HGTY - NYSE

Greetings, and welcome to the Hagerty First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Jay Koval, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Thank you, operator and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us to discuss Hagerty's results for the First Quarter of 2025. I'm joined this morning by McKeel Hagerty, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman; and Patrick McClymont, Chief Financial Officer. During this morning's conference call, we will refer to an accompanying presentation that is available on Hagerty's Investor Relations section of the company's corporate website at investor.hagerty.com. Our earnings release, slides and letter to stockholders covering this period are also posted on the IR website as well as our 8-K filing. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial metrics, as described further on Slide 2 of the earnings presentation. Forward-looking statements include statements about our expected future business and financial performance and are not promises or guarantees of future performance. They are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from our expectations. For a discussion of material risks and important factors that could affect our actual results, please refer to those contained in our filings with the SEC, which are also available on our Investor Relations website and at sec.gov. The appendix of the presentation also contains reconciliations of our non-GAAP metrics to the most directly comparable GAAP measures that are further supplemented by this morning's 8-K filing. And with that, I will turn the call over to McKeel.

Thanks, Jay, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you taking the time to join Hagerty's first quarter 2025 earnings call. Northern Michigan is known for its long snowy winters and this year was no exception. As the last of the snow banks have finally melted, our Hagerty members are busy preparing their toys for the driving season, and we will be there to help them protect and enjoy their special cars. We are also ready to welcome a record number of new members who are buying their first Enthusiast vehicle or transitioning their vehicle coverage to Hagerty given our guaranteed value proposition and the excellent service from Hagerty's passionate team of auto enthusiasts. One Team Hagerty loves your cars as much as you do and it shows in our results with yet another solid quarter of top and bottom line growth during the first three months of 2025. So let me start by thanking our 1,700 Hagerty team members for their great execution as we position Hagerty to create value for shareholders for many years to come. Let me dig into the key highlights from our first quarter shown on slide 3, where total revenue increased 18%. New business count fueled a 12% increase in written premium and a 13% growth in our commission revenue. Earned premium from our risk-taking entity, Hagerty Reinsurance increased 12% and Membership, Marketplace and Other revenue jumped 60% propelled by successful auctions at the Amelia Concours and Academy of Art University in February. Moving to profitability. During the first three months of this year, our operating margin jumped another 360 basis points, resulting in net income gains of 233% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 45%. Over a two-year period, first quarter net income increased by $42 million and adjusted EBITDA by $33 million, and we believe the best is yet to come for our margin expansion story, thanks to increasing economies of scale as we double our policies in force to $3 million by 2030. Let's move on to slide 4 and remind you of our 2025 strategic priorities built around three themes: simpler, faster and better integrated. First and most impactful to our long-term trajectory is to expand our specialty insurance offerings to protect more of the collectible vehicle TAM, including the modern enthusiast vehicle space. Second is to simplify and better integrate our membership experience across products and services, creating revenue synergies and driving cost efficiencies. Third is to expand our marketplace business internationally, leveraging the trust we have built in the United States. This includes our upcoming auction at the Villa d'Este Concorso on Lake Como, Italy the first of our multiyear partnership with BMW at this prestigious event. Fourth, we will continue to leverage Hagerty's unique and authentic car culture as a key differentiator for future members. The engagement and excellence from One Team Hagerty creates a repeatable winning formula for stakeholders. We are investing in the major technology replatforming that will enable scalable growth, while delivering excellent experiences for our members with greater efficiency. Slide 5 goes into more detail around the investments we are making in our technology transformation, including the transition to the cloud-based insurance platform, Duck Creek. We are pleased to report that our 2025 technology investments are running on schedule and on budget. As we discussed at length last quarter, these near-term investments should result in greater long-term efficiency for our teams and better experiences for our members, which should enable future growth and margin expansion. Our technology spend should trend down as a percent of revenue as we accelerate the top line in 2026 and 2027 and drive margins higher. Before Patrick digs into the numbers, I want to highlight a few more reasons why we believe that we are such a compelling investment opportunity. Hagerty is a US-centric company with over 90% of our revenue generated in the United States, positioning us well to weather noise from tariffs and we operate in a highly regulated and mandated industry that enjoys great defensive characteristics. This creates predictable revenue streams, especially given our excellent retention and persistent share gains for the Hagerty brand. Our track record speaks to a highly differentiated business model that can thrive regardless of the economic cycle. Our compound annual growth rate in written premiums since 2005 is over 13% but even during the darkest moments of the great financial crisis, we maintained high single digit written premium growth. While volatile market conditions might make consumer’s think twice about buying another special car this year or cause consumers to forego a vacation, the extra time spent at home creates opportunities to enjoy their existing enthusiast vehicles. Pull it all together, we believe that we are well positioned to deliver high rates of profitable growth for many years to come. Let me now turn the call over to Patrick to share more details on our first quarter results and our reaffirmed 2025 outlook.

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Let me dig into the first quarter in more detail shown on slide 6 and 7. In the first quarter, we delivered 18% growth in total revenue to $320 million. New business count gains combined with industry leading retention of 89%, drove a 12% jump in written premium. Emission and fee revenue jumped 13% to over $100 million in line with written premium gains on stable underwriting results. Earned premium grew 12% to $169 million. Our loss ratio of 42% incorporates $10 million in losses from the Southern California wildfires. And membership, marketplace and other revenue increased 60% to $50 million. Our Broad Arrow team delivered excellent results at both Amelia and the American Academy of Art University sale. I would note that the no reserve AAU auction epitomized the power of the Hagerty ecosystem. We utilize the strength of our live auction platform and team of specialists, our valuation expertise and our strong balance sheet to acquire the collection and sell 105 vehicles in a jam-packed room with over 500 registered bidders present. In just our third year, we have quickly established ourselves as a leading auction house with unparalleled automotive expertise across Haggerty's products, focused on cultivating trusted long-term relationships with our customers. Needless to say, we are very excited about our upcoming auction at the historic Villa d'Este Concorde, the first of many auctions to be held outside of the United States. Turning now to profitability shown on slide 8. We reported an operating profit of $26 million in the first quarter, a 110% increase as operating margins jumped 360 basis points to 8% in the seasonally small quarter for us. While there were some modest timing items that benefited the quarter, we are maintaining tight discipline on the cost structure of our MGA to efficiently translate our double-digit commission gains into profit growth. G&A increased 12% due primarily to higher software licensing costs from our technology transformation, and salaries and benefits grew 5% due to merit increases. Our MGA membership and marketplace businesses accounted for nearly half of our total revenue in the quarter with rapidly expanding margins. One Team Hagerty is making great strides forward our long-term growth opportunities including the rollout of the State Farm Classic Plus program to 25 states by the end of 2025, which should power accelerated commission revenue growth for MGA into 2026 and 2027. We are also tracking well to launch Enthusiast Plus in Colorado later this year as we target more of the modern enthusiast vehicles that we are currently declining. Adjusted EBITDA increased 45% to $40 million and is up six-fold from the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA margins continue their steady march higher surpassing 12% in the quarter as we improve the efficiency of our business model. Our growing capital base at Hagerty Re and balanced investment strategy resulted in $7 million investment income despite the market volatility. In total, we delivered first quarter net income of $27 million compared to $8 million a year earlier, an increase of 233%. Net income attributable to Class A common shareholders was $6 million after attribution of earnings to the non-controlling interest and accretion on the preferred stock. And GAAP basic and diluted earnings per share was $0.07 based on 90 million shares of Class A common stock outstanding. We ended the quarter with $128 million in cash and $147 million of total debt, which includes $32 million in back leverage for our profitable portfolio of loans to customers that are collateralized by collectible cars. We also increased the capacity of our unsecured credit agreement to$375 million in the quarter adding BMO to the syndicate. The amended facility has lower borrowing costs and a maturity of 2030. Let me wrap up with our 2025 outlook shown on slide 9. Given the solid first quarter results and business momentum, we are reaffirming our 2025 guidance for the top line revenue growth of 12% to 13%, powered by 13% to 14% gains in rent and premium. We expect to deliver strong operating leverage to the bottom line with net income of $102 million to $110 million, up 30% to 40% and adjusted EBITDA of $150 million to $160 million, up 21% to 29%. In summary, we are executing well against our 2025 strategic priorities and positioning Hagerty for high rates of compounding profit growth. With that, let us now open the call to your questions.

[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from the line of Pablo Singzon with JPMorgan. Please proceed.

Hi, good morning. Patrick, you touched on this a bit in your comments, but I was wondering if you could provide a refresh on the relative margins you generate on marketplace revenues versus the rest of Hagerty. I'd assume in a quarter like this one where you saw strong growth in marketplace, you probably got a decent amount of mix benefit with respect to margins, just on top of normal operating leverage. So if you could just maybe parse out the relative contribution from marketplace this quarter, whether in terms of dollar EBITDA or basis points margins, that would be helpful?

Sure. Good morning, Pablo, thanks for the question. Yes, we talked about the -- the driver in this quarter really was the Live Auction business. And so we had the AU sale that went quite well. We had Amelia Island. And so we really -- we benefited from strong sales in both of those. And I think what we talked about is the way we think about those sales really on a contribution profit basis. And so you kind of design a sale where you know what you're costs are to put on that sale and then you try to put together a book of business that puts you in a position where you're going to cover all those costs and produce reasonable margins. And so before you get to sort of overhead allocation, those kind of things, these are designed that if they go well, they should be quite profitable. So contribution profit margins, 30%, 35% type numbers. And so when you have two good sales, that's the kind of contribution we were getting in the first quarter. And then, of course, there's overhead and central costs and those kind of things that you've got to burden the business for, but it is quite profitable. And when you compare that to the other parts of our business, our risk-taking business is about a 10% profit margin business. The outside of risk taking and insurance, we're sort of mid- to high single digits right now, but expanding. That will continue to grow over time. But the nature of the Marketplace business is when working well, it will be a very profitable business on a margin basis. Hopefully, that's helpful.

Yes, it was. And then just jumping to another topic. Strong risk result this quarter, right, with [indiscernible] coming in the low 40s even with the catastrophe. So if you ex out those catastrophes, that puts your loss rate in the mid-30s, right, which I think it's much lower than where you've historically run. So if you could just provide a perspective on what happened ex catastrophes with respect to the loss ratio?

Well, the first thing is just how we think about seasonality and losses. And so -- the way we think about it is we -- going into a year, we come up with what we assume will be our full year loss ratio. And then we book to that. And so typically in the first and second quarter, we're just looking to that full year loss ratio, even though those are typically seasonally low quarters for us from a loss perspective. And then in the third quarter and the fourth quarter, we'll either keep looking to that estimate that we had at the beginning of the year or we'll make adjustments one way or the other. And the reason why this all makes sense for us is we're so seasonal, right? The driving activity happens late Q2 and Q3. So it's not until we get to the end of Q3 that we've got a sense of what the driving season look like. And then that's also end of Q3, you're kind of right in the midst of what cat season. And so that's when we'd make any adjustment. So the way to think about what happened in the first quarter is we booked to our annual number. It includes what happened in California with cats. And so you're right. If you strip out those cats, you would be down in the 30s. And typically, the first quarter is a much lower loss ratio quarter for us. So the actual experience is going to be in the 30s. We book to something that's more in line with what we think the full year [indiscernible] will be. That's the mechanics behind it. Did that answer the question?

Yes. It does. Thanks again.

You bet. Thanks Pablo.

And the next question comes from the line of Matt Carletti with JMP Securities. Please proceed.

Hi. Yes. This is David, on for Matt. I had a couple of questions, if that's all right. First, if you could just provide an update on the impact of tariffs. A large peer earlier this reporting season suggested a onetime mid- to high single-digit loss cost impact, presumably slightly higher in auto and lower in home. So how the anticipated impact on Hagerty's book compare?

Sure. Thanks for the question, David. The way we're thinking about tariffs, we don't see it as having what I'd call a direct impact on our business. We can start with the Insurance business. And the way that we think about it is, over time, you would expect that it would create some sort of upward pressure on claims costs related to severity. The tricky part for us is so many vehicles are -- it's a big dispersion in terms of the types of vehicles and the age of vehicles and the supply chains for parts for each of those vehicles can be very different. And oftentimes, a lot of these things these are not on the run parts, right? These are things that are being manufactured in small batches and oftentimes they're manufactured domestically. And so while there should be over time some upward pressure, we think it will be quite muted for our business. So, really hard to predict because of the nature of the supply chains for the different cars that we're serving, but we think it'll be pretty muted for us. We also think that in terms of the marketplace business and our interpretation of the rules and obviously things are moving around, but our interpretation is that cars that are 25 years old and older, there's no change in the tariff regime. It was a 2.5% tariff, it's still a 2.5% tariff. So, we think about high value cars being imported into the United States. And those are the kind of cars that we're helping people sell at auction or privately, no change from tariffs on that side. So, we'll watch and see, we're monitoring it closely, but I think it'll be relatively muted for us.

That's very helpful. Thank you. And just one more question last quarter, you spoke a bit about how your business is seasonal and start seeing more shopping activity come March or April. You also mentioned how the LA Flyers were having a cooling effect on that activity, a bit similar to what you've seen in other cat events or cold weather events. So, sitting here now in May, can you update us on what you've seen over the past 30 to 60 days with respect to shopping behavior?

Sure. Good question. It's interesting. There's -- industry-wide, you're seeing a lot of shopping activity right now and you're seeing some of the large daily driver insurers really leaning in from a marketing perspective and driving that shopping activity. Some of that flows through to us. Just activity creates more at the top of the funnel, so our quote volume continues to be strong and that has held up over the course of the first quarter into the second quarter as well. We have seen a little bit slower growth than what we had anticipated and planned for and as we did our diagnostic of that there's a few things going on. Some of the factors you described right when there are these large events that typically results in a pause, particularly for our type of vehicle. Some of it can be weather related and it was a long winter and sort of a tough winter where people were not able to get their cars out on the road early and so that can temp down some of the activity for our type of cars. And then there's a number of changes that we've made internally to make sure that we're taking friction out of sort of our quote flow and so we're trying different things to make sure that we're driving the right level of activity. It's a little bit slower than what we would have anticipated. We've always talked about 2025 being an interesting year where it's very back end loaded in terms of new customer growth. And a lot of that is related to State Farm, which ramps up. We're now in seven states with State Farm. We entered three more states in the last quarter. We're going to start the process of doing conversion of State Farm's existing customers. The letters for our first four states have already gone out and so that means by summertime, we'll be converting those customers and then we'll do the same with the three states that we've just entered. By the end of this year, we think we'll be in around 25 or more states with State Farm and so that really drives a lot of the growth that we are seeing occur this year. It'll be in the second half. So, off to a solid but sort of not as quick start as we anticipated for 2025, but we think that it'll ramp up quite quickly as we get into the driving season and particularly the State Farm activity.

Thank you.

[Operator Instructions] And the next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Truist Securities. Please proceed.

Yes, thank you. Good morning. Membership and marketplace revenue up a very strong this quarter up to 60%, sounds like you've got some good events in the pipeline. Any sense or visibility for what it might be for the full year in terms of the growth there?

Yes as we said on the call we've affirmed our guidance and you know you should interpret that to be across the entire business. Good start to the year in live auctions. And we've got the schedule for the balance of the year. We had one additional auction that happened in the second quarter which was a good outcome. That was our Porsche only sale that we did at Air|Water a couple of weeks ago and so that came kind of in line with what we did in the previous year. As always, Monterey is big for us and so that'll be in August. We got the new sale coming up in Italy. All that's baked into our guidance so off to a good start, but it's a little bit early for us to conclude that we need to change our guidance on it, but we're pleased with the outcome so far.

Very good. You mentioned the Enthusiast cars that you've been declining, but you're taking steps I think it sounds like to open up that opportunity. Could you expand on that? What was your point there?

Mark, it's Mckeel. I'll comment on that as we've talked about we're launching really a new program that will operate in parallel with our core program we're referring to it as Enthusiast Plus and this is really in response to this changing both I guess kind of demographic and vehicle preference trend that we've been tracking for a number of years where as younger buyers and collectors get into the space, they're interested in newer car that our core Classic Collector Car Insurance Program and pricing structure didn't entirely contemplate. So, we get a lot of that interest today. And we turn a lot of it away for pricing or underwriting reasons. And so, in this whole effort to acquire and stand up the Driver's Ed Esurance Company, our Duck Creek Apex technology platform is really in response to that, so we can widen the aperture of our underwriting funnel and be able to write more of the business that's already coming our way. So, we're excited about it, but it's a complicated, long process to get one of these new programs and insurance companies up and running. We're excited to get that going a little bit later this year, starting in Colorado. And then we'll be, in my view, off to the races. It's been a dream of ours to get it going, to be able to bring more people into the Hagerty world. And that's how we're going to do it.

Yeah, are these cars more in the border? They're more like daily drivers, or people drive them more often, but they're still older, more classic vehicles? Is that the complication?

Well, I'd like to remind people that the Mazda Miata is now over 30 years old. It's a type of car that we get a lot of interest in, and these are $10,000 - $20,000 cars, that are beloved by the people that own them. Yeah, they can be driven more. Many of them weren’t that long ago still under warranty, but they're the special two-seater convertible that you can go out and enjoy on a sunny afternoon. So, the usage profile generally matches everything that we've been doing for all of these decades. But the car is a little bit more modern, a little bit more reliable, and yes, sometimes you will see them driven more than 56,000 - 80,000 miles a year. But still, we think it's within a very under-writable pricing target that we can get similar kinds of results that we've been able to achieve through the years. So, we write some of this business today. We've kind of stretched our pricing and rating models about as far as we can with those. And that's why we're standing up the new program.

Understood. And Patrick, on the Duck Creek spending in your reaffirmed outlook, you highlight again the $10 million from the wildfires and then $20 million from the Duck Creek Technology Spend. When we roll that forward into 2026, how much of that recurs, or would be ongoing, or is that just isolated to 2025? Could you remind me on that? That'd be great.

Thank you. This will conclude the question-and-answer session. I'd like to hand the call back to Mckeel Hagerty for closing remarks.

Thank you, operator and thanks to all of you for your continued support and interest in Hagerty. Driving season is here, and so is show season. Our Greenwich Concours d`Elegance weekend is coming up on May 30th and June 1st, in Greenwich Connecticut and we will also be hosting our annual investor event on Friday May 30th, at the Delamar Greenwich Harbor right there on the site of the Concours events. So, hopefully some of you will be interested in joining us there and we look forward to seeing you. We hope you will be able to learn more about us, as we think about positioning our company to double our discount to $3 million by 2030 through our highly differentiated business model. The entire Greenwich Concours weekend should be a lot of fun, and hope you can attend. And for those of you who happen to find yourselves in Italy, the weekend before, we'd love to have you join us at the Villa d'Este Auction in Concour on May 24th and 25th. Until then, never stop driving.