$61.91
+0.95%Boston Properties (NYSE:BXP) is the largest publicly-held developer and owner of Class A office properties in the United States, concentrated in five markets - Boston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco and Washington, DC. The Company is a fully integrated real estate company, organized as a real estate investment trust (REIT), that develops, manages, operates, acquires and owns a diverse portfolio of primarily Class A office space. The Company's portfolio totals 51.2 million square feet and 196 properties, including six properties under construction/redevelopment.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.1B | $957.4M | $839.5M | $736.1M | $645.4M | $565.9M | $496.3M | $435.1M | $381.6M | $334.6M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$97.4M | -$85.4M | -$74.9M | -$65.7M | -$57.6M | -$50.5M | -$44.3M | -$38.8M | -$34.0M | -$29.9M |
| Owner Earnings | $994.4M | $871.9M | $764.6M | $670.4M | $587.8M | $515.5M | $452.0M | $396.3M | $347.5M | $304.7M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $920.7M | $747.5M | $606.9M | $492.8M | $400.1M | $324.8M | $263.7M | $214.1M | $173.8M | $141.1M |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.