CoreCivic, Inc.

CoreCivic, Inc.

CXWยทNYSE

$22.48

+3.5%
Real EstateREIT - Specialty

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address America's recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 46 correctional and detention facilities, 26 residential reentry centers, and 10 properties for lease. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.22B
EPS1.0900
P/E Ratio20.62
Earnings Date08/05/2026
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CoreCivic, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CXW ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CXW stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 17.00.

Lowest Target
14.00
-37.72%
Consensus Target
15.50
-31.05%
Highest Target
17.00
-24.38%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 17.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-31.1%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

19.4% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.65x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
2.21B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.51B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.49B - 2.54B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+13.4%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
116.50M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
170.25M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
167.44M - 173.05M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+46.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
1.09
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.52
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.50 - $1.55
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+39.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
219.41M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
237.27M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
235.35M - 240.15M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+8.1%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
348.31M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
414.42M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
411.06M - 419.45M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+19.0%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

CXW ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
169.58M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
178.86M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
177.41M - 181.03M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.5%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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CoreCivic, Inc. Insider Positioning

CXW ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.02M worth of CXW shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

37.5K

757.25K

Net Activity

-757K

-$757K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

12.5K

220.25K

Net Activity

-220K

-$220K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

51.0K

1.04M

Net Activity

-1.0M

-$1.04M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CCG

Carter, Cole G.

Officer: Chief Administrative Officer

50.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$978K

2
GAL

Grande Anthony L

Officer: Evp, Chief Development Officer

45.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$919K

3
MTJ

Marshall Thurgood Jr

Director

6.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$123K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.02M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$757K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.