GFR - NYSE

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

GFR·NYSE

$4.40

-6.8%
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. The company operates the Tier-1 oil sands assets located in Western Canada. It utilizes steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology, a thermal oil recovery process to recover bitumen. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$309.12M
EPS1.7600
P/E Ratio5.97
Earnings Date03/16/2026
Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd. Fair Value Envelope

GFR · NYSE

Our analysis suggests that GFR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $4.4, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Greenfire Resources Ltd..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $4.4

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

$
%
$
%
$
$

Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

%
%

DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$3.3B
+ Cash & Equivalents$67.4M
Firm Value$3.4B
- Debt$338.2M
Equity Value$3.0B
/ Shares Outstanding70,253,000B
DCF Value$43
UNDERVALUED BY 886%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$155.5M
$167.3M
$179.9M
$193.6M
$208.2M
$224.0M
$241.0M
$259.2M
$278.8M
$300.0M
Maintenance CapEx
-$18.8M
-$20.2M
-$21.8M
-$23.4M
-$25.2M
-$27.1M
-$29.1M
-$31.3M
-$33.7M
-$36.3M
Owner Earnings
$136.7M
$147.0M
$158.2M
$170.2M
$183.0M
$196.9M
$211.8M
$227.9M
$245.1M
$263.7M
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$126.6M
$126.1M
$125.6M
$125.1M
$124.6M
$124.1M
$123.6M
$123.1M
$122.6M
$122.1M
Terminal Value represents 62.5% of Enterprise Value

Related Guides

Blog Categories

Continue your GFR research with focused valuation guides.

DCF Modeling

Improve assumptions for intrinsic value accuracy.

Forecasting

Calibrate growth paths and terminal value behavior.

WACC

Refine discount-rate logic for valuation quality.

Cost of Capital

Match risk profile to expected return assumptions.

Research Paths

Pick your next lens
1

Snapshot

Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.

2

Value Model

Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.

3

Statements

Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.

4

Earnings Call

Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.

5

Dividends

Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.

6

Analyst Expectations

Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.