Ellington Financial Inc.

Ellington Financial Inc.

EFCยทNYSE

$13.36

-1.8%
Real EstateREIT - Mortgage

Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States. The company acquires and manages residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, manufactured housing, and subprime residential mortgage loans; RMBS for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the U.S. government agency or the U.S. government-sponsored entity; residential mortgage loans; commercial mortgage-backed securities; and commercial mortgage loans and other commercial real estate debt. It also provides collateralized loan obligations; mortgage-related and non-mortgage-related derivatives; corporate debt and equity securities; corporate loans; and other strategic investments. In addition, the company offers consumer loans and asset-backed securities backed by consumer and commercial assets. Ellington Financial LLC was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.33B
EPS1.1900
P/E Ratio11.23
Earnings Date08/06/2026
efc

Ellington Financial Inc. Street Expectations Map

EFC ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that EFC stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 14.00.

Lowest Target
13.00
-2.69%
Consensus Target
13.50
1.05%
Highest Target
14.00
4.79%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 14.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+1.1%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

7.4% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.78x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
674.54M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
434.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
427.07M - 446.38M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-35.6%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
146.87M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
157.76M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
153.93M - 161.59M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+7.4%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
1.19
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.82
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.77 - $1.86
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+53.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
459.09M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
54.05M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
53.16M - 55.57M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-88.2%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
459.09M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
86.83M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
85.41M - 89.28M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-81.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

EFC ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
13.05M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
150.93M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
148.47M - 155.19M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1056.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Ellington Financial Inc. Insider Positioning

EFC ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $75K worth of EFC shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

5.5K

75.18K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+75K

+$75K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
SRI

Simon Ronald I

Director

5.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$75K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $75K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.