Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

GPKยทNYSE

$10.81

-0.092%
Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors. It also offers various laminated, coated, and printed packaging structures that are produced from its CUK, CRB, and SBS, as well as other grades of paperboards that are purchased from third-party suppliers; designs and manufactures specialized packaging machines that package bottles and cans, and non-beverage consumer products; and installs its packaging machines at customer plants and provides support, service, and performance monitoring of the machines. The company markets its products primarily through sales offices and broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.20B
EPS1.4900
P/E Ratio7.26
Earnings Date08/04/2026
gpk

Graphic Packaging Holding Company Street Expectations Map

GPK ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that GPK stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 14.00.

Lowest Target
10.00
-7.49%
Consensus Target
12.20
12.86%
Highest Target
14.00
29.51%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 14.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+12.9%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

32.8% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.94x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of Revenue

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
8.62B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
8.56B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
8.50B - 8.62B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-0.7%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

gpk

Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of Net Income

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
444.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
574.05M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
516.95M - 631.16M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+29.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread20%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

gpk

Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of EPS

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
1.49
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.90
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.69 - $2.07
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+27.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread20%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of EBIT

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
805.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
788.56M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
783.04M - 794.08M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-2.0%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of EBITDA

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
1.34B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.35B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.34B - 1.36B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+0.7%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

GPK ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
704.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
686.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
681.35M - 690.95M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-2.5%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

gpk

Graphic Packaging Holding Company Insider Positioning

GPK ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $862K and sold $2.07M worth of GPK shares, resulting in $1.21M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

31.9K

353.99K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+354K

+$354K

3-6 Months

Bought

44.9K

507.91K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+508K

+$508K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

93.8K

2.07M

Net Activity

-2.1M

-$2.07M

Top Buyers

1
RR

Rietbroek Robbert

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

44.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$501K

2
SJ

Stafeil Jeffrey

Director

17.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$200K

3
HR

Hagemann Robert

Director

14.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$154K

4
VLM

Venturelli Larry M

Director

600 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$7K

Top Sellers

1
MPR

Martens Philip R

Director

63.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.39M

2
YJP

Yost Joseph P

Officer: Evp & President, Americas

30.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$682K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Negative insider sentiment with $1.21M net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.42:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$354K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Moderate Buying

4 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.