily sexual health is growing 55% plus. So I suppose much of that was offset by the on-demand sexual health rotation. Is that right? Can you just dig in a little bit more on why we aren't seeing more sequential growth outside of GLP-1s?
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes, I think that's a fair interpretation. I think the second quarter also have the nuance of -- it was the first quarter where the Apostrophe business was no longer present. But the vast majority of the headwinds that we're seeing is a result of the deliberate rotation toward a higher-quality sexual health consumer. I think over time; we expect a few things to happen as you kind of hit 2026. One is you just get the benefit of what we have already observed to be inherently stronger retention of that user base. The second is just the pivot as the business and the subscribers contract starts to wind down and wane. And so I think that this is probably a conscious multi-quarter transition. But as we kind of hit the back half of 2026, we would expect it to be accretive and probably the right long-term move for the business.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of David Larsen with BTIG?
David Michael Larsen
Congratulations on the good quarter. Can you talk a bit about the 503A revenue growth rate year-over-year? I'm assuming last year; a good portion of the GLP-1 revenue was personalized. So just any sense for what like the 503A growth was year-over-year? It seems to me like you're guiding to $100 million of GLP-1 revenue in 3Q and $100 million in 4Q, which would be a significant decline. Maybe I'm being sort of overly conservative with my view there. But just thoughts on the 503A growth going forward would be helpful.
Oluyemi Okupe
Yes. So I think that the concept of 503A growth versus 503B is not really in nuances there as a result of the shortage dynamics that were present last year, the revenue was filled out of a 503B partner. And so I think the way that we more think around it is the weight loss specialty in aggregate and then the various components underneath that. We expect to see continued robust quarter growth across each of the components of the weight loss specialty, the oral side and the GLP-1 throughout the duration of the year.
David Michael Larsen
Okay. Great. And then, Andrew, I think you were talking about preventive care, things like perhaps counting steps, counting calories, looking at your food intake, your water intake. I love the sounds of that. It sounds like it's all natural. We've had some growth in some new businesses in that area. Just any more color there would be very helpful.
Andrew Dudum
Yes, absolutely. This is something that I think the platform is really uniquely positioned to deliver on. When we think about personalized treatment plans, it's not just about personalized medicine, right? It's personalized content, personalized agents, personalized gamification and technologies that they're able to use to stay adherent and to stay motivated. You can imagine, for example, an individual who's getting treated with a personalized medication for weight loss, also having access to an on-demand 24/7 nutritionist agent, right, who knows everything about them, who is right there with them, checking in on them throughout the day, helping them with recipes, helping proactively count their calories with photos of the food that they're eating. Same thing on the mental health platform, right? Patients that are struggling with sleep. You can imagine an agent that is on demand available with advanced cognitive behavioral therapy training to help that patient improve their insomnia. So I think there's a real technology forward transition that the company is making right now, led by Mo Elshenawy, our new CTO, and there's a reason we brought him in for this exact reason. But we believe a lot of the future unlocks the stickiness of the platform, the benefits of the platform are going to be in the layering of technology across the stack that then enhances the personalized medications of your day.
Transcript from August 4, 2025

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