Dayforce Inc

Dayforce Inc

DAYยทNYSE

$69.86

+0.0000%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Dayforce Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a human capital management (HCM) software company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers Dayforce, a cloud HCM platform that provides human resources, payroll, benefits, workforce management, and talent management functionality; and Powerpay, a cloud HR and payroll solution for the small business market. The company also provides Bureau solutions for payroll and payroll-related services. It sells its solutions through direct sales force and third-party channels. The company was formerly known as Ceridian HCM Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dayforce Inc. in February 2024. Dayforce Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$11.18B
EPS0.1100
P/E Ratio635.09
Earnings Date05/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 635.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E 635.1, earnings yield +0.2%, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +0.7%, ROIC +1.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.0%, ROE +0.7%, ROIC +1.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +72.1%, momentum 0.0%, net margin +1.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

day

Dayforce Inc Market vs Earnings Trajectory

DAY ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Dayforce Inc

Dayforce Inc Fair Value Envelope

DAY ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that DAY has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $69.86, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Dayforce Inc.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $69.86
3Y-122.0%
5Y-80.0%
10Y-107.0%
3Y+72.0%
5Y+114.0%
10Y+154.0%
3Y-124.0%
5Y-77.0%
10Y-117.0%
3Y+476.0%
5Y+456.0%
10Y-1636.0%
3Y-1251.0%
5Y-3828.0%
10Y-425.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+31.0%
Dayforce Inc

Dayforce Inc Profit Bridge

DAY ยท NYSE
Revenue1.76B
Cost of Goods Sold (947.90M)
Gross Profit812.10M
Operating Expenses (708.00M)
Operating Income104.10M
Interest Expense (40.60M)
Other Income/Expense-66.50M
Pretax Income37.60M
Income Tax (19.50M)
Net Income18.10M
Net Income
18.10M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

46.1%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

5.9%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

1.0%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

51.9%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

46.14%
Gross Profit Margin
8%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+14.0%
5.91%
Operating Profit Margin
-33%
3Y-271.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y+16.0%
1.03%
Net Profit Margin
-72%
3Y-114.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y-107.0%
0.71%
Return on Equity
-69%
3Y-121.0%
5Y-83.0%
10Y-106.0%
0.20%
Return on Assets
-67%
3Y-119.0%
5Y-85.0%
10Y-113.0%
1.31%
Return on Invested Capital
-36%
3Y-253.0%
5Y-78.0%
10Y-19.0%
DAY

Dayforce Inc Cash Conversion Engine

DAY ยท NYSE
Net Income18.10M
Depreciation & Amortization209.80M
Stock-Based Compensation155.50M
Change in Working Capital-106.00M
Others37.80M
Capital Expenditures-109.60M
Free Cash Flow171.50M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

947.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

39.0%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+63.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$106.00M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

day

Dayforce Inc Funding & Solvency Profile

DAY ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents627.60M
Net Receivables325.10M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets4.58B
Total Current Assets6 B
Property, Plant & Equipment243.50M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets2.51B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets386.70M
Total Non-Current Assets630 M
Total Assets
8.68B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.04x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.22x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

230 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

64% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

day

Dayforce Inc Street Expectations Map

DAY ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that DAY stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 70.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 70.00 to a high of 70.00.

Lowest Target
70.00
0.20%
Consensus Target
70.00
0.20%
Highest Target
70.00
0.20%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 70.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 70.00 to a high of 70.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+0.2%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

day

Dayforce Inc Insider Positioning

DAY ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.72M and sold $6.85M worth of DAY shares, resulting in $5.13M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

500

34.68K

Net Activity

-35K

-$35K

6-9 Months

Bought

25.0K

1.72M

Sold

81.4K

5.58M

Net Activity

-3.9M

-$3.86M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

20.3K

1.23M

Net Activity

-1.2M

-$1.23M

Top Buyers

1
PTRAI/

Price T Rowe Associates Inc /Md/

10 Percent Owner

25.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.72M

Top Sellers

1
PTRAI/

Price T Rowe Associates Inc /Md/

10 Percent Owner

61.4K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$4.21M

2
AS

Alkharrat Samer

Officer: Evp, Chief Revenue Officer

18.3K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$1.21M

3
HSH

Holdridge Stephen H.

Officer: President, Coo

14.0K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$883K

4
MWE

Mcdonald William Everett

Officer: Evp, Clo, & Secretary

7.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$446K

5
JJS

Jacobs Jeffrey Scott

Officer: Head Of Acct & Fin Reporting

1.6K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$105K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.13M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.25:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

No Dividend Yield Data

DAY has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

day Dividend History

DAY
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%