Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMGยทNYSE

$28.75

-1.7%
Consumer CyclicalRestaurants

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. As of February 15, 2022, it owned and operated approximately 3,000 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and rest of Europe. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$36.88B
EPS1.1500
P/E Ratio25.00
Earnings Date07/29/2026
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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CMG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CMG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 43.72, with estimates ranging from a low of 36.00 to a high of 52.00.

Lowest Target
36.00
25.22%
Consensus Target
43.72
52.07%
Highest Target
52.00
80.87%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 43.72, with estimates ranging from a low of 36.00 to a high of 52.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+52.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

36.6% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
11.93B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
13.05B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
12.92B - 13.76B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+9.4%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
1.54B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.60B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.54B - 2.03B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3.9%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread31%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
1.15
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.21
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.12 - $1.48
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.2%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage21 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread30%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
2.01B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.69B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.68B - 1.79B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-15.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
2.37B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.13B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.11B - 2.25B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-10.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

CMG ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
652.02M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
911.99M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
902.94M - 962.16M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+39.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Insider Positioning

CMG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $15.09M worth of CMG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

132.1K

5.00M

Net Activity

-5.0M

-$5.00M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

61.9K

2.15M

Net Activity

-2.1M

-$2.15M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

152.0K

7.94M

Net Activity

-7.9M

-$7.94M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GCE

Garner Curtis E

Officer: Pres, Chief Strgy & Tech Off

292.7K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$12.60M

2
EI

Eskenazi Ilene

Officer: Chief Human Resources Officer

26.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.15M

3
BS

Boatwright Scott

Officer: Chief Executive Officer

19.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$997K

4
FP

Filikrushel Patricia

Director

5.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$229K

5
HRS

Hickenlooper Robin S

Director

2.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$115K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $15.09M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.